Jimmy G to 49ers for 2nd round pick

BusRaker

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- kraft would never trade Brady. That’s the line in the sand for him with BB and player moves. If BB were being scrupulous BB, get rid of everyone a year too early before a year too late, and he truly thought JG was the future, this wouldn’t have happened. It happening tells us that TB12 is the exception to the rule. He’s considered a son,
Sometimes I feel like the three of them have some secret agreement what will decide when it is the "End" and what will be the course of action, like three business men creating the exit plan when starting a joint business venture, and we will never know about it until TB12 publishes the all-telling book in his 50's.

Honestly the biggest thing that shocks me is that he moved JG and* Brissett and leaving cupboard bare. Hoyer is a perfectly cromulent backup for the rest of the year ...
Cromulent ... is that a real word?

Meh, what do I know.
 

Al Zarilla

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Around here the talk is that Jimmy probably won’t start for the next two games because both 49er tackles are out (Joe Staley and Trent Brown). Don’t want to get him killed right away I guess. Learn their system too. They are home to the Cardinals and Giants the next two weeks and then a bye, then home vs. Seattle. Good luck with that, JG.
 

HomeRunBaker

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One has to assume they decided Brissett not the future---I think the small, but real, challenges are that whoever they bring in will be behind this year getting up to speed, and they will lose the benefit of the cost-controlled backup that they have largely enjoyed. Neither gigantic, just noting them.
Right. Brissett was a logical pick last year with Brady's suspension requiring a 3rd QB on the roster while providing additional insurance for a Jimmy G trade. He had a role on last seasons team and won us a game proving BB correct. He had no role on this team and even with the Jimmy G trade you (presumably) have Hoyer to step in.

Does BB have a target for Brady's future backup/replacement? Northwestern's Thorson?
 

DJnVa

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Wondering how quickly we hear about Hoyer or someone else coming in. Since they released Heinicke from the practice squad there's no one else even in town, which can't be the best for practice purposes.
 

Harry Hooper

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Wondering how quickly we hear about Hoyer or someone else coming in. Since they released Heinicke from the practice squad there's no one else even in town, which can't be the best for practice purposes.
Flutie drove down to Foxboro without any prompting.
 

E5 Yaz

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Lost in all this is that Fletcher Cox broke Joe Staley's orbital bone Sunday ... so JG is going to a team that just lost its left tackle
 

Captaincoop

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I hope Bill Belichick is keeping some great notes and when he retires, he sits down and writes a book where he explains what his thought process was, season-by-season with all the big moves and decisions he made.

That is a book I would cherish reading. It could take up all my time on Sundays where I used to watch football.
 

InstaFace

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Previously Jimmy G represented 1) the potential future 2) insurance. The media reporting indicates that Jimmy G couldn't be re-signed by NE given the current circumstances (Brady being upright and productive). That eliminates item 1.

Item 2: The insurance wasn't on Brady, it was on the season. A season that started with Super Bowl expectations and a loaded roster on both sides of the ball. The insurance was described by others: what happens to the Superbowl aspirations if Brady suffers an injury requiring someone to finish the season or play 10-12 games. They believed that they could still win the Superbowl with Jimmy G at QB given the other elements of the roster. That was the insurance they were paying for.

Come trade deadline, the parts and pieces of the team with Super Bowl aspirations have fallen off one by one - Julian, Dante, Mitchell, Hogan, Gillmore, etc. The new assessment is that if handed the starting role with the current team, Jimmy G would not have the skills to lead them to a Super Bowl win. Given he was no longer the potential future, that made him a movable asset.

I'm not sure where the approach by the team has been off.

Edit: Maybe I just missed your point, if so, mea culpa.
This is a great post. I hadn't before thought of the idea that in pre-season, we figured we might have a SB chance even without Brady, whereas now halfway in, we are certain that we don't. That would certainly be sufficient explanation for this trade, and it jibes with what we're seeing on the field, too.
 

Papelbon's Poutine

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I hope Bill Belichick is keeping some great notes and when he retires, he sits down and writes a book where he explains what his thought process was, season-by-season with all the big moves and decisions he made.

