Celtics Offseason 2024 - Wake Me Up When September Ends

benhogan

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It always seemed like Wyc’s announced sale/Governorship control timeline was a mix of A) wanting to stay involved in the rest of the run with this core they just extended; but also B) a signal to potential bidders that he’d co to us to pay operating costs (salary and lux tax) out of the Grousbeck sale proceeds, until governorship was fully transferred in 2028.

I’m sure that timeline/delayed control will be negotiable as they evaluate bids, but Wyc might negotiate that planned sale structure against a commitment by the new ownership group to keep the cire together and pay the lux tax bills Wyc seem to want to pay through 2028.
It does feel like Wyc is trying to thread that needle. I hope he can pull it off. The tax proceeds will come out of someone's hide. I suspect Irv/Wyc's sister don't want to swallow the majority of the tab.

Hope for the best, prepare for the worst.
 

Imbricus

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There is a silver lining to Porzingis being injured: (1) Over a few months, the Celtics will learn how important a piece he is to winning, which is critical for a year when they'll have to figure out which (sizable) salary to dump during the offseason. I predict if they have a .750+ winning percentage without him, he's most likely gone. (2) The puu puu platter of backup centers should get lots of minutes, and hopefully a solid backup/occasional starter will emerge from Tillman/Kornet/Queta.
 

PedroKsBambino

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I know most of his playoff minutes (and DNP-CDs) suggest this is very optimistic, but I continue to hvae hope that Tillman can be a poor-man's Al for this team. He plays smart, tough, and while he's neither a good shooter or passer he's also not incompetent at either of them. Faint praise, I know, but with the roster around him his job is to protect the rim, rebound, and stick on switches and I really think he can do those things. The good playoff minutes in the past with Memphis are the primary reason for optimism.

Maybe he was just never fully healthy last year? Anyway, he's the 5 I'm hoping shows us more than expected with all the available early season minutes...
 

BringBackMo

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I know most of his playoff minutes (and DNP-CDs) suggest this is very optimistic, but I continue to hvae hope that Tillman can be a poor-man's Al for this team. He plays smart, tough, and while he's neither a good shooter or passer he's also not incompetent at either of them. Faint praise, I know, but with the roster around him his job is to protect the rim, rebound, and stick on switches and I really think he can do those things. The good playoff minutes in the past with Memphis are the primary reason for optimism.

Maybe he was just never fully healthy last year? Anyway, he's the 5 I'm hoping shows us more than expected with all the available early season minutes...
Just going off memory here so could easily be wrong, but I recall reading that Tillman is actually a pretty good passer and a decent all around offensive player, but as you point out is not a good shooter. Like you, I maintain this hope that there’s an extra level there he can unlock and become a useful player in a wider role.
 

PedroKsBambino

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It's relative---I don't think he is Horford or even possibly TL as a passer, but he's also not incapable of it like Queta. Just being capable of moving the ball and making good, quick decisions is all we need from him passing-wise and I think he can certainly handle that.

He did average 3.0 assists a game as a junior in college, so there's some capability there...
 

HomeRunBaker

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Jan 15, 2004
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Some nerdy/stat stuff to keep an eye on:

https://www.celticsblog.com/2024/9/23/24250550/10-boston-celtics-stats-to-follow-for-the-2024-25-nba-season

The reduction in Al Horford's mpg last season was predictable.
Further reducing our regular season Horford minute dependence would be wise.
Horford’s minutes were up in games that Porzingis sat, down when Porzingis played and down in 20+ 4Q games when he didn’t play in the 4Q. Someone with more time can do this but in close games where Porzingis didn’t play I think Horford’s mpg was similar to his prior usage.
 

