Yeah, I was so not enamored by those scenarios I decided not to include then in my post lolIt's an interesting article. Jennings uses the Athletic's previous projections for contracts, which mostly seem really low since his article is all about how much demand there will be.
Like if Yamamoto signs for 7/203, I would be stunned. And mad if the Red Sox didn't offer significantly more than that.
He then guesses at how free agency might play out:
If that came to pass, we would be spending a lot of money on Montgomery, followed by winning a "prospect bidding war" for Bieber. Who would then need to be extended for a ton of money (or else we just traded a ton of prospect capital for one year of him.)
Yuck.
I'd rather we "settle for Imanaga" in Tier 3 than pay what it's likely to take for Montgomery. Bieber is good, but a load of prospects plus a big money long term extension is a lot to give up for him. I hope we outbid everyone for Yamamoto, even though the price will be astronomical, and hope he agrees to comes here. At least then we'd still have prospect capital to spend or develop.
There's definitely a lot of teams who need not a lot of high-end available pitching. Even though the starting pitching is by far the stronger part of the market. Agree that I would be nervous if we ended up with a very expensive Montgomery & large prospect outlay on Bieber being the end result of the off season.