Official NBA 2019-20 Betting Thread

HowBoutDemSox

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I’m looking at the 1Q and 1H Under in Boston. Pace is going to slow and defensive schemes will be in place now that these games matter. In this particular game I expect the Sixers to come out and run their offense through Embiid on the block. I can see that TO with 5 min left in the 1Q and a 14-9 score. I’ll be looking at in-games all game every game looking to fade the inflated number caused by a recent run (either side or total). This week is pretty much heaven to me.
The under looks even better if Brett Brown is serious about starting Thybulle; a good wing defender but weak offensive player will slow down scoring on both ends.
 

HomeRunBaker

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The under looks even better if Brett Brown is serious about starting Thybulle; a good wing defender but weak offensive player will slow down scoring on both ends.
Yes this was part of my expectation for Philly to really look to establish Embiid early with only Tobias as another shot creator. If Brown wasn’t looking to pound Embiid early and often he would want a more versatile offensive player there when you already have Milton in the lineup. It seems as though Brown wants a 1Q slug fest to get 2 early ones on Theis. I wish some place would hang a number on Philly’s O/U fast break points. There is a real chance they could finish at 0 if they execute the game plan I think they will.....at least in the 1H prior to any made adjustments.
 

HomeRunBaker

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Played a little Under 215 in this Jazz/Nuggets game and some Under 105 Jazz TT. Both for a little more than pizza money.

Jazz lacked firepower without Bog and now lose Conley who was just rounding into form during the bubble. I’ve got a 107-99 Nuggets win in mind.

Was also looking at a few props with Ingles as the usage beneficiary of Conley’s absense but decided to pass.

Edit: Felt funky so played a 4-team win parlay with Den/Tor/Bos/Clips at +240. So nothing major early just enough to justify my opinion.
 

HomeRunBaker

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Plea to SoSH sports bettors. If you ever see me post an Under play in these bubble playoffs please use a GPS tracker, break down my door, and rip my iPad or oPhone from my grasp!

Pace doesn’t matter, projected reduced pace does not apply. When you are an NBA caliber player with these shooting backgrounds you are going to offensively outperform your pace and efficiency numbers. Period.

<end of rant>

REOPEN rant!!

In case you weren’t sure if I was a glutton and enjoy extreme amounts of pain I am here to confirm these fears. Sticking to my tried and true in-game regression method I just played Under 227.5 in this game. Somebody please shoot me.

Edit2: Good finish time half as they come out to a 222.5 number. Love crushing these regression numbers! So rewarding win or lose.
 
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Jed Zeppelin

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Plea to SoSH sports bettors. If you ever see me post an Under play in these bubble playoffs please use a GPS tracker, break down my door, and rip my iPad or oPhone from my grasp!

Pace doesn’t matter, projected reduced pace does not apply. When you are an NBA caliber player with these shooting backgrounds you are going to offensively outperform your pace and efficiency numbers. Period.

<end of rant>

REOPEN rant!!

In case you weren’t sure if I was a glutton and enjoy extreme amounts of pain I am here to confirm these fears. Sticking to my tried and true in-game regression method I just played Under 227.5 in this game. Somebody please shoot me.

Edit2: Good finish time half as they come out to a 222.5 number. Love crushing these regression numbers! So rewarding win or lose.
RIP
 

HomeRunBaker

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1q Celtics 76ers under 55?
I got 55.5 -112 pretty decent
Didn’t touch 1H or FT

I’m on my way to pick up some kerosene and have that ready for the first tv timeout to light my cash on fire.

I am leaning toward unloading on this Clipper Over as well as the TT Over. These shooters are focused being playoff games and all they need to do is rise up and the depth perception takes care of the rest. That Clipper game could fly way over that number. The more I handicap the more I have trouble finding many paths to an Under 230. LFG!!
 
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HomeRunBaker

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In-game Raptors -10.5

The 4Q is where the defense tightens up. A few bad shots by the Nets and this should get right back up toward 20
 

ElUno20

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I got 55.5 -112 pretty decent
Didn’t touch 1H or FT

I’m on my way to pick up some kerosene and have that ready for the first tv timeout to light my cash on fire.

I am leaning toward unloading on this Clipper Over as well as the TT Over. These shooters are focused being playoff games and all they need to do is rise up and the depth perception takes care of the rest. That Clipper game could fly way over that number. The more I handicap the more I have trouble finding many paths to an Under 230. LFG!!
I took clipps tt at 117.5. I'll lose money on that one with you. Too scared to touch philly boston
 

HomeRunBaker

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I took clipps tt at 117.5. I'll lose money on that one with you. Too scared to touch philly boston
I don’t blame you but I’m trusting my 1Q game plan read. I will be looking to get an in-game Over if the opportunity presents itself in this one too.

