Celtics Plan, Summer 2021

nighthob

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Honestly I wouldn't want either guy. I soured on Fultz on draft night with his product placement routine (you knew then and there where his priorities were, and they weren't winning). Similarly with JJ all I've ever seen with him is an enormous sense of entitlement. Maybe being exposed as a scrubeenie has humbled him, but I doubt it.
 

ManicCompression

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The original point was there was a lot of $$$ for a limited number of free agents which would boost Kemba's value. But people forget about the RFA. The cheaper those RFA go for the less appealing Kemba's contract is.

It doesn't have to be MAX if Griffin and Rose work out a deal that suppresses Ball's contract size (in both NYK/NOP interests to do that). I imagine Klutch would be hot and fight back on not getting every last penny.

Klutch probably feels they are above RFA/CBA
Can you describe a time when this has happened with a restricted free agent? Particularly RFAs that the teams want to keep? It sounds good in theory but I can't think of examples. I feel like Bogdan and Brogdon were both superfluous (mistakenly) on their old teams, so there wasn't as much incentive to match the RFA offers. Lonzo with good shooting is the perfect fit next to Zion - if someone drops a rich contract on his lap, isn't it more likely the Pelicans match it and dump bad salary elsewhere?

And RE: John Collins, if the Hawks are the 4-5 seed this year, would they want to lose one of their best players after years of missing the playoffs? Is it guaranteed he's walking?

RFA market is unreliable because you have to wait for a window when all of the UFAs are signing and teams typically keep their players because if a team is willing to drop that kind of an offer, they can just sign the guy and trade him later. Teams didn't even bother offering Ingram or OG contracts because they knew they'd get matched. Even Allen Crabbe got matched. And two teams colluding together to depress a player's salary seems unlikely.
 

nighthob

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Can you describe a time when this has happened with a restricted free agent? Particularly RFAs that the teams want to keep? It sounds good in theory but I can't think of examples. I feel like Bogdan and Brogdon were both superfluous (mistakenly) on their old teams, so there wasn't as much incentive to match the RFA offers. Lonzo with good shooting is the perfect fit next to Zion - if someone drops a rich contract on his lap, isn't it more likely the Pelicans match it and dump bad salary elsewhere?
Except that he's not just playing next to Zion, and the other guy he's playing next to is also ball dominant. If you're the Pelicans your tertiary ball handler might be worth Marcus Smart money, but is he worth Jaylen Brown money?

If the rumors that New Orleans was trying to find a deal for him at the deadline are a guideline, the answer seems to be no. But the right to overpay the Lonz apparently didn't have a lot of value for NBA teams, since he was being linked to the Knicks. Contrary to the hype, he isn't "amazing". He's a roleplayer level talent who looks like he might be getting overpaid because Rose is getting desperate in New York.

And RE: John Collins, if the Hawks are the 4-5 seed this year, would they want to lose one of their best players after years of missing the playoffs? Is it guaranteed he's walking?
And yet the Hawks also had him on the market this year because he will 100% guaranteed get a max offer and they may be hesitant to pay him that much.

RFA market is unreliable because you have to wait for a window when all of the UFAs are signing and teams typically keep their players because if a team is willing to drop that kind of an offer, they can just sign the guy and trade him later. Teams didn't even bother offering Ingram or OG contracts because they knew they'd get matched. Even Allen Crabbe got matched. And two teams colluding together to depress a player's salary seems unlikely.
I'm not sure what point you think you're making here, but it's wrong. Anunoby never reached free agency (like Tatum he signed an early extension) and Ingram signed a max extension.
 
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ManicCompression

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I'm not sure what point you think you're making here, but it's wrong. Anunoby never reached free agency (like Tatum he signed an early extension) and Ingram signed a max extension.
You're right, I got Anunoby wrong, but Ingram signed a max as a RFA. My point is that teams don't commonly chase after RFAs because they know RFAs don't typically leave their current teams.

