2015 Offseason: Non-Revis Edition

Mystic Merlin

Member
SoSH Member
Sep 21, 2007
47,163
Hartford, CT
ivanvamp said:
 
Would you rather have him or Amendola for 2015?  Amendola's contract has him at $4 million for 2015, right in the middle of what you think Johnson could get.  
 
Personally, I'd rather have Johnson, although I must say that Amendola came up huge for the Patriots at the end of this season.
 
I'm just trying to picture defenses covering the Pats in the red zone with both Gronk and Johnson out there.  
Edit - DOUBLE POST
 

Mystic Merlin

Member
SoSH Member
Sep 21, 2007
47,163
Hartford, CT
ivanvamp said:
 
Would you rather have him or Amendola for 2015?  Amendola's contract has him at $4 million for 2015, right in the middle of what you think Johnson could get.  
 
Personally, I'd rather have Johnson, although I must say that Amendola came up huge for the Patriots at the end of this season.
 
I'm just trying to picture defenses covering the Pats in the red zone with both Gronk and Johnson out there.  
I'd rather have Amendola at a reduced rate. He's productive, not ancient, amd contributes on the return units.

And cutting Amendola -which you would have to do ASAP to make this work - would result in 3.6m dead money this year with only 1.6m in cap savings.

It's not tenable given current priorities.
 

Corsi

isn't shy about blowing his wad early
Lifetime Member
SoSH Member
Dec 3, 2010
12,955
Boston, MA

Morgan's Magic Snowplow

Member
SoSH Member
Jul 2, 2006
22,478
Philadelphia
ivanvamp said:
 
Would you rather have him or Amendola for 2015?  Amendola's contract has him at $4 million for 2015, right in the middle of what you think Johnson could get.  
 
Personally, I'd rather have Johnson, although I must say that Amendola came up huge for the Patriots at the end of this season.
 
I'm just trying to picture defenses covering the Pats in the red zone with both Gronk and Johnson out there.  
 
Eh, I'd probably rather have Amendola.
 
The QB situation in Houston hasn't helped Johnson but 34-year-old WRs are generally terrible bets and his numbers show a significant decline, especially in the ability to make big plays (long passes and TDs).  If we're looking at a possession receiver, then I want a guy like Amendola who definitely knows the system and is on the same page as Brady or a younger FA with room to grow.  A guy like Johnson who is being asked to learn a new offense and set of reads and route trees at the point in his career when he's declining in other ways has huge Ochocinco potential.
 

Corsi

isn't shy about blowing his wad early
Lifetime Member
SoSH Member
Dec 3, 2010
12,955
Boston, MA
Oh gosh, Andre Johnson is 2x the receiver Ochocinco was when we acquired him.  I watched quite a bit of Texans football this past year (girlfriend is from Houston) and Andre can still ball.
 
His QB play over the past two seasons has been a god damn travesty.
 

Corsi

isn't shy about blowing his wad early
Lifetime Member
SoSH Member
Dec 3, 2010
12,955
Boston, MA
Papelbon's Poutine said:
 
Who else would he be disgruntled with? 
 
 
He held out of workouts, OTAs and mandatory minicamp last offseason because he wanted a trade. He;s now stomped his foot loud enough about seeing a reduction in his role that he's been allowed to seek trade. In what world is that a model citizen?
 
Edit: How happy do you think he'd be being a 4th WR on the Pats and catching 30 balls next year? And how much money are you willing to pull from the Revis/DMC pool to pay for that? 
 
I should have qualified my statement that he was a model citizen as soon as he showed up.  Plenty of players have held out (including our own Revis) and I'm not going to hold that against them for eternity.  I don't think a holdout necessarily labels a guy as disgruntled.  But agree to disagree there.
 
And I don't even think he's stomping his feet here.  He's said absolutely nothing publicly, outside of thanking the Texans and their fans on Instagram.  He's got a $16.1M cap hit this season.  He wasn't playing under those terms, and the Texans allowed him to seek a trade (which no one will oblige).  He'll be released shortly.
 
