The Warriors players on the bench surely knew. I've seen this both ways. Losing team looks to get up some numbers and losing team calmly dribble the clock out. Nothing really to investigate since they actually ran a set to score. Having said that, everyone knows the line these days.
Lol so did I but split w 1H. Hit some good lives though in early 2Q and end of 3Q. I know some have picked up on market timing for live Unders but I'm write something up on this later. There is both a science and an art to it.
@HomeRunBaker tough beat with that second Q on the 1H U117.5. After a 70 point Q like that do you look to bet the under live?
Thats definitely what you are looking for and one of the factors if other boxes are checked off with it.
Yeah, it feels like 80% of NBA games end on a meaningless 3 at the buzzer by the losing team.
Teams combined to start game 0-10. Should be ton of pace to this but good start. 8:30am game on a neutral court is about as perfect a set up for this.
Really hammered this. 16 total points with 10 minutes to go in the 1H. Looking pretty solid.
Teams combined for 5-30 shooting behind the arc for a 26-24 halftime score. Who woulda ever thunk it on a neutral court at 8:30am?
This seems logical. Every one of these games hasn't even been close and the shooting is horrific.
Are you referring to NBA Christmas games? My recollection is that the players know that the world is watching and they compete pretty good. Not IST or playoff good but good for a regular season game. As much as i love an entire day of standalone NFL games i'm going to miss those entire days of NBA standalones without the distractions from the pigskin.
13-48 in the final game for the cash! Back at the old Maui Invitational venue they were known for the soft rims...maybe not so much at the Stan Sheriff Center. Something to remember for next year.
To kick off the season I had the Knicks as an OVER & the Bucks as an UNDER on win totalsMerry Christmas to all Silver Dollar heads this morning!! I'll try a quick (yeah right) rundown of todays slate.
Knicks/Bucks - Maybe the most intriguing matchup from my seat as they meet for 4th time this year. Bucks now -3.5 and 241.5 after touching -4 on the overnight.
G1 the Knicks outplayed the Bucks in a 5-pt loss but couldn't withtstand Milwaukees 20-39 3-pt shooting while countering with 10-39 of their own. Brunson ran circles around Lillard all night but this was prior to the Bucks being the train they are now.
G2, also in Milwaukee, saw Thibs insert some Doug Moe into his gameplan and run run run on all makes or misses. It was working ok but again, when you shoot 30% from three while your opponent shoots 60% even @benhogan will say this is a make or miss league.
G3, in NY. More of the same, Knicks shoot 30% from 3, Bucks 50% and cruise most of the night. Brunson and Randle had a field day again but the Knicks second unit was awful once again. Bench shooting, Knicks 5-19 and Bucks 14-22 led by Bobby Portis 9-14.
Interesting to note.....
* Mitchell Robinson was no factor in the two games he played but bumping up Hartenstein and Taj Gibson into those 5 minutes is a massive downgrade to M-Robs presence alone.
* Quickley has shot 3-15 in the last two Bucks losses which can't happen for the Knicks to stand a chance with their thin bench today.
* What's up with the 3-pt disparity in this series? The Bucks are loaded w shooters while the Knicks don't defend the 3 very well which can account for much of their bump but over 50% every game? And the Knicks under 31% every game? Variance, Luck, Matchup Adv....hmmm.
* Dynamic of being second leg of a B2B and a holiday day game to boot.
Nothing pregame for me but will be watching to see if anything live transpires in the 1H.
so it's not surprising that I'm getting burned by those Make or Miss League shenanigans.
And there we go: shooting evened out (both teams shot 31% on not-high volume), and the Knicks were comfortably better in those conditions.Merry Christmas to all Silver Dollar heads this morning!! I'll try a quick (yeah right) rundown of todays slate.
Knicks/Bucks - Maybe the most intriguing matchup from my seat as they meet for 4th time this year. Bucks now -3.5 and 241.5 after touching -4 on the overnight.
G1 the Knicks outplayed the Bucks in a 5-pt loss but couldn't withtstand Milwaukees 20-39 3-pt shooting while countering with 10-39 of their own. Brunson ran circles around Lillard all night but this was prior to the Bucks being the train they are now.
G2, also in Milwaukee, saw Thibs insert some Doug Moe into his gameplan and run run run on all makes or misses. It was working ok but again, when you shoot 30% from three while your opponent shoots 60% even @benhogan will say this is a make or miss league.
G3, in NY. More of the same, Knicks shoot 30% from 3, Bucks 50% and cruise most of the night. Brunson and Randle had a field day again but the Knicks second unit was awful once again. Bench shooting, Knicks 5-19 and Bucks 14-22 led by Bobby Portis 9-14.
