It’s spread out even more this year than last year. Milking it all they can. Can’t blame them I guess when the alternative is Hot Stove with Vasgersian and Harold Reynolds all day.Don’t know why they ever did, or still do, wait until the middle of November and spread it out like they do.
They've always been announced in November for as long as I can remember. And spread out over a few days. In fact, I remember it being one award per day over a couple week period. Like AL MOY on Monday, NL MOY on Tuesday, AL ROY on Wednesday, NL ROY on Thursday, then the following week they did the same thing with the CY and MVP. It's only recently that they started pairing the AL/NL winners of each award to the same night and show.
Yeah, same reason the NFL moved the draft and changed other things around as well. They also don't want to take attention away from the playoffs by announcing the awards during postseason.As I understand it award winner announcements are spread out to keep MLB in the news as long as possible into the off-season.
Shoot, this post just made me want to start buying packs of cards again next spring, just so that I can hopefully get that feeling of opening a pack and finding a Mookie card.Mookie's gonna have a lot of bold, italics numbers on the back of his baseball card...
In a year that featured a number of standout performances, none was better than that of Boston’s 26-year-old right fielder. Betts earned American League MVP honors by becoming just the fifth player of the 21st century to crack 10.0 WAR in a single season — and he was the rare player to outduel WAR machine Mike Trout for the top slot in the league. Add in Boston’s World Series victory (which Betts punctuated with a home run in the clinching contest), and Betts had himself a year for the ages in 2018.
Right - each player season is ranked against each player season IN THEIR OWN SPORT since 2000, so Mookie had the 4th best MLB WAR since 2000, which is a better ranking than any other MLB/NFL/NBA player within their own sport.Is that what that means? It’s not like a cumulative thing?
Not to pick nits, but Mookie turned 26 on October 7th, which changes the calculus in a meaningful way, I think. A 10-year contract through age 35 has a lot more downside than one through age 33, IMO.Bump...
I'm not sure 10/300 gets it done? What are we thinking here?
IMO Mookie at 24 is the rare player that I'd have zero problem locking up for a decade. Incredible skill, arguably perfect demeanor/mindset, young, etc... While no long term MLB contract is "low risk", IMO this is about a sure thing as you can find in the game.
Big question is, is this top of market for MLB salaries? I know the average salary declined a touch this past year. Is this the peak of big FA dollars? Or will $30MM a year be "Cheap" come the mid 2020's as this contract winds down?
|3-Year Avg WAR||8|
|Total Present Value||$377.04|
|Total Contract NPV||$196.84|
|Season||Age||WAR||Player Value||Inflation Factor||NPV Player||Contract Value||NPV Contract|
Hey Pitt, appreciate all the effort.. I think projecting Mookie for 36.0 WAR between 26-29 could be a tad optimistic, especially considering potential injury. Since 2000, only one player has reached that mark in their age 26-29 seasons: Pujols racked up 36.2 WAR over that period, per baseball-reference.com. Mookie is certainly capable of that level of production, and I hope he does, but that's probably the upper limit of what he will do.The first task is to estimate how much WAR Mookie will generate in each of the next 10 seasons. According to Fangraphs, a good rule of thumb is to estimate that a player loses 0.5 WAR per season starting with his age 30 season. Mookie's 3-year WAR average is ~8.0 WAR; therefore, let's assume he averages that from 26-29 and then drops 0.5 WAR each year after that. This projects Mookie as a 5.0 WAR player at age 35, which is still excellent, and he would total an astounding 69.5 total WAR over a theoretical 10-year contract. (We can certainly debate whether Mookie will still be a 5.0 WAR player at age 35, but this is where I'm starting my analysis).
I think that's a key question. I'm willing to bet that there are going to be some significant changes to the next CBA, and this might well be one of the. The current system is clearly not working as the parties intended - well, at least some of the owners may be happy that it has worked as a constraint on spending, but it has not had the effect of having the FA spending reallocated to other teams.Will this calculus change at all if the "soft cap" is eliminated in the next CBA? How much could the Sox spend on payroll if they didnt have to worry about luxury tax? Would an overpay now be a significant underpay if we could just blow through that number?
|Season||Age||WAR||Player Value||Discount Factor||NPV Player||Contract Value||NPV Contract|
|3-Year Avg WAR||7|
|Total Present Value||$332.84|
|Total Contract NPV||$243.33|