Maybe they’ll only be $20 million under the winning bid this time.
Also Breslow canceled an interview on MLB network, could be nothing could be something.
Maybe they’ll only be $20 million under the winning bid this time.
Also Breslow canceled an interview on MLB network, could be nothing could be something.
My first instinct would be the assume we are buckling in for a very long and drawn out (into at least late January at the min) game of chicken on Burnes as he holds out for one of Boston/SF/TOR to be his go 9 years sucker.That won't be enough. I think Boras asks for more as an opening bid.
Thanks. The SoxProspects guys don’t think he’s getting picked.Yordanny Monegro
(Who may or may not get selected, most of the national writers I have seen don't expect it to happen)
I think TOR gives him a massive deal in the next 24 hours.My first instinct would be the assume we are buckling in for a very long and drawn out (into at least late January at the min) game of chicken on Burnes as he holds out for one of Boston/SF/TOR to be his go 9 years sucker.
But I'm also curious to see how much of an impact not finding the big payday contracts last winter for Montgomery/Snell might potentially factor in to how Boras plays this hand out.
The conventional wisdom (and I basically agree with this) is that teams are unlikely to pick and keep a guy in MLB who hasn’t made it out of Single-A. You don’t see that many draft-and-stashes of developmental prospects these days.Thanks. The SoxProspects guys don’t think he’s getting picked.
Ok, so that made me laugh - I needed that.He needs time to put the gorilla suit on
How do you figure? Bello, Houck, Crawford, and Giolito are all under contract. Who gets bumped from the rotation to get that sixth starter?I think you nailed it. Attendance may not be down a ton in absolute terms, but it's very clear that the revenue generated from ticket sales is down meaningfully. The Sox were practically giving tickets away most of last season to put butts in seats.
And your NESN point is also dead on. Ratings have tumbled farrrrrr more than both national MLB games and local games on the few other powerhouse RSNs in NY and LA.
Not signing Soto didn't bother me in the least. Missing out on Fried pisses me off. Burnes is the only FA left that I really want. And they need more than one starter.
If anything, wouldn't having Crochet supercheap for two seasons make you more likely to spend on a 1A for your 1B?Guess Burnes is out.
If anything this trade puts us in a much less stressful position to wait out Burnes.I wouldn’t assume that.
Exactly.If anything this trade puts us in a much less stressful position to wait out Burnes.
Somebody gets traded in a market where pitchers are bringing huge returns?How do you figure? Bello, Houck, Crawford, and Giolito are all under contract. Who gets bumped from the rotation to get that sixth starter?
This is what bothers me so much, but no, they really didn't. Heading into the 2023 season they spent (roughly) $19m per year on Yoshida. $8m on one year of Turner (they also had a buyout), $10m on Kluber and $7m on Duvall and $8m on Martin. They could have spent $59m on guys that had an MLB track record or would have been part of the team for more than a season.I agree, it was a fair take by @Snoop Soxy Dogg .
However, signing premium players to rich, long contracts is also the way the game is currently being played. If the Sox choose not to participate in that market, then it seems unlikely that we'll win titles.
I'm also not sure that doing so means we have to "reset" every X years. The Sox purposefully chose to follow the path they've been on for the past 5 years. There were other options. Yes, those options involved spending more money. But it strikes me as odd that a fan base who also has a lot of Celtics fans in it wouldn't hold this ownership group to the same expectation as that one. Money is money. Ownership has a freaking TON of it. Getting taxed to account for the last couple years on a deal isn't a huge deal, unless they allow it to be.
Seriously? We can't "bump" Crawford (who wasn't good for the last 2/3rd of the season) or Giolito (who... well, duh).How do you figure? Bello, Houck, Crawford, and Giolito are all under contract. Who gets bumped from the rotation to get that sixth starter?
I was thinking more about their decisions to part with the core of the 2018 team.This is what bothers me so much, but no, they really didn't. Heading into the 2023 season they spent (roughly) $19m per year on Yoshida. $8m on one year of Turner (they also had a buyout), $10m on Kluber and $7m on Duvall and $8m on Martin. They could have spent $59m on guys that had an MLB track record or would have been part of the team for more than a season.
Going into 2022 they spent $5m on Rich Hill, $7m on Wacha, $3m on Strahm and $18m - factoring in both years for Jackie Bradley Jr (Hamilton and Binelas). That's $33m they could have spent elsewhere.
It's not that they haven't been spending, it's that they've been allocating the money they do spend on pieces that have done nothing to bolster the medium term of the franchise while staying relevant while waiting on prospects.