We'll see about Collins and Lonzo. Both guys fit the teams their on and both will absolutely get overpaid this offseason. I'm not convinced Nola and ATL will not match even max offers because they both have to continue to win and improve, especially with Zion and Trae still on their rookie deals.
 

nighthob

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The point being that Ingram signed his deal with New Orleans at the moment it was legal to do so, midnight November 20th. So while he was technically a free agent, it was simply not the case that other teams "didn't bother bidding on him". He was never available to make an offer on.
 

benhogan

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You're right, I got Anunoby wrong, but Ingram signed a max as a RFA. My point is that teams don't commonly chase after RFAs because they know RFAs don't typically leave their current teams.

We'll see about Collins and Lonzo. Both guys fit the teams their on and both will absolutely get overpaid this offseason. I'm not convinced Nola and ATL will not match even max offers because they both have to continue to win and improve, especially with Zion and Trae still on their rookie deals.
I loved the Houston deal last Summer when they landed RFA Christian Wood in an S&T with Troy Weaver.

I could see Atlanta and/or NOP, getting a pick/player in a S&T from a team like the Knicks

Teams have money to spend, not many UFAs. RFA is a good place for GMs to hunt with less than desirable locations (ex LA/Miami). These young players just want to finally get paid, less demanding about location...GMs should kick the tires on (via agents & GMs w/rights) these 2021 RFA: Collins, Ball, Allen, Monk, Markkanen, Trent Jr., Hart, Graham, Brown, Diallo, Duncan Robinson, Nunn, Terrence Davis, Ntilinka, and Max Strus ;)

I realize the Celtics/Danny are boxed out (or would have to move Kemba/TT) and most teams plan to retain their RFAs. Maybe the lack of UFA leads some GM to pine for our ex-All Star PG
 

HomeRunBaker

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I loved the Houston deal last Summer when they landed RFA Christian Wood in an S&T with Troy Weaver.

I could see Atlanta and/or NOP, getting a pick/player in a S&T from a team like the Knicks

Teams have money to spend, not many UFAs. RFA is a good place for GMs to hunt with less than desirable locations (ex LA/Miami). These young players just want to finally get paid, less demanding about location...GMs should kick the tires on (via agents & GMs w/rights) these 2021 RFA: Collins, Ball, Allen, Monk, Markkanen, Trent Jr., Hart, Graham, Brown, Diallo, Duncan Robinson, Nunn, Terrence Davis, Ntilinka, and Max Strus ;)

I realize the Celtics/Danny are boxed out (or would have to move Kemba/TT) and most teams plan to retain their RFAs. Maybe the lack of UFA leads some GM to pine for our ex-All Star PG
The problem with signing these guys to offer sheets is that FA movement is fast and furious the minute the gates open. If you tie up your space in a RFA you’re essentially shut out from everyone else while still possibly having his previous team match. Nothing more embarassing for a GM to have an offer matched after a couple days while everyone else is snatched up. It’s a real bad look and GM’s without great job security doesn’t want to have this bad look.
 

benhogan

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The problem with signing these guys to offer sheets is that FA movement is fast and furious the minute the gates open. If you tie up your space in a RFA you’re essentially shut out from everyone else while still possibly having his previous team match. Nothing more embarassing for a GM to have an offer matched after a couple days while everyone else is snatched up. It’s a real bad look and GM’s without great job security doesn’t want to have this bad look.
Yea a deal would have to be in place before putting the offer in. I know that's illegal but it's done

back channels = "GMs should kick the tires on (via agents & GMs w/rights)". I still think the power agents have some room to work over the GMs ala David Falk
 

HomeRunBaker

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Yea a deal would have to be in place before putting the offer in. I know that's illegal but it's done
You mean a sign n trade? I was referring to someone whose team may not want to lose him. Rather than overpay, which is what they would likely need to do prior to the FA period, they may allow the market to set itself with the hopes a team won’t jump in due to not wanting to tie up their space with all of the uncertainty.
 

benhogan

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You mean a sign n trade? I was referring to someone whose team may not want to lose him. Rather than overpay, which is what they would likely need to do prior to the FA period, they may allow the market to set itself with the hopes a team won’t jump in due to not wanting to tie up their space with all of the uncertainty.
yep S&T. By letting a player reach RFA the team has started to dance around that player.

