The Tottenham Hotspur hierarchy will tell Conte in the coming days that they intend to fully back him this summer if he stays at the club, The Athletic understands. Levy is expected to offer Conte a clutch of new signings, including established, experienced players.
All indications are they want the backup keeper to be a homegrown player.So what's everyone's take on summer transfer biz? I'm going to use Euros for all values.
Gollini's the only one on an expiring contract, and he gone. Fraser Foster of Southampton is rumored to be the new backup. At Foster's expected cost, we could also consider Fabianski (WHU, unlikely as he's a starter ATM), Sergi Asenjo (Villarreal), Lecomte (Oblak's backup at Atleti), Diego Lopez (Espanyol), Sirigu (Genoa), Pepe Reina (Lazio), Ulreich (Neuer's backup at Bayern), all of which are available as FA. Onana (Ajax) is rumored to be signed to Inter. Walter Benitez (Nice), Sam Johnstone (West Brom), and Ospina (Napoli) are other options.
Ah, the old Joe Hart corollary. Makes sense, even with a merely rudimentary understanding of the homegrown player rule.All indications are they want the backup keeper to be a homegrown player.
You may be right, but a couple of things make me think I'm not too far off. First and foremost, I never assigned a potential sale value to any player higher than their TM value, except for GLC. I just think $22M is very low, and I could see a big team in Spain or Italy investing in him. Second, even looking at only transfers from the last 2 windows shows that TM is usually pretty accurate, and if they're wrong it's because they undervalued the actual transfer value. I note that this is from looking at the most valuable transfers, but that's also what pretty much any of the Spurs outgoings will be (i.e., $10M+).No idea who Spurs will sign but I think you are way too optimistic about sales. The football economy outside of England is still terrible, lots of clubs that amassed huge debts/losses over the last few years, TV deals that were negotiated downward, and now everybody looking at the very real possibility of a global recession coming soon. And there are tons of players available on frees, at bargain basement prices, or on loan. Outside of PL clubs and a handful of the very richest clubs on Europe (Real/Barca/Atleti/Bayern/PSG/Juve/Inter/BVB), the number of players bought in the last couple years for £20m or more can probably be counted on one hand and they tend to be very good young players on very affordable wages like Fikayo Tomori or Tammy Abraham. Unless you're willing to sell for very low fees, there's basically no market for players on PL wages who want to leave the PL but aren't good enough for the big clubs elsewhere. Every big club has the issue and nobody has solved it yet.
There are definitely buyers within the PL, especially for players who are either British (James, Ramsdale, Ings) or shown the ability to thrive in the league (Zouma, Digne) but I think the issue that many clubs have, and Spurs are no exception, comes when you have non-British players that haven't done particularly well in the league and many of the players Spurs might want to sell fall into that category. PL teams are wary of them based on their league track record and can find more attractive options because they're scouting all of Europe, the players themselves often want to get out of the PL anyway, but nobody in Europe has any money except the big clubs which are shopping in a higher bracket.You may be right, but a couple of things make me think I'm not too far off. First and foremost, I never assigned a potential sale value to any player higher than their TM value, except for GLC. I just think $22M is very low, and I could see a big team in Spain or Italy investing in him. Second, even looking at only transfers from the last 2 windows shows that TM is usually pretty accurate, and if they're wrong it's because they undervalued the actual transfer value. I note that this is from looking at the most valuable transfers, but that's also what pretty much any of the Spurs outgoings will be (i.e., $10M+).
I take your point though, that we don't know how clubs will behave in THIS window, but clubs never cease to amaze me with their spending practices. And all it takes is for 1-2 clubs to adjust the bar/market, even if it's just for their peer group (domestically and/or internationally).
I mean, in retrospect do you think Zouma is worth $35M, Digne $30M, Dan James $29M, Ramsdale $29M (not being snarky), Emerson Royal $25M (Spurs are no different), etc.? There's countless other examples too. Hell, Atalanta (obviously not an EPL club) paid $20M (!) to Udinese for Musso, an Argentine keeper who's not even the best Argentine keeper. In sum, I think we're going to see transfer fees lurch upward a bit, although clubs have finally gotten smarter about free transfers, understanding the relationship between transfer fees and wages, and general wage structure better.