I'd take him over Amendola in a freaking heartbeat (and I like DA).  
 

Leather

given himself a skunk spot
SoSH Member
Jul 18, 2005
28,451
Corsi said:
Oh gosh, Andre Johnson is 2x the receiver Ochocinco was when we acquired him.  I watched quite a bit of Texans football this past year (girlfriend is from Houston) and Andre can still ball.
 
His QB play over the past two seasons has been a god damn travesty.
 
In fairness, Ochocinco had 831 yards on 67 catches the year before he came to New England, and was 2 years younger than Johnson.  The comparison might be apt.
 

Corsi

isn't shy about blowing his wad early
Lifetime Member
SoSH Member
Dec 3, 2010
12,955
Boston, MA
drleather2001 said:
 
In fairness, Ochocinco had 831 yards on 67 catches the year before he came to New England, and was 2 years younger than Johnson.  The comparison might be apt.
 
3 seasons before being acquired:
 
Ochocinco:
 
2008: 13 games, 53 recs (97 tgts), 540 yards
2009: 16 games, 72 recs (128 tgts), 1047 yards
2010: 14 games, 67 recs (126 tgts), 831 yards
TOTAL: 43 games, 192 recs (351 tgts), 2418 yards
 
A. Johnson:
 

2012: 16 games, 112 recs (162 tgts), 1598 yards
2013: 16 games, 109 recs (181 tgts) 1407 yards
2014: 15 games, 85 recs (147 tgts), 936 yards
TOTAL: 47 games, 306 recs (490 tgts), 3941 yards
 
 
I mean, it isn't close.
 
Say what you will about Carson Palmer, but Ocho got to play with him for all but 8 games (Fitzpatrick in 2008) during this span, while Andre Johnson has been catching passes from Schaub, Keenum, Fitzpatrick, Mallet, Savage, and Yates.
 

Morgan's Magic Snowplow

Member
SoSH Member
Jul 2, 2006
22,478
Philadelphia
Corsi said:
Oh gosh, Andre Johnson is 2x the receiver Ochocinco was when we acquired him.  I watched quite a bit of Texans football this past year (girlfriend is from Houston) and Andre can still ball.
 
His QB play over the past two seasons has been a god damn travesty.
 
I don't watch much Texans football (thankfully) but what are you basing that assessment on?  Give me something more than "Andre can still ball."
 
The problem with Ochocinco wasn't that he was totally cooked at that stage in his career (although, like Johnson, he was obviously in significant decline), it was that he couldn't learn a new offense while also adapting his own game to his newfound limitations and Brady never came to have that trust in him to read the defense, adapt his routes, and be in the right place in tempo for an offense very reliant on timing and the WRs being on the same page as the QB.  Why shouldn't I be worried about that being an issue with Johnson?
 

Corsi

isn't shy about blowing his wad early
Lifetime Member
SoSH Member
Dec 3, 2010
12,955
Boston, MA
Papelbon's Poutine said:
 
"It's business," Johnson told the Houston Chronicle. "I understand that side of it. I'm not angry about it. I knew at some point in time, this day would come. If we were living in a perfect world, you know I'd want to finish my career here, but, unfortunately, that's not what's going to happen. You just have to move forward. ...
"I don't know how you tell a guy who catches 85 balls that he'll only probably catch 40. I feel like the role they were trying to put me in I'd be held back from maximizing my talents. I feel like that was the best thing for both sides. Why sit there and be miserable when I can go somewhere else and be able to show my talents."
 
I missed this, but to call this feet stomping?
 

Devizier

Member
SoSH Member
Jul 3, 2000
19,645
Somewhere
Reggie's Racquet said:
Mike Greenberg (an unabashed Jets fan) said on Mike and Mike this morning about Andre Johnson and I am paraphrasing..."this is the kind of guy that always ends up on the Patriots and always play well." For once I hope he is right.
 
I would have thought the same about Ochocinco; hard worker, good physical tools, impressive history of accomplishments. But like the other Johnson, there's some pretty clear signs of physical decline.
 