Look how we are reacting to TimeLord, a majority of this Board (probably not you) wants him locked up for 4yrs at $60MM before he reaches RFA

Every Agent should know what all 29 teams would bid for their RFA by May
 

HomeRunBaker

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yep S&T. By letting a player reach RFA the team has started to dance around that player.

Look how we are reacting to TimeLord, a majority of this Board (probably not you) wants him locked up for 4yrs at $60MM before he reaches RFA

Every Agent should know what all 29 teams would bid for their RFA
Not necessarily as RFA generally don’t attract multiple suitors for the reasons mentioned above. What is the benefit of say Atlanta or NO signing Collins or Ball to a max deal prior to entering RFA? The existing team has all the leverage in this case if they want the player but may want to wait it out to save $20-30m or whatever.
 

benhogan

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Not necessarily as RFA generally don’t attract multiple suitors for the reasons mentioned above. What is the benefit of say Atlanta or NO signing Collins or Ball to a max deal prior to entering RFA? The existing team has all the leverage in this case if they want the player but may want to wait it out to save $20-30m or whatever.
Of course, NOP waits if they are queasy paying big $$$ to Lonzo.

and Griffin talks to multiple GMs about S&Ts

All GMs that have attractive RFA should be having S&T conversations. They have a lot of leverage
 

Cesar Crespo

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Honestly I wouldn't want either guy. I soured on Fultz on draft night with his product placement routine (you knew then and there where his priorities were, and they weren't winning). Similarly with JJ all I've ever seen with him is an enormous sense of entitlement. Maybe being exposed as a scrubeenie has humbled him, but I doubt it.
Fultz and Harris is the best offer I've seen for Kemba. I have no idea if it's a realistic offer but in that regard, I would take Fultz.
 

lovegtm

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Fultz and Harris is the best offer I've seen for Kemba. I have no idea if it's a realistic offer but in that regard, I would take Fultz.
Tbh pretty much any deal that splits Kemba into multiple salary chunks, with one of those chunks being a rotation player, is a good deal imo.
 

nighthob

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You mean a sign n trade? I was referring to someone whose team may not want to lose him. Rather than overpay, which is what they would likely need to do prior to the FA period, they may allow the market to set itself with the hopes a team won’t jump in due to not wanting to tie up their space with all of the uncertainty.
It depends on the player. If Atlanta lets the market set the price it will be a 4 year max with lower raises. And that just may be what the Hawks want (as the Jazz did with Gordo). Sometimes for teams making the offer it's just about future good will with the agents and player (as the Hornets did with Gordo).
 

Eddie Jurak

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BSJ's John Karalis wrote about next season today, in an article called "Who should stay and who should go aftet this season ends?"

https://www.bostonsportsjournal.com/2021/05/27/karalis_who_should_stay_and_who_should_go_after_this_boston_celtics_season_ends

I think it is a great article because he basically landed exactly where I would have had I done the same exercise.

THE NO-DOUBT KEEPERS: Brad Stevens, Danny Ainge, Jayson Tatum, Jaylen Brown

THE KEEPERS UNLESS MOVING THEM LEADS TO A HUGE UPGRADE: Robert Williams, Marcus Smart

THE ROLE PLAYERS THAT SHOULD STICK & DEVELOP (BUT WHO CAN BE DEALT): Aaron Nesmith, Romeo Langford, Payton Pritchard, Grant Williams

THE POTENTIAL DEPARTURES: Kemba Walker, Tristan Thompson, Evan Fournier

IT WAS NICE KNOWING YOU: Semi Ojeleye, Carsen Edwards, Tremont Waters, Tacko Fall

THE 'WE NEED TO FILL OUT OUR ROSTER' GUYS: Luke Kornet, Jabari Parker
 

wade boggs chicken dinner

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BSJ's John Karalis wrote about next season today, in an article called "Who should stay and who should go aftet this season ends?"
Not sure what point is trying to be made other than he wants to run everything back, which is fine. But . . . .