As for your specific point about the transfer fees in excess of $20M and how only a few clubs can afford those type of transfers, I don't disagree. But only one player I mentioned fits that description--GLC. And I do think the big clubs of the world and the middle clubs of the EPL will be interested in him. Similarly, I think lots of clubs will be interested in Bergy at $20M, and now that I think about it, I think he fetches closer to $30M as well, as he's a young versatile forward who can play in the middle (a special premium these days), and is of starter quality for the majority of clubs in the big 5.
To not be a total wanker, here's some interesting business-bits from the article as well:Conte would like a new centre-half, with Inter Milan’s Andrea Bastoni a target, as well as a new pair of wing-backs, a ball-playing midfielder and a forward.
https://www.standard.co.uk/sport/football/tottenham-transfers-conte-150m-boost-b1002302.html?utm_medium=Social&utm_source=Twitter#Echobox=1653484896#Echobox=1653484896In effect, Spurs have issued £150m worth of new shares, which ENIC will buy, and its overall stake in the club could increase from 85.6 per cent to around 87.5 per cent. There is zero cost to Spurs and no additional debt for the club, with sources saying the move is designed to “support sporting ambition”.
Levy has previously run the club on a strict profit and loss basis, with no financial backing from Joe Lewis, the billionaire owner of ENIC. The club says the equity will allow further investment “on and off the pitch”, and it is understood the majority will be available to head coach Antonio Conte to build a squad capable of challenging on four fronts next season.
On a more cautious note, Spurs still have enormous debts relating to their £1.2billion stadium to pay off, and the club is continuing to pursue infrastructure projects around the ground. There are also payments still to make on Sergio Reguilon, Cristian Romero, Rodrigo Bentancur and Dejan Kulusevski.
This is the £150 million question, and the expectation is that the answer will be: Yes. As The Athletic reported on Monday, Spurs’ intention when they sit down with Conte this week to discuss his future is to inform him of their plan to back him substantially in this summer’s transfer market. They will pledge to try to sign at least half a dozen new players, and that will include more experienced, established names.
Also from a leadership perspective, a guy who has been around the block, played in lots of big matches, and won multiple titles could be useful for a squad that has sometimes been accused of lacking a winning mentality.I feel like the plan is two-deep rotations at WB with an older guy who Conte knows what he’ll get from and a younger guy who can develop.
Perisic/Sess on the left, with Doherty/??? on the right.
Perisic is also a nice guy to have in the squad since he is a credible winger as well, he helps depth up front too.
FTFYAll sounds like more reason to welcome
Gareth BaleChristian Eriksen back to London!
https://cartilagefreecaptain.sbnation.com/2022/6/29/23188191/tottenham-hotspur-news-yves-bissouma-cleared-charges-sexual-assaultAccording to the Daily Mail, the newly-signed midfielder has been cleared of any allegations of wrongdoing in the sexual assault investigation from last October. The investigation appears to still be ongoing, but for Bissouma, this is the end of the road.
Needless to say, this is about as good an outcome as Bissouma and Spurs could have wanted. I would not expect the club to make a statement on this for the aforementioned reasons and, even when the investigation is complete, I doubt they’ll make one anyway. Sure, we’d like to know what the heck happened and what the details were, but we may never get that information.
From a few articles I read that is a feature not a bug. Spurs old way of doing business was only to sign guys for a lot if they were guaranteed first XI. Conte is impressing upon them that to be a "rich club" you don't play that way.Richarlison is ok in the abstract, but for that amount of money I feel like Spurs should be getting someone who goes straight into the first XI. It's a lot of cash for a squad player.
Are Spurs really a “rich club” in the way City are though? Even Liverpool is not paying 50-60m for rotation players, they’re shopping in the 35-45m bracket for guys like Diaz, Jota, and Konate.From a few articles I read that is a feature not a bug. Spurs old way of doing business was only to sign guys for a lot if they were guaranteed first XI. Conte is impressing upon them that to be a "rich club" you don't play that way.
I don't think they are looking for a "leap" except in the sense that he'll be playing with better players. And the Spurs will have more games against tougher competition. Right now the only backup behind Kane, Son, and Kulu is Moura. They needed more.Also Richarlison seems like a high-risk/low-reward move at that price. The odds that he makes the leap at 25 and up his game to a new level he hasn't previously shown is pretty low. Yet for that amount of cash there's a lot of risk if he gets hurt or he continues on the downward trend from last year.