Reads have been spot-on. I got Under 227- in Nuggets and it got down as low at 208 until all hell broke loose. Same thing w Raptors got it to 18 but these Nets don’t quit.
 

ElUno20

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I don’t blame you but I’m trusting my 1Q game plan read. I will be looking to get an in-game Over if the opportunity presents itself in this one too.

Reads have been spot-on. I got Under 227- in Nuggets and it got down as low at 208 until all hell broke loose. Same thing w Raptors got it to 18 but these Nets don’t quit.
Did you play any series bets? I saw a couple days ago, okc was + money (even after the russ news) but last night I checked and it had flipped.
 

HomeRunBaker

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Did you play any series bets? I saw a couple days ago, okc was + money (even after the russ news) but last night I checked and it had flipped.
OKC was the only one I was possibly looking at but probably passing. The only series bets I was planning on pre-series were the two LA sweeps. Maybe someone will pop up in-series but I doubt it.
 

ugmo33

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Is there a way for MA residents to place bets? I'd love to put some cash down on Lakers point total
 

HomeRunBaker

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Is there a way for MA residents to place bets? I'd love to put some cash down on Lakers point total
 

HomeRunBaker

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Somehow I was able to grab the Clippers +4.5 during that last timeout. I do not recognize the universe we live in.
 

HomeRunBaker

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Somehow I was able to grab the Clippers +4.5 during that last timeout. I do not recognize the universe we live in.
Finally do what I should do so much more of. Grabbed Mavs +5 for an in-game middle. Free rolling in-game with ton of points scored. Game has chance to be the perfect storm.
 

shawnrbu

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Looking good with 135 1st Half total and Clippers 66.

Any guess on what the pregame O/U will be for Clippers/Mavs Game 2? How high would it need to be to not bet it, HRB?
 

HomeRunBaker

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Looking good with 135 1st Half total and Clippers 66.

Any guess on what the pregame O/U will be for Clippers/Mavs Game 2? How high would it need to be to not bet it, HRB?
If adjusted properly it should be a number that wouldn’t lead me to play it.....but I don’t think they can make it that high. I expect a min of 235 which is the lowest of what it should have been tonight but that won’t deter me.......if will just deter me from firing 1Q, 1H and FT on game tots and team total for as much as I can lol.

Clearly an over adjustment on these numbers based on playoff pace rather without taking bubble depth perception into account with focused shooters. Look for Miami’s shooters to really go off tomorrow.
 

HomeRunBaker

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Finally do what I should do so much more of. Grabbed Mavs +5 for an in-game middle. Free rolling in-game with ton of points scored. Game has chance to be the perfect storm.
From perfect storm to potential devastation lol. Incredible.
 

HomeRunBaker

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PatBev fuck offfffffffff
Ya know i wanted him to hit 1 but missing both allowed Dallas to continue scoring and fouling. The turning point was when Doncic decided not to take the 2 with 24 sec to go to cut to 4. That would have kept the fouling train going. Still no reason it should have come down to this. What a weird freakin NBA day.
 

ElUno20

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Got my W by 1 point on the clipps team total. Insane game, they should've hit it over by 10 or 15
 

HomeRunBaker

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Got my W by 1 point on the clipps team total. Insane game, they should've hit it over by 10 or 15
You got an awesome number. Good stuff. Even better is this will keep the total around the same for G2 and I don’t expect both teams to have another 18 minute drought like they had in the 2H.
 

Joe Sixpack

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Got my W by 1 point on the clipps team total. Insane game, they should've hit it over by 10 or 15
I had it at 118. It really made for an exciting finish at the end when it looked like the Mavs weren't going to foul with 10 seconds left. Happy to come away with a push there.
 

HomeRunBaker

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We are becoming so spoiled with bubble games beginning at 1:30pm every single freakin day! What a time to be alive!!!

Forgot I cashed my +240 ML parlay until this morning when my numbers on one account didn’t match mine. Good times! I expect similar chalk in today’s G1’s......this will change as each series continues as familiarity typically breeds contempt so we’ll have great ‘dog opportunities toward the weekend. But for now........

