The main significance of Olson joining Brady’s legal team is that it increases the likelihood that the team will petition for a panel rehearing and a rehearing en banc. On Monday, Second Circuit Judges Barrington Parker Jr. and Denny Chin authored a majority opinion in which they reversed U.S. District Judge Richard Berman’s ruling in Brady’s favor. Chief Judge Robert Katzmann dissented (for more on the ruling, see my
SI.com legal commentary). If Brady and the NFLPA intended to accept defeat, it is unlikely they would retain an attorney of Olson’s caliber, and it is equally unlikely that Olson would be interested in joining a legal team that is resigned to defeat.
Brady and the NFLPA on Friday also requested a 14-day extension to file a petition for a panel rehearing and a rehearing en banc. As of now, they have 14 days from April 25 to file these petitions; assuming the extension is granted (and such extensions typically are granted), they would then have 28 days from April 25. The request for extension is likely a sign that Olson wants time to revamp the NFLPA’s legal arguments, which to date have been advocated by attorney Jeffrey Kessler. Kessler, who scored a decisive victory before Judge Berman last fall, encountered skepticism from Judges Parker and Chin. I attended the March 3 oral arguments in New York City and it was clear from the get-go that Judges Parker and Chin were unconvinced by Kessler. Olson could reshape Brady’s existing arguments and formulate others, too. Olson likely wouldn’t agree to join the Brady/NFLPA legal team without the explicit assurance that his strategies would be incorporated into all future filings.
Assuming Brady and the NFLPA petition for a panel rehearing and a rehearing en banc, the petition for panel rehearing would almost certainly be rejected since it would be decided by the same three judges who just voted 2–1 for the NFL. A petition for a rehearing en banc, however, would be a different story. The decision as to whether to grant the rehearing en banc, which would consist of a new appeal hearing before the Second Circuit’s 13 active judges and Judge Parker (a senior status who would be eligible to sit on an en banc rehearing), would be made by the 13 active judges. In the Second Circuit, petitions for a rehearing en banc are only granted about 1% of the time, but the odds should be somewhat higher for Brady. For one, he lost in a split-decision, rather than in a shutout, and the dissenting judge is the court’s Chief Judge. It also stands to reason that some of the 13 active judges may view the legal dispute differently than Judges Parker and Chin. After all, when including Judge Berman, two federal judges have agreed with Brady’s perspective and two have agreed with the NFL’s perspective, meaning there is a clear divide of opinion as to which side is “right.”
The addition of Olson could be a game-changer in terms of whether a rehearing en banc is granted. The 13 judges who will decide whether to grant such a rehearing may be more deferential to Olson than they would to other attorneys. Olson is widely regarded as a brilliant attorney. His insights should enhance Brady’s legal arguments, thus making it more likely a rehearing would be granted. Prominent sports attorney
Paul Kelly, a former NHLPA executive director and former Assistant U.S Attorney, told SI.com that Olson’s addition increases the odds of a rehearing en banc. “Now you have a battle of former Solicitor Generals, Olson v. Clement,” Kelly, a principal at Jackson Lewis in Boston, observed. “That has to spark interest in the judges. They are human and probably most are football fans.
If a rehearing is granted, it might not be scheduled until the fall, which would likely mean an indefinite delay in Brady serving a suspension. In that scenario, Brady would ask for a “stay” (postponement) of the suspension until his appeals are exhausted. He would insist that he would suffer irreparable harm if the court denies a stay. More specifically, Brady would assert that once he serves the suspension, he can never get those games back. In response, the NFL would insist that Brady would not suffer irreparable harm because, should Brady ultimately prevail in court, he could eventually be repaid for salary lost as part of his suspension. Brady would reject such an argument by insisting that missing four games would irretrievably alter his team’s chances for success and thus Brady’s career.
Even with Olson on his side, Brady’s odds for a rehearing en banc remain far under 50%, and the granting of a rehearing doesn’t mean Brady would win it. If a rehearing is neither granted nor proves successful, Brady would likely then petition the U.S. Supreme Court. Brady would again face long odds, as the Supreme Court only accepts about 1% of cases for review. Olson’s presence, however, should help. The Court’s justices are very familiar with Olson and Clement, and they have seen these two attorneys in action many times before. It is possible the justices might regard the Brady case as more important if it could attract the advocacy of Olson and Clement.
http://www.si.com/nfl/2016/04/29/deflategate-tom-brady-ted-olson-hire