Great job with these, you have been quite hot with your NBA picks.
Long time lurker / occasional poster. HRB has long been one of the folks I've sought out around this forum, both for gambling and general hoops insight. The level of hoops convo in this forum is so far superior to pretty much anywhere else I frequent, and he's a huge part of that. Hope he continues to be for a long while.
Start here.
I appreciate this and the other comments. I was also on those 2H UConn Unders like @Red Averages was but it got hairy there for a minute as the Canes entered end-of-game fouling territory. Once it got about 13-14 we were safe though.
Charlotte has a ton of offense either Out or Questionable. They put up 91 on Friday against the Bulls with their depleted roster and Toronto plays super slow.
I’ve got nothing. I know a buddy with a 100-1 SD State futures ticket. They have taken advantage of mentally weaker teams down the stretch who were trying to protect leads and I’ve played them in 4 games so far in the tourney. I could see so many different outcomes here that I’ll just be sitting back waiting to attack someone going out to an early run to possibly play back other side or do same with the Total.
I did same at the first tv timeout. I saw it as low as 127.5……then the track meet began. Ugh
I’d probably take SDSU. I won’t, but they couldn’t hit a shot for 10 minutes and are still in it. UConn will get super conservative if they are still up 12 with 8-10 min left and SDSU will be incentivized to keep jacking up shots.
I took a good amount of under halftime between 60.5 and 66. Got lucky during the last 3 min, should have been toast.
This is what the Aztecs have done all tournament. Hang around, hang around…..when the game gets into the backend of the 2H the leading team has tightened up and slowed the pace which plays right into SD States game. UConn could also run them out of the building but if they don’t be careful for an Aztec late comeback. I’ll be ready to click them should this 2H turn into a SD State style game like they’ve done all month. Right now all I have is a little Under 135.5
I’m going to wait and see how these first 10 min or so play out and see if the tempo comes to a complete halt or not.
6 out of the 9 unders I posted yesterday hit (the 3 I didn't post all went over yikes!). I'm going to do the same thing with the 8 games today. Some of the lines are already coming down quite a bit from where they opened this morning.
Prices:
It is a 6th man award so finishing the season as a starter is where recency bias comes into play but I’m listening to what multiple media personalities are saying about this as they do have some influence as talking heads. I dunno, maybe a coin flip, lean to Quickley, lean to Brogdon…..one thing I do know is that whichever of them is +300 is tremendous value.
