More than the past 4 yearsThe Sox have been losing at the major league level in 3 out of the past four years, haven't they?
More than the past 4 yearsThe Sox have been losing at the major league level in 3 out of the past four years, haven't they?
FWIW I really don't think this is true. You don't fire a GM because of the present, you fire him because of how you think he fits the future. Bloom built a team with major defensive issues, and three of the weakest defensive players (Devers, Yoshida, Casas) are a big part of the core going forward, so that's not something that will be easy to improve.Can’t say it any clearer than that. 100% agree.
This is it!!! 100%.Also Bloom did not seem to be good at spending money (Story, Yoshida, admittedly both of those could look better down the road but they don't look great currently) and since presumably that's what BOS needs to do a bunch of in this next phase, time to find someone who is better at doing that (it's not easy).
Wouldn't it have been more of a rebuild if they didn't trade Mookie, because A) they'd have more luxury tax issues, and B) they'd have won more? E.g., there would be no Mayer if Mookie was still here.Because it all added up to a bigger rebuild. Most rebuilds involve losing at the major league level.
Add Price still on payroll and Mookie potentially leaving as free agent.Wouldn't it have been more of a rebuild if they didn't trade Mookie, because A) they'd have more luxury tax issues, and B) they'd have won more? E.g., there would be no Mayer if Mookie was still here.
Why do they need to justify it? He's spent 200 million two years in a row and they've stunk. The discussion was specific to his relationship with Cora, and it didn't sound like a smear at all.So, team mouthpiece Carrabis goes on with Mazz to parrot the same narrative that team broadcaster O'Brian and Globe writer Speier discussed on the Sox broadcast the night before? It's pretty evidently an orchestrated campaign to justify the decision and put all of the blame on Bloom. Whether you agree with this move or not, that's shitty behavior. They really make it hard to be a fan sometimes.
I agree with your future looking comment, but in terms of the defense, Bloom is really only responsible for Yoshida. Devers was already here, and given his age, clearly the better long-term signing than Xander.FWIW I really don't think this is true. You don't fire a GM because of the present, you fire him because of how you think he fits the future. Bloom built a team with major defensive issues, and three of the weakest defensive players (Devers, Yoshida, Casas) are a big part of the core going forward, so that's not something that will be easy to improve.
Also Bloom did not seem to be good at spending money (Story, Yoshida, admittedly both of those could look better down the road but they don't look great currently) and since presumably that's what BOS needs to do a bunch of in this next phase, time to find someone who is better at doing that (it's not easy).
Thank you. I was beginning to think I was insane.So, team mouthpiece Carrabis goes on with Mazz to parrot the same narrative that team broadcaster O'Brian and Globe writer Speier discussed on the Sox broadcast the night before? It's pretty evidently an orchestrated campaign to justify the decision and put all of the blame on Bloom. Whether you agree with this move or not, that's shitty behavior. They really make it hard to be a fan sometimes.
What Bloom was trying to do was (at least) what CLE is doing. See this article I've posted before: https://www.overthemonster.com/2023/7/11/23790982/the-red-sox-have-a-clear-mlb-draft-strategy-chaim-bloom. Bloom was not alone trying to maximize (spend most money on) drafted position players and trying to develop pitching.
I would guess that Bloom would say that development requires a system in place; that the Red Sox had let their system atrophy; that his biggest priority was to overhaul the development system (which he invested a lot of time, effort, and money - see, e.g., https://www.bostonglobe.com/2023/09/17/sports/was-chaim-blooms-reshaping-red-sox-farm-system-success/), but the overhaul needs time to work and was just beginning to bear fruit.
He would also probably say that change isn't always good but at the end of the day, the most important thing for the REd Sox to do is to keep the team's commitment to building the best development system they possibly can.
Carrabis is not a mouthpiece for the Red Sox. If you listen to the podcasts, you'd see that he criticizes them as much as he praises the team.So, team mouthpiece Carrabis goes on with Mazz to parrot the same narrative that team broadcaster O'Brian and Globe writer Speier discussed on the Sox broadcast the night before? It's pretty evidently an orchestrated campaign to justify the decision and put all of the blame on Bloom. Whether you agree with this move or not, that's shitty behavior. They really make it hard to be a fan sometimes.
That's exactly what they said in all their dealings with the media. All this other stuff is coming from reporters getting to the bottom of the story with their sources. Some may be with the team, but some are opinions from other teams. When a guy gets fired, is it really a surprise that when reporters go digging they find out people weren't happy with how he was doing his job? Were we expecting everyone to say that Chaim was just the greatest and the team were idiots for letting him go?Sometimes I get when they do this hack jobs on people. It's a bit confusing when they do it on someone who was already as unpopular as Bloom.
