The 2018 Lineup

[chawson]

108, 109, 113, 99, 111, 121, 108, 113, 118, 102, 103, 91, 103, 112, 100, 84. These are the Red Sox team wRC+ vs. LHP every year since 2003.

In a bubble, yes, the team's numbers against Paxton would be too small a sample to be meaningful. But they correspond to the biggest weakness against left-handed pitching the team has had this century. (And that 84 figure includes Hanley's 133 wRC+, so it's actually worse.)

I'd expect them to address that weakness anyway, but since the strength of MLB teams in 2018 is so weirdly disparate and there aren't enough contenders to create the usual number of playoff scenarios, why wouldn't you think about preventing a glaring vulnerability from being exploited in the highest-stakes game of the year?

 

[bosockboy]

It's as if Chris Sale doesn't exist. I'm sure the M's would be doing cartwheels to face him in a one game playoff.

And we have about an even 50/50 shot of not even being in that game.

 

[Red(s)HawksFan]

108, 109, 113, 99, 111, 121, 108, 113, 118, 102, 103, 91, 103, 112, 100, 84. These are the Red Sox team wRC+ vs. LHP every year since 2003.

In a bubble, yes, the team's numbers against Paxton would be too small a sample to be meaningful. But they correspond to the biggest weakness against left-handed pitching the team has had this century. (And that 84 figure includes Hanley's 133 wRC+, so it's actually worse.)

I'd expect them to address that weakness anyway, but since MLB in 2018 is so weirdly disparate and there aren't enough contenders to create the usual number of playoff scenarios, why wouldn't you think about preventing a glaring vulnerability from being exploited in the highest-stakes game of the year?

How do they address this weakness? I mean, even if we put aside the budgetary problems the team faces for a moment, correcting that 84 wRC+ to even 100 wRC+ is going to take more than adding a masher of southpaws to the lineup (and it's still a question whether such a player is out there and easily attainable).

It's going to take improvements from the players they have, whether it's a healthy Betts and Pedroia inserted in place of the likes of Swihart and Holt or guys like JBJ and Devers stepping it up. It's not like they can fully recreate their lineup over the next three months to be full of lefty killers. And it would be foolish to try to do that just for the possibility of one game against one pitcher who, while very good, isn't guaranteed to shut them out if they make zero changes to the roster.

 

[Merkle's Boner]

Can we just get Mookie back and fully healthy and then worry about his OPS? This injury, that started as a little owie, is really starting to piss me off. The longer he stays out the more I fear this will be a lingering issue. It's been 14 games so far.

He's back per Pete Abe. Leading off tonight.

 

[chawson]

How do they address this weakness? I mean, even if we put aside the budgetary problems the team faces for a moment, correcting that 84 wRC+ to even 100 wRC+ is going to take more than adding a masher of southpaws to the lineup (and it's still a question whether such a player is out there and easily attainable).

It's going to take improvements from the players they have, whether it's a healthy Betts and Pedroia inserted in place of the likes of Swihart and Holt or guys like JBJ and Devers stepping it up. It's not like they can fully recreate their lineup over the next three months to be full of lefty killers. And it would be foolish to try to do that just for the possibility of one game against one pitcher who, while very good, isn't guaranteed to shut them out if they make zero changes to the roster.

Not sure. JBJ hit lefties well as recently as last year as could find it again, but if Pedroia doesn’t fully return and we're still relying on Nuñez (who has no business in a starting lineup against LHP), then a utility guy like Pearce, Valencia, or Sean Rodriguez seems necessary. Rodriguez in particular seems like a guy who wouldn’t cost more than organizational filler.

If you prefer, it could be an issue worth addressing in our fight for the division, too. I’d be shocked if the Yankees weren’t starting Happ or Hamels against us in those September series.

 

[soxhop411]

we have left 92 men of base since June 7th. We also have a slash line of
.221 (.BA) .305 (.OBP) .344 (SLG) .649 (OPS).

