Thanks. It was a crush night. I even found an NHL spot by accident. Saw it 0-0 after 2P and was curious to see what the 3P Total was without ANY intention of wagering. Then I saw that the Golden Knights were -1.5 at PLUS 360!! Ummm ok, so go up 1-0 and in a G7 you know the goalie is being pulled with close to 3 min in the game. Bingo!!! That’s when you know you’re having a good night.Great call, HRB. I love the usage of unit sizing to display conviction.
This would be the most amazing explanation ever for Bud not taking Giannis over 35 minutes.I don't want what I'm about to say to be taken as a moral indictment of any nba player. I am talking strictly from a gambling perspective.
How much blood doping do you think is going on in the NBA, and more importantly, do you think the bubble could be interfering with some "routines." And if so, what impact might that have on how you look at various plays?
From a gambling perspective you’d need evidence of one team having an advantage over another. It seems like any conclusion a gambler could come up with would simply be a blind guess. So for me, zero factor.I don't want what I'm about to say to be taken as a moral indictment of any nba player. I am talking strictly from a gambling perspective.
How much blood doping do you think is going on in the NBA, and more importantly, do you think the bubble could be interfering with some "routines." And if so, what impact might that have on how you look at various plays?
That under hit so easy - I wasn’t sweating it at all late game, which was nice.I wanted to do a long write-up on each game today but I’m not going to have the time. I don’t understsnd why these lines are what they are but that’s what a betting market is for. Here is what I have played already with how I’ve weighted tonight’s plays. Under in late game is best and I’ll be looking to add to it if opportunities present and especially at start of 4th.
* Miami +5.5 (1.25 units)
* Miami ML +180 (.5 unit)
* Miami 1H +3 (.75 unit)
* Houston +6.5 (.75 unit)
* Houston 1H +3.5 (1.25 unit)
* Houston 1H ML +170 (.75)
* Under 226.5 (3.5 units)
If I compared my level of conviction tonight to that of last night my biggest play today would be .25 Unit that is how much I’m blah here in comparison to last night. I’m unlikely to make a single preflop play while watching for some regression spots.What you thinking tonight, HRB?
Nice!! Love hearing that.Made some nice money following HRB plays last night, thanks!
My only pregame action tonight is Jokic under 23.5 points. I like your idea of the Bos/Tor under in game if they put up some points early and will be on the lookout for that.
draftkings has first team to score as -110 for each team and JaVale at +800.* Keep eye out for “Who will score first?” Prop. Scroll back to last game for my JaVale case which may be lightened with more added to Davis. Lakers will win the uncontested tip again and may look to establish Davis out of the gate rather than work their role players into the action. I didn’t see any “Which team will score first” on my sites G1 but it may have been because I forgot and checked too late. A buddy of mine swears he saw Lakers on the board for this prop. I’d guess anything under -200 is real good value here if you can find it.
Good stuff on the Under!! That -110 is DK not even trying.....sounds like an intern opening up in the am and being like, “2 teams to score first, 50/50 and we get juice.” What is the max they will accept on that and what state? You may not find better value the rest of year.....not sure how you could.draftkings has first team to score as -110 for each team and JaVale at +800.
I grabbed under 245 (3units) in the Denver-LAC game in the 2nd and then went to bed.
there is no max. I’m over 2k on it. NHGood stuff on the Under!! That -110 is DK not even trying.....sounds like an intern opening up in the am and being like, “2 teams to score first, 50/50 and we get juice.” What is the max they will accept on that and what state? You may not find better value the rest of year.....not sure how you could.
Jesus!! No line adjustment? So the sb mgr is that clueless to think you bet a tossup and he’s getting -110? My head just spun aroundthere is no max. I’m over 2k on it. NH
I played Davis at +320 as well as JaVale at +760 so my expected return is lowered on JVG. It went from a fun little pizza money play in G1 to “Hey there is a rea edge here let’s gambol!!”Well I guess if we’re all hammering Lakers to score first and Javale McGee...
I actually played the other way. I felt the only chance the Bucks had was with the “play better without your star” affect with the Heat taking foot off the gas. Not a lot just a little hedge since I went heavier preflop than I anticspted once found Giannis was playing.Can't believe the line was Miami -2.5 down 2 at halftime with Giannis injured. Loaded up on that.
Looks like you had the better read on this one. Nicely done (again!)I actually played the other way. I felt the only chance the Bucks had was with the “play better without your star” affect with the Heat taking foot off the gas. Not a lot just a little hedge since I went heavier preflop than I anticspted once found Giannis was playing.
* Into props now lol. Expect LeBron and Davis to be more ball dominant and aggressive. Played Over 5.5 FTM LeBron (-110) and Over 6.5 FTM Davis (-110). Enough equity in both going over than nothing under to risk the juice (60/40? 65/35?).
Wish I hedged more lol. I played some Under middle 4th that was an easy winner if not for OT. Rough game......we’re on to Cincinnati.Looks like you had the better read on this one. Nicely done (again!)
That was a pretty enormous swing for a prop. Then AD gets a shot too. Gross.JaVale let us all down.
Nice spots. I didn’t touch any in-game Rockets only Under 236.5 at top of the 4Q and more 236 with 7 min to go. This was about the only bright spot of a rough day. I had mentally already given the game total an L until I realized this morning how close it was and that there was a clear path to the Win column late. Had the official swallowed his whistle (or Westbrick not taken a dive) with 90 sec left it likely would have come down to RWB doing RWB things on that break. Lakers get a top there we probably get the Under back there. Insane considering the Laker barrage of 3’s and the Rockets 41-pt 3Q......and the number is even higher for G3 at 225.5. Tomorrow should be fun.Picked up some in game Rockets +15.5 1H and +13.5 1H. Still licking my wounds from Miami. Hope they keep it within a couple touchdowns here.
This never would have happened if Tony Creighton wasn’t buried 3 1/2 feet in an unmarked cemetery.
5 missed shots at the rim on two possessions in final 2 min with all 3 missed tips uncontested. Then Matt Thomas beats his man off the dribble for the layup to cover.....and it bounces off his foot out of bounds. Not a big play but watching it was brutal lol.Played Raptors -6 2H (effective +21)
edit:changed to -6....wish it was +6. Was considering over 107 2H but don’t fully trust Celtics replicating 1H. Pace should be there though.
UPDATE: Not sure if this helps anyone. Personally, I stood to lose a shit ton of money from this as I have over $25,000 in futures that have accumulated a great deal of equity. So apparently, you can request to have your 5D balance and pending future wagers transferred to a new BetAnySports.eu account, which they pretend is a separate company under separate ownership. Don't create an account if you don't have one, as they will do it for you.
JaVale has started all 75 of the Lakers games this year. I can’t imagine Vogel making a change following a playoff win. He’s officially listed as “Questionable” due to his ankle injury so if he doesn’t start I can’t imagine him playing in which case it would be a voided wager.Are we sure JaVale is starting? It looks to me like the Lakers believe they are better with Davis at the 5, plus he's got that ankle thing.
This is incredible.Lakers still a -110 first to score on DK. I'm not in the mood tonight but that prop is still hammerable.
trust the process. It was there last time. Would you take a wide open 5 footer for +800? Or an AD shot for 50/50?Lakers still a -110 first to score on DK. I'm not in the mood tonight but that prop is still hammerable.