The 2nd Season - 2019 Playoff Thread

splendid splinter

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Yes that was the play. The change of rotation appeared to be when the ball slid off the ballhandlers hand as it passed Gasol's arm. The one angle showed that it didn't hit Gasol's arm which negates the ball rotation from the other angle.
I have a hard time believing Green could impart that much rotation to the ball when it looked like it was just on his fingertips. Plus it looked like the ball changes direction a bit. Regardless, even if it was the wrong call it didn’t affect the outcome.
 

Devizier

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It looked pretty clear to me that Green was attempting a lass minute pass to Cousins with the second effort, which explains the change of direction. But honestly it didn't matter. The review was kind of a low point in a breezy/quick paced closing minutes. Thankfully we didn't get down to foul shots.
 

DeJesus Built My Hotrod

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The most underrated play of this game was Curry somehow getting through that trap, then almost throwing the ball to the Raptors before S Dot Livingston essentially Malcolm Butler'd the pass and kicked it to the wide open Iguodala. That was some force of will shit right there.

That said, if Thompson is as bad as he looked, this series is going to last longer. Durant will not be near 100%, Iguodala is hobbling, Cousins played great tonight but his ball-stopping ways can be exploited and the Warriors bench is obviously thin.

I mean, it won't stop people from making predictions because we love calling the end of things before they are actually over almost as much as we like our piping hot takes. However you have to be deeply concerned if you are the Warriors and are down to one consistent scoring threat (until KD proves he is actually ok enough to do his thing).
 

Sam Ray Not

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The most underrated play of this game was Curry somehow getting through that trap, then almost throwing the ball to the Raptors before S Dot Livingston essentially Malcolm Butler'd the pass and kicked it to the wide open Iguodala. That was some force of will shit right there.
The slo-mo of that (second clip below) is predictably epic, right down to the Ibaka "NOOOOOOO...."
 

scottyno

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Man, that wide open you gotta shoot in rhythm. You can't just wait 3 more seconds and let them close out. I think Van Gundy is off.
If he waits until the end of the shot clock the game is basically over as long as he even hits the rim, yeah if they need the points he should take it in rhythm, but he gave the raptors their best chance by shooting, he's still a bad shooter. If he waits he's putting up the shot with about 3 seconds left at most the raps have a second left down 2, more likely time runs out or they only have a few tenths.
 

HomeRunBaker

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I have a hard time believing Green could impart that much rotation to the ball when it looked like it was just on his fingertips. Plus it looked like the ball changes direction a bit. Regardless, even if it was the wrong call it didn’t affect the outcome.
This is where I was until they showed the other angle.
 

HomeRunBaker

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Way Way WAY OFF!! If Iggy hesitated not only is he now out of rhythm but he's not going to even be able to get a shot off as you have the defenders closing out on him. Van Gundy was once a respected coach in this league......listening to him describe this play tells you something about head coaches from a couple decades ago. It was more who you know than what you know.
After watching the replay of 5 Raptors stopping while quitting on the play once the ball got to Iggy I change my position on this. Nobody was closing out on him with Siakam the closest who could have gotten there as the shot clock was running down but Iggy didn’t need to “make” a shot......he only needed to take two dribbles inside the arc and throw up a floater as the shot clock is expiring to run the clock out. Even IF he misses and even IF the Raptors get a clean rebound they would be hard pressed to have the ball witj any time left on the clock.

Basically the only chance the Raptors had at that point was if Iggy took the shot when he did.
 

HomeRunBaker

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Triple Post? Whatever it’s the playoffs.

This weeks appearance by Boogie Cousins marks the first John Calipari player to ever appear in an NBA Finals. Wow!!
 

CoffeeNerdness

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I mean, it won't stop people from making predictions because we love calling the end of things before they are actually over almost as much as we like our piping hot takes. However you have to be deeply concerned if you are the Warriors and are down to one consistent scoring threat (until KD proves he is actually ok enough to do his thing).
Are you contractually obligated to remind people that you're the anti-hot take guy once a day or something? We get it.
 

coremiller

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Triple Post? Whatever it’s the playoffs.

This weeks appearance by Boogie Cousins marks the first John Calipari player to ever appear in an NBA Finals. Wow!!
This can't be right. Do you mean only Calipari Kentucky players? Marcus Camby played under Calipari at UMass and played in the 1999 Finals for the Knicks.
 

DeJesus Built My Hotrod

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Are you contractually obligated to remind people that you're the anti-hot take guy once a day or something? We get it.
This is fair but I will add that, at least for me, people calling the series over after a sequence or a few games or simply doing drive-by lazy predictions adds no value to the discussion. I strongly prefer some analysis supported by data but I realize others view this forum as more akin to talk radio.

Point taken though.
 

Sam Ray Not

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In fairness, this is nominally the playoff game thread, where (I think) hot-takery is less frowned upon than in other threads in the Port Cellar.

And heck, even in the realm of game threads, the hottest of hot takes here are lukewarm compared to what people were saying about David Price at the beginning of last year's playoffs...

Anyway, in the spirit of your post, I found the best replay angle of Livingston jumping Kawhi for that crap Curry pass...

 
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reggiecleveland

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I don't count the Raptors out because of their D. They had a major shooting slump, and still had a chance to win. Like mot teams they will need somebody to step up and score. Gasol responded after playing abysmally in game 1 vs the Bucks, so hopefully he steps up. Again, I don't cheer for he Raps, but the ;more attention they get the better it is for basketball in Canada.
 

djbayko

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I don't count the Raptors out because of their D. They had a major shooting slump, and still had a chance to win. Like mot teams they will need somebody to step up and score. Gasol responded after playing abysmally in game 1 vs the Bucks, so hopefully he steps up. Again, I don't cheer for he Raps, but the ;more attention they get the better it is for basketball in Canada.
I don’t count out the Raptors because we don’t know who will be able to suit up for GS.
 

Tony C

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lol..yep, exactly -- be very foolish to count out Toronto.

The slo-mo of that (second clip below) is predictably epic, right down to the Ibaka "NOOOOOOO...."
2 things pop out from these clips. One is I hadn't realized with a great pass Livingston made -- a no look pass takes balls at that time, and it moved Van Fleet to Curry which is what explains why AI was so open/had no one to close him out. Two, AI didn't really shoot in rhythm as he had hesitated. So, sure, since he wasn't in rhythm, he really could have waited another second or two.....but who cares? You hit the shot and there's nothing to talk about. And he hit it.
 

ifmanis5

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Adrian Wojnarowski‏Verified account @wojespn 2m2 minutes ago
Golden State Warriors forward Kevon Looney suffered a fracture in his collar bone and will be out indefinitely in the NBA Finals, league sources tell ESPN. Looney underwent an MRI on Monday.

Adrian Wojnarowski‏Verified account @wojespn 1m1 minute ago
Further detail on Looney injury, per sources: non-displaced first costal cartilage fracture. There could be more evaluation, but there isn't great optimism on a return this season. DeMarcus Cousins' emergence in Game 2 looms even bigger for the Warriors.
 
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Sam Ray Not

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Fuck. Looks like Kawhi got his revenge for Zaza. Loon had arguably been our 2nd most consistent playoff performer, after Draymond. .730 true shooting, +16.2 net points per 100 possessions.

Meanwhile, we're still waiting on Klay's MRI (delayed due to a 4 am arrival from Toronto), still have no news about KD, Andre per Rachel Nichols was badly limping around the locker room, and Steph apparently needed IV fluids on the flight back home.

I don't wanna hear any more whining about the Warriors injury luck over the Kerr era. I think it's now officially been worse than that of their opponents.

Edit: strained hammy for Klay. Argh.

 

PedroKsBambino

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Celts lived through that experience in 1987...sucks to get to the finals and not have your team healthy/able to go.

DeMarcus Cousins, the Warriors turn their lonely eyes to you...
 

SemperFidelisSox

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This is going to be a long series. The goal should be to have Klay and Durant available in Games 5-7. If that means sitting both for two games and maybe going down 3-1, so be it. Hope you can steal one at home without them.
 

DeJesus Built My Hotrod

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Bogut, Bell, McKinnie, Jerebko and Cook are now the other next men up. That said, Durant almost certainly has to be back on Wednesday. Wouldn't it be something if the Warriors horrible injury luck swings his decision process towards staying?
 

radsoxfan

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Anything that shows up on an MRI, even a mild grade 1 strain, is basically impossible to be back to full strength in just a few days. Given that he was limping pretty badly post game, even if he can play, he likely will be at least somewhat limited. It also will carry a risk of worsening injury if he plays right away.

I don’t really follow the report for Looney, as the clavicle (collarbone) and 1st costal cartilage are different structures. If it’s really a non displaced costal cartilage fracture, it’s just going to be a pain tolerance issue. Can be very painful if there is a lot of swelling and hematoma though.
 

Sam Ray Not

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I'm no MD, but isn't a "costal cartilage fracture" a bruised ribcage? It is weird — seems like Woj may have misspoken with the initial "fractured collarbone" tweet. In any case, he'd be a big loss.