InstaFace

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That Horford quote above is from Ramona Shelburne's recap of Boston's offseason:

https://www.espn.com/nba/story/_/id/41400876/boston-celtics-championship-honeymoon-12-days

It has a click-bait headline that it doesn't deliver on, there's nothing new or particularly controversial. But it's a worthwhile reminder of all that's gone on, from the honeymoon and duck boats to the big extension signings to Grousbecks-Out to the Olympics stuff, plus Porzingis. Nothing that will break news around here, but if you're getting geared up for training camp yourself as a fan, it's worth your 5 minutes.

edit: OK, there's maybe one part that's new, and it's a real "LFG!!!" moment:

The 38-year old Horford is the likely starter at center while Porzingis is out.

When Horford arrived back at the facility on Sept. 1, he found someone else had beat him there.

"I'm walking in at 8, 8:15 a.m. and JT's already done," Horford said. "Which means he must've got there at 6 a.m."

Indeed Tatum had, even though he'd just returned the night before from a weeklong trip to China with Jordan Brand. "It was easy to get up early," Tatum told ESPN, noting the jetlag would kick in later in the day. And he said it would also allow him to pick up his son, Deuce, from school.

But Tatum wasn't just there at 6 that first week. He had been doing two-a-days with his longtime skills coach Drew Hanlen and physical therapist Nick Sang to address a mechanical issue in his jumper that had come up early last season and reared its head again during the playoffs and Olympics.
Focusing on Things You Can Control: The Jayson Tatum Story
 
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the moops

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Horford’s minutes were up in games that Porzingis sat, down when Porzingis played and down in 20+ 4Q games when he didn’t play in the 4Q. Someone with more time can do this but in close games where Porzingis didn’t play I think Horford’s mpg was similar to his prior usage.
Horford played 30+ minutes in 22 games last year. 11 of those games Porzingis played. 11 he did not.
 

InstaFace

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Need a followup to check on his friend there. And to find out who he's getting loans through, buying multifamily places with no money down.
 

benhogan

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Horford played 30+ minutes in 22 games last year. 11 of those games Porzingis played. 11 he did not.
Coach Joe wisely made an effort to reduce Al Horford's regular season minutes last season (26.8 mpg) after playing him 30.5 mpg the prior season. Al was pretty cooked by the 2023 playoffs.

When I suggested this would happen last fall there was a bunch of pushback that Al at 30.5 mpg was no big deal & he would continue to play 30mpg. Primarily there was concern with our 3rd & 4th string Centers playing (which was fine to worry about) BUT the regular season just isn't all that important (esp Nov/Dec) & our plethora of fungible 5s were more than OK.

Even without KP, we should probably see another step down in regular-season Horford minutes + aggressive load mgmt the entire season.

Expect plenty of regular-season KornXQ minutes & the C's will be perfectly fine.
 

Jimbodandy

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That Horford quote above is from Ramona Shelburne's recap of Boston's offseason:

https://www.espn.com/nba/story/_/id/41400876/boston-celtics-championship-honeymoon-12-days

It has a click-bait headline that it doesn't deliver on, there's nothing new or particularly controversial. But it's a worthwhile reminder of all that's gone on, from the honeymoon and duck boats to the big extension signings to Grousbecks-Out to the Olympics stuff, plus Porzingis. Nothing that will break news around here, but if you're getting geared up for training camp yourself as a fan, it's worth your 5 minutes.

edit: OK, there's maybe one part that's new, and it's a real "LFG!!!" moment:



Focusing on Things You Can Control: The Jayson Tatum Story
I started reading it and then stopped. It's a Lakers fan joy vampire piece. Basically to any Boston fans, "well you got the title, but you didn't really get to enjoy it" bullshit.

Bad Yelp review from me.
 

lovegtm

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Has Jaylen had a useful pull-up 3 before? I thought the vast majority of his 3s were C&S.
He's taken them for awhile. He tries to add it more heavily to his game every year, but then usually dials it back to C&S because those are more efficient.
 