(1) Smart is literally the only reasonable trade commodity DA has. If DA is going to shake up the team, DA will have to move Marcus. The fan in me hopes Marcus stays but if I were GM, I'd see what I could get.

(2) Jettisoning NG is fine but basically wastes the trade exception. If the Cs can sign him to a reasonable K they will because they don't have any alternatives but I'm sure DA / ownership have a limit on what they would be willing to give him.

(3) I believe CE is signed for next year; he's certainly not bad enough to pay him to go elsewhere so I'm pretty sure he'll be back.

(4) If I were doing the piece, I'd separate the two-way guys. I'm not super conversant with the rules, but if Tacko can be on a two-way next year, I have to think he will be.

(5) Is KW even moveable right now? While I'm sire there are teams who would take his salary plus draft picks, doesn't seem to make much sense to jettison KW and also lose draft picks and his salary slot.

Will be a toigh offseason for DA and company.
 

Cellar-Door

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Yeah I'd say Fournier and Smart should be flipped. Fournier makes little sense to let walk unless it's a terrible deal, while your departures need to actually get you value.

I'd honestly be tempted to move KW up to where Smart is, simply because moving him is only worth it for value, dumping him gets you nothing, you won't save cap space, all you do is eliminate a decent player, and a potential salary match in a big deal.
 

ZMart100

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Using that framework with an additional category:
THE NO-DOUBT KEEPERS: Brad Stevens, Danny Ainge, Jayson Tatum, Jaylen Brown
agreed

THE KEEPERS UNLESS MOVING THEM LEADS TO A HUGE UPGRADE: Robert Williams, Marcus Smart, Kemba Walker

Adding Kemba here because his salary is valuable. I don't think the third star is coming this offseason and I'm not paying to get rid of him until there is an upgrade. Any upgrade is going to sap the assets needed to get rid of him. So the plan is to muddle through another season with Kemba and attach all the assets for a max player next offseason. The team next season won't be better by just subtracting Kemba.

THE ROLE PLAYERS THAT SHOULD STICK & DEVELOP (BUT WHO CAN BE DEALT): Aaron Nesmith, Romeo Langford, Payton Pritchard

THE POTENTIAL DEPARTURES: Evan Fournier, Tristan Thompson

I don't see any reason to trade TT. He has been good for his role, but can be replaced if someone wants him enough.

I'm not going to break the bank for Fournier, but hope he comes back at a reasonable price.

FOR FREE: Grant Williams, Carsen Edwards
I don't think either will really develop much, but both have time left on their contracts. Top 55-protected would do it. They probably come back.

IT WAS NICE KNOWING YOU: Semi Ojeleye, Tremont Waters, Tacko Fall

I think Fall is eligible for a 2-way again? It wouldn't be my first choice, but I could see bringing him back in the emergency role. They probably won't be finding two better 2-way guys.

THE 'WE NEED TO FILL OUT OUR ROSTER' GUYS: Luke Kornet, Jabari Parker

Kornet can stay or go. If not him, a Kornet type. Parker they need to make a decision on. He has probably been useful enough to pick up the option.
 

benhogan

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I'd honestly be tempted to move KW up to where Smart is, simply because moving him is only worth it for value, dumping him gets you nothing, you won't save cap space, all you do is eliminate a decent player, and a potential salary match in a big deal.
The idea would be to add rotational pieces to fill Kemba's salary slot, so you wouldn't lose it. BUT He's going to be next to impossible to move, so I wouldn't hold my breath on it.

Limiting his back-to-back games and playing him more against 2nd units as a top 2 scoring option could help the team and repair value on his last year of the deal. I've lost confidence that Brad would do something so bold.
 

Eddie Jurak

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(1) Smart is literally the only reasonable trade commodity DA has. If DA is going to shake up the team, DA will have to move Marcus. The fan in me hopes Marcus stays but if I were GM, I'd see what I could get.
I think "shaking up the team" for the sake of doing that is almost always a mistake. is there a team out there that values Marcus highly enough to offer a player whio is better? I doubt it. In his article, Karalis had this to say about Smart:
Smart is Smart, and while he’s been polarizing in a lot of ways, I am steadfast in my belief: If the Celtics have well-defined roles for everyone and everyone is healthy, Smart can be exactly what they need. When he tries to do too much, he flies too close to the sun.