 

the moops

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Kevon Looney is not elite. Come on now. He is a fine basketball player that does some nice things and is well trained in that Warrior system. No need to embellish how good he is though. Every year there are some odd RPM #s.
 

slamminsammya

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I thought the RPM wonkiness is strongest for players with fewer previous minutes since the ridge regression depends on a prior which is more of a guess for less experienced players. Or is that BPM?
 

Sam Ray Not

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I was just posting the Abbott tweet, not necessarily co-signing it. Fwiw, I'd agree with "fine basketball player" rather than "elite." I do think that at age 23 with his length, defense, feel for the game, work ethic, solid ball skills, and inklings of a decent jumper, Looney has potential to be an above average NBA starter. When Pascal Siakam was Looney's age (two years ago) he couldn't shoot or dribble. Will be interesting to see what kind of contract offers he gets in the offseason. Kerr has called him "foundational" so I get the sense the Ws will match anything within reason.

In the meantime, come on down Cousins, Bogut, Swedish Larry, and Bell...
 

radsoxfan

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I'm no MD, but isn't a "costal cartilage fracture" a bruised ribcage? It is weird — seems like Woj may have misspoken with the initial "fractured collarbone" tweet. In any case, he'd be a big loss.

Unless he has 2 different injuries, the Woj tweets don’t really make sense together. The collarbone isn’t a rib at all, I’m guessing the first tweet wasn’t entirely accurate and the second was clarification. The first rib is near the collarbone and are often injured together though, so I guess he could have both injuries.

And it’s worse than bruised ribcage if they truly mean fracture. The ribs are made of bone at the back and side of the chest, but turn into cartilage before joining the sternum in the front of the chest.

You can break the cartilage from blunt force trauma just like you can break the bony part of a rib. Hurts like hell, especially if there is a lot of associated bleeding. If it’s just that single isolated injury maybe they can give him something for pain and get him back at some point, not outside the realm of possibility.
 

benhogan

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If your Nick Nurse you get Ibaka/Gasol to set hard screens on Curry and Klay incessantly up and down the court. Not illegal, but extremely physical. Its time for the Raptors to go Bad Boy Pistons on them. The Warriors are fragile, take away their will to defend.

Apologies SamRayNot, its the only way to stop this juggernaut in the Bay.


Mickey: [to Rocky, after round 1 with Apollo] Keep hittin'em in the ribs ya see? Don't let that bastard breathe!
 

lovegtm

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If your Nick Nurse you get Ibaka/Gasol to set hard screens on Curry and Klay incessantly up and down the court. Not illegal, but extremely physical. Its time for the Raptors to go Bad Boy Pistons on them. The Warriors are fragile, take away their will to defend.

Apologies SamRayNot, its the only way to stop this juggernaut in the Bay.


Mickey: [to Rocky, after round 1 with Apollo] Keep hittin'em in the ribs ya see? Don't let that bastard breathe!
I mean, aside from having some shots fall and continuing to play the type of defense they can, against a very depleted team.

Raptors lost to Orlando!
Raptors steamrolled the Sixers!
Raptors are screwed against the Sixers!
Bucks are the greatest team ever!
Kawhi is Jordan!
Warriors in 5!

The truth is that these are fairly evenly matched teams with KD out, and Toronto probably has an edge with the injuries piling up, but they’ll have to play with a ton of intensity to realize that advantage.
 

HomeRunBaker

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Bogut, Bell, McKinnie, Jerebko and Cook are now the other next men up. That said, Durant almost certainly has to be back on Wednesday. Wouldn't it be something if the Warriors horrible injury luck swings his decision process towards staying?
Durant hasn't stepped on the floor yet for basketball activities and I'm still expecting him to miss the remainder of the series.

I wouldn't count the Warriors out as these type of circumstances often times lead to teams/players stepping up as we've seen countless times. Teams in these spots can be very dangerous especially at home with the "Us against the World" mentality. The Looney and Klay injuries was already baked into the Vegas number that opened at -5.5 immediately following G2 and it currently -6 as it is no surprise he's missing G3 and I'm guessing G4 as well.


Kevon Looney is not elite. Come on now. He is a fine basketball player that does some nice things and is well trained in that Warrior system. No need to embellish how good he is though. Every year there are some odd RPM #s.
Looney has developed into an elite role player in this system much like someone like James Posey was in Boston and Miami. If he signs a 4/$60m deal in Charlotte this summer they will likely be looking to move him the following year after being "disappointed."
 
