CFB Week 13: Rivalry Week

canderson

Mr. Brightside
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Jul 16, 2005
31,943
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Hahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahaha ou

What a glorious night. One of the best college football weekends I’ve had in quite a while.
 

JCizzle

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Dec 11, 2006
15,068
What a game, what a day. Shame on you PAC-12 for not giving us something better late night!
 

Senator Donut

post-Domer
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Apr 21, 2010
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The five most likely CFB champions (Georgia, Cincinnati, Michigan, Notre Dame, Oklahoma State) haven’t won a championship in the lifetimes of any of the players on the field. Michigan was most the recent of the five in 1997 splitting with Nebraska. So in a sport that is often criticized for giving us the same winners every year, we should get some new blood in 2022.
 

Ale Xander

killed off Vin Scully
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Oct 31, 2013
45,053
Bedlam. Now THAT was an entertaining game

Aggy loses
Land thieves lose

good day

now just need Pokes to win again and Cincy to win and Blue (or Bama) to win and hopefully SBCC can stay out
 

Average Reds

Dope
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Two losses should knock out anyone this year, but that sweet sweet Bama money...
What, exactly, is “sweet sweet Bama money?” To the contrary, I’d expect viewership (which translates to $$$) to be higher without them.

How are you going to keep Cincy out unless they lose? That's the real question.
I’m pretty sure that Cincy is already locked in position. My guess is that Notre Dame is the team that would slide in if Alabama loses.
 

nolasoxfan

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Jun 11, 2004
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I can’t believe I have to root for Alabama in order to keep ND from an(other) undeserved playoff slot, but here we are.

Edit: meh, I begrudgingly give ND credit for playing a decent schedule.
 

JoePoulson

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Feb 28, 2006
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I can’t believe I have to root for Alabama in order to keep ND from an(other) undeserved playoff slot, but here we are.
It's insane that ND could get in over a potential 1-loss conference champ (OKSt) but the committee isn't known for their rationality. ND with the softest schedule ever, but nothing new there. But I expect OKSt to lose to Baylor just to keep this crazy train going.
 

jmanny24

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Feb 6, 2003
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It's insane that ND could get in over a potential 1-loss conference champ (OKSt) but the committee isn't known for their rationality. ND with the softest schedule ever, but nothing new there. But I expect OKSt to lose to Baylor just to keep this crazy train going.
Just want to make a case for OkSt if they win next week they will have 5 top-25 wins (bama needs to beat UGA to do that) give up 17.6ppg, have proven they can score if they need to win with offense, have outscored opponents 202-56 (even after giving up 33 last night) since losing to Iowa State (which IMO was a bad spot and they should've at least had a shot at a tie in that one). But, I agree they need some things to go their way Sat. even with a win.
 

luckiestman

Son of the Harpy
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Jul 15, 2005
24,129
Assuming Bama loses SEC championship, I would go

Dawgs
Mich
Ok St
Cincy

In that order. I want ND because I’m a fan but I’m trying to be reasonable.

edit: if Mich or OkSt choke their champ game maybe ND scoots in, idk. I want Michigan to win for the crazy Coach.
 

canderson

Mr. Brightside
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Jul 16, 2005
31,943
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If Alabama loses to Georgia and Baylor beats OK State I have zero doubts ND gets in the final 4. I’d be surprised if they put the Big 12 champ over ND actually.
 

jmanny24

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Feb 6, 2003
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I think being idle next week is going to end up hurting ND's chances. Another thing to consider in the B12 title game will be how healthy is Bohannon who has a gimpy hammy.
 

JoePoulson

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Just want to make a case for OkSt if they win next week they will have 5 top-25 wins (bama needs to beat UGA to do that) give up 17.6ppg, have proven they can score if they need to win with offense, have outscored opponents 202-56 (even after giving up 33 last night) since losing to Iowa State (which IMO was a bad spot and they should've at least had a shot at a tie in that one). But, I agree they need some things to go their way Sat. even with a win.
I'm all aboard the Cowboy train, they just need to take care of business next week and let the chips fall. Big 12 teams, especially OKSt, seem to falter when it matters most. Anything to keep ND out I'm all for.
 

