KAT to Knicks for Randle, DiVincenzo, 1st

Auger34

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That said, KAT is potentially a much better fit with the Knicks than Randle. Positionally he's exactly what they need - a big PF who is very comfortable playing center when Robinson is injured or on the bench (he's 4 inches taller than Randle and was a full-time center before Gobert). There were whispers that Randle didn't fit in with the Nova crew, and that's not a thing anymore. Randle is a free agent at the end of the year, KAT is guaranteed for the next 3 years. Both guys have had serious issues in the playoffs, I'll say that a change of scenery is good for both in that regard. I really do like this for the Knicks (though I'm sorry they were so quick to break up the Nova group), this is a risk well worth taking for them. I like it less for Minnesota, but the salary relief and simply a reset on their 2nd star makes it worth a shot.



Twitter is a fucking cesspool right now, but can still come up with gems like this.
I think a lot of KAT’s deficiencies as a 4 were covered by Gobert. IMO, KAT will be playing as the 5 for the vast majority of the time in New York.

The offense will be very good but I don’t think a team that has bad defenders at the 1 and the 5 can win big.

EDIT: I also don’t think KAT has the personality to play in NY. It seems like he’s the type of player that the media can chew up and spit out.
 

lovegtm

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I'm trying to imagine KAT playing on those meat grinder series this past summer where everyone was playing 40+ minutes and I just can't see it.
Jaylen and Jayson are going to iso him on the perimeter over and over and over. If you thought watching Lively and Gafford get repeatedly cooked was painful.....
 

Auger34

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Jaylen and Jayson are going to iso him on the perimeter over and over and over. If you thought watching Lively and Gafford get repeatedly cooked was painful.....
If the Knicks and Celtics meet in the playoffs I think KAT will foul out of every game they play.

As @Dahabenzapple2 said above, the guy is a tremendously dumb player.
 

benhogan

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I'm not sure why, but KAT just doesn't scare me. Plants himself on the 3pt line on offense, jump shooting BIG. We have guys that can guard that. A low-energy defender who struggles guarding the perimeter. Always in foul trouble.
 

gammoseditor

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I'm not sure KAT > Randle in a vacuum is a given. They've both made all-nba twice (3rd team twice for Kat, 2nd and 3rd once each for Randle), but Randle more recently. Both guys have plenty of questions defensively, but Randle feels a bit more solid. There was definitely a point where KAT had the higher ceiling (6-8 years ago I remember when KAT won the GM survey for the player GMs would most like to start a team with), but he'll be 29 in November, that ship has sailed. By Darko KAT has been solidly better throughout his career, but are at just about the exact same point right now:

View attachment 89315

That said, KAT is potentially a much better fit with the Knicks than Randle. Positionally he's exactly what they need - a big PF who is very comfortable playing center when Robinson is injured or on the bench (he's 4 inches taller than Randle and was a full-time center before Gobert). There were whispers that Randle didn't fit in with the Nova crew, and that's not a thing anymore. Randle is a free agent at the end of the year, KAT is guaranteed for the next 3 years. Both guys have had serious issues in the playoffs, I'll say that a change of scenery is good for both in that regard. I really do like this for the Knicks (though I'm sorry they were so quick to break up the Nova group), this is a risk well worth taking for them. I like it less for Minnesota, but the salary relief and simply a reset on their 2nd star makes it worth a shot.



Twitter is a fucking cesspool right now, but can still come up with gems like this.
I think Randle’s fatal flaw is he is a bad fit everywhere. Saying KAT is a better fit with the Knicks is the whole point. Randle does some things well but he demands a usage rate so high and has enough limitations that it’s counterproductive. And then he gets hurt.
 

Everetts Dinosaurs

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I can't wait to watch MSG implode when KAT does something absolutely moronic to cost them a game 7 where he's shooting 3/14 and fouls out.
 

Auger34

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I'm not sure why, but KAT just doesn't scare me. Plants himself on the 3pt line on offense, jump shooting BIG. We have guys that can guard that. A low-energy defender who struggles on the perimeter. Always seems like he is in foul trouble.
I don’t think anyone that watches him is. He’s got a ton of talent but there’s something missing. He’s one of the lowest IQ defenders I have ever seen play. He’s a foul machine and he’s not a particularly tough player.

