And I don’t know how you don’t factor in his bloodlines. His father and his uncle figured out how to play in MLB 30 years and this kid has more talent than either of them.Leiter has to go #1. He's just that dominant and he's not going to have nearly as many innings under his belt that a pitcher would normally have if they went to college . Usually you go to college for 3 years and you're eligible for the draft. However Leiter went to prep school so he was at the HS level for 5 years(only threw between 50 and 60 IPs his junior and senior years) then his freshman season was cut short due to the pandemic. Pittsburgh is going to get a kid who has a more than full gas tank in terms of innings and can frankly get to the majors within a year of this year's draft. For all of the handwringing about Rocker, he's still limiting hitters to a .137 AVG, has a 0.84 ERA(4 ER's in 43 innings), and has 61 K's in those 43 innings. It does look like the Red Sox will miss out on these two plus Lawler, but Mayer or del Castillo is going to be a nice consolation prize at 4.
Obviously we know relatively little about how all these prospects will respond to the challenges of a pro career, but given the relative crapshoot of the MLB draft if I will happily bet on a Leiter.
Of course he is gone by #4 so that ship has left the barn door open