Once B-ref updates its data with Todays game Im betting that goes down a bit

 

[Bob Montgomerys Helmet Hat]

I miss Hanley

 

[brandonchristensen]

This years team feels like last years team. When they're hot, they are unbeatable, but then they hit the skids and can't score for days.

Arbitrarily going back 15 games... We've scored:

1 (L)
2 (L)
9 (W)
0 (L)
6 (L)
2 (W)
5 (W)
6 (W)
2 (W)
2 (L)
4 (W)
0 (L)
2 (L)
7 (W)
6 (W)

If they're not hitting well, they're not winning (and they're often not hitting well). That's a tremendous amount of pressure to put on your starting rotation and bullpen.

 

[grimshaw]

This years team feels like last years team. When they're hot, they are unbeatable, but then they hit the skids and can't score for days.

I know what you're getting at, but the regression was inevitable from Moreland, Betts, JDM and to a less predictable degree from Beni. And there is probably more coming, especially Moreland who is still on pace for a career year.

As expected, the catchers we have aren't the worst tandem in history, just terrible. Vazquez went from single digit wRC+ to 45 and Leon to 57.

X and Holt are holding strong. And JBJ has been extraordinarily unlucky as noted in his thread.

The hitting slump is irritating. especially since it's against lesser competition in games they need to have, while the pitching has been there. This offense has still been excellent overall and night and day from 2017. 5 of their regulars (plus Holt) are hitting better than their best hitter last year.

 

[Red(s)HawksFan]

This years team feels like last years team. When they're hot, they are unbeatable, but then they hit the skids and can't score for days.

Arbitrarily going back 15 games... We've scored:

1 (L)
2 (L)
9 (W)
0 (L)
6 (L)
2 (W)
5 (W)
6 (W)
2 (W)
2 (L)
4 (W)
0 (L)
2 (L)
7 (W)
6 (W)

If they're not hitting well, they're not winning (and they're often not hitting well). That's a tremendous amount of pressure to put on your starting rotation and bullpen.

Sooooo, a typical baseball team then? Can't score, can't win. Score a bunch, win a bunch. Not sure how instructive a 10% chunk of the season really is.

In their last 15 games they've averaged 3.6 runs scored, but they've gone 8-7. Usually if a team is averaging less than four runs scored, you'd expect they'd be under .500 for the duration of that cold spell. If they're a .500 or better team when the offense "hits the skids", that's still pretty damn good overall.

 

[iddoc]

If only we could find a RHB to play 1B vs LHP and give us another DH option (with JDM to LF) if JBJ remains an offensive liability. No, not Sam Travis. Maybe someone (else) we’re already paying?

 

[Lose Remerswaal]

Hanley isn't coming back.

 

[Al Zarilla]

Hanley isn't coming back.

He burned some bridges? Nah, goes both ways: he was insulted and Sox would have to eat a murder of crows (a flock of crows is also called a murder, I just found out). I agree he’s not coming back.

 

[brandonchristensen]

Sooooo, a typical baseball team then? Can't score, can't win. Score a bunch, win a bunch. Not sure how instructive a 10% chunk of the season really is.

In their last 15 games they've averaged 3.6 runs scored, but they've gone 8-7. Usually if a team is averaging less than four runs scored, you'd expect they'd be under .500 for the duration of that cold spell. If they're a .500 or better team when the offense "hits the skids", that's still pretty damn good overall.

I’m saying it’s like last year where in any given series you had no idea what to expect. They average out, but rarely seem to play to that average. Instead, it is always the top end or bottom end.

 

[nvalvo]

My suspicion is that Moreland's slump is key here (.487 OPS in his last 10 games). In his absence, JDM is walking a lot more, and we're stranding two or hitting into GIDP quite a bit more.

Devers, however, is heating up after a long slump of his own (.827 OPS in his last 10). I might reshuffle the lineup a bit, dropping Moreland lower, and promoting Devers until Moreland gets back in gear.