I think their ceiling is now higher but I am not any more afraid of the Knicks today than I was yesterday. For a player as talented as KAT, that’s pretty damning
 

Cellar-Door

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I can’t be the only one thinking that Towns and Thibodeau together are a really awkward fit. This feels like the Knicks panicked a bit after Robinson was out for longer than hoped, after they had assembled what looked like it could be a really cohesive unit. Certainly a talent upgrade at a position of need… but we’ll see.
Thibs coached him for 3 years earlier in his career.

I'm not sure KAT > Randle in a vacuum is a given. They've both made all-nba twice (3rd team twice for Kat, 2nd and 3rd once each for Randle), but Randle more recently. Both guys have plenty of questions defensively, but Randle feels a bit more solid. There was definitely a point where KAT had the higher ceiling (6-8 years ago I remember when KAT won the GM survey for the player GMs would most like to start a team with), but he'll be 29 in November, that ship has sailed. By Darko KAT has been solidly better throughout his career, but are at just about the exact same point right now:

View attachment 89315
That chart shows that even if you believe the trend... KAT is still much better (3.5 vs 2.1 current DARKO, 3.5 DPM is good for a tie for 17th best in the league with Steph and Ant, 2.1 is 37th in the league)
 

wade boggs chicken dinner

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Honestly, I just feel bad for Timbersolves fans right now. They finally have a decent teams for the first time in a couple of decades and they pull this? I went to their Reddit and had to leave after a couple of minutes. Genuine human suffering over there.
You would think MIN fans woyld have some faith in Connelly by now.

Randle is eligible for a 4/$181M extension.
View: https://bleacherreport.com/articles/10026371-knicks-t-wolves-updated-rosters-salary-cap-after-karl-anthony-towns-trade
. I wonder if MIN offers it (I think they have to) and I wonder if Randle would take it (not many teams with cap room next year).
 

benhogan

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I don’t think anyone that watches him is. He’s got a ton of talent but there’s something missing. He’s one of the lowest IQ defenders I have ever seen play. He’s a foul machine and he’s not a particularly tough player.

I think their ceiling is now higher but I am not any more afraid of the Knicks today than I was yesterday. For a player as talented as KAT, that’s pretty damning
Yea that's exactly my gut feeling too.

BUT some advanced metric will probably tell us we're wrong. His +2 DARKO D-rating has to be due to him playing on the best defensive team last year
 

JCizzle

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When will the NBA media turn on the NYK for shanking a guy like DiVinvenzo that did everything for them like IT. Hmmm.
 

Auger34

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Yea that's exactly my gut feeling too.

BUT some advanced metric will probably tell us we're wrong. His +2 DARKO D-rating has to be due to him playing on the best defensive team last year
He’s a very good offensive player (and actually high IQ on offense? It’s really weird to watch him play) and a good shooter but the Knicks still won’t technically be playing “5 out” because Josh Hart is such an unwilling shooter.

And KOC has fallen off so far in the past few years it’s crazy. I basically don’t pay attention to anything he says now
 

Devizier

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Feels like an easy win for the Knicks. I can see the arguments about how it might be a push on the talent but the contracts swing it well in their favor.
 

Euclis20

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I think Randle’s fatal flaw is he is a bad fit everywhere. Saying KAT is a better fit with the Knicks is the whole point. Randle does some things well but he demands a usage rate so high and has enough limitations that it’s counterproductive. And then he gets hurt.
He's a better fit on the court and contractually (if things work out), but his fit with Thibs was occasionally an issue in Minnesota, I don't trust him playing in the NYC pressure cooker, and he's got a much longer list of playoff failures than Randle (32 games to 15, plus Randle was pretty seriously hurt for at least half of those). Randle's ultimate playoff problem feels like when his jumper was off, his offense (which is the majority of his value) was bad. KAT's biggest problem is that his basketball IQ is in the bottom 10% among all-stars, and I don't know which issue is more fixable.

Thibs coached him for 3 years earlier in his career.