These guys are very important to Boston, but if moving one or both of them means a massive upgrade to a third star, then they grudgingly have to do it. Just watch the Brooklyn Nets and remember that they moved Jarrett Allenand Caris LeVert in a deal for James Harden.

This league is about star power. Sorry.

But at the same time, you don’t just give those guys away. The “you gotta move Smart” crowd has to sit down. He’s very valuable.
I wouldn't call him untouchable, but I am not looking to trade him for a spot up shooting wing who brings little else in the way of value... whereas I think many who post here would be extatic to see such a deal.
(2) Jettisoning NG is fine but basically wastes the trade exception. If the Cs can sign him to a reasonable K they will because they don't have any alternatives but I'm sure DA / ownership have a limit on what they would be willing to give him.
Karalis on Fournier:
The Celtics certainly have a maximum price they’d like to pay Fournier. If he can get more than that on the open market, they’ll try to pull a sign-and-trade with the new team and at least get another Traded Player Exception out of it. The last thing Ainge needs right now is Fournier walking for nothing.

If Fournier leaves for nothing, then a new discussion needs to be had about Celtics ownership. Ainge moved Daniel Theis, a very useful guy who the Celtics really could use right now, in a tax-saving move. If that was for a few weeks of Fournier with nothing in return, which really means nothing in return for Gordon Hayward ... yeesh.
(5) Is KW even moveable right now? While I'm sire there are teams who would take his salary plus draft picks, doesn't seem to make much sense to jettison KW and also lose draft picks and his salary slot.
My working assumption is that he's not moveable and will be back.
 

Devizier

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Kemba is moveable, but the absolute best return you’d get is air, so why bother? We’re not talking about the Lakers, where you can count on clearing the books for a veteran FA. It just puts the Celtics in a shitty cap situation.
 

Lazy vs Crazy

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Kemba's probably a top 3 bad contract in the league right now along with Wall and Love. Maybe throw Horford in there as well. It's going to be real hard to get anything for him. Wish Danny had gone after Westbrook when his value was low, but he's been great and pulled himself out of the terrible contract conversation. Kemba for Westbrook would have ruined the plan to reset the tax as well.

The more interesting thing is if they can combine Smart and TT's contracts to get a guy in the $20-$25 million range. That's probably the best way to upgrade the team at this point.

I don't know if Fournier will even want to stay after his experience with this team this season. Gotta hope he doesn't pull in a decent offer from another team. It'll suck if Danny burned those two picks on nothing.
 

Cellar-Door

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I think Kemba's contract is not that bad. It's a 1+1, he can obviously still play well on the offensive end.
Just off the top of my head I think it's a better contract than:
Love, Wiggins, Porzingis, Wall, Russell, Horford

I'd listen to the case for: Hield, Draymond, Westbrook, Gordon, Bledsoe, Bertans, Harris.

I also bet a couple deals signed this summer end up worse out of this group:
Lowry, Oladipo, DeRozan, Oubre (his agents say 20M+), Markkanen.
 

Jimbodandy

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I think Kemba's contract is not that bad. It's a 1+1, he can obviously still play well on the offensive end.
Just off the top of my head I think it's a better contract than:
Love, Wiggins, Porzingis, Wall, Russell, Horford

I'd listen to the case for: Hield, Draymond, Westbrook, Gordon, Bledsoe, Bertans, Harris.

I also bet a couple deals signed this summer end up worse out of this group:
Lowry, Oladipo, DeRozan, Oubre (his agents say 20M+), Markkanen.
This is a great list.

Glad that you mentioned Bertans. It boggles my mind how much people here were drooling over that guy a year ago.
 