Something like:

Betts R
Benintendi L
JDM R
Devers L
Bogaerts R
Moreland L
2B, R/L
Catcher R/S
JBJ L

 

[Al Zarilla]

My suspicion is that Moreland's slump is key here (.487 OPS in his last 10 games). In his absence, JDM is walking a lot more, and we're stranding two or hitting into GIDP quite a bit more.

Devers, however, is heating up after a long slump of his own (.827 OPS in his last 10). I might reshuffle the lineup a bit, dropping Moreland lower, and promoting Devers until Moreland gets back in gear.

Something like:

Betts R
Benintendi L
JDM R
Devers L
Bogaerts R
Moreland L
2B, R/L
Catcher R/S
JBJ L

Only thing is if you bat Devers cleanup, he may try to hit every ball to New Hampshire. Second thought, maybe he does anyway. I really want this guy to rebound, in a baseball way.

 

[sean1562]

I don't know if it deserves its own thread, but I was 100% wrong about Brock Holt. I thought the guy was done. But he is having himself a pretty good year so far. Currently at .375/.421/.796 0.9 bWAR for the year. Seems like a great teammate and love the versatility he has always brought to this team.

 

[Buzzkill Pauley]

I don't know if it deserves its own thread, but I was 100% wrong about Brock Holt. I thought the guy was done. But he is having himself a pretty good year so far. Currently at .375/.421/.796 0.9 bWAR for the year. Seems like a great teammate and love the versatility he has always brought to this team.

Me too. To say I’ve been pleasantly surprised by Brock Holt this year would be a huge understatement.

 

[Reverend]

Sooooo, a typical baseball team then? Can't score, can't win. Score a bunch, win a bunch. Not sure how instructive a 10% chunk of the season really is.

In their last 15 games they've averaged 3.6 runs scored, but they've gone 8-7. Usually if a team is averaging less than four runs scored, you'd expect they'd be under .500 for the duration of that cold spell. If they're a .500 or better team when the offense "hits the skids", that's still pretty damn good overall.

Dude, face it: You're never going to convince people that this team doesn't suck.

But I support your mission.

 

[Buzzkill Pauley]

Dude, face it: You're never going to convince people that this team doesn't suck.

But I support your mission.

It’s stunning how much essential agitas exists over a team with the most wins in baseball, considering it also won the AL East the last two years in a row.

Just a mind-bogglingly low frustration tolerance for a game where even the eventual champion usually wins only around 3/5 of its games.

 

[soxeast]

Dude, face it: You're never going to convince people that this team doesn't suck.

But I support your mission.

Just like on the other thread you're making things up. Possibly the guy is implying something ridiculous but nowhere did he say they suck. Last year's team was beating Houston in the 8th inning until bozo John Farrell decided to keep Sale in the game and not use Reed. What's wrong with saying this year's team is like last year's? OFC it's better record-wise but your exaggeration of "they suck" is over-the-top.

It seems like if someone doesn't agree with your opinion then you just want them to stop. You realize you aren't right all the time, right?

C'mon that dude's post of bringing up that the Sox haven't scored much during a stretch didn't warrant your over-exaggeration that the team sucks. The red sox were a very good baseball team last year.

 

[Reverend]

Just like on the other thread you're making things up. Possibly the guy is implying something ridiculous but nowhere did he say they suck. Last year's team was beating Houston in the 8th inning until bozo John Farrell decided to keep Sale in the game and not use Reed. What's wrong with saying this year's team is like last year's? OFC it's better record-wise but your exaggeration of "they suck" is over-the-top.

It seems like if someone doesn't agree with your opinion then you just want them to stop. You realize you aren't right all the time, right?

C'mon that dude's post of bringing up that the Sox haven't scored much during a stretch didn't warrant your over-exaggeration that the team sucks. The red sox were a very good baseball team last year.

It has come to my attention that the only reason you may still be here is that half the board apparently has you on ignore already.

 

[soxeast]

It has come to my attention that the only reason you may still be here is that half the board apparently has you on ignore already.

It's time to put you on ignore. Thank you.

 

[Reverend]

It's time to put you on ignore. Thank you.