That chart shows that even if you believe the trend... KAT is still much better (3.5 vs 2.1 current DARKO, 3.5 DPM is good for a tie for 17th best in the league with Steph and Ant, 2.1 is 37th in the league)
Fair enough on Darko, that's a bigger gap than I initially assumed based on the image. I do think this was a good gamble for the Knicks, who despite the hype and vegas odds, were clearly a player short and there's a decent chance Kat is that guy.
 

ekim colorwaterpit

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I live in mn and I think the T wolves fans are going to be over joyed by this. KAT always came up smallest in the biggest moments and he and Gobert never fit. Not to mention everyone wanted more Naz and less KAT.
 

RG33

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I don’t think this trade is bad value for the Knickerbockers, but if I were a Knickerbocker fan, this would be a pretty uninspiring move overall in my hopes to try and overtake the Celts by adding another elite talent to Brunson & Bridges. KAT is what he is — and I struggle to see how he will help you win games in June.
 

Ed Hillel

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What does Julius Randle do better?
DD isn’t nothing, in fact he’s a very good player, so it’s not a swap out talent wise.

KAT is just a guy who, to this point, tends to play like a selfish idiot in the biggest moments. He’s shown himself pretty consistently to be mentally weak. He’s the antithesis of the 2023 Knicks. He and Thibs seem like oil and water, and it does not seem their first go-round went so well.

Personally, I don’t really understand why the Knicks would deviate from what was working and just hope for better health. I reserve the right to change my mind, but I was more scared of the January-March version of the 2024 Knicks than I am of the October 2024 version. Too much of the toughness is gone.

Conversely, from a roster construction perspective, I love this for Minnesota.
 

Euclis20

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He’s a very good offensive player (and actually high IQ on offense? It’s really weird to watch him play) and a good shooter but the Knicks still won’t technically be playing “5 out” because Josh Hart is such an unwilling shooter.

And KOC has fallen off so far in the past few years it’s crazy. I basically don’t pay attention to anything he says now
Hart's 3 point shot is a mystery. There were some articles in NY in early March about how he had fixed his 3 point shot...then in a 2 week sample from 3/10-3/23 (7 games), he shot 2-30 from 3 (.067). In his 4 playoff series over the last two years, his 3P% has been .455, .238, .432 and .273. Trick or treat, the good news for the Knicks is that if Robinson is healthy they can confidently sit him at the end of games (Brunson, Bridges, OG, KAT, Robinson).

And yeah, the great thing about KOC leaving the ringer is that I can ignore him entirely now. He's a boring, usually wrong hot-take artist. 3 great reasons to disregard entirely.

One other thought on this move, I'm generally not a big fan of trading quantity for quality when two of your starters are already super injury prone, unless the guy(s) being sent out is also an injury risk. The Celtics did this last year when they lost Brogdon/Smart/TL/Grant for Jrue and KP, but 3 of those 4 guys Boston lost were major injury risks (who proved it this past season, Brogdon/Smart/TL missed a combined 181 games).
 

Cellar-Door

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I don't think you can just aggregate talent it.
In the playoffs only so many guys play, and while Donte definitely is an upgrade from NAW and Kyle Anderson (though I think it's closer than people think)... KAT was the 2nd best player on that team in the playoffs, Randle is going to be expected to step in and play 34+ MPG in the playoffs and he's clearly a worse player, in particular you're downgrading from one of the best floor spacing and high volume shooting bigs in the league to a bad one, in an offense that was already below average last year.

Edit- for all that people criticize KAT (rightly, in particular for dumb fouls) playoff performances.... Randle has the same rep and MUCH worse performance in the playoffs than KAT.
 

benhogan

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I live in mn and I think the T wolves fans are going to be over joyed by this. KAT always came up smallest in the biggest moments and he and Gobert never fit. Not to mention everyone wanted more Naz and less KAT.
This is very clearly Anthony Edward's team now and Naz Reid had a breakout year last season.

This trade kind of helps both teams
 

slamminsammya

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Regarding the "KAT is soft mentally" takes that may be, but Ive also seen so many guys get that label and subsequently improve their playoff performances that I no longer pretend to have any insight into guys mentalities. Maybe he just had a shooting slump. Hes a good player and definitely better than Randle.

Regarding KAT's DPM being +2 I think its just a case of those on/off metrics still struggle with parsing out teammates impacts on defense. Looks to me like that +2 is just a "I play a lot of minutes with Gobert and McDaniels" relic.
 

