- Dec 16, 2010
I think we get that math, but the idea that Wales will settle for a draw against England, with a chance to win the group and get easier R16 matchup seems off to me. As does the chance England thinks everyone wants a draw only to see Bale rip a thunderbolt in the 84th minute and then they get Netherlands in R16 while Wales gets Senegal or Ecuador.If England has 2 wins and Wales has a win and a tie entering that final match, then a tie in that final match gives England 7 points and Wales 5, while the US goes home early with only 4 points with a win against Iran. So while neither team wants to lose, a draw works out fine for both.
England is going to push hard early and try to get up a goal or 2 and then try to rip them on the counter.