We have a secret forum you can't see where we talk about people like you.

 

[Papelbon's Poutine]

Who are you talking to Rev?

 

[joe dokes]

I’m saying it’s like last year where in any given series you had no idea what to expect. They average out, but rarely seem to play to that average. Instead, it is always the top end or bottom end.

Isn't that just the nature of averages? How many times do teams averaging X runs per game actually score exactly x runs?

 

[tonyarmasjr]

Me too. To say I’ve been pleasantly surprised by Brock Holt this year would be a huge understatement.

I'll add my name to this list, too. I advocated trading Holt, rather than Marrero, for a bag of balls and saving $500k, since his skill set was redundant with Nunez and Swihart (Marrero being a better defensive option as a backup SS and 3B). I expected at least Nunez would easily outhit him. I certainly didn't foresee Brock having the best season of his career while those other two have been...disappointing.

 

[brandonchristensen]

Isn't that just the nature of averages? How many times do teams averaging X runs per game actually score exactly x runs?

I was using a smaller sample because it's been so extreme. The feast or famine has been a thing.

 

[richgedman'sghost]

You do? Why wasnt I told about it?0

 

[Cesar Crespo]

I'll add my name to this list, too. I advocated trading Holt, rather than Marrero, for a bag of balls and saving $500k, since his skill set was redundant with Nunez and Swihart (Marrero being a better defensive option as a backup SS and 3B). I expected at least Nunez would easily outhit him. I certainly didn't foresee Brock having the best season of his career while those other two have been...disappointing.

I thought he was done but it's been a pleasant surprise. I'm not sure he's going to finish with his best season ever, but he might. Since the beginning of May, Holt has been very Holt like (2014-2016 edition). 30 games, 102 PA, .267/.356/.349 on a .348 BAbip. If he keeps that up, we will all be happy and the end year results will be pretty close to his 2015 career year.

Maybe he'll have another few Aprils in him though and give us even more.

 

[Cesar Crespo]

Vazquez in June: 14 games, 54 PA .294/.333/.549. Including tonight's 2/4, he may or may not get another PA. Season OPS is up to .568, the highest it has been since April 19th.

JBJ has had a great 2 games as well. If him and Vaz start to hit a little, it would go a long way. They don't even have to hit much considering how bad they've been.

 

[tonyarmasjr]

2018 wRC+ / last 30 days / last 14 days:
Betts - 195 / 124 / 135
Martinez - 178 / 191 / 205
Moreland - 149 / 112 / 150
Benintendi - 140 / 155 / 80
Bogaerts - 127 / 125 / 121
Holt - 118 / 94 / 111
Devers - 81 / 68 / 85
Nunez - 69 / 85 / 81
Bradley - 68 / 99 / 124
Leon - 64 / 83 / 33
Vazquez - 51 / 113 / 94
Swihart - 8 / -1 / -21
Team - 111 / 110 / 113

Some observations:
- Mookie and JDM are pretty good. And, while Mookie has cooled off a little bit, JDM has heated up.
- It appears the "Moreland falls off a cliff in June" narrative was folly (or, at the least, premature).
- Swihart continues to show nothing in his limited role.
- For all the gnashing of teeth about JBJ and the catchers that continues, Vazquez and JBJ are league-average over the last month. Much has been made of Bradley's lack of luck, but Vaz is currently sporting a .242 BABIP. He was .315 for his career coming into the year and, more realistically, in the .280s in the minors. His batted profile this year is not strong (as opposed to JBJ), but you don't have to squint too hard to see him getting back to respectability. It seems he may already be on his way there.
- The suck at the bottom of the lineup has at least moved around - Leon had a bit of a hot streak, now Vaz and JBJ. Devers and Nunez are still disappointing in my book, but they're a lesser degree of suck than JBJ/Vaz/Leon/Swihart when they're cold. At any given time, then, there's been at least one or two decent bats in the 6-9 spots. I think this shows up in the team wRC+ being consistent - monthly splits of 112, 114, and 105 wRC+.