Euclis20

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I don't think you can just aggregate talent it.
In the playoffs only so many guys play, and while Donte definitely is an upgrade from NAW and Kyle Anderson (though I think it's closer than people think)... KAT was the 2nd best player on that team in the playoffs, Randle is going to be expected to step in and play 34+ MPG in the playoffs and he's clearly a worse player, in particular you're downgrading from one of the best floor spacing and high volume shooting bigs in the league to a bad one, in an offense that was already below average last year.

Edit- for all that people criticize KAT (rightly, in particular for dumb fouls) playoff performances.... Randle has the same rep and MUCH worse performance in the playoffs than KAT.
I posted this earlier, but it's a much smaller sample for Randle. 3 series across 2 seasons for Randle compared with 6 series across 4 seasons for Kat, plus Randle was playing on a badly sprained ankle for two of those series in 2023. Kat has a solidly higher ceiling as a player (and is a better fit with the Knicks than Randle is with the Wolves, I think) but I think there's more reason to believe Randle's playoff failings are less indicative of future performance than they are for Kat.
 

EvilEmpire

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They needed to move on from Randle and I don't know that they would have gotten a better opportunity than this, even with the loss of DiVincenzo. I referenced it earlier in the thread, but I do worry a little about KAT and Thibs getting along, though I did read that they patched things up. Patching things up doesn't mean they'll work well together on the same team though. So yeah, there is some risk there. Maybe defensively too, but I think I need to see the team on the floor together for a good bit before I get too worried about that.

I do think the Knicks have as strong of a team culture as they've had in a long time. Not Miami Heat cultish or anything, but strong. I don't know if that helps or hurts KAT meshing with his teammates, but I'm hopeful.

I like the trade. The ceiling on this team is higher. I don't think the floor is much lower, if at all, because they couldn't count on Randle to stay healthy and he needed the ball too much when he was. I wasn't thrilled with the idea of Randle playing a bunch of minutes at center. I'm bummed about DiVincenzo but KAT is a better talent.


Edit: I do think it is cool that he's from Jersey and was a Knicks fan growing up.

https://www.slamonline.com/archives/karl-anthony-towns-ive-always-been-a-knicks-fan/#:~:text=Karl-Anthony Towns and his,New York, the potential No.

Karl-Anthony Towns and his family couldn’t afford to buy tickets for him to see his beloved New York Knicks during his youth. But if the Ping-Pong balls bounce the right way during Tuesday night’s NBA draft lottery in New York, the potential No. 1 pick could end up playing for the rebuilding franchise that he has watched since he was a child.

“I’ve always been a Knicks fan,” Towns, 19, told Yahoo Sports in a phone interview. “I never was able to afford passes to the games. We were able to afford cable and got the MSG channel so I could watch every Knick game. It made me more of a fan because I could watch every big game.

“My best friend was a Nets fan so it made for a cool rivalry. My favorite player for the Knicks is a tie between Walt Frazier and Patrick Ewing, but I liked Patrick Ewing a lot. But I’ve never been to a Knicks game. I could never afford to go there.”
 
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Ed Hillel

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Regarding the "KAT is soft mentally" takes that may be, but Ive also seen so many guys get that label and subsequently improve their playoff performances that I no longer pretend to have any insight into guys mentalities. Maybe he just had a shooting slump. Hes a good player and definitely better than Randle.

Regarding KAT's DPM being +2 I think its just a case of those on/off metrics still struggle with parsing out teammates impacts on defense. Looks to me like that +2 is just a "I play a lot of minutes with Gobert and McDaniels" relic.
It’s way more than shooting with KAT. He commits stupid fouls and loses control of his emotions. It’s hard to miss.

Yeah, it could change, but it’s not a random shooting variance thing, it’s a real issue.
 

JCizzle

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Regarding the "KAT is soft mentally" takes that may be, but Ive also seen so many guys get that label and subsequently improve their playoff performances that I no longer pretend to have any insight into guys mentalities. Maybe he just had a shooting slump. Hes a good player and definitely better than Randle.