We really appreciate everything he did with the farm system & building up the pipeline, but we were also expecting to field a more competitive team on the field these last 2 years & things didn't work the way everyone hoped they would. We appreciate all of his hard work & dedication & wish him all the best in future endeavors.
We will now be hiring an f genius who will continue to grow the pipeline while also kicking azz & winning World Serieseses.
You mean they would have dug themselves a deeper hole to rebuild out of? Sure. Which is why I've always wondered if they knew Mookie was going to FA no matter what -- in which case there wasn't much risk in trading him, because then it really is just trading one season. From what we knew, it seemed like he was determined to do that but you can never tell if that was gamesmanship. Maybe they knew more about that. And then Covid flipped Mookie's plans around. Whatever, we have six years of Roman Anthony at below market cost coming.Wouldn't it have been more of a rebuild if they didn't trade Mookie, because A) they'd have more luxury tax issues, and B) they'd have won more? E.g., there would be no Mayer if Mookie was still here.
I mean, he more or less has said as much. I think we have to operate under the assumption he was going to FA. And in that context, I've never understood the hate for the deal, other than Verdugo ending up meh and Downs not panning out. And I generally dislike Bloom.You mean they would have dug themselves a deeper hole to rebuild out of? Sure. Which is why I've always wondered if they knew Mookie was going to FA no matter what -- in which case there wasn't much risk in trading him, because then it really is just trading one season. From what we knew, it seemed like he was determined to do that but you can never tell if that was gamesmanship. Maybe they knew more about that. And then Covid flipped Mookie's plans around. Whatever, we have six years of Roman Anthony at below market cost coming.
Eh. I mean the interpersonal stuff, sure. That could easily just be good reporting & factual facts.That's exactly what they said in all their dealings with the media. All this other stuff is coming from reporters getting to the bottom of the story with their sources. Some may be with the team, but some are opinions from other teams. When a guy gets fired, is it really a surprise that when reporters go digging they find out people weren't happy with how he was doing his job? Were we expecting everyone to say that Chaim was just the greatest and the team were idiots for letting him go?
There is all this talk about Bloom's drafting but almost no talk about the main method the team has been using to acquire young pitchers-- the international free agent signings. The team has clearly been trying to bring in a lot of young international arms with upside, with a similar strategy as the draft-- gathering a lot of arms for low bonuses (rather than paying bigger bonuses for fewer pitchers) and then trying to develop them. Per Sox Prospects, they signed 16 international pitchers in 2022 and 26 more this year. That is a lot of lottery tickets to work with.What Bloom was trying to do was (at least) what CLE is doing. See this article I've posted before: https://www.overthemonster.com/2023/7/11/23790982/the-red-sox-have-a-clear-mlb-draft-strategy-chaim-bloom. Bloom was not alone trying to maximize (spend most money on) drafted position players and trying to develop pitching.
I would guess that Bloom would say that development requires a system in place; that the Red Sox had let their system atrophy; that his biggest priority was to overhaul the development system (which he invested a lot of time, effort, and money - see, e.g., https://www.bostonglobe.com/2023/09/17/sports/was-chaim-blooms-reshaping-red-sox-farm-system-success/), but the overhaul needs time to work and was just beginning to bear fruit.
He would also probably say that change isn't always good but at the end of the day, the most important thing for the REd Sox to do is to keep the team's commitment to building the best development system they possibly can.
It will be interesting to see if the new head of baseball ops continues with this strategy or not. The first of these international guys that Bloom signed like Monegro, Paez, Rodriguez-Cruz, etc. were mostly in Salem or even lower this year, so it will be a few more years before any of them get to Boston. And then rookie pitchers usually struggle, so it will be even longer before we see much production from them. Bloom will have been long, long gone by the time any of these guys is pitching well for the Red Sox but the idea is that in a few years, there will be a steady stream of a few potentially good pitchers coming up to Boston most years.On the pitching side, this is mostly about minimizing risk. Pitchers are less projectable and present greater risk than position players in general, and that’s exponentially the case with high schoolers. What the Sox are doing is bringing as many solid if unspectacular arms into the system as possible, and hoping the pitching development team will be able to unlock something mechanical in one or two of them that turns them into big league pitchers.