* Bucks 1H -7.5
* Over Bucks 1H TT 59.5

* ML Parlays (2 of them today)
Bucks/Heat/OKC/Lakers +305
Bucks/Heat/Lakers +150

I will be all over the Heat and their TT Over in the 4pm game. More likely to go full time here rather than 1H or 1Q
 

ElUno20

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Any cause for concern from the Bucks? Theyve played like shit but I'm feeling like they come out and smash orlando.
 

ElUno20

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We are becoming so spoiled with bubble games beginning at 1:30pm every single freakin day! What a time to be alive!!!

Forgot I cashed my +240 ML parlay until this morning when my numbers on one account didn’t match mine. Good times! I expect similar chalk in today’s G1’s......this will change as each series continues as familiarity typically breeds contempt so we’ll have great ‘dog opportunities toward the weekend. But for now........

* Bucks 1H -7.5
* Over Bucks 1H TT 59.5

* ML Parlays (2 of them today)
Bucks/Heat/OKC/Lakers +305
Bucks/Heat/Lakers +150

I will be all over the Heat and their TT Over in the 4pm game. More likely to go full time here rather than 1H or 1Q
Should i stay away from the 1q? Was thinking going up to bucks -5. Like what does orlando have for them? I guess giannis can be rusty from barreling people over and dunking.
 

HomeRunBaker

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Should i stay away from the 1q? Was thinking going up to bucks -5. Like what does orlando have for them? I guess giannis can be rusty from barreling people over and dunking.
I’m fine w/ 1Q Bucks too.

The Bucks looked like shit like the Lakers did in large part from being forced to play 8 meaningless exhibition games in a bubble. It was predictable that they slept through these games imo. As we saw yesterday’s consistent intensity (except for the Clips sleepwalking through half the game) I have no worries about the Bucks being prepared and ready to go today.
 

ugmo33

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Can drive to Twin River casino in Lincoln or Tiverton, RI too. Lots of options
I guess I was wondering if there are any options that don't involve driving out of state. It seems like offshore books might be the only way right? Any good ones?
 

ElUno20

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I guess I was wondering if there are any options that don't involve driving out of state. It seems like offshore books might be the only way right? Any good ones?
Bovada is the McDonald's i think. It's safe and quick. And very quick if you use bitcoin
 

HomeRunBaker

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I also played Bucks -12.5 with intent to come back with Magic for a middle. This game could be similar to the Raptors game with the Bucks jumping out early then taking their foot off the gas. Just have to figure out when they begin to coast then jump on the Magic live.
 

Joe Sixpack

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I use betonline.ag. It's reliable and payouts are quick. Any of the offshore books your quickest and easiest method for both deposits and withdrawals will be bitcoin - if you get set up on Coinbase (or similar) you can very easily exchange it back to USD in a matter of minutes and then send to your bank account.
 

ElUno20

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Great effort, Milwaukee. Taking an NBA break from burning my money until tomorrow.
 

Jed Zeppelin

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Need 14 points from Giannis in 2nd half. Feeling cautiously optimistic.
Grabbed Bucks -4.5 at the break.

I only bet with free money FD or DK drop into my account from time to time, so whatever.

Edit: Weeeeeeeeeeeeeee. That horrific missed pull-up three by Giannis with the lead down to three is the play of the game so far.

WELP GO HEAT AND LAKERS.
 
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lovegtm

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Game One hammers!
...
* Lakers -5.5 (Unload account, mortgage home, sell wife, 20* game of the decade!!).
* Lakers 1Q Team Total when it’s posted (they can’t make it high enough)
* Lakers +310 sweep (Shirley you can’t be Sirius?)

* Any and all wagers that have to do with the Lakers scoring are going to be plays. 1Q, 1H, etc etc. Too many to list. Should they lose while putting up 103 you’ll likely find me living with Hoffa when the bill comes due.

My power number on this game is 11 and this is without the variables that favor the Lakers in this spot. As impressive as the Blazers run was in Orlando they are running on fumes these past couple games and it is beginning to show defensively. Giving up 120 to a Morant, Slo-Mo and Dillon Brooks offense in a play-in game should raise more red flags. LeBron and AD should pretty much be able to name the score. There will be props out in these playoff games for margin of victory (1-5, 6-10, 11-15, etc). You may get a 132-93 final in this one. It could get THAT ugly.
I trusted you, HRB. I'm now living on the street and my wife is a sex slave in some country of whose name I have never even heard.
 

DJnVa

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All things end badly, or they wouldn't end...

He did nail the losing team getting 93 in the Lakers game though.