Cesar Crespo

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Why would you ever trade a player for a downgrade? And why would you need a huge upgrade to trade anyone? An upgrade is an upgrade.

edit: Besides if a superstar demands a trade, anyway.
 

the moops

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I don't know if Fournier will even want to stay after his experience with this team this season. Gotta hope he doesn't pull in a decent offer from another team. It'll suck if Danny burned those two picks on nothing.
It never really sucks to trade two second round picks that are 4 and 6 years out for a guy. Even if he leaves, it would have been worth it, IMO
 

Cellar-Door

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Why would you ever trade a player for a downgrade? And why would you need a huge upgrade to trade anyone? An upgrade is an upgrade.

edit: Besides if a superstar demands a trade, anyway.
Yeah, arguably one of the flaws in roster construction here (besides the obvious of having stars walk for essentially nothing) has been a tendency to look for only MASSIVE upgrades and not take the smallish ones.
I mean we kept all the picks for big trades...never got those trades and ended up using picks we didn't want to, or being put in a spot where a late 1st wasn't as valuable as clearing roster spots/money (while waiting on a star trade that didn't happen and losing him for a TPE).
Like Marcus.... I like him as a person a lot... I'm not sure he's a long term fit anymore. I am not holding him looking for a superstar trade, if I can get an improvement to the overall roster I move him.


This is a great list.
Sneaky name I forgot.... Klay Thompson hasn't played an NBA game in 2 years... he still has 3 years $121.8M left, who knows what type of player he is when he comes back.
 

Cellar-Door

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yeah, the TPE was hypothetically valuable, but at the same time, it wasn't usable for what is usually the best way to get big money stars... the sign and trade, so really it just let you trade picks for players.

Getting a shot to re-sign Fournier for basically nothing and 11M left for a smaller deal is a pretty good use of the TPE. Fournier is a good player, you didn't use a 1st etc.
 

HomeRunBaker

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There is nothing precluding Boston from getting another big TPE this summer if Fournier signs somewhere else (assuming a sign-and-trade can be worked out), right?
Kicking the TPE barrel down the road is the most likely scenario unless Ainge is under immense pressure from Wyc & Co to make a bold move.
 

Buster Olney the Lonely

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Thanks for the confirmation, HRB.

The UFA market seems super thin and I expect that someone will make him an offer with the opportunity to start, so I'm not optimistic about Boston bringing him back.
 

lovegtm

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Thanks for the confirmation, HRB.

The UFA market seems super thin and I expect that someone will make him an offer with the opportunity to start, so I'm not optimistic about Boston bringing him back.
If they lose Fournier in FA because he wants the opportunity to start and Kemba is blocking that spot.....man, that would be brutal. I think, combined with everything else the past couple years, that you probably seriously consider firing Ainge at that point. To be clear, it's mostly because of the other stuff, but you just can't bleed talent like that for dumb reasons.
 

HomeRunBaker

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If they lose Fournier in FA because he wants the opportunity to start and Kemba is blocking that spot.....man, that would be brutal. I think, combined with everything else the past couple years, that you probably seriously consider firing Ainge at that point. To be clear, it's mostly because of the other stuff, but you just can't bleed talent like that for dumb reasons.
It is Smart and Jaylens presence that would save Danny from himself in signing Fournier to a contract we’d quickly regret. I mean, why wouldn’t Fournier want to be paid starter money by a bottom feeder than return here for complementary dollars? Unless you are advocating paying him starters money to play a complementary role as his foot speed further declines during this new contract. I didn’t want to see him when he had the ability to move his feet defensively I sure as heck don’t want to see him in 2-3 and 4 years. Sayonara and go CTC elsewhere.
 

RedOctober3829

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It is Smart and Jaylens presence that would save Danny from himself in signing Fournier to a contract we’d quickly regret. I mean, why wouldn’t Fournier want to be paid starter money by a bottom feeder than return here for complementary dollars? Unless you are advocating paying him starters money to play a complementary role as his foot speed further declines during this new contract. I didn’t want to see him when he had the ability to move his feet defensively I sure as heck don’t want to see him in 2-3 and 4 years. Sayonara and go CTC elsewhere.
This summer should be about these things and these things only:
1) Get rid of everyone you can except for Brown, Tatum, Williams, and Nesmith
2) Get a pass-first PG to facilitate the offense
3) Surround Brown and Tatum with as many 3-and-D guys as possible

Every move this summer has to be with the thought of maximizing Jayson Tatum and Jaylen Brown's abilities. They desperately need a facilitating PG and getting as much 3 pt shooting on the floor to space the floor out so that the J's have room to do their thing. There's too many cooks in the kitchen right now with Kemba and Smart.

