Greatest teams to NOT win the Super Bowl

jaytftwofive

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I know a large number of members here have watched the Man in the Arena episode about the Scottish game, but as I've told several of you via PM's, I just can't.

I haven't watched a single highlight of that game; never have, never will.

I can deal with other losses; 1975 WS, 1978 playoff game, 2003 ALCS, too many men on the ice vs Montreal, Stanley Cup losses to Montreal, the Oilers, Blackhaws, even the 'Blues, playoff losses to the Colts in the 2006 AFCCG, Ravens in AFCCG, Broncos in two AFCCG's, Super Bowl loss to the Eagles and the Giants in 2012.

But the Scottish game; never, ever going to get over that one, more so because of the historic significance of it, 19-0, perfect season, blah blah blah and those assholes pissed all over it with that horseshoe up their asses final drive to win it.

Disgusting.

And it gets mentioned over and over and over and over and over and over; commercials ("I would have hit him in the numbers"), in umpteen broadcasts of games, on and on.

I blame this all on that fucking idiot Rex Ryan and his idiotic time out in the Ravens game; 15-1 and losing a SB I can handle, no problem.

But 16-0, no can do.

That team wins the dubious crown as greatest team NOT to win a Super Bowl.
The 07 Pats in the first 2/3 or 3/4 of the season were as good as any team in history. Late November and December you could see they weren't as good a team especially in the playoffs. That's why I think the 04 and 03 Pats were better. They handled the injuries better then the 07 team. And it's taken me years to admit that the Giants were the better team that day and deserved to win. The 2011 Giants were the luckiest team after the Niners practically handed them the title game. That won hurts almost as much because the Giants were a 9-7 team.
 
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tims4wins

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The 07 Pats in the first 2/3 or 3/4 of the season were as good as any team in history. Late November and December you could see they weren't as good a team is especially in the playoffs. That's why I think the 04 and 03 Pats were better. They handled the injuries better then the 07 team.
This is a very good point. I think people forget that the 04 Pats won with their top 2 corners out (holding prime Manning to 3 points).
 

jsinger121

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This is a very good point. I think people forget that the 04 Pats won with their top 2 corners out.
The ‘04 team will always be my favorite. They manhandled both the Colts and Steelers on the way to the Super Bowl. They were top 5 in both offense and defense.
 

jaytftwofive

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This isn't me trying to bring up a painful memory, but to honor the great teams that had fantastic seasons but just fell short in the end. They are often relegated to the trash heap of history, which is unfortunate, because it diminishes what they DID accomplish. So for me, here's a short list...

1. 2007 Patriots. Forget the Super Bowl loss, this was one of the greatest teams of all time, period, end of sentence. One in the grasp call, one holding call, or one INT that goes through the hands of Asante, and this is hands down the greatest team ever to play the sport.

2. 1987 49ers. 13-2, with the #1 offense in points scored, #1 offense in yards gained, #3 defense in points allowed, and #1 defense in yards allowed. Montana, Craig, Rice, Clark, Haley, Lott. That team was phenomenal. Inexplicably got manhandled in the divisional round by Minnesota, however.

3. 1990 Bills. 13-3. #1 ranked offense. #6 ranked defense (points). Kelly, Thomas, Reed, Bruce Smith, et al. Lost the Super Bowl by the slimmest of margins. They'd go on to appear in three more straight SBs, an NFL record.

4. 2001 Rams. 14-2, #1 offense, #3 ranked defense (yards). Juggernaut. They'd already beaten NE earlier in the year. They had the MVP in Warner. Faulk. Holt. Bruce. Two years prior they'd won the Super Bowl.

5. 1986 Bears. 14-2, #1 defense (again), even though their offense wasn't great (13th in points, 7th in yards), but it was solid. Coming off their incredible SB-winning season the year before, they were still a wagon. Lost to a really good Redskins team in the divisional round.

6. 1968 Colts. 13-1, #2 offense, #1 defense. Lost to the Jets in SB 3. They were dominant, having gone 11-1 the previous year. Two years from then they'd win the Super Bowl against Dallas.