Interesting to note.....
* Mitchell Robinson was no factor in the two games he played but bumping up Hartenstein and Taj Gibson into those 5 minutes is a massive downgrade to M-Robs presence alone.
* Quickley has shot 3-15 in the last two Bucks losses which can't happen for the Knicks to stand a chance with their thin bench today.
* What's up with the 3-pt disparity in this series? The Bucks are loaded w shooters while the Knicks don't defend the 3 very well which can account for much of their bump but over 50% every game? And the Knicks under 31% every game? Variance, Luck, Matchup Adv....hmmm.
* Dynamic of being second leg of a B2B and a holiday day game to boot.
Nothing pregame for me but will be watching to see if anything live transpires in the 1H.
i wanted to play the Knicks as you could probably tell by my tone but ultimately passed. I could have placed more weight on that first meeting when the Knicks outplayed them pretty good but lost due the 3-pt disparity. I kept going back to not fading an NBA train and the Bucks have been on a good roll for a month now. Have to remember that one standalone game on Xmas is no different than one game in February with a 12 game slate.
I bet the over 20 mins before you posted it… Absent that stretch in the second half of the first this has been playing as we would have expected pregame. Hopefully they overcome the bad 1st.
Maxey and Melton, the Sixers starting backcourt, combining for 6-34 shooting. Maxey, 2-18, then completely redeems himself with a late meaningless 3 to get us to the magic 228!
@HomeRunBaker
Damn that's a lot of plays. Care to share to evaluate them? I didn't have much live today but wasn't engaged until the night games and pretty much road the Heat Over and the Mavs perfect w the Under sneaking in. Very happy w reads today but also w my pure numbers which was responsible for the Mavs Under after it was bet up to the moon.
Let's try this and see if it provides any color:
Beginning two-day drive back home I'll check this out tonight when at hotel. Deep dives are great for learning.
That’s called greed in the model!.
Edit: Maybe @Brand Name can help with adding "brother in law gave me $100 DK gift card" into her model?
Hah! Should've been a FD gift card to begin with. No bias or anything.Edit: Maybe @Brand Name can help with adding "brother in law gave me $100 DK gift card" into her model?
I’d love some MLB prop tips. It’s my favorite thing to bet but also my lowest yield by far. Feels like so much randomness although I know there are trends so sure I’m missing something. I find NFL to be the easiest but elevated injury risk makes prop betting hard.Hah! Should've been a FD gift card to begin with. No bias or anything.
I consider that basically a free roll or a bonus you can cash out. Now if you can't actually cash it out for equivalent value, you want something in plus money. If you can cash it out, you just treat it like an extra $100 as part of my bigger bankroll, and it would impact how much my given bet was for a short time on anything I liked from them.
That said, running through my system and odds screen right now for all the active major sports of NFL/NBA/NHL/NCAAF/NCAAB, nothing I really like right now on DK specifically, I'll find something, the nature of the market. It's a matter of when not if. And if I give the go, you need to act like Usain Bolt on crack. Because it's going to move hella fast, minutes at most and if we're luck. My prop suggestions for the NFL will be up later in the week.
Which reminds me: Would you all want similar threads to this one in BBTL and the MLB forum? Similar to this but devoted to those sports specifically. MLB obviously would be a bit closer to when everyone is signed in that league.
Would love any and all guidance!Hah! Should've been a FD gift card to begin with. No bias or anything.
I consider that basically a free roll or a bonus you can cash out. Now if you can't actually cash it out for equivalent value, you want something in plus money. If you can cash it out, you just treat it like an extra $100 as part of my bigger bankroll, and it would impact how much my given bet was for a short time on anything I liked from them.
That said, running through my system and odds screen right now for all the active major sports of NFL/NBA/NHL/NCAAF/NCAAB, nothing I really like right now on DK specifically, I'll find something, the nature of the market. It's a matter of when not if. And if I give the go, you need to act like Usain Bolt on crack. Because it's going to move hella fast, minutes at most and if we're luck. My prop suggestions for the NFL will be up later in the week.
Which reminds me: Would you all want similar threads to this one in BBTL and the MLB forum? Similar to this but devoted to those sports specifically. MLB obviously would be a bit closer to when everyone is signed in that league.
This is a great example of being ahead of the curve. Because of this post I grabbed the bucks at -135 to win. Now the best you can get is -240.
4-1 with only the Knicks not covering so these performed well. Hope you guys got some. 3 of the 4 won by 20+. The only two I played were Sixers and Bucks but no complaints.
Ha, I was similarly hoping Pistons would win the first half so I could hammer their team total under in the 2nd half.
8-0 run since my click! LFG!! Lol. It's now down to +174.