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HomeRunBaker

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I was just posting the Abbott tweet, not necessarily co-signing it. Fwiw, I'd agree with "fine basketball player" rather than "elite." I do think that at age 23 with his length, defense, feel for the game, work ethic, solid ball skills, and inklings of a decent jumper, Looney has potential to be an above average NBA starter. When Pascal Siakam was Looney's age (two years ago) he couldn't shoot or dribble. Will be interesting to see what kind of contract offers he gets in the offseason. Kerr has called him "foundational" so I get the sense the Ws will match anything within reason.

In the meantime, come on down Cousins, Bogut, Swedish Larry, and Bell...
I know many gravitate toward Siakam as a comp when looking at a young frontcourt player is mentioned but Siakam also didn't touch a basketball until 5-6 years prior to entering the NBA and was an excellent ballhandler in college for a frontcourt player. He put up 20/12/2 his final year at New Mexico State and named his Conference Player of the Year...….it wasn't like he was raw and unskilled when he entered the league.

Looney was a Top-15 player coming out of HS (ESPN had him 11th) and he's never taken anywhere near the leaps that Siakam has over the past 5-6 years. These two players are on completely different trajectories.


Anything that shows up on an MRI, even a mild grade 1 strain, is basically impossible to be back to full strength in just a few days. Given that he was limping pretty badly post game, even if he can play, he likely will be at least somewhat limited. It also will carry a risk of worsening injury if he plays right away.
This is what I was expecting based on what I've seen/experienced with even mild hammy injuries. Thanks for update.
 
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the moops

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Klay Thompson is one who doesn't seem to try and initiate leg kick contact on his three pointers. Or if he does, it is far less often than the Harden/Curry types. Would be somewhat ironic if his attempt at getting a foul results in him missing the rest of the series
 

Sam Ray Not

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I know many gravitate toward Siakam as a comp when looking at a young frontcourt player is mentioned
To be clear, I wasn't comparing Looney to Siakam per se — just using Siakam as a (rather extreme) example of a player in their age 22 season not being anywhere close to a finished product. At the same time, I'm keenly aware that most 22 year-old players don't make anywhere near the leap from age 22-24 that Siakam has.

Siakam also didn't touch a basketball until 5-6 years prior to entering the NBA and was an excellent ballhandler in college for a frontcourt player. He put up 20/12/2 his final year at New Mexico State and named his Conference Player of the Year...….it wasn't like he was raw and unskilled when he entered the league.
As I understand it, having no early background in hoops can be much of negative as a positive with respect to projection, since many "late-bloomers" never gain the critical muscle memory, fundamentals, and/or feel for the game of a guy weaned on hoops. Yes, Siakam was productive as a 21 year old in the WAC against the likes of Utah Valley and Grand Canyon; but that should be looked at through a slightly different lens from what Looney — as an 18 year old starting the season coming off hip surgery, and finishing it with a mask from a broken face — did at UCLA. In any case, Siakam's rookie year numbers (9.6 points / 0.7 assists per 36, .523 true shooting, .143 from three) suggest he was indeed pretty raw and unskilled entering the league. I didn't follow Siakam at age 18-21 very closely, but my general sense is that he was significantly behind Looney (a former point guard) in terms of ball skills, shooting, passing, and hoops IQ at similar ages.

Looney was a Top-15 player coming out of HS (ESPN had him 11th) and he's never taken anywhere near the leaps that Siakam has over the past 5-6 years. These two players are on completely different trajectories.
They are now, because Siakam has taken the leap from age 22 to 24 that the vast majority of players do not. But I don't think anyone without benefit of hindsight can claim that Siakam in his age 22 season was the better player than Looney in his (current) age 22 season. Looney at 22 is the better passer, ballhandler, rebounder, scorer, and defender, with a much more positive impact on the scoreboard than 22 y.o. Siakam. I would definitely allow that 22 y.o. Siakam had more physical upside: though similarly sized (Looney has the slightly better wingspan and standing reach), Siakam seems like the significantly quicker and more explosive athlete, especially after Loon's multiple hip surgeries. Positionally, I think Siakam's quickness allows him to be more of a modern-day 3-4 in the PG/LeBron/Durant mode, where Loon looks destined to be more of a 4 / smallball 5. That's a pretty significant difference.

I'm just saying I wouldn't discount the possibility of Loon — who already shows nice form on his jumper, good court vision and feel for the game, and is by all accounts a hard worker and ultra high character guy — developing into something well beyond where he is now. Given his 40% from three at UCLA (in a smallish sample) and nice-looking shooting form I think it's better than 50-50 that he develops a credible (>33%) NBA three ball; and I think that alone with his current defensive and offensive repertoire makes him a ~$15M player in today's NBA.
 
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cheech13

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Tom Haberstroh jumps on the Andre Igoudala for the Hall of Fame bandwagon.

https://www.nbcsports.com/philadelphia/nba-insider-tom-haberstroh/andre-iguodala-no-stats-hall-famer

How could a wing who averaged 12.1 points per game in his career be a Hall of Famer?

