Every other article I've seen says it's a minimum contract deal with incentives that could push it to $8 million.
Every other article I've seen says it's a minimum contract deal with incentives that could push it to $8 million.
Well, as Eric Pincus says, the problem is that teams can't put incentives into minimum contracts.Every other article I've seen says it's a minimum contract deal with incentives that could push it to $8 million.
Maybe I'm being stupid, but why did he make it seem like Boston gave him the choice of Crowder or the 2nd round pick. The 2nd rounder (that turned into Cleanthony Early) was part of the Olynyk draft trade of 2013, and Crowder was traded to the Celtics (Dec 2014) after Early was picked earlier in 2014. Was there some kind of conditions attached to the draft pick? Or was he just mistaken about the timeline and it was Dallas who offered him that (maybe he had notes from Jun 2014 that said "DA offered me Crowder or the 2nd" but meant it as Dallas and not Danny Ainge?) Or Phil's just getting old...http://www.todaysfastbreak.com/nba-east/new-york-knicks/phil-jackson-chronicles-part-7-2015-16-season-postmortem/
Phil saying he almost got Crowder to Knicks, but chose not to because of Carmelo.
Maybe he's just auditioning to become Donald Trump's new spokesperson.Maybe I'm being stupid, but why did he make it seem like Boston gave him the choice of Crowder or the 2nd round pick. The 2nd rounder (that turned into Cleanthony Early) was part of the Olynyk draft trade of 2013, and Crowder was traded to the Celtics (Dec 2014) after Early was picked earlier in 2014. Was there some kind of conditions attached to the draft pick? Or was he just mistaken about the timeline and it was Dallas who offered him that (maybe he had notes from Jun 2014 that said "DA offered me Crowder or the 2nd" but meant it as Dallas and not Danny Ainge?) Or Phil's just getting old...
This was clearly a typo as it should have read "In talking to Dallas" rather than to Boston. Crowder had already projected to lose minutes with the Mavs bench being upgraded at the 3/4 position with Aminu and Jefferson. At the time Jae was an energy guy who couldn't shoot and played out of control at times while wearing out his welcome in Dallas.Maybe I'm being stupid, but why did he make it seem like Boston gave him the choice of Crowder or the 2nd round pick. The 2nd rounder (that turned into Cleanthony Early) was part of the Olynyk draft trade of 2013, and Crowder was traded to the Celtics (Dec 2014) after Early was picked earlier in 2014. Was there some kind of conditions attached to the draft pick? Or was he just mistaken about the timeline and it was Dallas who offered him that (maybe he had notes from Jun 2014 that said "DA offered me Crowder or the 2nd" but meant it as Dallas and not Danny Ainge?) Or Phil's just getting old...
MCW to the Bulls for Tony Snell. How bad was that deal for Milwaukee. Gross.
Technically it shakes out to Knight for Tony Snell, Miles Plumlee and Michael Beasley (Tyler Ennis was in the trade, then traded to HOU for Beas), but yeah.Refresh my memory; this means they traded Brandon knight for tony snell?
That's horrible
Why? Is there something wrong with a backcourt that collectively shoots < 30% from behind the arc?The Bulls are going to be so bad this year.
Can't wait for that crunch time line-up of Rondo/MCW/Wade/Butler/Lopez.Why? Is there something wrong with a backcourt that collectively shoots < 30% from behind the arc?
They're the anti-Warriors. Great strategy. I bet Charles Barkley loves it.Why? Is there something wrong with a backcourt that collectively shoots < 30% from behind the arc?
Such is life as a small market team in the NBA. Decisions had to be made and while Monroe hasn't worked out as well as they thought it was perfectly reasonable to see why Hammond would move a small due a big raise to sign a big when the only other 4/5's on your roster are John Henson and Jabari Parker.Refresh my memory; this means they traded Brandon knight for tony snell?
That's horrible
Moving Knight sure, but turning him into MCW when you could have had the Lakers' pick is crazy. The problem wasn't the decision to trade Knight (a good move I think) it was execution. They brought back a mediocre PG who couldn't shoot to a team that desperately needed either shooting or top end talent. I think they tricked themselves into thinking they could split the difference on contending by bringing in a player immediately instead of taking a very good draft pick, or that they could teach MCW to shoot (they couldn't).Such is life as a small market team in the NBA. Decisions had to be made and while Monroe hasn't worked out as well as they thought it was perfectly reasonable to see why Hammond would move a small due a big raise to sign a big when the only other 4/5's on your roster are John Henson and Jabari Parker.
I don't believe for one second the Lakers were giving up their high lottery pick which still could have been the #1 overall for Knight. That would have been insane......teams don't make moves like this anymore unless your name is Billy King.Moving Knight sure, but turning him into MCW when you could have had the Lakers' pick is crazy. The problem wasn't the decision to trade Knight (a good move I think) it was execution. They brought back a mediocre PG who couldn't shoot to a team that desperately needed either shooting or top end talent. I think they tricked themselves into thinking they could split the difference on contending by bringing in a player immediately instead of taking a very good draft pick, or that they could teach MCW to shoot (they couldn't).