BaseballJones

ivanvamp
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Oct 1, 2015
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Assuming Bama loses SEC championship, I would go

Dawgs
Mich
Ok St
Cincy

In that order. I want ND because I’m a fan but I’m trying to be reasonable.

edit: if Mich or OkSt choke their champ game maybe ND scoots in, idk. I want Michigan to win for the crazy Coach.
The only candidates for the four-team playoff are (IMO):

Georgia
Alabama
Michigan
Oklahoma St
Cincinnati
Notre Dame

Key games next week:

8 Baylor v 7 Oklahoma St
24 Houston vs 4 Cincinnati
1 Georgia vs 3 Alabama
5 Michigan vs 16 Iowa

Ok St, Michigan, and Cincy all need to win in order to get in. Any of them lose, and they're out. That is, unless they ALL lose. In that case, the final four will be Georgia, Alabama, Notre Dame, and the highest ranked of Ok St, Michigan, Cincy, Ohio St, or Baylor. I don't see a world where Baylor gets in even in this scenario though. Because they won't get in as a two-loss team over two-loss Ohio State.

Georgia is in no matter what, win or lose tomorrow.

Alabama is in with a win, obviously, but they can still be in with a loss if Ok St, Michigan, and Cincy all lose.

What I think happens:

Ok St beats Baylor in a close game.
Cincy beats Houston.
Alabama upsets Georgia.
Michigan beats Iowa.

So I think the final four will be (1) Alabama, (2) Georgia, (3) Michigan, and (4) Cincy.
 

Tangled Up In Red

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Nov 8, 2004
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Okie State only in this position because the refs (erroneously) blew the whistle on a scoop and score in week 2 versus Boise State.

"With Oklahoma State trying to salt the game away with just over three minutes remaining, Riley Wimpey jarred the ball loose from Warren. J.L. Skinner picked up the ball at the Cowboys 41 and returned it for a touchdown.
During the play, the officials blew it dead, calling Warren down. After a brief review, the initial call was overturned and Boise State was given possession but not the touchdown."

They missed the ensuing field goal and lost 21-20. Yes, I'm bitter.
 

snowmanny

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Dec 8, 2005
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The only candidates for the four-team playoff are (IMO):

Georgia
Alabama
Michigan
Oklahoma St
Cincinnati
Notre Dame

Key games next week:

8 Baylor v 7 Oklahoma St
24 Houston vs 4 Cincinnati
1 Georgia vs 3 Alabama
5 Michigan vs 16 Iowa

Ok St, Michigan, and Cincy all need to win in order to get in. Any of them lose, and they're out. That is, unless they ALL lose. In that case, the final four will be Georgia, Alabama, Notre Dame, and the highest ranked of Ok St, Michigan, Cincy, Ohio St, or Baylor. I don't see a world where Baylor gets in even in this scenario though. Because they won't get in as a two-loss team over two-loss Ohio State.

Georgia is in no matter what, win or lose tomorrow.

Alabama is in with a win, obviously, but they can still be in with a loss if Ok St, Michigan, and Cincy all lose.

What I think happens:

Ok St beats Baylor in a close game.
Cincy beats Houston.
Alabama upsets Georgia.
Michigan beats Iowa.

So I think the final four will be (1) Alabama, (2) Georgia, (3) Michigan, and (4) Cincy.
I would bet a lot that in your scenario, if your four teams are correct then the order is off. I actually think Michigan ends up 1 with that sequence of events. 2 at worst. Georgia probably still makes it but maybe even drops to 4. They would likely avoid the SEC re-match in the semis

edit so M-A-C-G or A-M-G-C
 

Average Reds

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I can’t see Alabama winning. I think Iowa may be tougher than people think, but Michigan should win. Cincy should win.

My final four is:

Georgia
Michigan
Cincy
Notre Dame/OSU (if OSU wins convincingly, I have see them leapfrogging ND.)
 

axx

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Jul 16, 2005
7,516
I'd say BK taking the LSU job kills ND's chances of being picked actually. The Big 12 champ is probably going to be the fourth team if Georgia wins.