I'll stop there. Who else ya got?

edit: misped 1986 for the Bears. Obviously the ‘85 Bears won the SB.
86 Bears were damn good but would the Giants have had home field? That Giant team was a great one.
 

jaytftwofive

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The 2006 Chargers were, um, pretty lights out. 14-2, first in scoring, seventh in points allowed.

Here’s one you don’t hear mentioned much: 1999 Jags. 14-2 with a pythag of 12.9, 6th in points but first in points allowed. They absolutely torched Miami 62-7 in the divisional, but lost to the Titans in the AFCCG.
Also their 3 losses were all to the Titans.
 

Devizier

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By SRS it's:

2007 Patriots (20.06)
1968 Colts (17.85)
1969 Vikings (17.58)
2010 Patriots (15.38)
1976 Steelers (15.34)

The 2006, 2009, 2012 Patriots were also pretty great by this metric.
 
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CaptainLaddie

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The 2006 Chargers were, um, pretty lights out. 14-2, first in scoring, seventh in points allowed.

Here’s one you don’t hear mentioned much: 1999 Jags. 14-2 with a pythag of 12.9, 6th in points but first in points allowed. They absolutely torched Miami 62-7 in the divisional, but lost to the Titans in the AFCCG.
The 2010 ones might have been better, save one major component: special teams.

View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UAL5X3TRA2A
 

Seels

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By SRS it's:

2007 Patriots (20.06)
1968 Colts (17.85)
1969 Vikings (17.58)
2010 Patriots (15.38)
1976 Steelers (15.34)

The 2006, 2009, 2012 Patriots were also pretty great by this metric.
I always thought SRS and DVOA overrated the 09 Pats. That team never looked as good as those stats made it seem. DVOA would have that team as better than any of the Super Bowl winners outside of 2004.

But the offense had a bad run game, bad tight ends, no receivers after Moss and Welker, while the defense had bad linebackers, and bad defensive backs. All with Brady in what (from the eye test) was his worst performing year of his career.
Is there a single team of the era the 09 team beats outside of like the 05 squad?
 

coremiller

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I always thought SRS and DVOA overrated the 09 Pats. That team never looked as good as those stats made it seem. DVOA would have that team as better than any of the Super Bowl winners outside of 2004.

But the offense had a bad run game, bad tight ends, no receivers after Moss and Welker, while the defense had bad linebackers, and bad defensive backs. All with Brady in what (from the eye test) was his worst performing year of his career.
Is there a single team of the era the 09 team beats outside of like the 05 squad?
Some it is a strength-of-schedule adjustment. Both DVOA and SRS think the Pats played a hard schedule that year. In particular, DVOA thinks they played a difficult schedule of opposing pass defenses: Brady's stats get a huge boost from the SOS adjustment.
 

Seels

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Some it is a strength-of-schedule adjustment. Both DVOA and SRS think the Pats played a hard schedule that year. In particular, DVOA thinks they played a difficult schedule of opposing pass defenses: Brady's stats get a huge boost from the SOS adjustment.
yea and while that's definitely true - aided by the two Jets games - that was also the 'he's seeing ghosts' year.
 

tims4wins

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That team could easily have won 13 games though and that doesn’t include the finale in Houston. Lost by 3 in OT in Denver with Gost missing a 40 something yard FG in OT. Lost the BS 4th and 2 game. Lost 22-21 in Miami blowing a 21-10 lead including a Brady pick
inside the Miami 5. We think of them as being not very good due to the Saints and Ravens blowouts, but they were pretty good. 6th in points for and 5th in points against. +1200 yards on the season.
 

coremiller

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The 2009 team's unadjusted stats also got boosted by the 59-0 win in the snow over Tennessee, where they outgained Tennessee 619-186 and were 5-0 in turnovers.
 

JokersWildJIMED

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The 2009 team's unadjusted stats also got boosted by the 59-0 win in the snow over Tennessee, where they outgained Tennessee 619-186 and were 5-0 in turnovers.
I believe that TN game was the first against them since the Bobby Wade game…could TB and BB have still held a bit of a grudge? I know I never forgave Fisher or the Titans.
 