MillarTime

Member
SoSH Member
Oct 31, 2013
1,338
Morgan's Magic Snowplow said:
 
Eh, I'd probably rather have Amendola.
 This. We know he knows the offense, does not need to be the focal point, and came on strong late last season. Would be more than happy if we are able to bring back Gronk, Edelman, Lafell, and Amendola, while adding someone like Roy Helu in the Vereen role (if we can't get Shane back).
 

Corsi

isn't shy about blowing his wad early
Lifetime Member
SoSH Member
Dec 3, 2010
12,955
Boston, MA
Morgan's Magic Snowplow said:
 
I don't watch much Texans football (thankfully) but what are you basing that assessment on?  Give me something more than "Andre can still ball."
 
The problem with Ochocinco wasn't that he was totally cooked at that stage in his career (although, like Johnson, he was obviously in significant decline), it was that he couldn't learn a new offense while also adapting his own game to his newfound limitations and Brady never came to have that trust in him to read the defense, adapt his routes, and be in the right place in tempo for an offense very reliant on timing and the WRs being on the same page as the QB.  Why shouldn't I be worried about that being an issue with Johnson?
 
I can't speak to him having to pick up a new offense, but he was working under Bill O'Brien last season, so I can't imagine he hasn't been exposed to at least some of what the Patriots do.
 
I'm far from an X's and O's guy, but Johnson continually beat defenders to the football and still had the ability to muscle guys out of the way and come down with the catch.  Sure, he's not 24 anymore, but his physicality can make up for some of what he's lost in speed.
 
I know we got burned with Ochocinco, but I really wouldn't equate the two.
 

nighthob

Member
SoSH Member
Jul 15, 2005
12,723
Morgan's Magic Snowplow said:
The problem with Ochocinco wasn't that he was totally cooked at that stage in his career (although, like Johnson, he was obviously in significant decline), it was that he couldn't learn a new offense while also adapting his own game to his newfound limitations and Brady never came to have that trust in him to read the defense, adapt his routes, and be in the right place in tempo for an offense very reliant on timing and the WRs being on the same page as the QB.  Why shouldn't I be worried about that being an issue with Johnson?
He was completely cooked. He was a leathery steak when we got him. When he made cuts he looked like he was running through molasses while wearing clown shoes. I was shocked at how much quickness he'd lost. He couldn't create any separation between himself and his defender. If he still had straight line speed he could have stretched the field, but he didn't have that either.

As for Andre, I don't think Johnson has more than a year or two left in him, but I suspect that he'll be inexpensive for a contender because he seems more interested in winning a ring since he's made his money. And while I'd love to see him catching passes from Brady I agree that Revis comes first. They can live without AJ.
 

DJnVa

Dorito Dawg
SoSH Member
Dec 16, 2010
54,277
It seems we're basing this more on the fact that he's kinda like Ochocinco, as opposed to:
 
1-He was 5th in AFC in receptions and 13th in yards in the season that just ended.
2-The prior year he was 2nd in AFC in catches, 1 behind Brown, and had 1400 yards.
3-The year before that he was 2nd in AFC in catches, behind Welker, and had 1600 yards.
 
I get that he's old, but if they can work out a team-friendly deal where's the downside? He's not 2 years removed from his last good season. His last good season was this year.
 

ivanvamp

captain obvious
Jul 18, 2005
6,104
Mystic Merlin said:
I'd rather have Amendola at a reduced rate. He's productive, not ancient, amd contributes on the return units.

And cutting Amendola -which you would have to do ASAP to make this work - would result in 3.6m dead money this year with only 1.6m in cap savings.

It's not tenable given current priorities.
 
I agree that this isn't remotely a priority.  
 

IdiotKicker

Member
SoSH Member
Nov 21, 2005
11,013
Somerville, MA
I would love to see Johnson on this team, as I do think he would be mentioned among the greats at the position of he played for anything other than the perennial QB clusterfuck that is the Texans. But I don't think the cap is friendly to this happening, even with a few big deals (Mayo, Wilfork, Vollmer) reworked. There are too many other holes that are more pressing this year, even though that would be a scary lineup in 4-wide (LaFell, Edelman, Gronk, Amendola, Johnson).
 