What makes me relieved about this trade is that it IS big. It seems too often in the last few years, we nibbled around the edges.
Unfortunately, it looks like they gave up more than we both thought they wouldI think it would be more than the offer you list, yes, but not wildly more. (Mostly, I just think that Bleis is kind of untradeable right now because of his terrible 2024; if he gets off to a hot start in 2025, he could change his outlook very quickly.)
White Sox leadership said that they want multiple MLB-ready starting position players, so the return depends in part on how serious they are about that. I'd expect it to be something like
But I think it's important to think about what other teams might offer. E.g., the Orioles could build a deal around Coby Mayo, but if I'm the White Sox I'd rather have an Abreu+ or Mayer+ package; Mayo's bat looks great, but there's position risk and they just got a young 3B, Miguel Vargas, back from the Dodgers.
- Wilyer Abreu, David Hamilton, Jhostynxon García, Yoeilin Cespedes, and Yordanny Monegro (if they want a lot of players, two of whom could break camp)
- Marcelo Mayer and García/Cespedes (if they want the highest-ceiling centerpiece they can get)
- Abreu and Kutter Crawford (presumably part of a three-team deal that involves Crawford heading elsewhere for more prospects)
They need to trade him. They will take the best package offered.
(Still, just give Burnes $300m: it sounds like the competition is the Giants and Blue Jays. We can win this one.)
my guess is that the red sox will deliver the exact same thing next season as they delivered this past season.they will make big offers to certain players that are lowball offers to players that they know wont come to boston.they will publicize the fact that they are all in on these players yet those players wouldnt even come to boston if we offered twice the money and half the years.the front office will appear that they are all in yet not a snowballs chance in hell of signing anyone good enuff to make a difference.we will probly trade a couple prospects for 35 to 40 year olds that are 4 or 5 years past their productive years.kinda like the pats did this year,the pats supposedly were all in on dhopkins...calvin ridley and tee higgins how long do henry and kraft think the fans will play this game and keep buying season tickets to teams that have no chance of competing.What Boras says.
What Boras is thinking while he says that "...because my client Yoshida is one of them. Boston paid him twice as much as anyone else offered and three times what he's worth. Had never even tried a lobster roll before. Now he can't get enough of them. He loves that place.
At least someone is learning to stop (at present count) quadrupling down on telling fans they're going to deliver. That's progress, I suppose.
Maybe? Teel feels like less than Mayer or Abreu (to me), but Montgomery feels like a lot more than Bleis or Hamilton.Unfortunately, it looks like they gave up more than we both thought they would
I would say that it’s Mayer then Teel then Abreu (if I had to guess).Maybe? Teel feels like less than Mayer or Abreu (to me), but Montgomery feels like a lot more than Bleis or Hamilton.
I'm strongly in agreement on Montgomery, but Meidroth is a weird one. He's a divisive player whom I think some teams would value highly and others very little. I'm a big Meidroth skeptic, personally, so I am glad we found him a contact-obsessed landing spot. He fits right in with Nicky Lopez and Lenyn Sosa.I would say that it’s Mayer then Teel then Abreu (if I had to guess).
Montgomery and Meidroth are definitely more valuable than the 2nd and 3rd pieces we proposed.
I think it was poor form to take that away from him anyways. There were already other threads for snark/dumping on the FO.Also, to be fair, I think @chawson should get to change the thread title back.
They have a hole in LF, Abreu could plug right in there, Kelenic notwithstanding.In light of the Teel trade, a deal with Atlanta for Sean Murphy makes a TON of sense. Massively upgrades C defense, and probably offense if his down year was an injury related aberration.
He’s got negative value on BTV, but not sure how he’d be valued in the real world, by ATL.
He’d be a fantastic pickup IMO. What would the Braves want for him?
Oh goody! So are the Pirates btwAnd Boston is still way below the luxury tax.
I don’t understand…
So multiple non-Red Sox players hear about the deal and they immediately reach out to Carrabis? Huh?
Yeah he’s friends with a lot of playersSo multiple non-Red Sox players hear about the deal and they immediately reach out to Carrabis? Huh?
Contrary to a lot current beliefs on this board I think ownership really does want and feel a need to walk out of this offseason making at least one higher end spending splash.
I mean, probably. But when guys have zero time on a professional diamond it’s tough to pimp them as the centerpiece.Maybe? Teel feels like less than Mayer or Abreu (to me), but Montgomery feels like a lot more than Bleis or Hamilton.
love this. Love it.MLB Network reporting the Red Sox have signed Sean Manaea.