Conte made good use of a 3-4-2-1 formation in the second half of last season with Kane, Kulusevski and Son fluid as a front three. On paper, Kane was the most advanced of the three, but it was common for the England captain to drop deep to create space for Kulusevski and Son to burst into. Kane was often the one who would find them with an incisive pass. Richarlison is capable of playing through the middle or in a wide position, and it’s this versatility that would help him integrate at Tottenham.
He would provide competition and cover for Kane as a number nine and Kulusevski and Son in the supporting roles - and with Spurs back in the Champions League - there will be plenty game time to go around next season.
The signing of Richarlison could give Conte greater tactical flexibility.
It’s not impossible that the Spurs boss could use the Brazilian in a 4-2-3-1 shape with Kane as the centre forward, Kulusevski as the number 10 and Son on the other wing. Richarlison himself even played as a number 10 in three Premier League matches for Everton last term.
While Richarlison is good with the ball at his feet, it’s his quality out of possession that might be most appealing to Conte. The Brazilian averages 0.96 tackles won per 90 minutes, placing him among the 97th percentile for players in his position.
He is also in the 84th percentile for successful pressures, underlining his ability to press high up the pitch. These are higher numbers than those charted by any of Tottenham’s first-choice front three.
Spurs have grown as a team under Conte and have demonstrated their ability to absorb the ideas and methods of the former Chelsea and Inter coach.
However, they will need a Plan B, and possibly a Plan C, if they are to compete on all fronts next season.
The signing of Richarlison would help them do that, and also protect them against the exit of any first team attackers in the future.
Richarlison will be great in his role under Conte but I don’t think he has the ability to take over for Kane or Son in a few years as they fade.
I'm a Bergwijn believer too and wish he was able to stick around. I'm happy Richarlison is coming in because he should save wear and tear on Kane and Son and gives us the kind of squad depth that we've never had at the attacking positions (especially with Perisic also aboard).The answer to eventually replacing one of Kane & Son is, hopefully, either Parrott or Scarlett. I wonder if one of them is going to stick on the roster this year. I think 6 pure attacking players is probably the number to carry and they only have 5 right after Bergwyn is sold.
In terms of Richarlison, I recognize getting Kane to not aggressively press anymore is one of the keys to his staying healthy the last two years, but I really do like how aggressive Richarlison is at pressing, for a striker. It will be nice to have that at the top of the defense again in the matches Richarlison plays for Kane. The downside is that we are now certainly cashing out on Bergwyn, and I think there is a decent chance he is a better player than Richarlison in a year or two.
I've been wondering for the last few weeks who was correct in the discussion MMS and ZSF had at the end of the year over outgoing transfer values for Spurs players. Looks like ZSF read the market correctly and perhaps even underestimated Bergy's value and / or Paratici's bargaining ability.Bergy - 20M
That's a great deal for the club and I'm really happy for Bergy. The Dutch are my low key favorite for the WC (I'll blindly bet on Argentina as a homer, but if the draw complies perhaps we have a 1978 rematch??), and I think most fans my age (mid 30s) like the Dutch because of their mid 90s golden era--Davids, Seedorf, de Boers, Bergkamp, Kluivert, Overmars, Cocu, Van der Sar, de Boers, etc.I've been wondering for the last few weeks who was correct in the discussion MMS and ZSF had at the end of the year over outgoing transfer values for Spurs players. Looks like ZSF read the market correctly and perhaps even underestimated Bergy's value and / or Paratici's bargaining ability.
Agreed re Davies and the backline being good enough. Getting better players and depth across MF and better depth should be enough. Lenglet is much better than Dav or Japh with his feet, and that alone probably makes him a better rotation option. I hope Dav gets moved for his sake, as I still think there's a quality CB in there. Rodon and Japh also need to be moved, but ultimately 1/3 last year's backups will remain even with Lenglet in the fold.Yeah, they only conceded four goals in their last ten games, which also includes time without Romero who was hurt. With some more depth, improvements at CDM with Bissouma aboard (plus Oliver Skipp, who seemed to be on to something last year before getting injured) they have the potential to be really good. Davies isn't spectacular but if he is your worst starting player than you are doing pretty well.
I've never been more surprised at a player's turnaround than Eric Dier, who looked doomed as a top flight EPL player a few years ago but has totally been reinvigorated since moving to CB full time. He's been rock solid and avoided catastrophe; playing with Romero has helped him a ton.