That is a book I would cherish reading. It could take up all my time on Sundays where I used to watch football.
Can we start a thread where people just list that they claim they will stop watching football, be it for CTE, Deflategate, the owners being scum, Goodell being an ass, BB/Brady retiring, etc? Just, like, for posterity? Because that would be really fun to revisit when 90% of the people are still in game threads or commenting in this subforum.
 

dcmissle

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SF is in a pretty good spot I think. They get 8 weeks of Jimmy G, then get to decide whether to cut their loses and draft a QB, or trade down and draft Jimmy a wall of an offensive line.
With a GM and HC in the first year of 6-year deals, THE most cap space entering 2018, and a ton of draft picks, they are ideally positioned to make the best possible decision.

Shanahan gets 6 full games to evaluate JG (assuming he sits the first two games). HC and Lynch damn well know the limitations of the roster, so they are not going to be blinded by stats or game outcomes. They will be looking at whether JG has the key attributes they want; can he take them where they want to go?

Anyone in the League they may have been considering before -- e.g., Cousins -- can remain under consideration. All of that information can then be blended with what they see coming out in the draft. All options are open to SF.

It may be heresy, but the goal here is not to maximize the value of the second round pick they sent our way.* This isn't a stock or options market, and that's now a sunk cost. The goal is to get QB right for the next 10 to 15 years. If they make the best possible decision on that from a process standpoint (there are no guarantees), the second rounder will be well spent even if JG is a half season and done in SF.

*In other words, how Cleveland would view it.
 
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nighthob

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Can we start a thread where people just list that they claim they will stop watching football, be it for CTE, Deflategate, the owners being scum, Goodell being an ass, BB/Brady retiring, etc? Just, like, for posterity? Because that would be really fun to revisit when 90% of the people are still in game threads or commenting in this subforum.
Now that Rogers is done for the year I'm down to watching Brady. I full well admit to being hypocritical on this, but when they're gone so am I.
 

RetractableRoof

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Now that Rogers is done for the year I'm down to watching Brady. I full well admit to being hypocritical on this, but when they're gone so am I.
Just asking, but what are the odds that by the time Brady & Rodgers are gone (2+ years or so at least), that Newton, Wilson, Watson, et al have had enough time to entice you with their in-their-prime greatness? Isn't that how it works?

Edit: Rodgers, duh
 
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nighthob

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No, my disgust with the league grows daily and I actively feel dirty watching it at all after the whole concussion episode. I suspect that I am not alone in my sentiment as regards the sleaziness of NFL owners and the league office. But I have so many years invested in rooting for Rogers and Brady that I keep watching them.
 

nighthob

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Yeah, sorry, me foruming by phone is an adventure in hilarity. You should read my Facebook posts during three martini luncheons. (I need to shut off autocorrect on the damned phone as it doesn't seem to recognize the other spellings of the name.)
 

SeoulSoxFan

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Why should @RyanBurr have a scoop like this?
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Brady camp 3 days ago felt privately TB could be traded by Bill after 17. This was a Kraft decision to make it clear Brady finishes as a Pat
 

Buck Showalter

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Why should @RyanBurr have a scoop like this?
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Brady camp 3 days ago felt privately TB could be traded by Bill after 17. This was a Kraft decision to make it clear Brady finishes as a Pat
Strange source.

But I wouldn't doubt this.

It's my sentiment (and my sentiment only) that BB wished to win without Brady......to prove his true value.

A transition to Jimmy G offered that to him.
 

NortheasternPJ

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Strange source.

But I wouldn't doubt this.

It's my sentiment (and my sentiment only) that BB wished to win without Brady......to prove his true value.

A transition to Jimmy G offered that to him.
I wouldn’t doubt it but I disagree about your second point. BB is about winning first and last. He’d have loved the opportunity with Jimmy G except he’s stuck dealing with Brady to win 1-2 more. Rough deck he was dealt.
 

joe dokes

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Strange source.

But I wouldn't doubt this.

It's my sentiment (and my sentiment only) that BB wished to win without Brady......to prove his true value.