Humphrey

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1998 Vikings. 15-1. #1 points, #6 fewest points allowed, lost at home in a classic NFCCG to the Dirty Bird Falcons.
...basically on a missed 35 yard field goal indoors by a guy that didn't miss all season.
 

jaytftwofive

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That team could easily have won 13 games though and that doesn’t include the finale in Houston. Lost by 3 in OT in Denver with Gost missing a 40 something yard FG in OT. Lost the BS 4th and 2 game. Lost 22-21 in Miami blowing a 21-10 lead including a Brady pick
inside the Miami 5. We think of them as being not very good due to the Saints and Ravens blowouts, but they were pretty good. 6th in points for and 5th in points against. +1200 yards on the season.
That was the year Brady came back from the injury suffered in the first game in 08. That team was so up and down. And remember they were lucky to beat the Bills on opening night MNF when the Bills handed them the game on a fumbled kickoff and the Ravens who were driving but threw an INT at the end of the game. They could have also been 9-7 or 8-8.
 
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jaytftwofive

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in 2010 they were looking so good at the end of the year. They crushed the Jets 45-3 in early December but wound up losing to them in the playoffs. That really sucked. 2009 they underachieved and 2010 was a big end of season loss to Rex and the Jets. I thought that 2010 team was one of the best Pats teams. Better then 2011.
 

tims4wins

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That was the year Brady came back from the injury suffered in the first game in 08. That team was so up and down. And remember they were lucky to beat the Bills on opening night MNF when the Bills handed them the game on a fumbled kickoff and the Ravens who were driving but threw in INT at the end of the game. They could have also been 9-7 or 8-8.
It's true with a couple bounces they could have had a worse record than their 10-6. They were absolutely fortunate to beat the Bills in week 1.

Not sure what you are referring to in the Baltimore game. The Pats stopped Baltimore twice on 4th down in the 4th quarter with a 6 point lead. I don't consider that to be a lucky win.

They had the pythag of an 11.4 win team, which suggests they underachieved in the regular season. Their 6 losses:
16-9 vs. the Jets
20-17 vs. Denver
35-34 vs. Indy
22-21 vs. Miami
38-17 vs. New Orleans (their only non-competitive loss of the season until the playoffs)
34-27 vs. Houston

Whereas of their 10 wins:
7 were by multiple scores
1 was by 7 (at Buffalo; the Pats had a two score lead for most of the game; Buffalo made it 17-10 with 3 minutes to play then the Pats ran out the clock, so Buffalo never had possession in the second half with a chance to tie the game)
1 was by 6 (Baltimore)
1 was by 1 (Buffalo)

Again, they were far closer to being a 12-13 win team than an 8-9 win team.
 
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BigSoxFan

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in 2010 they were looking so good at the end of the year. They crushed the Jets 45-3 in early December but wound up losing to them in the playoffs. That really sucked. 2009 they underachieved and 2010 was a big end of season loss to Rex and the Jets. I thought that 2010 team was one of the best Pats teams. Better then 2011.
Freaking Alge Crumpler
 

Humphrey

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The 07 Pats in the first 2/3 or 3/4 of the season were as good as any team in history. Late November and December you could see they weren't as good a team especially in the playoffs. That's why I think the 04 and 03 Pats were better. They handled the injuries better then the 07 team. And it's taken me years to admit that the Giants were the better team that day and deserved to win. The 2011 Giants were the luckiest team after the Niners practically handed them the title game. That won hurts almost as much because the Giants were a 9-7 team.
The Giants defense won that game and one BB decision, I'm sure, haunted him thereafter. The Patriots in SB42 had 5 possessions where they could have made it a two score game, including one at the start of Q3 where they burned 7 minutes off the clock. That was the possession where they got a big break on a replay that showed the Jints had a 12th player inches in bounds when the ball was snapped and ultimately passed on attempting a 48 yard field goal.
 

