If we resign Talib? Yes. I am assuming we do not though. However, if we resign him there is no need to draft another DB when we have pressing needs.
If Talib leaves, the position that opens up is #1 CB, which is a really hard position to fill through the draft. If they draft another Logan Ryan, I don't think it really helps them - he's unlikely to start over Dennard / Ryan / Arrington. What they need is a guy better than those guys, which is tough to do for a rookie, even a first-rounder - look at Dee Milliner and D.J. Hayden, the first two CBs selected this year. If they can't re-sign Talib, I'd rather see another veteran here than trying the draft route.
I could see using a late-rounder on a Marquice Cole replacement (fast special teams player) or a late-rounder with warts (like Dennard) or a project (like Marcus Cooper), but using a high pick on a DB doesn't make a lot of sense to me.
As for Jamie Collins... We knew going into this year he was very raw. How good is he supposed to be in coverage? Time will tell. It can't hurt to have an athletic LB who can cover people though who isn't as raw as Collins. If Mosley was available at 28+ I have to think he's ideal. A 3 down LB would give us Hightower, Collins, Mayo, for next year and perhaps Spikes if he returns. That's a pretty good LB Core. We certainly have some depth there. But, again, we might not have LB's who are good in coverage. I don't know what Collins is going to do next year or the rest of this year. Would it be fair to say the Pats will expect a lot more from him in his 2nd year? I would imagine so. But what roles should he excel at? I'll leave that to posters like you and KFP to tell me that as I do not own the comparative advantage there.
Oh, I agree - I just mean that we don't know how the coaching staff views Collins, and BB and co are going to evaluate their needs differently depending on how they see his future (and his progress). If they think they can groom him into a coverage LB, it probably doesn't make sense to use another high pick on one. On the other hand, if they see him eventually bulking up and being an every-down pass rusher, DE becomes less of a need but we might still need a coverage 'backer.
Some other young guys that might figure into the draft analysis:
- Chris Jones, Vellano, Siliga - obviously they're a bit overmatched now, but how does the staff see them developing? Personally, I would draft two interior DL guys (one an NT-type, one a 3-tech), but they may feel one of these guys is capable of filling one of those roles
- Chris Barker, Josh Kline, Braxston Cave - how close is one of these guys to taking a C/G role?
- Buchanan - can he be the extra rusher in sub D?
- Harmon - Gregory's under contract for one more year - can Harmon fill in after that
- Dobson, Thompkins, Boyce - I'm assuming they're cool with the progress these rookies are making, but maybe they want to take another spin at the WR wheel
Young guys on IR that could factor in - DTs Armond Armstead and Cory Grissom, OT Markus Zusevics (does he fill the tackle depth role), WRs T.J. Moe and Mark Harrison
One more potential need: Gostkowski's cap number is $3.8 MM next year. He shows no signs of slowing down (and at 29, he's got a lot of career ahead of him), but if they can't work out an extension I wouldn't be surprised to see some competition in camp a la Ryan Allen this year.