 

[shaggydog2000]

2018 wRC+ / last 30 days / last 14 days:
Betts - 195 / 124 / 135
Martinez - 178 / 191 / 205
Moreland - 149 / 112 / 150
Benintendi - 140 / 155 / 80
Bogaerts - 127 / 125 / 121
Holt - 118 / 94 / 111
Devers - 81 / 68 / 85
Nunez - 69 / 85 / 81
Bradley - 68 / 99 / 124
Leon - 64 / 83 / 33
Vazquez - 51 / 113 / 94
Swihart - 8 / -1 / -21
Team - 111 / 110 / 113

Some observations:
- Mookie and JDM are pretty good. And, while Mookie has cooled off a little bit, JDM has heated up.
- It appears the "Moreland falls off a cliff in June" narrative was folly (or, at the least, premature).
- Swihart continues to show nothing in his limited role.
- For all the gnashing of teeth about JBJ and the catchers that continues, Vazquez and JBJ are league-average over the last month. Much has been made of Bradley's lack of luck, but Vaz is currently sporting a .242 BABIP. He was .315 for his career coming into the year and, more realistically, in the .280s in the minors. His batted profile this year is not strong (as opposed to JBJ), but you don't have to squint too hard to see him getting back to respectability. It seems he may already be on his way there.
- The suck at the bottom of the lineup has at least moved around - Leon had a bit of a hot streak, now Vaz and JBJ. Devers and Nunez are still disappointing in my book, but they're a lesser degree of suck than JBJ/Vaz/Leon/Swihart when they're cold. At any given time, then, there's been at least one or two decent bats in the 6-9 spots. I think this shows up in the team wRC+ being consistent - monthly splits of 112, 114, and 105 wRC+.

Nunez looks like he is still injured, not good in the field or hitting.

Devers had a nice two week hot streak, with a 135 wrc+ from 6/6 to 6/19. Then he went cold again over the last week. With his BABIP still being pretty low (compared to his numbers last year and in the minors) and the power he is showing despite his struggles, I think it's worth keeping him in the lineup.

 

[Pitt the Elder]

The Red Sox have 4 players in the top 30 in BsR. No other team has more than 2:

• 9th - Beni (4.6)
• 16th - Betts (3.5)
• 23rd - Devers (3.3)
• 27th - JBJ (3.0)

As a team, though, the Sox are only 19th, with an aggregate BsR of -1.1. The culprits weighing the Sox down are no surprise:

• Nunez (-4.8!)
• HanRam (-2.3)
• Vaz (-2.1)
• JDM (-2.0)
• Mitchy xBags (-1.9)
• Brockstar (-1.5)
• Bogaerts (-0.7)
  
• Sandy Leon (-0.1)

So for as good as the top guys have been on the bases, the lead feet (foots?) on this team have been just as bad. Nunez, in particular, has been especially bad, with the 5th worst BsR in the league. Nunez has historically been a moderately above-average runner, with BsRs of 2.1 (2017) and 2.9 (2016) in his past two seasons. I know the working theory is that he's lost a step due to his knee injury, and that may well be true. His sprint speed has definitely declined, though that may just be part of a larger trend due to age:

• 2015 - 28.7 (rank - 90.2%)
• 2016 - 28.1 (rank - 77.7%)
• 2017 - 27.9 (rank - 74.5%)
• 2018 - 27.5 (rank - 64.1%)

He's definitely not as fast as he used to be, but he's still faster than Devers (27.2) and not that much slower than JBJ (27.7) and Beni (27.7). It's possible that he's still running as if he's faster than he is - and indeed, he's made 6 outs on the bases - but he's only attempted 6 steals (with 4 successful swipes) and only taken the extra base 27% of the time. Compare this to Devers, who has 5 stolen base attempts, has made 5 outs on the bases, and has taken the extra bases 44% of the time. If you look more closely at Nunez's running stats on Fangraphs, his UBR is -3.8, wGDP is -0.9, and his wSB is -0.1. He's not creating value on the bases and he's not really staying out of double plays.