Fournier, Walker, and Smart should not be on this team next year.
 

Eddie Jurak

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This summer should be about these things and these things only:
1) Get rid of everyone you can except for Brown, Tatum, Williams, and Nesmith
2) Get a pass-first PG to facilitate the offense
3) Surround Brown and Tatum with as many 3-and-D guys as possible

Every move this summer has to be with the thought of maximizing Jayson Tatum and Jaylen Brown's abilities. They desperately need a facilitating PG and getting as much 3 pt shooting on the floor to space the floor out so that the J's have room to do their thing. There's too many cooks in the kitchen right now with Kemba and Smart.

Fournier, Walker, and Smart should not be on this team next year.
The only part of this that makes ense is that if there is an opportunity to separate themslves from Walker, they should take it.

Fournier provides the shooting you claim to want - along with a range of other offensive skills, including facilitating and creating his own offense - and you want to get rid of him. Smart is easy to hate on but is an integral player on this team.

Finally, pass-first point guards are more or less a thing of the past in the NBA, and the closest thing the Celtics have to one is the a guy you want to dump.
 

Cesar Crespo

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They should look to move TL but ultimately the trade return would probably be weak. If signing him for $6-8 mil a year is really an option, fine. I doubt it is.

He's great but he can't be relied upon at all.
 

RedOctober3829

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deep inside Guido territory
The only part of this that makes ense is that if there is an opportunity to separate themslves from Walker, they should take it.

Fournier provides the shooting you claim to want - along with a range of other offensive skills, including facilitating and creating his own offense - and you want to get rid of him. Smart is easy to hate on but is an integral player on this team.

Finally, pass-first point guards are more or less a thing of the past in the NBA, and the closest thing the Celtics have to one is the a guy you want to dump.
Fournier is going to be way too expensive to keep and I don't think he is going to age well. I have been an advocate to move on from Smart for a while now so I'm not "hating" on him.
 

PedroKsBambino

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I am of the view Kemba is unlikely to be moved. He still has value to them (he’s by far their best pg) and return unlikely to be equal to what he gives them. I get the fear about his knee but everyone else knows that risk too so it’s priced into trades.

Biggest need for me is depth. They need a quality vet wing who can play. If AN and RL force a minutes choice so be it but lack of depth and lack of guys who can play without hurting the starters is and has been a major gap. Think Satoransky level guy.

I’d try pretty hard to keep TL because he’s one of the primary upside moves they have. Good TL, inconsistent as he is, has real impact without the ball and they need that.
 

Cesar Crespo

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If TL were only inconsistent, I'd be on board giving him 4/80. The problem is he's often unavailable.

I kinda get the feeling we are bring back pretty much the same team. Hope I'm wrong.

Many said that would be reason to fire Ainge too.
 

lovegtm

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Apr 30, 2013
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I am of the view Kemba is unlikely to be moved. He still has value to them (he’s by far their best pg) and return unlikely to be equal to what he gives them. I get the fear about his knee but everyone else knows that risk too so it’s priced into trades.

Biggest need for me is depth. They need a quality vet wing who can play. If AN and RL force a minutes choice so be it but lack of depth and lack of guys who can play without hurting the starters is and has been a major gap. Think Satoransky level guy.

I’d try pretty hard to keep TL because he’s one of the primary upside moves they have. Good TL, inconsistent as he is, has real impact without the ball and they need that.
The thing is, we've seen lots of times now that the Celtics look better with shooting/secondary playmaking wings like Fournier than they do with Walker, even when healthy.

It's a Jays team, and Tatum needs the ball
initiating action, and he needs big shooters around him who at least aren't horrific weak links on defense.