Regarding KAT's DPM being +2 I think its just a case of those on/off metrics still struggle with parsing out teammates impacts on defense. Looks to me like that +2 is just a "I play a lot of minutes with Gobert and McDaniels" relic.
Is it really a take when we’ve all seen him commit some of the dumbest fucking fouls of all time in our faces? Dude plays like an absolute dumbass in ways that won’t show up in the box score. Like you and Ed said, maybe that changes, but man…
 

Cellar-Door

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I posted this earlier, but it's a much smaller sample for Randle. 3 series across 2 seasons for Randle compared with 6 series across 4 seasons for Kat, plus Randle was playing on a badly sprained ankle for two of those series in 2023. Kat has a solidly higher ceiling as a player (and is a better fit with the Knicks than Randle is with the Wolves, I think) but I think there's more reason to believe Randle's playoff failings are less indicative of future performance than they are for Kat.
The problem is KAT's "failings" are still a better player than Randle.

KAT last year in the playoffs:
19/9/3 on .581 TS, 25.2 USG and only 9.3 TOV%

Randle has never had a regular season with higher efficiency since he joined the Knicks, and most years he's well below it, turns it over a higher rate, etc. etc.

KAT's playoff woes are somewhat overblown, and he's a significantly better player so even if he does see a decrease (most players do) in the playoffs, the result is STILL better than Randle at his best, and Randle has never shown he can play well in the playoffs despite being 30 and a 10 year vet.

There is no evidence to suggest Randle is anything but a downgrade, likely a significant one from KAT.
 

ifmanis5

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The starting 5 makes a lot more sense now but they lost that gritty tag. The DD 3 against Philly was the biggest Knicks bucket in a long time. I think the fans are going to miss that identity.
 

FredCDobbs

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As bad as KAT was against Dallas he was great against Denver. He was the key defender wearing down Jokic. Also made some huge shots in that series.

He is a premier talent, given up for Donte Devincenzo and a 2nd Rounder. They won't give Randle big money.

KAT has his problems and does dumb shit, I know, but Gobert is overrated statistically and gets played off the court in the biggest games. I would have traded him and kept KAT.

KAT can and did get better last year. Gobert is only going downhill at this point.

KAT makes threes. You think the rest of that team will be happy watching Randle brick threes? No way.

Bad vibes trade too. Connolly got too clever by half here.
 

Murderer's Crow

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The starting 5 makes a lot more sense now but they lost that gritty tag. The DD 3 against Philly was the biggest Knicks bucket in a long time. I think the fans are going to miss that identity.
Deuce is ready to step up and there's enough gritt with basically the whole rest of the roster. Not worried about anything in this trade except the drawbacks of KAT but I trust in Thibs.
 

the moops

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I live in mn and I think the T wolves fans are going to be over joyed by this. KAT always came up smallest in the biggest moments and he and Gobert never fit. Not to mention everyone wanted more Naz and less KAT.
Also live in MN and now all Wolves fans are freed from having to pretend that they liked KAT and thought he was good
 

Deathofthebambino

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Best part of this trade is more Embiid vs Towns drama. Going to be glorious.
Embiid will rest when they play the Knicks, like he does against Denver.

KAT will foul out of 70% of their important gives with Thibs usage.

Does Robinson go to the bench or does Hart become a 6th man? KAT at the 5 seems like a gift as a Celtics fan. Put him in Brunson in the action together over and over and over and over and over again.
 

riboflav

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Assuming full health for the Cs, the trade moves the needle a bit in the Knicks direction. That said, the Cs seemed to struggle against a Randle-healthy Knicks team. Either way, assuming health, there isn't much here to be worried about as a Cs fan. As I told my son tonight when the news came down, the only main worry we should have continues to be the health of our team.
 

Tony C

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As bad as KAT was against Dallas he was great against Denver. He was the key defender wearing down Jokic. Also made some huge shots in that series.

He is a premier talent, given up for Donte Devincenzo and a 2nd Rounder. They won't give Randle big money.

KAT has his problems and does dumb shit, I know, but Gobert is overrated statistically and gets played off the court in the biggest games. I would have traded him and kept KAT.

KAT can and did get better last year. Gobert is only going downhill at this point.

KAT makes threes. You think the rest of that team will be happy watching Randle brick threes? No way.

Bad vibes trade too. Connolly got too clever by half here.
yeah, I think the bashing of KAT on this thread is pure hot take-ism. He’s a significantly better player than Randle in a vacuum and also a significantly better fit. And that series vs Denver was epic both for his offense and defense on Jokic. Randle is a worse player and just an awful fit next to Rudy. DD will help, but not enough.