A decade after the New York Times dubbed Shane Battier as The No-Stats All-Star, we have found The No-Stats Hall of Famer in Iguodala.

And we have modern metrics to prove it.

...

Already, Iguodala finds himself in esteemed company in career totals. Not only is 100 win shares a tidy round number, it also serves as a pretty handy barometer for Hall of Famers. Of the 25 players eligible for the Hall of Fame who have between 100 and 120 career win shares (playoffs included), most of them, 15 to be exact, are already in, including Iverson (106.3), Vlade Divac (105.0), Grant HIll (102.5) and Tracy McGrady (101.8). The handful of those who aren’t in the Hall in that range -- Detlef Schrempf, Kevin Johnson and Eddie Jones to name a few -- lack Iguodala’s multiple championships and gold medals.
 

HomeRunBaker

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The mere thought of this seems so absurd to me. Iggy went from a numbers guy on a bad team to a role player on an elite team. How in the hell....
 

Euclis20

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The mere thought of this seems so absurd to me. Iggy went from a numbers guy on a bad team to a role player on an elite team. How in the hell....
Agreed, and he wasn't even putting up big numbers. He averaged about 18/6/5 with average shooting at his peak, which was just 4 years. His claim to fame was that he was the best player on an average (at best) team, was a good (not great) defender, was a great dunker and was incredibly durable (82 games in 5 of his first 6 seasons while averaging about 38 mpg).
 

Devizier

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Iguodala has a borderline case. But if you lower the bar to Iguodala, you absolutely have to admit (for example) Shawn Marion. Does Chris Bosh get inducted, too? He has championship pedigree.
 

teddykgb

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Iguodala has a borderline case. But if you lower the bar to Iguodala, you absolutely have to admit (for example) Shawn Marion. Does Chris Bosh get inducted, too? He has championship pedigree.
His case isn’t even borderline. He’s a good player. He is an amazing fit and has been a great role player (not to diminish him, he just has a specific role) on an all time great team. He also has years of piling up stats behind him to confuse the matter. We probably saw this happen with the Celtics where some of their secondary key cogs started getting into HoF but Igoudala just isn’t a HoF caliber player. We have seen him try to be the guy on a team and it wasn’t anything special. Full credit to him for embracing a more limited role and being truly top notch at it but that can’t make him a HoF player
 

HowBoutDemSox

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Iguodala has a borderline case. But if you lower the bar to Iguodala, you absolutely have to admit (for example) Shawn Marion. Does Chris Bosh get inducted, too? He has championship pedigree.
Would Bosh getting inducted be out of line? Career cut short by injury and his stats dropped when he teamed up with LeBron and Wade, but he was an 11 time All Star and a key piece of two championships as part of a historically significant team.
 

cheech13

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Iguodala has a borderline case. But if you lower the bar to Iguodala, you absolutely have to admit (for example) Shawn Marion. Does Chris Bosh get inducted, too? He has championship pedigree.
Chris Bosh is absolutely going to make the Hall of Fame. Some of you haven't realized how low the bar is for induction. 11x All-Star, gold medalist and 2x champion is basically a lock.

Marion will probably get in too but it might take a bit longer because he doesn't have the traditional counting stats or awards, but he does have 124.9 win shares. While that's not the perfect stat every single player in NBA history with that many win shares is in the Hall.
 
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HomeRunBaker

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Iguodala has a borderline case. But if you lower the bar to Iguodala, you absolutely have to admit (for example) Shawn Marion. Does Chris Bosh get inducted, too? He has championship pedigree.
Not to pile on but Bosh is a lock for the Hall. He was an 11x All-Star. Those guys have historically gotten in easily.

I feel you are underrating Marion’s career as he has a legitimate shot to make it. B-Ball Ref has him at 75%.
 

Devizier

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Not to pile on but Bosh is a lock for the Hall. He was an 11x All-Star. Those guys have historically gotten in easily.

I feel you are underrating Marion’s career as he has a legitimate shot to make it. B-Ball Ref has him at 75%.
I picked two examples that were obviously better than Iguodala but still not guaranteed enshrinement (Bosh, I grant).

Closer comparison might be AK47 although he mostly played for shit teams.
 

HomeRunBaker

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I picked two examples that were obviously better than Iguodala but still not guaranteed enshrinement (Bosh, I grant).

Closer comparison might be AK47 although he mostly played for shit teams.
I love the Kirilenko comp for this exercise and he could have played a similar role as Iggy had he landed in the right situation post-30.