A transition to Jimmy G offered that to him.
That may have been BB's fervent wish, and maybe, (maybe! and deep down) he would not have been too broken up if Brady had started to show his age. But he didn't, and here we are. Move JG now, with a pretty good return (a top 35 pick next year), and TB is still among the top 5 QBs in the league.
I think there's a tendency to try and fit BB's moves into some sort of recognizable paradigm, like GFIN, or "always trade draft picks to get more draft picks," or "never spend on FA's."
 

JCizzle

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Why wouldn't Brady want the same thing and leave after this yr?

Win-win.

Or lose-lose.
Maybe they both hate each other so much that Brady wanted to leave for his hometown Niners and BB hate-traded JG there to torpedo that and spite Brady. Both were so blinded by hatred and the desire to leave the other that they're now stuck together to chase 2-3 more rings. ;)
 

Stitch01

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I can certainly buy that Kraft told BB that he can do what he wants with JG, but Brady would be on the team as long as he wanted. I doubt Kraft sprung that on BB mid season though
 

pedroia'sboys

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Hated the deal at first, more I think about it they had no choice.

Brady and Jimmy couldn't both be on the roster next year.
You get basically a first round pick I'm sure BB values 34 more than let's say 28 with the rookie wage scale.
The only way Jimmy could of stayed next year is dealing Brady and that wasn't going to happen.
So what's the risk.
Brady snaps something bad the next 8 games plus postseason.
The value difference between trading him now vs end of season. Or just letting him walk for a 3rd.
 

Philip Jeff Frye

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I'm in Cleveland today on business and have spent much of the day driving around listening to local sports radio. From the reaction, you'd have thought that the Browns had failed to get Brady for a second round pick, not Garoppolo. One guy described it as being worthy of placement of the Browns Mount Rushmore of shame. Considering that this town has seen, off the top of my head, the franchise skip town, the drive, the fumble, Tim Couch, Brady Quinn, Trent Richardson and Brandon Weeden (in the same year!), and Josh Gordon, that seems a bit extreme. Funny stuff.
 

scottyno

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Somehow the claim that BB, the guy with total control over all football ops, was forced into a potentially franchise changing trade in the span of several days by an owner who almost never gets involved in roster construction doesn't quite pass the smell test.
 

Reverend

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I'm in Cleveland today on business and have spent much of the day driving around listening to local sports radio. From the reaction, you'd have thought that the Browns had failed to get Brady for a second round pick, not Garoppolo. One guy described it as being worthy of placement of the Browns Mount Rushmore of shame. Considering that this town has seen, off the top of my head, the franchise skip town, the drive, the fumble, Tim Couch, Brady Quinn, Trent Richardson and Brandon Weeden (in the same year!), and Josh Gordon, that seems a bit extreme. Funny stuff.
Bracketing the local soap opera, being a fan of a team and learning that the HC and FO aren’t on the same page on QB and are quietly feuding about it in the press has to be really disheartening.

How do you get behind that?
 

PedroKsBambino

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Somehow the claim that BB, the guy with total control over all football ops, was forced into a potentially franchise changing trade in the span of several days by an owner who almost never gets involved in roster construction doesn't quite pass the smell test.
Agreed. Sure, it is possible---but it's spectacularly unlikely given everything we've seen for 16 years from all three of the people involved.
 

dcmissle

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Somehow the claim that BB, the guy with total control over all football ops, was forced into a potentially franchise changing trade in the span of several days by an owner who almost never gets involved in roster construction doesn't quite pass the smell test.
Agreed. Seems pretty clear they tried hard over a lengthy period to extend JG, and he said no. Schefter’s report rings true.

I believe a game plan was in place. Lynch was quoted as saying they had discussed trade in offseason, to no avail. I infer from that the 49ers wanted him, but the Pats wanted to go extension route. So SF a logical trade partner when the fuse had burned.

Who knows what went on between Kraft and B.B. Maybe B.B. advised moving on and Kraft said no, maybe not. In any case, it’s obviously the owner’s prerogative in a situation like this.

See no evidence of drama, discord or last minute desperate measures. That will not stop speculation from golf writers, obviously.
 

scottyno

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If they can theoretically trade Jimmy now for "the next Jimmy G" who they draft next year this is a home run. Obviously the issue is not drafting the next Ryan Mallett or Kevin O'Connell, but BB seems to have a pretty decent track record at evaluating young qbs.
 