The happiest team here might be Denver, though.
 

Jimbodandy

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If I were Thibs' life insurance company, I'd be looking to find a way to drop his policy now before KAT causes him an aneurism with back to back 4-10 11pt 5R performances in the first round.
 

m0ckduck

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Naz Reid would have been a better fit for NY IMO (I get that KAT’s contract is what makes him available). But the Townes experience looks to be wildly entertaining.
 

The Mort Report

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Knicks now scream split/win the regular season vs the Cs, media gets all hyped and picks the Knicks to beat them in the 2nd round of the playoffs only to have the Cs dismantle them 4-1
 

Royal Reader

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Does Robinson go to the bench or does Hart become a 6th man? KAT at the 5 seems like a gift as a Celtics fan. Put him in Brunson in the action together over and over and over and over and over again.
Clearly part of this is they need *someone* who's an NBA player to play the 5 while Robinson is out.

Come playoff time... well, they're not going to leave KAT as the lone big defending Embiid or Giannis. They might against the Cs (having him on Horford/Zinger seems a lesser evil even if Boston will try to get him switched onto a Jay) or Pacers.
 

benhogan

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Last 5 seasons
Randle 330 games played
KAT 250 games played

I'm not sure anyone should count on KAT playing more than Julius
 

Jed Zeppelin

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As Randle has never missed a shot against Boston I feel pretty OK about this.

Will be fascinating to see how this plays out. KAT is good, yeah he had a lot of wtf moments against Dallas and his efficiency has generally taken a hit in the playoffs, but this figures to be the best team and best-fitting roster he’s been a part of.

Ultimately in terms of needle movers vs the Celtics Bridges is the bigger move and his importance only grows with KAT’s D in the mix.
 

RorschachsMask

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Towns is an incredibly gifted player offensively. He’s not a movement shooter like DDV, but is arguably the best shooting big ever. He’s also a very good passer, which helps replace what Hartenstein brought as a short roll guy.

On defense, he’s much better at the 5 than the 4, though he’s not especially good at the 5. The issue is teams will force him onto the perimeter with switches, and he’s just dreadful when it comes to that. Watch that crazy Wolves/Celtics game in Boston, Tatum kept forcing Towns into him, and absolutely destroyed him over and over.

I think it’s a win for the Knicks, but the only way it dramatically changes their ceiling is if KAT consistently becomes a player that we’ve only seen in flashes.
 
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Imbricus

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My first reaction: I figured the Wolves must've gotten a couple of first-round picks thrown in. Just one heavily protected first rounder? Seems like a less-than-optimal return.
 

Van Everyman

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The fact that Edwards’ name has been mentioned once in this thread and not at all in KOC’s posts says everything I need to know about The Next MJ and what this trade means for him.
 

PedroKsBambino

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Fascinating deal.

You have to like it for Knicks---KAT has flaws, but he's an elite offensive player and for all his defensive gaps, he's the best big the Knicks could have imagined getting all-in. They had the wing depth to lose DD, and KAT is a much better fit for the roster, and higher upside, than Randle. They have to show a lot to convince me they are a 4 series in playoffs team defensively, but it's a talent upgrade for sure and a worthwhile shot. Thibs/KAT will start off as a project and may be a huge win for them, or a disaster, but sitting where the Knicks are it's a great shot at the upside case.

It's interesting for Minnesota---suddenly this is a much more agile and malleable, with real versatility and depth, isn't it? Gobert, Reid/Randle, McDaniel/DD, Edwards, Conley/Dillingham. You can go smaller and switchable when Gobert sits; you can put out a really tough defensive 5 (Gobert/Reid/McDaniels/Edwards/Conley). You have some juice beyond Edwards. I know there's some questions there and you've taken a hit on top-end talent but the defense and fit feel better to me, and the offense that fell apart vs Dallas is a lot more versatile. And you've bet on it fully being Edwards' team, which is worth something. They do need Randle to produce offensively, and that can be a risk, but this feels like a potentially better playoff team to me because they can respond to matchups a lot more effectively...the Gobert/KAT thing works vs Denver but is likely to get exposed each year in the playoffs; this configuration might avoid that.

I kind of like this both ways, with different gambles being played.