If I had to rank, that would be the one I'm least confident in, relative to the others, but I'm still pretty confident in it. I am going to wait on the weather and injury reports, but expecting all things kosher there, I don't see Pitt holding us to less than 30 or us holding them to less than 20. I think this is a 34-27 type game Obvious caveat is an in game injury or Brady throwing up another stinker, but you can't plan for those anyway.
It's all good either way, it's house money. I gave up big gambling a while ago but my buddy got a random "here's $10 for the casino, please come back" email from Bovada. He played around with it and turned it into $100 and offered me a half stake. I bought in and we just have fun (he texts me every night right before bed "give me a number' and he places a $2 bet on roulette for each of us - shit like that.
We basically bet the Pats money line for $50 every week and then each get $10 to use on props or whatever you want for national games and Pats games (we bumped up to $25 for the playoffs). We ended up turning it into $1000, cashed out $500 and split it and are back up to about $850 with about $600 in futures out on top of that. I'm going to throw my $50 allowance this weekend on that and he's going to play safer and place some teasers hedge/hopefully win both.
It's just fun, not looking to make real money. We agreed we'd like to have $1k in what we now consider funny money to blow on the Super Bowl and then we are cashing out. I'm fine taking a home run swing with my piece this weekend. I'm not gambling my rent.