Is it possible that Nunez, with his still above-average speed, isn't being aggressive enough on the bases?

Also, Xander's baserunning has been surprisingly below average. He was an 8.3 BsR last year and he's below average -0.7 this year. His sprint speed is a tick down to 27.9 after sitting at 28.3 for his first 3 years, but it's still pretty good. After seeming to make a conscious effort last year to steal bases (15 for 16), he's barely attempted any this year (2 for 3). Perhaps he's producing more at the plate that he's not trying to contribute in other ways like he's had in years past? Interestingly, though his UBR is a -0.1, he's taken the extra base ~60% of the time this year, so it's possible that his numbers in Fangraphs will normalize as the year progresses.

EDITS: formatting, clarity, xander stats

 

[iddoc]

Perhaps Xander’s foot still hurts from the mini-fracture earlier this season.

 

[grimshaw]

Perhaps Xander’s foot still hurts from the mini-fracture earlier this season.

Could be partially that. His few attempts were well after he came back and before that he was hitting a lot of XBH.

I think it's mostly due to opportunity. He only has 38 singles this season so far.
The past three seasons he has had 151, 136 and 108 respectively. This is because his ISO is way higher than his previous best season.

 

[tonyarmasjr]

2018 wRC+ / last 30 days / last 14 days:
Betts - 195 / 124 / 135
Martinez - 178 / 191 / 205
Moreland - 149 / 112 / 150
Benintendi - 140 / 155 / 80
Bogaerts - 127 / 125 / 121
Holt - 118 / 94 / 111
Devers - 81 / 68 / 85
Nunez - 69 / 85 / 81
Bradley - 68 / 99 / 124
Leon - 64 / 83 / 33
Vazquez - 51 / 113 / 94
Swihart - 8 / -1 / -21
Team - 111 / 110 / 113

An update 2 weeks later (Season / 30 days / 14 days):
Pearce - 228 over 8 G with the Sox
Betts - 195 / 160 / 208
Martinez - 180 / 192 / 209
Benintendi - 142 / 132 / 148
Moreland - 134 / 95 / 34
Bogaerts - 130 / 134 / 154
Holt - 113 / 94 / 113
Devers - 89 / 116 / 121
Leon - 83 / 99 / 147
Nunez - 75 / 88 / 119
Bradley - 68 / 69 / 114
Vazquez - 45 / 48 / 64
Swihart - 25 / 65 / 241
Team - 114 / 119 / 143

 

[Savin Hillbilly]

It's amazing how closely Moreland is following his normal pattern.

Career April-July monthly splits heading into 2018: 116 123 104 68
2018 April-July monthly splits a third of the way through July: 150 172 108 72

He's having a career year, but with a career-typical arc so far.

 

[chawson]

Another way to look at how incredible J.D. Martinez has been:

After whiffing rather fiercely the first few weeks of the season — 34.1 percent of PAs through April 24, while still plenty productive — he's K'd 19.9 percent since. He's now running the lowest strike out percentage of his career since 2012, a pre-breakout season. He's also trimmed his IFFB rate from a very good 6.8 percent to a truly elite 1.2 percent, behind only Matt Carpenter, Joey Votto, and Freddie Freeman.

 

[Green Monster]

Not sure if there is a better place for this, but Marco Hernandez had season ending surgery

https://www.cbssports.com/fantasy/baseball/news/red-soxs-marco-hernandez-out-for-season-after-shoulder-surgery/

 

[Cesar Crespo]

Too early in the season for it to mean much, but JD is 3rd in batting average (trails Mookie by 0.013, Altuve by .006), 1st in HRs (leads by 3), and 1st in RBI (leads by 15). If by some chance he actually won the Triple Crown this year, it'd be interesting to see if he won MVP over Betts and Trout. That's assuming voters still care about the Triple Crown considering it's only been 6 years.