ERC was a 2021 draft pick. He's from Puerto Rico. But otherwise agree.There is all this talk about Bloom's drafting but almost no talk about the main method the team has been using to acquire young pitchers-- the international free agent signings. The team has clearly been trying to bring in a lot of young international arms with upside, with a similar strategy as the draft-- gathering a lot of arms for low bonuses (rather than paying bigger bonuses for fewer pitchers) and then trying to develop them. , they signed 16 international pitchers in 2022 and 26 more this year. That is a lot of lottery tickets to work with.
These international pitchers are younger and farther away from the majors than draftees, but they can be developed by the Red Sox for a longer time, rather than by college or high school coaches.
It seems like a good long term strategy, but it takes a LONG time before you see the results in the majors.
This part from the linked article is definitely true of the international signings as much as the drafted pitchers:
It will be interesting to see if the new head of baseball ops continues with this strategy or not. The first of these international guys that Bloom signed like Monegro, Paez, Rodriguez-Cruz, etc. were mostly in Salem or even lower this year, so it will be a few more years before any of them get to Boston. And then rookie pitchers usually struggle, so it will be even longer before we see much production from them. Bloom will have been long, long gone by the time any of these guys is pitching well for the Red Sox but the idea is that in a few years, there will be a steady stream of a few potentially good pitchers coming up to Boston most years.
It's hard for a head of baseball ops to commit to such a long term development system. Especially if you are only going to get 4 years before getting replaced. The next person might well want to go in a different route.
I mean, to be fair, there are plenty of really smart people on this board that have been projecting Chris Sale to be very good in 2022 and 2023 and probably will for 2024. I for one didn't think he could be or should be counted on, but I respect the opinions and the data of those who did. I can see why someone from Texas might have thought the same thing that they did, and it was up to Bloom to take advantage of that. He didn't, and Sale became his albatross and not something that could just be blamed on the prior ownership.Eh. I mean the interpersonal stuff, sure. That could easily just be good reporting & factual facts.
But are other teams leaking "we tried to make this awful trade with Boston that would have screwed us over but they said no lol"?
DeGrom had a 1.5 fWAR this season to Sale's 1.9.I mean, to be fair, there are plenty of really smart people on this board that have been projecting Chris Sale to be very good in 2022 and 2023 and probably will for 2024. I for one didn't think he could be or should be counted on, but I respect the opinions and the data of those who did. I can see why someone from Texas might have thought the same thing that they did, and it was up to Bloom to take advantage of that. He didn't, and Sale became his albatross and not something that could just be blamed on the prior ownership.
Also - indirectly - it can be seen as Texas trying to look a little better on the DeGrom signing. "NO. We had a deal struck for Chris Sale. Granted, he's not really good any more and he still is only going to pitch 20 games a season at the most. But hey - at least he's pitching right now and that would only be $55M of wasted salary instead of $185M. Chaim Bloom backed us into that corner." If I'd inked that deGrom deal, I'd be trying to blame it on someone else too.
It's also tricky because since they are signed so young, they need to be protected from the rule 5 by the time they are 21 or so, when they're often still nowhere near MLB-ready.It seems like a good long term strategy, but it takes a LONG time before you see the results in the majors.
ehhh, that’s a bit of a stretch imo.Also - indirectly - it can be seen as Texas trying to look a little better on the DeGrom signing. "NO. We had a deal struck for Chris Sale. Granted, he's not really good any more and he still is only going to pitch 20 games a season at the most. But hey - at least he's pitching right now and that would only be $55M of wasted salary instead of $185M. Chaim Bloom backed us into that corner." If I'd inked that deGrom deal, I'd be trying to blame it on someone else too.
They're not trying to 'CYA', they're trying to win now/ASAP. They have been massive spenders the past two winters, then on top of that they traded for Scherzer and Montgomery at the deadline. Much like the Padres, they are going nuts spending money now, and not worried about the long-range ramifications.Oh, of course it's a stretch. But I wouldn't put it past any executive of any multi billion dollar entity to do whatever they could to try and CYA. Especially when you're on the hook for $185m to someone that hasn't pitched more than 15 games in 4 years and will be 36 next season.
Fair. But that would still make sense to have out there that you wanted to acquire Chris Sale and Chaim Bloom pulled the rug out from under you. Whether that happened or not, if Texas is doing just that you'd want it known that you were in on "everyone" and it was someone else fault you didn't get.They're not trying to 'CYA', they're trying to win now/ASAP. They have been massive spenders the past two winters, then on top of that they traded for Scherzer and Montgomery at the deadline. Much like the Padres, they are going nuts spending money now, and not worried about the long-range ramifications.
Thanks for this post. Interesting information. I looked closely enough at how Bloom drafted to have any kind of cogent response to this but I appreciate you looking up the stats.I say this not against you because you are citing an article where it's stated, but I say this against the writer at OTM.