This team really doesn't hit its potential with a traditional PG who sacrifices defense imo.
 

PedroKsBambino

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Agreed injuries are part of the problem with TL. But what’s the alternative? Locking in mediocrity isn’t really the answer given rest of roster
 

lovegtm

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Agreed injuries are part of the problem with TL. But what’s the alternative? Locking in mediocrity isn’t really the answer given rest of roster
Yeah, I think you pay him, probably getting a significant discount due to injuries, and gamble on the fact that someone would always gamble on him in a trade if the number is low enough, because his talent is so ridiculous.

What is low enough? Probably under $13M or so, although obv you try to go a lot lower.
 

Cesar Crespo

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Agreed injuries are part of the problem with TL. But what’s the alternative? Locking in mediocrity isn’t really the answer given rest of roster
Explore trades or let him walk for nothing after next year unless he stays healthy the entire season.

Again, if 2/12 or something like 4/30 is all it takes, sign him. I just think if he signs for that low, it's because he missed another 40 games. If he's healthy all year, who knows what he gets.
 

lexrageorge

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Jul 31, 2007
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If TL were only inconsistent, I'd be on board giving him 4/80. The problem is he's often unavailable.

I kinda get the feeling we are bring back pretty much the same team. Hope I'm wrong.

Many said that would be reason to fire Ainge too.
Bringing back the same exact roster (ignoring the 13th through 15th spots and the 2-ways) should get Ainge fired given the expected player movement this offseason. Yeah, there are some hard decisions, and some players will be more difficult to trade than others. But that is why he is GM: to make those difficult moves.

Keep Tatum and Brown; everyone else has a price. To be fair, I do expect most of this year's top 12 roster players* will return; I don't expect 10 new players next season. But the last thing Ainge needs to do is to saddle the team with another bad and untradeable long term contract (e.g., Fournier), or saddle the bench with limited players with no upside (e.g., Semi). There will have to be some changes made just to tread H2O, but Ainge will also need to shoot higher, or it will be clear it's time to move on.

*The 2021 Top 12 (not in order):

Tatum
Brown
Kemba
Smart
R. Williams
Fournier
Thompson
Pritchard
Nesmith
Langford
G. Williams
Semi

Whether Parker, Edwards, Waters, Kornet, or Tacko stay or go does not move the needle for me at all.
 

Cesar Crespo

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Dec 22, 2002
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Yeah, I think you pay him, probably getting a significant discount due to injuries, and gamble on the fact that someone would always gamble on him in a trade if the number is low enough, because his talent is so ridiculous.

What is low enough? Probably under $13M or so, although obv you try to go a lot lower.
4/52 is the most I'd go.
 

Cesar Crespo

79
SoSH Member
Dec 22, 2002
21,588
Bringing back the same exact roster (ignoring the 13th through 15th spots and the 2-ways) should get Ainge fired given the expected player movement this offseason. Yeah, there are some hard decisions, and some players will be more difficult to trade than others. But that is why he is GM: to make those difficult moves.

Keep Tatum and Brown; everyone else has a price. To be fair, I do expect most of this year's top 12 roster players* will return; I don't expect 10 new players next season. But the last thing Ainge needs to do is to saddle the team with another bad and untradeable long term contract (e.g., Fournier), or saddle the bench with limited players with no upside (e.g., Semi). There will have to be some changes made just to tread H2O, but Ainge will also need to shoot higher, or it will be clear it's time to move on.

*The 2021 Top 12 (not in order):

Tatum
Brown
Kemba
Smart
R. Williams
Fournier
Thompson
Pritchard
Nesmith
Langford
G. Williams
Semi

Whether Parker, Edwards, Waters, Kornet, or Tacko stay or go does not move the needle for me at all.
Semi is a FA after this year. They aren't bringing him back. At least I really hope not. So it's really top 11 that he needs to mix up.
 

lexrageorge

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Jul 31, 2007
18,186
Semi is a FA after this year. They aren't bringing him back. At least I really hope not.
Which means there's zero excuse for not upgrading that particular roster spot. That's an extremely low bar, no matter what the Semi apologists claim.