January NHL Game Thread

durandal1707

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Apr 18, 2007
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Hurricanes-Devils is pretty entertaining hockey so far, great tempo. Canes potting a SHG, Devils equalizing with a low-angle shot that squeaked in off Kochetkov's right pad.
 

durandal1707

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Apr 18, 2007
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Canes get another SHG to make it 3-1, then the Devils score two goals 20 seconds apart in the final minute of the 2nd. 3-3. This would be a heckuva playoff series.
 

NYCSox

chris hansen of goats
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Mentioned this in December thread but I don’t understand how Kraken are piling up goals with a bunch of meh forwards.
 

SemperFidelisSox

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May 25, 2008
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Leafs-Predators was a good game until Nashville took a double minor with five minutes left in a 1-1 game. Marner scored and that was that. Gonna be a good game in Boston on Saturday.
 

Ferm Sheller

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Mar 5, 2007
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Mentioned this in December thread but I don’t understand how Kraken are piling up goals with a bunch of meh forwards.
They don't have any guys with a history of scoring 30 goals or more per season, but they have a bunch of guys who have a history of scoring in the 20s. In other words, they're not top heavy -- their production is pretty evenly spread. Also, Beniers, the #2 overall pick last year, looks like he may be on his way to becoming a prolific goal scorer.
 

PedroSpecialK

Comes at you like a tornado of hair and the NHL sa
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Dec 12, 2004
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They also lead the league in shot% at 12.3%. Buffalo is next at 12.1% - B’s are 5th at 11.1%.

Not sure how this tracks relative to their high danger chance creation but I imagine at least some regression there, particularly for guys like McCann (26.4%!!!).
 

cshea

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Nov 15, 2006
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Yeah, it's a shooting percentage binge. They are 17th in the league in shots per 60 and 22nd in both scoring chances and high danger chances per 60.

They are decemt defensively though. 12th in xGA/60.
 

NYCSox

chris hansen of goats
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Dom covered some of this in his latest piece posted this morning. Basically McCann has a massive horseshoe up his ass and the rest aren't far behind.

If you’re looking for a second-half regression candidate, look no further than Jared McCann who has 17 five-on-five goals this year … on 55 shots. McCann is shooting 31 percent from the field and has only been expected to score 5.5 goals. Instead, he has roughly three times that amount.

McCann is tied for second in the league in five-on-five goals as a result and has already matched last year’s total in 480 fewer minutes. It’s a ridiculous bender, especially considering McCann was never an elite finisher before coming to Seattle. In his prior 353 games, McCann had 42 goals and 42.2 expected goals. Perfectly balanced. With Seattle, he now has 34 in 111 games off just 16.5 expected goals.
The Kraken have a solid 51.6 percent expected-goals rate, good for 13th in the league, but their rate of earning actual goals is much better. Seattle is second in the league with 60.3 percent of the goals behind only Boston.

That’s a massive difference that ranks as the fourth largest since 2007-08 behind two Presidents’ Trophy-winning Capitals teams and the 2010-11 Boston Bruins who went on to win the Stanley Cup. With all due respect to the Seattle Kraken, they aren’t those teams and they don’t share much in common with the other teams who greatly exceeded expected goals either. It’s a list littered with powerhouse teams with elite high-end scorers, elite goaltending, or both. Seattle doesn’t have either.

The Kraken are a good team who have the inside track for a playoff spot this season thanks to a strong start, but much of that is built on unsustainable scoring — primarily by McCann. At five-on-five Seattle has 108 goals, 22 more than expected. That’s 0.52 more goals than expected per game, a mark that’s only been bested twice over a full season since 2007-08: the 2021-22 Minnesota Wild and the 2009-10 Washington Capitals. Both teams had a track record for that kind of performance that the Kraken group doesn’t quite have, making it much harder to believe Seattle will be able to sustain it.
https://theathletic.com/4083475/2023/01/12/16-stats-bedard-saros-kraken/
 

PedroSpecialK

Comes at you like a tornado of hair and the NHL sa
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Dec 12, 2004
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Two absolutely milked calls by Holmberg, pp coming up for TML

don’t matter, leafs lose as well lol
 
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jsinger121

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Jul 25, 2005
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Wicked cool!


This doesn’t ruin his college eligibility?
Nope because Canada colleges are run differently than the NCAA. They get a lot of washed major junior players to play college in Canada. But once you play major juniors your ineligible for NCAA hockey.
 

MiracleOfO2704

not AWOL
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Jul 12, 2005
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The Island
They usually do.

In addition to Canadian universities getting the lower tier of CHL players, they’ll also get quite a few Junior A kids who go on to play for their university teams. After all, most of those kids know they’re the longest of long shots to see the NHL, and even then it takes some toiling in the minors.
 

OfTheCarmen

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Jul 18, 2007
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Looked like Stecher was saying to the ref near the end something along the lines of "he was talking about my family" and various things about that not being ok.
 

Ale Xander

Hamilton
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Oct 31, 2013
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Better event to go to in person, Skills Challenge or the division format ASG?

Right now, I'm thinking the former.