E5 Yaz

polka king
Lifetime Member
SoSH Member
Apr 25, 2002
90,833
Oregon
Chuck Z said:
I would love to see Johnson on this team, as I do think he would be mentioned among the greats at the position of he played for anything other than the perennial QB clusterfuck that is the Texans. But I don't think the cap is friendly to this happening, even with a few big deals (Mayo, Wilfork, Vollmer) reworked. There are too many other holes that are more pressing this year, even though that would be a scary lineup in 4-wide (LaFell, Edelman, Gronk, Amendola, Johnson).
 
Agreed. I think if they bring in a veteran at an offensive skill position, I'd rather see them take a shot at Reggie Bush, who seems more of a need.
 
Apr 7, 2006
2,598
How close is BOB's offense to what he ran as our OC? Anyone know? I'm with those who would like a crack at seeing what this 34-year old WR can do.
 

vadertime

Member
SoSH Member
Jul 31, 2006
1,602
Rhode Island
He's baaccckkkk.  Bubba (Ray) Ventrone is coming back to New England as a special teams coach.
 
Ventrone, 32, got his NFL start with New England as an undrafted rookie in 2005. He bounced around the league from that point forth, often following special teams coordinator Brad Seely, whom the 49ers hired in 2011.
 
Read more here: http://www.sacbee.com/sports/nfl/san-francisco-49ers/article12100622.html#storylink=cpy
 
http://www.sacbee.com/sports/nfl/san-francisco-49ers/article12100622.html
 

Super Nomario

Member
SoSH Member
Nov 5, 2000
14,027
Mansfield MA
Papelbon's Poutine said:
 
"It's business," Johnson told the Houston Chronicle. "I understand that side of it. I'm not angry about it. I knew at some point in time, this day would come. If we were living in a perfect world, you know I'd want to finish my career here, but, unfortunately, that's not what's going to happen. You just have to move forward. ...
"I don't know how you tell a guy who catches 85 balls that he'll only probably catch 40. I feel like the role they were trying to put me in I'd be held back from maximizing my talents. I feel like that was the best thing for both sides. Why sit there and be miserable when I can go somewhere else and be able to show my talents."
Isn't it a pretty big red flag if BOB told Johnson that he's going to only catch 40 balls next year? Houston doesn't have anything resembling a third option. Other than Johnson and Hopkins, Damaris Johnson (31 catches for 331 yards) is the only other WR who caught more than SIX passes last year. If they don't think he could catch 50-60 passes at least for the Texans in 2015, he must be pretty close to cooked.
 

mwonow

Member
SoSH Member
Sep 4, 2005
7,194
Corsi said:
Houston Texans radio host/writers:
 

Jayson Braddock ‏@JaysonBraddock  6m6 minutes ago
ICYMI, My Top 6 fits for Andre Johnson's requirements, IMO: 1) Seattle 2) New England 3) Denver 4) Indy 5) Pittsburgh 6) Atlanta

 
Brian T. Smith ‏@ChronBrianSmith  37m37 minutes ago
Johnson likely won't be a "1" WR on any other team. He'll sacrifice guaranteed millions, finishing career as a Texan for a shot at a ring.
 
I think he's better than Baldwin, which (all other things remaining the same) would make him the #1 receiver on the #2 team in football. Seems like Seattle is a better fit than the Pats
 

ElcaballitoMVP

Member
SoSH Member
Nov 19, 2008
3,955
Mystic Merlin said:
I'd rather have Amendola at a reduced rate. He's productive, not ancient, amd contributes on the return units.

And cutting Amendola -which you would have to do ASAP to make this work - would result in 3.6m dead money this year with only 1.6m in cap savings.

It's not tenable given current priorities.
 
BINGO!

Unless he's willing to come here on a crazy cheap deal, I just don't see the Pats going through all of this for what might not end up being an overall upgrade.

