- Jul 31, 2007
This post seems on point. One of the many long term outcomes the paid experts predict is possible is that CoVid-19 becomes essentially another endemic flu, something we deal with every year or every few years. There is a long way between here and there; the mortality rate has to get much lower than the current WHO estimate of >3%; the hospitalization rate needs to be much lower; and there needs to be at least a partially effective vaccine and/or treatment. Whether this is feasible or not remains to be seen, but this outcome should not be unexpected. I personally hope for a better outcome, but time will tell. There are also outcomes that are far more pear-shaped that I'd rather not delve into right now.I first brought up the flu only to speak of the possibility of the coronavirus mutating, and I wondered if herd immunity would take care of it if new strains could pop up like what happens with the flu from time to time. Then cornwalls@6 said, "The flu shot is far from bullet proof, as you point out. But despite still high infection rates, and not insignificant mortality numbers in some years, we don't shut down public life and the economy out of a fear of getting the flu." And I was just responding to that last point about how we don't shut public life down, even in bad flu seasons which infect 40+ million people, hospitalize 600,000+ people, and kill 50,000+ people. Those numbers are pretty bad and we really don't do anything different. Which is true.
I don't see how me saying that means you guys are coming away thinking that I think that covid-19 is basically the flu. I never said it was or even hinted at it. I'm just making one simple point. I notice that nobody is pushing back on cornwalls@6 for saying what he said as I quoted above. (nor should you)
So again, I don't understand what you guys think I'm thinking that needs to change.
In any event, if such an outcome were to come to pass, yes, there would indeed be a resumption of professional sports.