You really think the 30-something pitcher is a better bet to be worth $155-170m over the next six-seven years than the toolsy 19 y/o Cuban prospect with the .400+ OBP in the SN is to be worth $62 over the next six? I don't think that's very sure at all, without even factoring in ownership's interest in finding ways of investing in the roster that aren't subject to the CBT.
I don't have a firm answer on that to be honest. If one puts a lot of stock in our scouting of the guy, which i do (especially after reading about the 7 scout thing),you could honestly make a fairly valid argument either way imo.
Almost seems equally risky in the end, and subject to personal preference. Which was pretty much my intended point.