He's a career .290 hitter and his career high was in 2014 at .315. Since 2014, he's hitting .305. There's a pretty good chance he leads the league in HRs and RBI, but I'm not sure if he can continue to hit .330+

 

[Cesar Crespo]

Another way to look at how incredible J.D. Martinez has been:

After whiffing rather fiercely the first few weeks of the season — 34.1 percent of PAs through April 24, while still plenty productive — he's K'd 19.9 percent since. He's now running the lowest strike out percentage of his career since 2012, a pre-breakout season. He's also trimmed his IFFB rate from a very good 6.8 percent to a truly elite 1.2 percent, behind only Matt Carpenter, Joey Votto, and Freddie Freeman.

Prior to April 24th, he was walking at a rate of 4.7% (4bb/29k in 85 PA, .291/.318/.532). Since April 25th, he's walked 10.5% of the time (30bb/57k in 286 PA, .344/.416/.692). That is very close to last year's career high rate of 10.8%. If he's walking over 10% of the time and striking out less than 20% of the time, he is downright scary.

 

[sean1562]

Not sure if there is a better place for this, but Marco Hernandez had season ending surgery

https://www.cbssports.com/fantasy/baseball/news/red-soxs-marco-hernandez-out-for-season-after-shoulder-surgery/

That pretty much ends him as any sort of prospect or part of future planning right? His numbers in the minors aren’t that good

 

[grimshaw]

That pretty much ends him as any sort of prospect or part of future planning right? His numbers in the minors aren’t that good

I wouldn't say that. He played well in 2015 and 2016 in the minors but couldn't stay healthy.
It's more of a numbers game going forward though since Holt and Lin are ahead of him now.

 

[Cesar Crespo]

I thought he was done but it's been a pleasant surprise. I'm not sure he's going to finish with his best season ever, but he might. Since the beginning of May, Holt has been very Holt like (2014-2016 edition). 30 games, 102 PA, .267/.356/.349 on a .348 BAbip. If he keeps that up, we will all be happy and the end year results will be pretty close to his 2015 career year.

Maybe he'll have another few Aprils in him though and give us even more.

First 33 games, 108 PA: .316/.389/.463 on a .363 BAbip
Last 24 games, 90 PA: .241/.322/.278 on a .302 BAbip.
July: .212/.278/.212 in 36 PA, and that includes a 3/3 game.
Hasn't had an extra base hit in his last 41 PA.

He did hit .276/.358/.379 for the month of June though, which is uncannily close to his season line of .282/.359/.379, which is remarkably similar to his 2014-16 line of .280/.340/.380. I'd guess this is about where he settles in for the rest of the year.

 

[soxhop411]

In a year where the Sox have become Grand Slam happy, the sox just hit their first walk off grand slam since Rico Brogna in 2000

we also have a 1.000 OPS with the bases loaded (not including today)

 

[tonyarmasjr]

An update 2 weeks later (Season / 30 days / 14 days):
Pearce - 228 over 8 G with the Sox
Betts - 195 / 160 / 208
Martinez - 180 / 192 / 209
Benintendi - 142 / 132 / 148
Moreland - 134 / 95 / 34
Bogaerts - 130 / 134 / 154
Holt - 113 / 94 / 113
Devers - 89 / 116 / 121
Leon - 83 / 99 / 147
Nunez - 75 / 88 / 119
Bradley - 68 / 69 / 114
Vazquez - 45 / 48 / 64
Swihart - 25 / 65 / 241
Team - 114 / 119 / 143

3 weeks later (though the ASG was in there): Season/Last 30/Last 14
Betts - 183 / 161 / 60
Martinez - 172 / 174 / 148
Pearce - 151 / 150 / 67
Benintendi - 136 / 151 / 104
Bogaerts - 126 / 142 / 43
Moreland - 116 / 34 / 5
Holt - 100 / 75 / 58
Devers - 89 / 79 / 114
Bradley - 78 / 110 / 119
Nunez - 75 / 96 / 113
Swihart - 66 / 190 / 194
Leon - 60 / 2 / -15
Vazquez - 44 / -55 / XX
Team - 111 / 114 / 84

Been a bit cold coming out of the break...

