Patriots' playoff games under BB/TB, and the turnover margin.
2001
Beat Oak 16-13, -1 turnovers
Beat Pit 24-17, +4 turnovers
Beat StL 20-17, +3 turnovers
2003
Beat Ten 17-14, turnovers even
Beat Ind 24-14, +3 turnovers
Beat Car 32-29, turnovers even
2004
Beat Ind 20-3, +3 turnovers
Beat Pit 41-27, +4 turnovers
Beat Phi 24-21, +3 turnovers
2005
Beat Jax 28-3, +2 turnovers
Lost to Den 27-13, -4 turnovers
2006
Beat NYJ 37-16, +1 turnovers
Beat SD 24-21, +1 turnovers
Lost to Ind 38-34, turnovers even
2007
Beat Jax 31-20, +2 turnovers
Beat SD 21-12, -1 turnovers
Lost to NYG 17-14, turnovers even
2009
Lost to Bal 33-14, -2 turnovers
2010
Lost to NYJ 28-21, -1 turnovers
2011
Beat Den 45-10, -1 turnovers
Beat Bal 23-20, -2 turnovers
Lost to NYG 21-17, -1 turnovers
2012
Beat Hou 41-28, +1 turnovers
Lost to Bal 28-13, -3 turnovers
2013
Beat Ind 43-22, +4 turnovers
Lost to Den 26-16, turnovers even
2014
Beat Bal 35-31, +1 turnovers
Beat Ind 45-7, +2 turnovers
Beat Sea 28-24, -1 turnovers
2015
Beat KC 27-20, +1 turnovers
Lost to Den 20-18, -1 turnovers
So....
31 games
15 times they were on the positive side of the turnover ledger (15-0)
5 times they were even in the turnover ledger (2-3)
11 times they were on the negative side of the turnover ledger (6-5)
So from these games, the team that won the turnover battle won 20 of 26 games (76.9%).
If the Patriots win the turnover battle.... Game over (15-0). If they lose it, or if it's even, they're still a 50-50 shot to win (8-8).