HomeRunBaker

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I hope flying the Celtics & Nuggets over to Abu Dhabi, UAE is worth it to Silver.
It’s a pretty big deal for the Middle East region and iirc was pretty successful in prior years. They treat it similarly to the Final Four with multiple days of events around the two NBA games with celebrities performing and all the hoopla that goes with it.
 

benhogan

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It’s a pretty big deal for the Middle East region and iirc was pretty successful in prior years. They treat it similarly to the Final Four with multiple days of events around the two NBA games with celebrities performing and all the hoopla that goes with it.
The conflict is going to escalate & exhibition basketball games feel unnecessary in the region.
 

benhogan

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Good point. I hadn’t factored in the Celtics not returning into my season win total either.

I’m going to hell.
As we know the UAE(along with the Middle East) is a hot bed for NBA talent, so Silver needs to be there!

Maybe they can play Yam Madar in these games, I'm sure the fans would love him.

I'm just not into seeing the NBA turned into a Vince McMahon WWE event-style oil money grab, especially with ballistic missiles floating around the region.
 
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lovegtm

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As we know the UAE(along with the Middle East) is a hot bed for NBA talent, so Silver needs to be there!

Maybe they can play Yam Madar in these games, I'm sure the fans would love him.

I'm just not into seeing the NBA turned into a Vince McMahon WWE event-style oil money grab, especially with ballistic missiles floating around the region.
Leaving the ballistic missiles part aside, I've been looking at the Middle East in another business context recently, and Silver's reasoning makes a ton of sense.

High disposable income, decently large aggregate population in the Arabian peninsula, and (importantly) not tons of other entertainment/recreation options because of the lack of partying etc.

Getting a strong foothold there as a major sports league is extremely attractive, particularly with Saudi opening up more.
 

benhogan

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Leaving the ballistic missiles part aside, I've been looking at the Middle East in another business context recently, and Silver's reasoning makes a ton of sense.

High disposable income, decently large aggregate population in the Arabian peninsula, and (importantly) not tons of other entertainment/recreation options because of the lack of partying etc.

Getting a strong foothold there as a major sports league is extremely attractive, particularly with Saudi opening up more.
Business-wise ($$$) it makes perfect sense. PIF's appetite for investing in sports franchises & splashing money on athletes is off the charts. Once the PGA merges with LIV, its just a matter of time before NBA, NFL, MLB franchises sell stakes to PIF along with a private equity sponsor. I'm a Newcastle United fan and have seen the benefits of Saudi involvement.

When I lived in Europe, I went to Dubai about a dozen times. You've lived overseas, you know the gig. Americans stand out like sore thumbs, especially in the Middle East.

I'd rather not have the Celtics scheduled to be there for 3 days in light of the region being PO'd (more than even Ivy League undergrads) with Israel/America
 

lovegtm

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When I lived in Europe, I went to Dubai about a dozen times. You've lived overseas, you know the gig. Americans stand out like sore thumbs, especially in the Middle East.

I'd rather not have the Celtics scheduled to be there for 3 days in light of the region being PO'd (more than even Ivy League undergrads) with Israel/America
I was in Kyiv on 2/24. I admire the Celtics' willingness to man up and roll the dice.
 

HomeRunBaker

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I'd rather not have the Celtics scheduled to be there for 3 days in light of the region being PO'd (more than even Ivy League undergrads) with Israel/America
It’s definitely not optimal with what is occurring right now but this isn’t something that was scheduled last week but rather an enormous undertaking with a large investment taking place to promote the NBA over there for close to an entire week. There would have to be some significant safety concerns to cancel Abu Dnabi Games 2024.
 

Bosoxian

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Aug 17, 2021
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It’s definitely not optimal with what is occurring right now but this isn’t something that was scheduled last week but rather an enormous undertaking with a large investment taking place to promote the NBA over there for close to an entire week. There would have to be some significant safety concerns to cancel Abu Dnabi Games 2024.
Exactly, and neither side wants to bring the Saudis into the war. I think it’s a precursor to changing the nba bylaws to let the Saudis own a team. NBA ownership would love to see that money coming in.