Silverdude2167

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Why should @RyanBurr have a scoop like this?
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Brady camp 3 days ago felt privately TB could be traded by Bill after 17. This was a Kraft decision to make it clear Brady finishes as a Pat
I would not be surprised if the source is Brady's father. He has said in multiple interviews over the entire run that BB will not let emotion get in the way of the right decision and could trade Brady.

The reporter probably thought he got a scoop when Brady's father was saying something he has said frequently in the past.
 

dcmissle

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Good pickup. The old man was making noises about things ended badly.

Oh, and from the 49ers perspective — the net/net of their first round draft dealing. They got the guy they wanted, Solomon Thomas; they traded up to draft Reuben Foster with some of the ammo, then added JG via trade as well. Patience.

Lynch’s years as a Fox analyst appear not to have been wasted.
 

SoxFanInCali

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Looks like Cleveland offered a 2 and a 3 to Cincinnati for McCarron. It was agreed but the Browns didn't get it into the league office in time.

The Browns do have multiple second rounders, so it likely wasn't their own that will be at the top of the round.
 
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axx

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I guess it's worth reminding that Brady's cap hit for next year is $22M next year ($14M salary, $7M bonus, $1M signing bonus). He'll restructure at some point I imagine but Jimmy needed to be gone before then...

Looks like Cleveland offered a 2 and a 3 to Cincinnati for McCarron. It was agreed but the Browns didn't get it into the league office in time.
I do kind of think the Pats should have gotten an extra pick, but yeah, it was either keep Jimmy until the end of the year and maybe get a comp pick eventually (?) or trade him.
 

Stitch01

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Yeah “Money is no object” handwave with random “they could extend these players” half solutions and no mention of the biggest problem: they still would have had to sign Jimmy on the open market after franchising him

I guess it's worth reminding that Brady's cap hit for next year is $22M next year ($14M salary, $7M bonus, $1M signing bonus). He'll restructure at some point I imagine but Jimmy needed to be gone before then...



I do kind of think the Pats should have gotten an extra pick, but yeah, it was either keep Jimmy until the end of the year and maybe get a comp pick eventually (?) or trade him.
I don’t think they should restructure his contract. The only way to do so productively is to extend Brady into his age 43 season with a giant cap number. Pats should just try to let it play out and see if Brady will do a Tim Wakefield year to year thing. Or at least wait until after next season to address an extension.
 

InstaFace

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Good god, that Volin article is 10 pounds of stupid in a 5 pound bag.

Please don’t tell me that they can’t afford to pay $38 million in cash and $45 million in cap dollars for two quarterbacks next year. Don’t tell me that it will hamper their ability to field a competitive team, or that spending that much money goes against all conventional wisdom.

The Patriots have built a dynasty based on going against conventional wisdom. And have you taken a look at the NFL’s finances these days? Robert Kraft and the other owners are doing just fine.

The Patriots could have kept Garoppolo with the franchise tag and remained a Super Bowl competitor next year.
I suppose if he could grasp the concept of opportunity cost, effective return on resources, and marginal utility, he'd probably be something other than a sportswriter (there are, of course, notable sportswriter exceptions, but his is not a very enlightened profession).

The NFL's finances, and Kraft's finances, are of course entirely irrelevant to the decision. Money is not something an NFL owner can spend or withhold for competition's sake, as it is in baseball or european football. It is a limited resource to be optimized. The question isn't could they, but rather, is that the best use of resources.

Assuming Brady is likely healthy and productive, the best way to improve the team is to spend that $23M in franchise tag (for your backup quarterback!) on a range of other mid-priced assets around the league. Belichick has made a HOF career as a GM (nevermind as coach) taking advantage of other teams undervaluing players who aren't the headline-grabbing premium talents but are better than the median player on a roster - he spends more on the NFL's dwindling middle class than anyone else, as FO and others have observed, and that remains the current moneyball category.

Volin spills much digital ink arguing that we have few necessary big contracts coming up in next year's offseason. He observes that we have LT and Malcolm Butler to deal with, but have many other key pieces under contract. But he ignores the fact that there are many other positions - DL chief among them - where we desperately need an upgrade from "bad" to "league average" or even "slightly above average", and $23M goes a long way when you can spread it on 5-6 roster positions.