Hoya81

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in 2010 they were looking so good at the end of the year. They crushed the Jets 45-3 in early December but wound up losing to them in the playoffs. That really sucked. 2009 they underachieved and 2010 was a big end of season loss to Rex and the Jets. I thought that 2010 team was one of the best Pats teams. Better then 2011.
The 2010 team could at one time roll out a passing game featuring Moss, Welker, Gronk and Hernandez. If Moss had been able to buy in to a lesser role, they would have been unstoppable once the rookies rounded into form.
 

tims4wins

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The 2010 team could at one time roll out a passing game featuring Moss, Welker, Gronk and Hernandez. If Moss had been able to buy in to a lesser role, they would have been unstoppable once the rookies rounded into form.
You could probably argue the TEs might not have rounded into the form they eventually did if Moss was still around though
 

Hoya81

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You could probably argue the TEs might not have rounded into the form they eventually did if Moss was still around though
Possibly. IIRC, Gronk wasn't featured much in the first part of the season, but Hernandez was already making an impact.
 

tims4wins

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Either way, I don't look back at 2010 and think "if only Randy had stayed". If anything I think "good thing they got rid of Randy, it allowed them to achieve their potential"
 

BigSoxFan

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Either way, I don't look back at 2010 and think "if only Randy had stayed". If anything I think "good thing they got rid of Randy, it allowed them to achieve their potential"
Yeah, I also felt like Brady was locking in on him too much, which no longer worked because Moss had lost a step or two from his 2007 form.
 

Ralphwiggum

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Yeah, I also felt like Brady was locking in on him too much, which no longer worked because Moss had lost a step or two from his 2007 form.
Yup this is my recollection as well. Someone said it in another thread but in some ways Moss brought out the worst in Brady by this point. He was targeting him too much to the detriment of the other receivers. I think shipping him out was as much about that as it was about Moss being OK with a lesser role.
 

tims4wins

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Yup this is my recollection as well. Someone said it in another thread but in some ways Moss brought out the worst in Brady by this point. He was targeting him too much to the detriment of the other receivers. I think shipping him out was as much about that as it was about Moss being OK with a lesser role.
I dunno how much his physical skills had eroded, but after he left New England:
28 games
91 targets
47 catches (51.6%)
688 yards (14.6 YPC / 7.6 YPT)
5 TD

N'Keal Harry career:
33 games
107 targets
57 catches (55.3%)
598 yards (10.5 YPC / 5.8 YPT)
4 TD

He obviously still had some level of explosiveness based on the YPC, but he was far from productive.
 

TFisNEXT

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Deion Branch had a pretty good swan song too in 2010 after Moss left. He averaged almost 15 YPC.
 

Captaincoop

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I dunno how much his physical skills had eroded, but after he left New England:
28 games
91 targets
47 catches (51.6%)
688 yards (14.6 YPC / 7.6 YPT)
5 TD

N'Keal Harry career:
33 games
107 targets
57 catches (55.3%)
598 yards (10.5 YPC / 5.8 YPT)
4 TD

He obviously still had some level of explosiveness based on the YPC, but he was far from productive.
How was his blocking, though?
 

jaytftwofive

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It's true with a couple bounces they could have had a worse record than their 10-6. They were absolutely fortunate to beat the Bills in week 1.

Not sure what you are referring to in the Baltimore game. The Pats stopped Baltimore twice on 4th down in the 4th quarter with a 6 point lead. I don't consider that to be a lucky win.

They had the pythag of an 11.4 win team, which suggests they underachieved in the regular season. Their 6 losses:
16-9 vs. the Jets
20-17 vs. Denver
35-34 vs. Indy
22-21 vs. Miami
38-17 vs. New Orleans (their only non-competitive loss of the season until the playoffs)
34-27 vs. Houston

Whereas of their 10 wins:
7 were by multiple scores
1 was by 7 (at Buffalo; the Pats had a two score lead for most of the game; Buffalo made it 17-10 with 3 minutes to play then the Pats ran out the clock, so Buffalo never had possession in the second half with a chance to tie the game)
1 was by 6 (Baltimore)
1 was by 1 (Buffalo)

Again, they were far closer to being a 12-13 win team than an 8-9 win team.
Ok I thought Flacco threw an INT.
 

jaytftwofive

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I don't know if anybody mentioned the 2005 Colts.2nd in offense, 2nd in defense 15.4 pts per game given up. I think that was Peyton's best team. Lost a fluke game to the Steelers. 07 Colts were almost as good. Both better then the 06 team that won it all.
 
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