ARI is a pick we probably should have thought more about particularly since they don't have a lot of future value, but they do get MIN at home in week 14 so hopefully we can use them there.
SoSH Survivor Pool - Week 2 Discussion
- Thread starter tims4wins
- Start date
I don't think it makes a huge difference but playing 9 picks on NO seems counterproductive - i.e., we are basically just mirroring the general population.
I'm going to suggest that the NO / MIA picks be split 7-7. MIA doesn't have as much future value, so we should overplay them (and underplay NO) here. There was also a semi-consensus that we do that.
If people agree with that, I would do NO = 7; MIA = 7; BAL = 5; and PIT = 2.
But I care a lot less about the remaining 5-7 picks than I do about the NO & MIA distribution.
Scenarios I through together based on chatter. Bold and I'll put the picks in at 12.
Scenario 1
Trust the vote
NO (8), MIA (6), BAL (4), PIT (2), IND (1)
Scenario 2
Trim the vote
NO(9), MIA(6), BAL(4), PIT (2)
Scenario 3
3 team heavy NO
NO (11), MIA(6), BAL (4)
Scenario 4
3 team heavy MIA
NO (8), MIA(9), BAL (4)
Scenario 5
Low NO w/ PIT
NO (4), MIA(8), BAL (5), PIT(4)
Scenario 6
Low NO w/ PIT
NO (4), MIA(8), BAL (4), PIT(3), IND (2)
Other sell it
Scenario 1
Trust the vote
NO (8), MIA (6), BAL (4), PIT (2), IND (1)
Scenario 2
Trim the vote
NO(9), MIA(6), BAL(4), PIT (2)
Scenario 3
3 team heavy NO
NO (11), MIA(6), BAL (4)
Scenario 4
3 team heavy MIA
NO (8), MIA(9), BAL (4)
Scenario 5
Low NO w/ PIT
NO (4), MIA(8), BAL (5), PIT(4)
Scenario 6
Low NO w/ PIT
NO (4), MIA(8), BAL (4), PIT(3), IND (2)
Other sell it
I don't think the Vikings offense is as bad as they let on I'm week 1.wade boggs chicken dinner said:
With Jeffery definitely out (per Rappaport), I don't see how Chicago is going to get the ball down the field if Arizona focuses on Forte.
That said, I guess I'll go with the second Scenario 5 (aka Scenario 6)
That said, I guess I'll go with the second Scenario 5 (aka Scenario 6)
Scenario 4
3 team heavy MIA
NO (8), MIA(9), BAL (4)
I prefer 10-6-5 but this is the closest to my vote.
3 team heavy MIA
NO (8), MIA(9), BAL (4)
I prefer 10-6-5 but this is the closest to my vote.
tonyandpals said:
You still feel this way? I've been all over the place this week, which I did not expect. I'm with you on the three teams:
SCENARIO 4
my vote is for 3
Count:
Scenario 3 - 1
Scenario 4- 3
Scenario 6 - 3
I can give it to 11:45 for picks
Count:
Scenario 3 - 1
Scenario 4- 3
Scenario 6 - 3
I can give it to 11:45 for picks
Sorry I meant ten for Miami not NO. So I'm sticking with my vote of scenario four.tonyandpals said:
Dads pick is scenario 4
Count:
Scenario 3 - 1
Scenario 4- 5
Scenario 6 - 3
edit: Dads coworker is 4 as well
Count:
Scenario 3 - 1
Scenario 4- 5
Scenario 6 - 3
edit: Dads coworker is 4 as well
Can we start discussing how to allocate? Is the consensus to use NO on the week 1 Miami entries and spread the rest?
Yes, spread I have if 4 wins:
NO on all wk1 MIA(6)
NO on NYJ (2)
MIA on 4 of 5 Pats
MIA on 4 of 6 GB
MIA on 1 of 2 DAL
BAL on 1 of 5 pats
BAL on 2 of 6 GB
BAL on 1 of 2 DAL
NO on all wk1 MIA(6)
NO on NYJ (2)
MIA on 4 of 5 Pats
MIA on 4 of 6 GB
MIA on 1 of 2 DAL
BAL on 1 of 5 pats
BAL on 2 of 6 GB
BAL on 1 of 2 DAL
If there is no major swing in the next 5 minutes. That's the plan.
Picks are in, but not locked until 12:45
Picks are in, but not locked until 12:45
Lots of people are praying for NO to lose.
My other pool has 43/65 on NO.
I did not go with them.
I need Miami and Pitt to come through.
My other pool has 43/65 on NO.
I did not go with them.
I need Miami and Pitt to come through.
tonyandpals said:
I understand going against the grain sometimes but some of these picks are nuts.
glennhoffmania said:
Only three teams didn't get picked at all. Jaguars, Redskins and Jets.
Yeah, you've got to figure a few of these are pure donations to the cause.
Oh well, we can still have 13 sheets after this week. Getting 3,300 knocked out might be worth it.
GJGE Saints.
Edited: sorry, didn't mean to game thread this. I'll add that although it sucks potentially losing those picks, at least we went with the lesser Miami-heavy version.
Edited: sorry, didn't mean to game thread this. I'll add that although it sucks potentially losing those picks, at least we went with the lesser Miami-heavy version.
Peace out Saints. At least the pool had a higher % on them than we did
Or did it? Rough math says around 40% for both
Or did it? Rough math says around 40% for both
How many total were left in the pool? Thought it was around 8800 which would have us pretty even at 38%.tims4wins said: