Celtics Plan, Summer 2021

bigq

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What are we even doing?
I think it is referred to as seasonal affective disorder. These are the dog days of the Celtics off-season when pissing contests, sniping and shit posting become common.

To answer your question, most here are killing time and longing for summer league.
 

benhogan

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That was not your position. And I certainly never advocated the plan you suggest (though I agree those guys would have helped!) Please try to be more honest about all this.
then I have no idea what you're talking about

but here's a few more SoSH POINTZ, knock yourself out
 

Jimbodandy

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I think it is referred to as seasonal affective disorder. These are the dog days of the Celtics off-season when pissing contests, sniping and shit posting become common.

To answer your question, most here are killing time and longing for summer league.
This guy gets it.
 

nighthob

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So you have to reassess him every 30-40 games, but only if you ignore the games that don't fit the argument you're trying to make?
No, but we also shouldn’t be using injury numbers in evaluating where a player’s at unless the injury is chronic. It’s completely fair where we’re discussing someone like Leonard because he has a chronic injury that will impact his performance for the remainder of his career. This probably also applies to Jaylen due to age and the fact that he’s going to be limited in his ability to grow his game this summer (thanks to the injury).

Tatum does not have an injury issue. So we actually can discount his performance while he was being impacted by a super flu and look at his growth from the early season, when he was healthy, to the last few weeks of the season when he finally had his bounce back. And that guy is a legitimate MVP level player that’s still getting better.
 

DeJesus Built My Hotrod

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I actually think nighthob is right about where Tatum currently ranks and even that may be conservative. He is on a very short list of players who are both ungaurdable and also elite-ish defensively.

Also, consider the fact that Tatum is still young enough to improve more while most of the players people might take over him are in their decline stage. Who knows what Tatum's career will look like when its over but he is already elite so assuming more upside is completely realistic.
 

radsoxfan

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lexrageorge

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If the Tatum we saw against Brooklyn is able to improve upon that and stay healthy for the 2021-22 season, then he is undoubtedly a top 10 player. At that point, he kicks out Embiid, Harden, and Lillard.
 

slamminsammya

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https://www.theringer.com/nba/2021/5/4/22416337/top-25-nba-player-ranking-lebron-james-nikola-jokic

I don't know exactly where I would put Tatum. Probably in the 10-15 range, 3rd team NBA level. But trending in the right direction. Ringer article put him at 17th in May.

Top 10 sounds reasonable, but then you have to decide who to kick out.

Jokic
Lebron
Embiid
Curry
Durant
Kawhi
Giannis
Harden
ADavis
Luka
Dame
CP3

That's the top 12. Tough list.
Next season I see Tatum as probably ahead of Embiid, Harden, Davis, Dame, probably CP3 too. Is that a homer take?
 

nighthob

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I am not the one calling my predictions 99% better than everyone else
And you shouldn’t be. Because you’d be dead wrong. And you won’t see me making the argument that PKB did, which is why I openly mocked it.

The pre-covid Tatum posted a 26.8/7/3.7 line while shooting .435 on 7.1 3FGA/g and .584 TS%. Those are elite fucking numbers. Done while he was still only getting to the line 3.7 times per game. In the immediate post covid time he was merely great as he struggled with fatigue and respiratory issues (his mediocre February dragged down his season line).

Fast forward to April when he starts to pull out of his covid funk, his line is 28.7/6.5/4.4 with a TS% of .611 while shooting .399 on 8.1 3FGA/g and 6.8 FTA/g. He became a full fledged offensive gravity well that’s going to be an even better passer and finisher next year. Jaylen Brown’s job is going to be a lot easier with that Tatum to play off of. And Boston can win a title with the right mix of players around those two guys.
 
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radsoxfan

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Next season I see Tatum as probably ahead of Embiid, Harden, Davis, Dame, probably CP3 too. Is that a homer take?
Barring injuries don't see him overtaking Embiid next season.

AD and Harden is optimistic but maybe possible.

Dame and CP3 I could definitely see considering D and age.
 

nighthob

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You should include Davis in the Maybe Better if He Can Stay On The Court category because the injuries are starting to pile up for him. Harden might be optimistic. Then again the Nets might be dealing with Irvstractions next year.
 
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scottyno

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No, but we also shouldn’t be using injury numbers in evaluating where a player’s at unless the injury is chronic. It’s completely fair where we’re discussing someone like Leonard because he has a chronic injury that will impact his performance for the remainder of his career. This probably also applies to Jaylen due to age and the fact that he’s going to be limited in his ability to grow his game this summer (thanks to the injury).

Tatum does not have an injury issue. So we actually can discount his performance while he was being impacted by a super flu and look at his growth from the early season, when he was healthy, to the last few weeks of the season when he finally had his bounce back. And that guy is a legitimate MVP level player that’s still getting better.
There was no point in the 20-21 season when Tatum was an elite defensive player though, not pre covid and not far enough post covid
 

Just a bit outside

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The only under 30’s on the list are Giannis, Joker, Luca, AD, and Embid. AD and Embid have injury issues so you can certainly make the case JT is 4th on the under 30 list. I think the argument can be made that Tatum will become A top 10 player in the next 2-3 years due to injury and age.
 

lovegtm

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I doubt anyone has him outside the top 15 so having him in the top 10 isn't really a homer stance. Having him in the top 5 would be a homer stance.
Yeah, also the "no, you're the homer!" trope needs to die. It's a cheap way to discount opposing viewpoints that are more bullish on a given Celtics player.
 

nighthob

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There was no point in the 20-21 season when Tatum was an elite defensive player though, not pre covid and not far enough post covid
He was actually a pretty good defensive player pre-covid as well as in April. After Brown went down for the season the bottom fell out of Boston’s D, but that was hardly Tatum’s fault.
 

Auger34

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https://www.theringer.com/nba/2021/5/4/22416337/top-25-nba-player-ranking-lebron-james-nikola-jokic

I don't know exactly where I would put Tatum. Probably in the 10-15 range, 3rd team NBA level. But trending in the right direction. Ringer article put him at 17th in May.

Top 10 sounds reasonable, but then you have to decide who to kick out.

Jokic
Lebron
Embiid
Curry
Durant
Kawhi
Giannis
Harden
ADavis
Luka
Dame
CP3

That's the top 12. Tough list.
Exactly. Tatum is a top 15 player. I think we all agree on that.

I guess it’s pedantic but I don’t know how you can look at that list and think it’s crazy obvious that Tatum is a top 10 player right how
 

benhogan

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Exactly. Tatum is a top 15 player. I think we all agree on that.

I guess it’s pedantic but I don’t know how you can look at that list and think it’s crazy obvious that Tatum is a top 10 player right how
Let's see how he does over his next 40 games, and we can peruse that list again.
 

Devizier

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I love this discussion because what it really reveals is that the NBA is in possibly its golden age in terms of talent. I don’t think there’s been a better time in the league’s history.
 

PedroKsBambino

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Some sloppy use of language is causing issues here, though.

The statement a bunch of us reacted to was that Tatum is a top 10 player now. There's a lot of data and opinion from experts which says that is simply not the case.

Arguing he is a top 10 asset (because of age and contract) is a very different thing.

Arguing (as benhogan does above) that next year he may show he is a top 10 player is also different, though pretty speculative.

So as people advocate here it will really help to be clear which you are saying---today as a player, today as an asset, or looking forward as a player. I imagine many of us are far more willing to agree to the second and third than the first...and the available external data, analysis, and opinion which makes the first look pretty sketchy is also pretty different looking forward.
 

wade boggs chicken dinner

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Some sloppy use of language is causing issues here, though.

The statement a bunch of us reacted to was that Tatum is a top 10 player now. There's a lot of data and opinion from experts which says that is simply not the case.

Arguing he is a top 10 asset (because of age and contract) is a very different thing.
Well if you want to be super pedantic about it, since JT isn't playing, the only real way to measure whether he's a "Top 10 player now" is to determine his value, and if you agree that he's a top 10 "asset" then maybe you're closer to agreeing with Ben Hogan than you think.

Plus if you take Rahdsoxfan's list above, at least three guys are injured (KL, Harden, and Davis) so maybe if you needed someone to play right NOW, JT would be in the top 10.

I don't know if it's sloppy language so much as people not taking the time to try to figure out what Ben Hogan really meant if they were interested in engaging with him on his statement. I mean if someone posted and said, "JB Is the best player in the NBA" I might inquire what he meant by "best" before I mocked him. But that's just me.

Of course that would be way more boring messageboarding so maybe I'll withdraw this post!
 

DJnVa

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The Athletic: 10 summer questions for Celtics

Am I the only one starting to get excited for Summer League? Yeah? Well, I think the team could be fun. It could be the first chance to see 2020 draft pick Yam Madar in an NBA-ish setting. Assuming Pritchard, Nesmith and Moses Brown play, Boston should have an interesting mix of young returnees and new faces. The team won’t have a first-round pick on the roster, but that won’t stop fans from overreacting to whichever players find a bit of success in Las Vegas. Pritchard and Nesmith should benefit from a more normal offseason after getting launched into the rushed, COVID-19 version before their rookie years.
 

PedroKsBambino

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Well if you want to be super pedantic about it, since JT isn't playing, the only real way to measure whether he's a "Top 10 player now" is to determine his value, and if you agree that he's a top 10 "asset" then maybe you're closer to agreeing with Ben Hogan than you think.

Plus if you take Rahdsoxfan's list above, at least three guys are injured (KL, Harden, and Davis) so maybe if you needed someone to play right NOW, JT would be in the top 10.

I don't know if it's sloppy language so much as people not taking the time to try to figure out what Ben Hogan really meant if they were interested in engaging with him on his statement. I mean if someone posted and said, "JB Is the best player in the NBA" I might inquire what he meant by "best" before I mocked him. But that's just me.

Of course that would be way more boring messageboarding so maybe I'll withdraw this post!
Well, if you want to be pedantic none of them are playing RIGHT PRECISELY NOW so I guess I'm not sure what you're trying to do there. Though I fear you are not living your own advice about trying to figure out the point being made.

As I said before, if the initial statement is about trade value I don't think so many people would have responded the way we all did---and that is about language. I also think the absolute framing of "anyone who follows the NBA agrees wtih me" is unhelpful, especially up against a ton of data that suggests the opposite. Others will have their own views, of course.

Message boards exist to share ideas and different perspectives, and that works if we accept other ones and also acknowledge that any given perspective has value, and also that simply having a perspective doesn't make one correct---credibility, data, etc. all matter too. I like benhogan as a poster and his activity and energy around that team; that does not mean he is always right about what he says, though.
 

Saints Rest

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I think being flexible to trade for a 3rd star is a good strategy.... I also think the asusmption you NEED a 3rd star is a bad one. If Tatum is a perenial All-NBA guy that people think he is going forward, and Brown is a solid All-Star+, you can/should be able to build around that with non-stars. Honestly a healthy version of last year's closing team, with Horford in place of Kemba and adding some solid bench vets is a contender at this point, it's as good as MIL or PHI for example to me.

People get way too hung up on "3 stars". What you really need is 1 Superstar, 1 star and a very strong supporting cast.
I look at the last 10 years:
I see 4years that clearly had a champion with 3 STARS (Heatles x2, Durant Warriorsx2).
I see 4 years that had a champion clearly not build on 3 STARS (Mavs, Raps, Lakers, Spurs)
I see 2 years that are borderline: Warriors without Durant (is Green a STAR? certainly not anywhere but GS, he's Marcus Smart) Cavs (was Love still a star?).

So 3 STARS is a great approach, but you can be in the hunt and win without it if you build the roster well and your top guy is good enough.
I wonder if one could create a formula that could quantify this somehow.

Something like:
  • 1st-team All-NBA is worth 4 points
  • 2nd-team All-NBA is worth 3 points
  • 3rd-team All-NBA is worth 2 points
  • Non-All-NBA All-Star is worth 1 point
Then add it up.

I'm going to put something together for the last 12-15 years. Let me know if you would amend the point ratings.
 

lexrageorge

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Barring injuries don't see him overtaking Embiid next season.

AD and Harden is optimistic but maybe possible.

Dame and CP3 I could definitely see considering D and age.
He outplayed Embiid in the bubble playoffs just one year ago, and by a good margin. I don't think it's all that unrealistic to expect Tatum to overtake Embiid. And, to be fair, Tatum got schooled big time by Butler in the subsequent series, but Tatum had a better season than Butler did this past year, despite the All-NBA balloting quirks.

Of course, there are other young players that will be vying a slot in the Top 10 at some point in the next couple of seasons (e.g., Zion, LaMelo, Booker, Ayton, Trae Young). I'm not saying any of them are better than Tatum, but they have growth in front of them as well.
 

benhogan

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As far as "Tatum easily being Top 10", I was in agreement with @nighthob 's analysis, which broke down JT's 2021 season into 3 parts, pre-COVID, COVID effects, and post COVID/healthy. I'm really not looking to "cherry-pick" his past stats to back up any argument. Last season the team was a mess defensively, constantly injured and dealing with a global pandemic more than any other NBA team. I've seen enough from JT over the years to know he will lockdown 1-5, at an elite level, in the halfcourt. PLUS I've written a lot about where I thought the Celtics defense came up "short" in high leverage spots and don't need to recycle it.

Being pro-Tatum for years (which I've been admittedly guilty of) is an easy position to take. As we debate his defense/NBA rank he's working on his game/body, while Drew Hanlon is breaking down film. Tatum's learning mindset, work habits, family infrastructure, attitude, age, future physical growth are all massive positives. He's not really close to being a finished player so expect continuous/fluid progression. There is also a lot of older players on many Top 10 lists that are oft-injured/slowing down. A switchable wing that can legitimately cover 1-5 (from Trae to Bam) is incredibly valuable, especially when it comes playoff time. That element of his defense is vastly underrated, rarely discussed by the mainstream NBA media, & left out of the equation when ranking top players IMO

I probably shouldn't have said "anyone that knows hoops can easily see it" in a prior post since so many that follow the NBA disagree with my take (I've stricken it to appease the aggrieved)

Let's circle back after the first few months of the NBA season to see where Tatum ranks. I'm looking to gain back those SoSH pointz I lost on my optimism with our 4th string small-ball Center :oops:
 

nighthob

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Well if you want to be super pedantic about it, since JT isn't playing, the only real way to measure whether he's a "Top 10 player now" is to determine his value, and if you agree that he's a top 10 "asset" then maybe you're closer to agreeing with Ben Hogan than you think.
The reality is that two way wings are inherently more valuable than bigs and smalls. So when I compare non-covid JayTay with someone like Damian Lillard I see that Lillard is a slightly more efficient scorer. But that marginal increase in scoring efficiency comes at the expense of positional flexibility and defense. Prime Steph Curry shatters that by being absurdly efficient on offense for a small. As much as I love Dame, he ain’t prime Curry.

I’m a huge Kawhi fan, but Klaw hasn’t been the same guy since the injury. And every year we go Regular Season Kawhi™ becomes more and more like Kobe Bryant, All NBA Defensive Team!!! (making the first team about four years after he last played any). Now, don’t misunderstand me, if you have someone as good as Leonard is in short bursts, you absolutely baby him during the regular season in hopes that he can make it through the playoffs healthy. But the reality? He’s good for 55-60 games during the season and he only brings his A game occasionally (and always in games where it’s needed, Regular Season Kawhi™ has a lot of National TV Rondo™ in him). Still good enough to be the best player on a title team? Absolutely. He’s a great 16 game player when healthy (but as the Clippers found, even when handled with kid gloves there are no guarantees that you get 16 Game Kawhi). But is he a top 10 player anymore? Probably not.

So when I put Tatum in the top ten I’m comparing the non-covid version of him against the guys there, and I’m just not seeing a case for the Walking Hospital Wards or the smalls on the list that Radsox posted over Jayson. And, sadly, we have seen the last of ¡LeBron!. At this point, in total minutes (as in including playoffs), I think he’s only behind Kareem. LA handled him with kid gloves last year and still went nowhere. The injuries are starting to mount and the Lakers increasingly have to hide him defensively. He’s still an all star player, but he’s also a part time one.
 

nighthob

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What part of “short bursts vs. total season” are you struggling with? On any given night, when he isn’t injured, he can bring his A game and be the best player on the floor. But he’s injured an awful lot these days. And at roughly 62,000 minutes for his career he isn’t going to magically turn back the clock.

Maybe we can give him a special dispensation for how well he plays that handful of games? But that special dispensation better put him on a parallel list.
 
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Auger34

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Well if you want to be super pedantic about it, since JT isn't playing, the only real way to measure whether he's a "Top 10 player now" is to determine his value, and if you agree that he's a top 10 "asset" then maybe you're closer to agreeing with Ben Hogan than you think.

Plus if you take Rahdsoxfan's list above, at least three guys are injured (KL, Harden, and Davis) so maybe if you needed someone to play right NOW, JT would be in the top 10.

I don't know if it's sloppy language so much as people not taking the time to try to figure out what Ben Hogan really meant if they were interested in engaging with him on his statement. I mean if someone posted and said, "JB Is the best player in the NBA" I might inquire what he meant by "best" before I mocked him. But that's just me.

Of course that would be way more boring messageboarding so maybe I'll withdraw this post!
I’m kind of surprised that you’ve taken this position. When you’ve responded to my posts before you look at the language and phrasing used and respond based off of that. I could argue it was pedantic, and a few of them I would say that, but it’s a message board and the syntax is basically all we have to go off of.

it was stated that Tatum is “pretty clearly” and “obviously” a top 10 player in the league. People rightly pointed out that on player lists recently done by reputable sources (Athletic, Simmons and Russillo, The Ringer staff) that Tatum wasn’t in the top 10 on any of them. So,there’s much more of an argument to a lot of basketball people on where Tatum ranks

There was also sniping going on from all directions, not just PKB doing it. Think that needs to be pointed out in response to your post
 

Cellar-Door

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I think Tatum could be top 10 in the coming season. I don't think he has shown it yet though, people saying he's top 10 are projecting that by excusing his post-COVID period, and combining his best offensive periods with best defensive periods.

I also think we need to see him both show the level of offense he showed in bursts this season AND the level of defense he showed in previous years, because at no point last year did I think I saw an elite defender and an elite scorer at the same time (pre-COVID included) and (yes he got COVID) he has never shown a full season of consistent top level play. The hardest thing for an NBA star is to sustain top level performance at both ends across a full season. I get the argument that the overall defense was struggling, but he was part of the issue for sure, and elite defenders show more even on teams struggling with system-wide D.

Keeping both of those up at the same time is the hardest thing in the NBA, you can't just assume it, a lot of players take a step down defensively as they grow into elite players. If Tatum can consistently be a high impact player on both ends he's top 10, but if he is only high impact on offense and lower impact on D like last year he's probably more in the 11-20 range of players.

I would say based on current performance Tatum is behind:
Jokic, Embiid, Durant, Harden, Giannis, Curry, Luka, Kawhi, PG, Lebron (yes he gets hurt, he's alsobetter than Tatum when healthy, and Tatum hasn't put up a full season of elite play either).
I'd put Tatum currently in the next tier with Gobert, CP3, Kyrie, AD, Mitchell, Butler, Trae

If I were guessing, I'd say Tatum goes to the tier above next year. He can be PG-lite on D, but better on O, which would separate him from the guys he's in a tier with now, while Kawhi and LeBron are health decline candidates (Curry and Harden too).
 

Cesar Crespo

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I really hope Langford is on the team as well. He's a little old for summer league but with both of his seasons affected by Covid and injuries he'd likely gain a lot from the experience. It would also give him a chance to facilitate the offense more which it looked like Brad was hopeful he could do towards the end of last season.
That's a weird take given he's younger than Aaron Nesmith, Moses Brown and Payton Pritchard.

On an odd note, Moses, AN and RL were all born in October 1999. Moses on the 13th, AN on the 16th, RL on the 25th.

PP is considerably older than all 3, having been born in January 1998.
 

Dduncan6er

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My mistake I was basing it off his draft year. You generally don't see a ton of guys going into their 3rd year on summer league rosters and he wasn't mentioned in the article. Should have checked his age before posting it.
 

Jimbodandy

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That's a weird take given he's younger than Aaron Nesmith, Moses Brown and Payton Pritchard.

On an odd note, Moses, AN and RL were all born in October 1999. Moses on the 13th, AN on the 16th, RL on the 25th.

PP is considerably older than all 3, having been born in January 1998.
Add me to the list of people excited to see all of these guys in summer league. Low leverage ball opportunities, especially considering our early exit this year, will be good for them.

As far as Tatum's place in the top 10 (or not), I'm enjoying watching this debate play out. Folks have their own biases, and I hope that people really don't get too pissed off here. What I want to add is that the suboptimal value of the advanced def metrics really hurts in analyzing Tatum's performance there. Did he take a huge step back defensively, or was it just the entire fucking team? Good luck unpacking that from the shit that we have to work with in 2021.
 

wade boggs chicken dinner

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Well, if you want to be pedantic none of them are playing RIGHT PRECISELY NOW so I guess I'm not sure what you're trying to do there. Though I fear you are not living your own advice about trying to figure out the point being made.
I didn't say playing right now, I said if you needed someone to play right now, maybe JT would be in the top 10.

But you're missing my point . . .
I’m kind of surprised that you’ve taken this position. When you’ve responded to my posts before you look at the language and phrasing used and respond based off of that. I could argue it was pedantic, and a few of them I would say that, but it’s a message board and the syntax is basically all we have to go off of.

it was stated that Tatum is “pretty clearly” and “obviously” a top 10 player in the league. People rightly pointed out that on player lists recently done by reputable sources (Athletic, Simmons and Russillo, The Ringer staff) that Tatum wasn’t in the top 10 on any of them. So,there’s much more of an argument to a lot of basketball people on where Tatum ranks

There was also sniping going on from all directions, not just PKB doing it. Think that needs to be pointed out in response to your post
. . . which is that one of my pet peeves is when people complain about how people post. This is a message board, not a place of business. We're all here for about the same reason - entertainment and maybe to learn some things. Most of us barely proof-read our posts, much less really take the time to dissect them. So when someone says that "sloppy drafting" is causing issues, maybe I get oversensitive.

Because if I have an issue understanding what someone means, I'll just ask them.

At any rate, like I said, one thing about "sloppy drafting" it makes for more interesting message boarding (except maybe in V&N, which we don't want the Port Cellar to become). So I'll just drop the subject after that.
 

nighthob

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I think Tatum could be top 10 in the coming season. I don't think he has shown it yet though, people saying he's top 10 are projecting that by excusing his post-COVID period, and combining his best offensive periods with best defensive periods.
No, we’re just ignoring February when he was openly lagging on the court due to covid. It's not like the rest of the season featured him shooting over his career norms. If anything his shooting results were less than you would expect. The big change was in FTA. As he got his bounce back he was playing through contact on drives, and getting foul calls as a result. That's not going to stop any time soon. He's only getting better.
 

Cellar-Door

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No, we’re just ignoring February when he was openly lagging on the court due to covid. It's not like the rest of the season featured him shooting over his career norms. If anything his shooting results were less than you would expect. The big change was in FTA. As he got his bounce back he was playing through contact on drives, and getting foul calls as a result. That's not going to stop any time soon. He's only getting better.
Sure, he probably will, but his last year he was not a top 10 player, I don't think there is even a borderline case for it, he was a very good/elite offensive player and a mediocre or worse defender. We can excuse a chunk for COVID and that won't change it. Tatum has not put up a top 10 player type season yet, I don't see a justification for calling him a top 10 player until he actually plays for a consistent season as one.
 

Rustjive

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This conversation won't ever get anywhere because people are just judging it on completely different things. Even if you asked these 'reputable sources' what their criteria is they wouldn't be consistent. For players like Kyrie or Lebron, so much of it is clearly based off of a theoretical maximum effort + talent + no injury type of situation. Defense, real or theoretical, is often discounted or ignored. Factors like Lebron or Dame's clutchness always factor in in a way that you can't trump. Some people are comparing complete seasons for some players at the same time that they're extrapolating partial seasons for another player. So many posts in and we're still quibbling over the word 'clearly' when people obviously can't even agree on criteria. In one regard we should all strive to post better but in another regard, maybe don't read other people's posts so narrowly? Can we really not see where Benhogan is operating from?
 

DeJesus Built My Hotrod

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Dec 24, 2002
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The whole exercise is futile - its entirely subjective. As such, its unlikely to change anyone's opinion. I will just say that if Tatum is widely considered to be one of the top two or three players in the NBA in a few years - around the league, in the media and on messageboards - it won't be a shock. He is amongst the top X right now imo.
 

bakahump

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Would anyone here take Giannis right now instead of Tatum?

I mean that seems like a pretty easy litmus test.

Who are the 10 guys you would take right now instead?
Not sure I take Lebron....RIGHTNOW Lebron....over JT. Nor AD....or Curry. or CP3 (who is doing amazing things in the playoffs) or Dame or Kawhi.

I could be totally wrong. But the fact that its debatable (which I think it is) speaks volumes.
 

Dduncan6er

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Apr 16, 2020
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Right now I'm taking all those guys over Tatum if we're assuming 100% health going into a playoff like situation. He will hopefully surpass a few of them next year but I'm basing that off what I've seen from these guys recently.
 

luckiestman

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Jul 15, 2005
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I wonder if one could create a formula that could quantify this somehow.

Something like:
  • 1st-team All-NBA is worth 4 points
  • 2nd-team All-NBA is worth 3 points
  • 3rd-team All-NBA is worth 2 points
  • Non-All-NBA All-Star is worth 1 point
It's a no for me. These awards are determined by voting which means I would have to respect the voters to value them (which I don't).
 

bakahump

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Right now I'm taking all those guys over Tatum if we're assuming 100% health going into a playoff like situation. He will hopefully surpass a few of them next year but I'm basing that off what I've seen from these guys recently.
Well you can assume 100% health at your peril.

AD for instance? When did you seem him recently healthy in the playoffs? And Betting on 34YOs+ health is iffy at best so Bron, Paul and Curry all have some serious risk. Dame could Kemba at any moment.
And Kawhis health hasn't been steller.

JT had covid. Unless he is a long hauler his Future...which includes this coming season is Much brighter then any of the guys above.

All this isnt even taking into account the pretty much taken for scripture that an Elite Wing is better than an Elite Guard or Center (looking at you too Embiid and Giannis).
Sure a transcendent player like Joker or Luka have a place on the list. No one is arguing otherwise. But Tatum sure seems like he is right there.