Johnson is in decline. He doesn't contribute in the return game. There's the $3.6M dead money hit if we cut Amendola. I just don't see it. 
 

Morgan's Magic Snowplow

Member
SoSH Member
Jul 2, 2006
22,478
Philadelphia
ElcaballitoMVP said:
 
BINGO!
Unless he's willing to come here on a crazy cheap deal, I just don't see the Pats going through all of this for what might not end up being an overall upgrade.
Johnson is in decline. He doesn't contribute in the return game. There's the $3.6M dead money hit if we cut Amendola. I just don't see it. 
 
Amendola is also the only guy on the roster who can approximate what Edelman does for the offense if Minitron misses a few games (which is not that unlikely).  I don't see BB cutting him.
 

Kliq

Member
SoSH Member
Mar 31, 2013
22,955
I have been a huge fan of Andre Johnson since he came into the league, and while I understand a 34 year old WR is a risk, I think the Pats can afford to go after him. As Drew Dawg said, he had a pretty solid year last year, even if he didn't put up the kind of numbers he normally does. And even though he has been in the league forever, we still don't really know how good he can actually be, since he has never played with an above-average quarterback. If he regresses a little bit athletically because of age, his production could still pick up because he is playing with Tom Brady and not Ryan Fitzpatrick/Case Keenum/Ryan Mallet.
 
On a side note, I think he is a HOF. Already at 1,000+ catches and 13,000+ recieving yards with some more damage to do despite playing a majority of his career with Matt Schaub and David Carr. That is some impressive stuff.
 

dcmissle

Deflatigator
Lifetime Member
SoSH Member
Aug 4, 2005
28,269
Me too, but two obstacles from my standpoint. Some team is likely to offer real money.

Plus, having bought high on Amendola, I don't see the Pats now selling low. Everyone here assumed he was dead man walking during most of last season, but he showed enough at the end to warrant keeping around, especially considering the cap hit of letting him go.

So how much can they afford to tie up in this position given their needs and where they stand against the cap?
 

dynomite

Member
SoSH Member
Kliq said:
On a side note, I think he is a HOF. Already at 1,000+ catches and 13,000+ recieving yards with some more damage to do despite playing a majority of his career with Matt Schaub and David Carr. That is some impressive stuff.
Not to get too far afield, but WR HOF candidacies are getting even more complicated in this era.

Anquan Boldin has 940 catches and 12,400 yards. Is he a Hall of Famer?
 

Morning Woodhead

Member
SoSH Member
Aug 16, 2011
967
Wow. Wonder if they sign Spiller now too.

He had the perfect offense for his skill set in Philly. With Rex, I just don't see it. Nice trade by Chip.
 

SeoulSoxFan

I Want to Hit the World with Rocket Punch
Moderator
SoSH Member
Jun 27, 2006
22,107
A Scud Away from Hell
I'm furious if I'm a Bills fan. They are on the brink of swapping Alonzo and Spiller for McCoy and David Harris.

Edit: and pay millions more for that "privilege".
 

SeoulSoxFan

I Want to Hit the World with Rocket Punch
Moderator
SoSH Member
Jun 27, 2006
22,107
A Scud Away from Hell
Per Andrew Brandt:

Updated: Kiko Alonso has 2 years left on contract at $746,000 and $942,000. LeSean McCoy has 3 years left at $10.25M, $6.9M and $7.6M.

Good job Rex!
 

Phragle

wild card bitches
SoSH Member
Jan 1, 2009
13,154
Carmine's closet
This could far apart during the physical, but if Alonso is heathy I think this is a win for Philly. Alonso has had character concerns, but Kelly - his college coach - must not think much of them.
 

E5 Yaz

polka king
Lifetime Member
SoSH Member
Apr 25, 2002
90,833
Oregon
AshleyFoxESPN Ashley Fox
Asked someone close to Shady last week what was Chip Kelly's problem with him. He shook his head. "I don't know, man. The guy has produced."
 

