Misc. NFL Offseason News

nattysez

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Sep 30, 2010
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I think he averages $55m, just like Trevor and Burrow, so I guess Rapsheet means "tied for the highest average annual salary," unless I'm missing something.

It’s good to be a QB. No idea what Jerry is doing with Dak. There are a million recent comps now.
I think he thinks Lance can start next season.
 
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BigJimEd

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I think he averages $55m, just like Trevor and Burrow, so I guess Rapsheet means "tied for the highest average annual salary," unless I'm missing something.
Rapsheet is just transcribing what the agent tells him.
 

Cotillion

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By the time the Pats re-sign Maye, what will QBs be getting? $75 million a year?
If Cap keeps going up... the QB raw number will keep going up.... the real question is when the percentage of the cap starts getting outsized than it becomes interesting...
 

johnmd20

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By the time the Pats re-sign Maye, what will QBs be getting? $75 million a year?
A 100% yes, if the NFL doesn't lose the Sunday Ticket lawsuit appeal. A loss there could limit the cap for a couple of years.

It is clear sports are the one thing networks and streamers can buy that gets eyes on ads. And they *are* buying. And they *are* showing a metric fuckton of ads. And the NFL is the king of it and only getting bigger due to its perfect schedule (kids across the country can actually watch most of the most important games of the season) and ownership of one day a week during their season.
 

axx

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It’s good to be a QB. No idea what Jerry is doing with Dak. There are a million recent comps now.
I suspect he is getting franchised. Could then be traded, could just force him to play one more year and then let him go.

He turns 31 on Monday so perhaps the thought is they don't want to commit long term.
 

slamminsammya

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If Cap keeps going up... the QB raw number will keep going up.... the real question is when the percentage of the cap starts getting outsized than it becomes interesting...
Is there any easily accessible data on what the average cap pct hit of QBs has been over time? I know the cap numbers exist somewhere but I don’t want to have to divide by each teams specific cap number per year.
 

johnmd20

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I suspect he is getting franchised. Could then be traded, could just force him to play one more year and then let him go.

He turns 31 on Monday so perhaps the thought is they don't want to commit long term.
He will be a full free agent next year. He cannot be franchised.
 
Is there any easily accessible data on what the average cap pct hit of QBs has been over time? I know the cap numbers exist somewhere but I don’t want to have to divide by each teams specific cap number per year.
I'm too lazy to run the full numbers but OTC has historical QB contracts as a percentage of the cap at signing in one table.
https://overthecap.com/contract-history/quarterback

13 of the biggest 15 QB contracts (ie above 20% of the cap) are current, so even adjusting for the cap rising significantly in recent years there's been a significant shift in resources going to that position. All the remaining 5 of the top 20 are since 2020 too.

A decade ago, the highest contract would've been Brett Favre in 1997 (19% of cap) and 10th would've been Matt Ryan (16.9%). Now Joe Burrow (24.5%) and Deshaun Watson (22.1%) hold those marks. So it's maybe around a 25-30% increase in cap hits going to top QBs (and more to good-but-not-great QBs) over the past few years.

86273
 

slamminsammya

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I'm too lazy to run the full numbers but OTC has historical QB contracts as a percentage of the cap at signing in one table.
https://overthecap.com/contract-history/quarterback

13 of the biggest 15 QB contracts (ie above 20% of the cap) are current, so even adjusting for the cap rising significantly in recent years there's been a significant shift in resources going to that position. All the remaining 5 of the top 20 are since 2020 too.

A decade ago, the highest contract would've been Brett Favre in 1997 (19% of cap) and 10th would've been Matt Ryan (16.9%). Now Joe Burrow (24.5%) and Deshaun Watson (22.1%) hold those marks. So it's maybe around a 25-30% increase in cap hits going to top QBs (and more to good-but-not-great QBs) over the past few years.

View attachment 86273
thanks that’s interesting. i’m surprised it hasn’t shifted more actually given how important passing is now compared to the past
 

Cotillion

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thanks that’s interesting. i’m surprised it hasn’t shifted more actually given how important passing is now compared to the past
Considering how little running backs make these days I would bet a lot of that gain has been at their expense. Running backs used to be a bigger piece of the pie I bet, but today they treat them as fungible assets they can just plug and play as needed barring one or two standouts (and even those guys seem to struggle to get paid).
 

BrandyWhine

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Sam Williams, Cowboys DE suffered serious knee injury yesterday.
If they call to ask about Judon would Pats consider a trade e.g., for draft pick(s)?
 

johnmd20

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Considering how little running backs make these days I would bet a lot of that gain has been at their expense. Running backs used to be a bigger piece of the pie I bet, but today they treat them as fungible assets they can just plug and play as needed barring one or two standouts (and even those guys seem to struggle to get paid).
Aint that a fact. Christian McCaffrey is just about the most important non QB player in the NFL. And he makes a third of what Jared Goff makes.
 