 

[Cesar Crespo]

With Nunez (.294/.314/.441 over his last 35 games, 140 PA) and Bradley (.277/.354/.554 in 38 games, 147 PA) hitting of late and creeping back to league average, the lineup looks that much better. For awhile, we had like 4 black holes in the lineup and now we don't really have any outside of Sandy Leon and the only player trending downwards is probably Mitch Moreland (passable June, awful July, .227/.295/.371 over his last 55 games, 217 PA)

Pearce has obviously made a huge difference as well. As a whole, the team is now up to .270/.340/.465. That is close to an ISO of .200 as a team. Last year, that mark was .149. For the first month or two, it was close to .100.

This year's team has 165 HRs. Last year's team had 168 HRs.

 

[tonyarmasjr]

3 weeks later (though the ASG was in there): Season/Last 30/Last 14
Betts - 183 / 161 / 60
Martinez - 172 / 174 / 148
Pearce - 151 / 150 / 67
Benintendi - 136 / 151 / 104
Bogaerts - 126 / 142 / 43
Moreland - 116 / 34 / 5
Holt - 100 / 75 / 58
Devers - 89 / 79 / 114
Bradley - 78 / 110 / 119
Nunez - 75 / 96 / 113
Swihart - 66 / 190 / 194
Leon - 60 / 2 / -15
Vazquez - 44 / -55 / XX
Team - 111 / 114 / 84

Been a bit cold coming out of the break...

Well, it's been almost 3 more weeks: Season / Last 30 / Last 14
Betts - 186 / 152 / 189
Martinez - 181 / 211 / 252
Pearce - 177 / 149 / 122
Benintendi - 135 / 113 / 108
Bogaerts - 131 / 123 / 193
Moreland - 108 / 55 / 49
Kinsler - 93 / 93 / -3
Holt - 93 / 66 / 122
Devers -89 / 104 / 94
Bradley - 84 / 121 / 143
Nunez - 72 / 88 / 35
Leon - 57 / 20 / 25
Swihart - 51 / 89 / -100
Vazquez - 44 / X / X

 

[tonyarmasjr]

Well, it's been almost 3 more weeks: Season / Last 30 / Last 14
Betts - 186 / 152 / 189
Martinez - 181 / 211 / 252
Pearce - 177 / 149 / 122
Benintendi - 135 / 113 / 108
Bogaerts - 131 / 123 / 193
Moreland - 108 / 55 / 49
Kinsler - 93 / 93 / -3
Holt - 93 / 66 / 122
Devers -89 / 104 / 94
Bradley - 84 / 121 / 143
Nunez - 72 / 88 / 35
Leon - 57 / 20 / 25
Swihart - 51 / 89 / -100
Vazquez - 44 / X / X

We're another month on and clinched last night. Season wRC+ / Last 30 / Last 14 / MLB position rank (min. 180 PA - the cutoff to include Swihart). For the utility guys, I used the position at which they've appeared in the most games this season for ranks:
Betts - 180 / 167 / 203 / 2 of 139 OF
Martinez - 170 / 124 / 98 / 3 of 139 OF
Pearce - 156 / 110 / 174 / 3 of 55 1B
Bogaerts - 128 / 119 / 125 / 4 of 43 SS
Benintendi - 122 / 52 / 24 / 30 of 139 OF
Holt - 102 / 160 / 253 / 19 of 52 2B
Moreland - 98 / 42 / 7 / 30 of 55 1B
Bradley - 90 / 123 / 120 / 92 of 139 OF
Devers - 85 / 46 / 30 / 40 of 55 3B
Nunez - 78 / 114 / 154 / 40 of 52 2B
Kinsler - 72 / 78 / 2 / 45 of 53 2B if qualified
Swihart - 56 / 74 / 90 / 43 of 52 C
Vazquez - 44 / 49 / 23 / 48 of 52 C
Leon - 38 / -47 / -86 / 49 of 52 C