Then there's the consideration of whether Garoppolo becomes another Kirk Cousins if you tag him against his will, but still don't play him. He's not some piece of machinery, he's a guy with emotions and career aspirations. The negotiations with him were proceeding, but Belichick's assessment that he'd be unable to sign him long term to numbers both sides were comfortable with were clearly the difference between keeping him in April and trading him in October. Where is Volin's consideration of that aspect? Where is his deference to Belichick's judgment in such details, since he is obviously a master at it?

This article is whining and shit-stirring, poorly disguised in an attempt to look like a reasoned critique.
 

Super Nomario

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Brady camp 3 days ago felt privately TB could be traded by Bill after 17. This was a Kraft decision to make it clear Brady finishes as a Pat
The first part of this fits with the timing of the trade and Belichick's comments - if the Patriots were trying to find a way to get both Brady and Garoppolo under contract for 2018 / 2019 / whatever, asking Brady for a restructure would make sense. If Brady balked at that (and really, who could blame him), it makes sense that he might think he would be the one getting the ride out of a town.

As far as the "Kraft decision" part, I'm agnostic, but it wouldn't shock me. I don't know how much money Brady has made Kraft, but it is in the hundreds of millions of dollars, and obviously it's been huge for Kraft's clout and fame. They're also neighbors. I don't know whether Kraft would overrule a Belichick move, but this is the one case he might.
 

joe dokes

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"Brady camp" is the Rorschach term here. To me that renders all that comes after virtually meaningless. And is the Kraft decision part coming from the Brady camp or is it Burr's own opinion?
 

Van Everyman

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The first part of this fits with the timing of the trade and Belichick's comments - if the Patriots were trying to find a way to get both Brady and Garoppolo under contract for 2018 / 2019 / whatever, asking Brady for a restructure would make sense. If Brady balked at that (and really, who could blame him), it makes sense that he might think he would be the one getting the ride out of a town.

As far as the "Kraft decision" part, I'm agnostic, but it wouldn't shock me. I don't know how much money Brady has made Kraft, but it is in the hundreds of millions of dollars, and obviously it's been huge for Kraft's clout and fame. They're also neighbors. I don't know whether Kraft would overrule a Belichick move, but this is the one case he might.
I'm glad you brought this back up -- I feared someone would immediately attack me as "OH GREAT LET'S START DEBATING WHAT GOLF REPORTERS ARE GOSSIPING ABOUT" if I had.

The point I would add to this is simply this: what Brady has done is historic. No one has played at his caliber for as long as he has. And frankly, no one--not BB, not even Brady--understands how much he has left in the tank, as he has not dropped off in the slightest. We all know this of course.

If ever there were going to be an "uncharted territory" moment for the Brady/Belichick/Kraft relationship, it would be on this subject: when is Brady done? All three of them understandably want Brady to play forever. But there are a number of different incentives for when they pull the plug. Brady is focused on playing as long as he can but always with the eye in the rearview. He knows that as much as Kraft wants the transition to happen eventually that Kraft can be a sentimental guy. Let's not forget that Kraft also described Bledsoe as "like a son to me." Before he wasn't.

Only BB has really invested anything in negotiating the messy/complicated near-term -- the transition from Brady to ... whoever is next. That's why he dragged out the relationship with Jimmy as far as he could -- meeting with him weekly, grooming him, trying to extend him. His comments yesterday seemed to reflect that -- that this trade wasn't his preferred choice. Was it because Kraft intervened? Unlikely but ... not impossible. Most likely BB's disappointed explanation of the trade was that Plan A didn't happen and if he didn't move to Plan B he was going to end up with nothing.
 

edmunddantes

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Garoppolo could turn this into a Cousins situation if he plays halfway decent for the 49ers too. If they want to extend him, they have to be willing to lay out at bare minimum 24 million (franchise tag) or so guaranteed plus some kicker for giving up on free agency (second franchise tag).

So signing him to an extension is going to be interesting to watch play out. It's been fun listening to some of the sports talk in the Bay area speculating on $15 million average with 30 or so guaranteed.

I don't think that is going to do it.