SeoulSoxFan

I Want to Hit the World with Rocket Punch
Moderator
SoSH Member
Jun 27, 2006
22,107
A Scud Away from Hell
Phragle said:
This could far apart during the physical, but if Alonso is heathy I think this is a win for Philly. Alonso has had character concerns, but Kelly - his college coach - must not think much of them.
LaCanfora tweeted Alonzo wanted out of Buffalo.
 
Dec 10, 2012
6,943
This is a trade that looks a lot different if there was no salary cap. On paper, you don't trade a top-3 back for a LB. But the salaries make the difference. 
 

E5 Yaz

polka king
Lifetime Member
SoSH Member
Apr 25, 2002
90,833
Oregon
DanGrazianoESPN Dan Graziano
By my count, the Eagles cleared $22.625 million in cap room today. I have to believe they have concrete plans for it.
 

BornToRun

Member
SoSH Member
Jun 4, 2011
17,553
shoosh77 said:
Bernard Pollard cut. Sign him before someone else does, just for safety's sake.
Lock him in a room somewhere. I don't even want him on the practice field.
 

Shelterdog

Well-Known Member
Lifetime Member
SoSH Member
Feb 19, 2002
15,375
New York City
Dan to Theo to Ben said:
This is a trade that looks a lot different if there was no salary cap. On paper, you don't trade a top-3 back for a LB. But the salaries make the difference. 
 
The toughest thing about judging these things is that last year's number 3 back might not be a top ten guy next year.  McCoy's had his 1800 touches in six seasons and Lord knows* how many injuries. Is he slowing down that tiny bit that makes a difference?
 
*Chip Kelly in fact may know
 

CSteinhardt

"Steiny"
Lifetime Member
SoSH Member
Dec 18, 2003
3,203
Cambridge
I believe Alonso actually has three years left because the year he missed was with a non-football injury.  I love the trade.
 

rotundlio

Member
SoSH Member
Jul 8, 2014
323
PFF's run block rankings for Eagles O-lines, 2014 to 2010: 1st, 1st, 5th, 1st, 11th. McCoy was 18th in YPC last season; his career average would've put him 11th. -15 expected points added, 32nd in success rate.… He turns 27, he's had 706 touches under Kelly, and he's the second-highest paid running back. I don't know anything about Alonso, but good trade.
 

Marciano490

Urological Expert
SoSH Member
Nov 4, 2007
62,362
rotundlio said:
PFF's run block rankings for Eagles O-lines, 2014 to 2010: 1st, 1st, 5th, 1st, 11th. McCoy was 18th in YPC last season; his career average would've put him 11th. -15 expected points added, 32nd in success rate. He turns 27, he's had 706 touches under Kelly, and he's the second-highest paid running back. I don't know anything about Alonso, but good trade.
I don't know a ton about football, but I've watched a lot of Eagles games and for all the talk about Shady as a Sanders clone, he really struggles when his line does. He's great in open space and can break some tackles in the backfield, but he's definitely not a back that seems to be able to turn nothing into something regularly the way say Blount can just by picking a hole and pushing forward hard for a few years. He's got a bit of the Maroney stutterstep in him and at times seems like he's trying to do too much when there's a small gain to be had.
 

SeoulSoxFan

I Want to Hit the World with Rocket Punch
Moderator
SoSH Member
Jun 27, 2006
22,107
A Scud Away from Hell
This is a team that pretty much wasted good years of both Spiller and Fred Jackson, after trading away Marshawn Lynch.

Sure coaching staff has had a lot of changes but cannot think of an organization that does less with more when it comes to talented running backs in their stable.
 

dynomite

Member
SoSH Member
SeoulSoxFan said:
This is a team that pretty much wasted good years of both Spiller and Fred Jackson, after trading away Marshawn Lynch.

Sure coaching staff has had a lot of changes but cannot think of an organization that does less with more when it comes to talented running backs in their stable.
Pretty much this. Insane to look at that roster from a few years ago.

Hell, could you argue that -- aside from QB, obviously, TE, and K -- the 2014 Bills had more talent at just about every position than the 2014 Colts?