But saying Bloom was trying to emulate Cleveland is very lazy by the writer, and I don't get it.
Cleveland consistently spends high round picks on college pitchers. Yes, Bieber was the 4th round and Bibee was 5th, but Civale was 3rd, Logan T Allen was 2nd, Gavin Williams was 1st, Tanner Burns (in AA) was 1st, McKenzie was 1st (but he was out of HS).
Bloom went Wu-Yelland (4th) and Drohan (5th); a high schooler in Rodriguez Cruz 4th and Olds 7th; Rogers (3rd) and Dean (5th) for his first two pitchers taken in 2020, 2021 and 2022.
Not only that - none of them were strike throwers in college.
Bieber had a 6.2 to 1 k/bb ratio
Allen was 5.3 / 1
Civale 4.7 / 1
Burns was 3.3 / 1
Bibee was the worst at 3.2 / 1
The highest percentage strike thrower for Bloom was
Dean 3.1 / 1 - and he would have been the worst among Cleveland picks.
Wu-Yelland had no control with 1.6 / 1
Drohan's was even worse at 1.3 / 1
Maybe the way that they spent draft capital on position players was similar, I haven't looked. But that is a lazy analogy regarding pitching by the writer on OTM.
It's par for the course these days for teams to fire GMs near the end of the season rather than waiting for the offseason. GM meetings and QO deadlines in November means teams need to have their new GM in place by mid-October in many cases.I have no idea what the FO is doing this month. I do know letting Bloom go with a few weeks left is a distraction to the team and absolutely fills the space with Bloom blame.
Gives Bloom a head start looking? GTFOH
Give FSG room to maneuver? GTFOH
How about a conference with the top FSG guys discussing how they are going to spend and put the team in a position to win? Maybe share just a little of the blame. Maybe Speier can ask why they constantly cycle through GMs. Let them detail their plan… this is what we’re looking for, lessons learned, proud franchise deserves more, etc.
Theo wasn't fired; he quit for a better position with the Cubs.I don't recall much Mookie talk in October of 2021. Not much that offseason either.
If the team kept making the playoffs we wouldn't be relitigating the Mookie trade.
Bloom's out because the last couple seasons have stunk. It doesn't need to be more complicated than that. The Henry ownership group has a two-decade standard of that criteria. No playoffs in 2010 & 2011? Bye Theo. No playoffs in 2014-15? See ya Ben. Obviously Dombrowski got the shortest leash imaginable. Bloom hasn't been wronged, and Henry isn't caving to fan pressure or whatever. It's lose for 2 straight years and you're gone.
If Chaim was difficult to deal with, then yes some people on other teams will give their opinions to the press.Eh. I mean the interpersonal stuff, sure. That could easily just be good reporting & factual facts.
But are other teams leaking "we tried to make this awful trade with Boston that would have screwed us over but they said no lol"?
You raise good points and I'm wondering aloud if anyone has ever looked at Int'l signing bonuses and eventual production. I'd guess that international signings are even more of a crapshoot than drafting given the age of signings but I'm sure teams have data on this.It will be interesting to see if the new head of baseball ops continues with this strategy or not. The first of these international guys that Bloom signed like Monegro, Paez, Rodriguez-Cruz, etc. were mostly in Salem or even lower this year, so it will be a few more years before any of them get to Boston. And then rookie pitchers usually struggle, so it will be even longer before we see much production from them. Bloom will have been long, long gone by the time any of these guys is pitching well for the Red Sox but the idea is that in a few years, there will be a steady stream of a few potentially good pitchers coming up to Boston most years.
It's hard for a head of baseball ops to commit to such a long term development system. Especially if you are only going to get 4 years before getting replaced. The next person might well want to go in a different route.
Remember the Red Sox only had 4 picks in 2020 draft due to the stupid video spying penalty. Plus there was no minor league ball and limited college ball in 2020 due to CovidGotcha. Similar point though. We don’t have anyone knocking on the door at AAA.
Right, there were rumors swirling about Edwin Diaz back in 2019, and it's kind of amazing that he didn't go for that, assuming the rumor was true, of course. Kind of an interesting what-if, I guess.But I do think Dombrowski was probably getting offers of immediate help for the 19-year-old first baseman who was a first-round pick and on his way to a 20-homer season in A ball. Good on Dave for not dealing Casas in a push to get a wild card.
GTFOH because it doesn’t actually do those two things, or because you don’t care about those two things?I have no idea what the FO is doing this month. I do know letting Bloom go with a few weeks left is a distraction to the team and absolutely fills the space with Bloom blame.
