Warning Signs - The Regression Thread

Murderer's Crow

Dragon Wangler 216
SoSH Member
Jul 15, 2005
23,570
Garden City
Within many threads, we all point out where regression might be due or where success is occurring due to a potentially unsustainable performance. I thought maybe a thread to highlight that could be interesting.

I'll start.

The New York Mets lead the league in batting average, average on balls in play, and runs while hitting for relatively low power (19th rank in HRs).

ESPN talked about this and to quote them
"I'm not exactly sure how the Mets are doing this. They are not among the leaders in Statcast metrics such as hard-hit rate (22nd in the majors) or barrel rate (21st). Their batting average on line drives is .607, actually below the major league average of .630. Their key seems to be their batting average on grounders at .278 -- in which they lead the majors, with the Cardinals second at .259 (the major league average on grounders is just .234)."

No idea if this is sustainable for them, but something to watch maybe. On the other hand, they could start hitting for power and take their offense to the next level.