Justthetippett

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Sam Williams, Cowboys DE suffered serious knee injury yesterday.
If they call to ask about Judon would Pats consider a trade e.g., for draft pick(s)?
For sure. I think Judon will be elsewhere this year and it's a matter of time and seeing what offers shake out throughout camp.
 

DJnVa

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Hall of Fame game tonight, Houston and Chicago. Williams and Stroud aren't playing, but we'll get a chance to see the new kickoff rules.
 

joe dokes

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Other than saving the time it takes for the chain gang to get out there, what does this accomplish?

The optimal tracking system notifies officials instantly if a first down was gained after the ball is spotted by hand.
Still the weak link in the chain, so to speak.
 

speedracer

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Jul 19, 2005
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Hall of Fame game tonight, Houston and Chicago. Williams and Stroud aren't playing, but we'll get a chance to see the new kickoff rules.
Only saw the last two KOs, but my first impression is that teams really need to use two FBs as returners because it seems like there’s always going to be at least one guy on the kicking team who will breach the line easily
 

Old Fart Tree

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Did you watch the "one full season" they're condescendingly referring to? We should be so lucky to have Maye worth as much and signing for so little four years from now.
I did. In fact, I took the money line on them to upset Dallas in the playoffs. Still seems like an overpay to me, but the cap keeps going up and QBs keep getting huge pay increases, so what do I know.
 

cshea

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Aiyuk still doesn't have any levarge so I'm not sure why San Francisco would suddenly be interested in trading him. He can't sit the entire year out. He asked for a trade but the issue doesn't seem like he's unhappy with being in San Francisco it's just he wants his money, doesn't care much who is paying him. What levers can he pull? Go full Judon on the sidelines each day? From the 9ers standpoint, I don't see what has changed in the last few weeks that would suddenly motivate them to move Aiyuk. The only real reason is to resolve the situation. If they decide they aren't going to pay him, I still think they're better off telling him so and see you in week 6 (or whatever it is before the year tolls on his contract) and playing the year out.
 

Mystic Merlin

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I agree. Given the age/performance curve and contract situations for their core players, this season represents their best shot at a title before some of their core players age out or the roster gets too expensive. I don’t see a world where all of Deebo, Kittle and Aiyuk are on the roster next season, and anyone who replaces one of them in 2025 is almost certainly not going to be more productive.

SF needs to stay the course with this contract standoff - Aiyuk is good enough to make a difference for them this year. After the season you can look to extend him, franchise and trade, or let him walk and likely collect a third round comp pick in 2026.
 
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Oct 12, 2023
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Bourne + 2025 2nd feels like a good deal to me.
Why would the 49ers want Bourne? Soon to be 30 year old #3 WR coming off a torn ACL with a brand new (sort of inexplicable) 3 year contract?

If you’re the 49ers and trying to replace Aiyuk in a season where you’re trying to win a Lombardi with a potentially rapidly closing window, Bourne isn’t really appealing. He likely won’t be available for part of the season and guys often don’t look right their first year back from ACL injuries (and he’s not exactly a star as it is so he might look especially pedestrian). Moving forward, committing any sort of meaningful salary to a #3 quality WR seems counterproductive for the 49ers given their need to keep their core mostly intact.

If I were the 49ers, I’d be looking for a young cheap roster player (Douglas and Sow are really the only 2 who kind of fit) or, more realistically, additional picks. Although I still don’t think it makes sense to trade him

The 49ers with Aiyuk and Bengals with Higgins are in the same kind of spot. They have a clear path to being a Super Bowl contender this year with those guys. If the season falls apart due to bad luck/injury etc, trade them at the deadline. Otherwise, they’re a lot more valuable than a 2nd round pick is likely going to ever be.

There’s this idea that it’s better to trade players than “lose them for nothing” but they’d likely net a comp pick and you get a full year of their prime while you’re contending. This isn’t a rebuilding team where the guy is being wasted.

Unless they can get a 1st rounder from a bottom 5 type team (Pats, Denver, Carolina), trading a star WR just isn’t worth it.
 

gammoseditor

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Several reports said the chances of Aiyuk being traded have gone up. If I were running the 49ers I’d keep him and figure it out after the season too, but it’s increasingly likely that’s not what’s going to happen. I don’t think anyone is offering a projected top 5 pick because outside of QB teams don’t do that. If the Pats can get him for less than a 1st I’d be thrilled.
 

RedOctober3829

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Jul 19, 2005
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deep inside Guido territory
“The 49ers have negotiated the frameworks of trades that would send wide receiver Brandon Aiyuk to the Cleveland Browns and the New England Patriots, a league source told NBC Sports Bay Area on Monday night.

Now, it is up to Aiyuk to determine if he will accept the contract terms from either of those franchises, the source said.

The 49ers gave permission to Aiyuk to negotiate potential contracts with the Browns, Patriots, Washington Commanders and Pittsburgh Steelers, the source
saiid
View: https://twitter.com/_andrewcallahan/status/1820651586756006097?s=46&t=IVL2VrlFgLlpc3mjGGto8Q