Gives Bloom a head start looking? GTFOH
Give FSG room to maneuver? GTFOH
I think they canned him early to focus all the attention on Bloom. They didn’t do him a favor. And anything they are doing today could wait a few weeks.GTFOH because it doesn’t actually do those two things, or because you don’t care about those two things?
How does that change if they can him at the end of the season? Walk me through it. Francona got shitcanned at the end of the season and legitimately slimed in the press, not whatever this supposed character assassination is.I think they canned him early to focus all the attention on Bloom. They didn’t do him a favor. And anything they are doing today could wait a few weeks.
You are on an island with this opinion and, honestly, you’re dead wrong.I have no idea what the FO is doing this month. I do know letting Bloom go with a few weeks left is a distraction to the team and absolutely fills the space with Bloom blame.
Gives Bloom a head start looking? GTFOH
Give FSG room to maneuver? GTFOH
How about a conference with the top FSG guys discussing how they are going to spend and put the team in a position to win? Maybe share just a little of the blame. Maybe Speier can ask why they constantly cycle through GMs. Let them detail their plan… this is what we’re looking for, lessons learned, proud franchise deserves more, etc.
Thank you.That's exactly what they said in all their dealings with the media. All this other stuff is coming from reporters getting to the bottom of the story with their sources. Some may be with the team, but some are opinions from other teams. When a guy gets fired, is it really a surprise that when reporters go digging they find out people weren't happy with how he was doing his job? Were we expecting everyone to say that Chaim was just the greatest and the team were idiots for letting him go?
Again…this makes absolutely 0 sense. Everyone else in this thread has agreed on thisI think they canned him early to focus all the attention on Bloom. They didn’t do him a favor. And anything they are doing today could wait a few weeks.
I believe the firing was warranted and the reasons valid. It’s my message board opinion that it could have waited until last game plus 1.It’s not like they’re saying he was abusing substances or cheating on his wife. People here are saying ownership - the people still involved with the city and team - hamstrung Bloom or made him the face of the Mookie trade or sent him mixed messages - and then are bothered when the team gives reasons for the firing, which is certainly newsworthy.
No problem at all. I generally tend to enjoy the stuff from OTM as well, so I absolutely get why you'd take them at face value. I didn't initially include the players selected in the 2023 draft because some of them don't have stats to point to in affiliated ball yet, so there is between nothing to very little to be gleaned from looking at them.Thanks for this post. Interesting information. I looked closely enough at how Bloom drafted to have any kind of cogent response to this but I appreciate you looking up the stats.
Sure, it could have. But why? Instead of just saying the same thing over and over again that you obviously feel incredibly strongly about, walk us through it.I believe the firing was warranted and the reasons valid. It’s my message board opinion that it could have waited until last game plus 1.
You think it’s so clear that you haven’t bothered to explain it, despite being asked multiple times nowThe lack of creativity and decisiveness commentary is good for copy. Throwing out incomplete trade information isn’t telling the whole story. Comments about a divide in the FO without details deserves names. Comments like a GM candidate getting out of his office are slams.
I think it’s very clear the timing could have been more favorable to the employee.
Got it. Thanks.Sure, it could have. But why? Instead of just saying the same thing over and over again that you obviously feel incredibly strongly about, walk us through it.
You think it’s so clear that you haven’t bothered to explain it, despite being asked multiple times now
I will argue against this untill the day I'm wrong, so we can revisit this in 6 or 7 years.Devers was already here, and given his age, clearly the better long-term signing than Xander.
Don't feel bad. I would have advocated a Xander extension into his late 30s more than one for Mookie so you're not alone in thinking we should have bet on him. I just think he's so consistent across the board and such a good build for a baseball players (yes, I know, we're not selling jeans here) that I feel he's going to be one of those guys that consistently puts up right around 3.5 to 4 bWAR per season until he's like 36 or something and then still produces something like 2 bWAR in those late years, and than you never have to feel bad selling to your fanbase.I will argue against this untill the day I'm wrong, so we can revisit this in 6 or 7 years.
FYI, this was quoted in yesterday's Boston Globe, page K5He knows it’s not falsifiable. The response to a non-falsifiable argument, however, is not to create a massively narrower than reality hypothetical, in service of pretending to unearned rhetorical and logical certainty.
He knows it’s not falsifiable. The response to a non-falsifiable argument, however, is not to create a massively narrower than reality hypothetical, in service of pretending to unearned rhetorical and logical certainty.
C’mon, Nick. The sophists would have hated that line.FYI, this was quoted in yesterday's Boston Globe, page K5