The Suns owned the Lakers pick with minimal protection, which they sent to Milwaukee for Knight. The Bucks rerouted that pick for MCW.I don't believe for one second the Lakers were giving up their high lottery pick which still could have been the #1 overall for Knight. That would have been insane......teams don't make moves like this anymore unless your name is Billy King.
An even bigger one for Michele Roberts in her first go-around if she gets some of the concessions she is looking for. Good to see both side working together at such an early stage.NBA and the players Association are close to a new CBA. This would be another feather in Silver's cap.
http://sports.yahoo.com/news/sources-nba-players-association-push-closer-to-new-cba-224612785.html
Where does Rubio fit? The Pacers? Dallas?Wolves stuff from my guy:
Tyus Jones has been on the block since the night of the draft but now the Sixers are aggressively pursuing him. The thought process is that Dunn takes over by January or so and whoever Rubio lands with with send an experienced PG back to Minnesota so Jones really has no role there.
Dunn struggled with adjusting to the pace early on but looked great tonight. I'm not concerned about his slow start at that position at all. Even Stockton and Nash took several years to solidify themselves in the league.
That's a pretty large step down from Dunn, and all to hold on to an extra pick that has no guarantees of being in the top five.Wolves stuff from my guy:
Tyus Jones has been on the block since the night of the draft but now the Sixers are aggressively pursuing him. The thought process is that Dunn takes over by January or so and whoever Rubio lands with with send an experienced PG back to Minnesota so Jones really has no role there.
What is driving the Cavs number? That one seems out of line.Here's the current version of my NBA picks. These do incorporate preseason results to date, which causes big negative impacts on the Clippers, Hornets, Mavericks, Magic, and Nets, and big positive impacts on the Rockets, Wizards, and Wolves.
I still need to rescale the results (the average team is winning 40.6 games here only, so add like 0.4 wins per team), and am still hoping to build in a few more adjustments to the projections, most notably for rookies. I will post another update Monday night.
Uh, that was a fat finger error due to JR Smith's late signing: I had a replacement level playing in those minutes instead. They're actually at 52 wins. I am somewhat down on them regardless. They were at 55.2 wins coming into the year, but have had a poor preseason.What is driving the Cavs number? That one seems out of line.
I went 23-7 last year overall, 11-2 on teams with a differential of at least 3 wins from Vegas, and 3-0 on teams with a differential of at least 7 wins. The biggest loser I had was Miami, which I had at 40 wins vs. 46.5 at the Westgate.It'd be fun to parley the Houston over and the Clippers under.
How accurate were your largest over and under predictions last year? Did they both cover?
Well done! Hope you made some $$$.I went 23-7 last year overall, 11-2 on teams with a differential of at least 3 wins from Vegas, and 3-0 on teams with a differential of at least 7 wins. The biggest loser I had was Miami, which I had at 40 wins vs. 46.5 at the Westgate.
Not sure I understand why Minnesota is so desperate to trade Rubio. Guard depth is a nice thing to have, and I'd prefer to see Dunn prove himself before dealing Rubio who is on a reasonable contract.Wolves stuff from my guy:
Tyus Jones has been on the block since the night of the draft but now the Sixers are aggressively pursuing him. The thought process is that Dunn takes over by January or so and whoever Rubio lands with with send an experienced PG back to Minnesota so Jones really has no role there.
Dunn struggled with adjusting to the pace early on but looked great tonight. I'm not concerned about his slow start at that position at all. Even Stockton and Nash took several years to solidify themselves in the league.
That's why I simplified the model for incorporating preseason results. The Clippers have had a really terrible preseason, which is actually pretty strongly predictive. I originally built a fairly complex Bayesian model, but it was generating some screwy results in some cases (like the Clippers). Maybe those results were correct, but it's also possible I had screwed up the math somewhere. Given I had the Clippers 13 games worse than Vegas said, I concluded it was more likely I was making a mistake somewhere.What do you attribute that 9 win swing for the Clippers? And thanks for posting these, by the way.
They aren't desperate yet as they don't want to rush Dunn or give him entitlements. Heard the latter is frustrated in learning new role of spot minutes which is expected as they all want to produce right out of the gate (see: Russell, DeAngelo) but imo that is the best way to break in a young player as a rookie in forcing them to "earn" minutes.Not sure I understand why Minnesota is so desperate to trade Rubio. Guard depth is a nice thing to have, and I'd prefer to see Dunn prove himself before dealing Rubio who is on a reasonable contract.
Final version of picks.
No. I could calculate them, but it's not something I track. I project each team's likelihood of winning every game, and add up the wins, so I could figure this out I suppose.Do these forecasts have confidence intervals?