Celtics Draft Pick Watch 2016

benhogan

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I'm hoping we can land Denzel Valentine with the Mav's middle of the draft pick. Think he would be a good replacement for Evan Turner
 

amfox1

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Updated as of 3/27am:

Current standings are POR in the 6th spot, 1.5 GA ahead of HOU/UTA for 7th/8th spot in West and DAL 0.5 GB of a playoff spot. Currently, DAL's pick would be 12th or 13th (based on a random drawing), subject to the lottery results.

Remaining schedules:
POR (8) - SAC(x2), MIN, OKC, GS, BOS, MIA, DEN
DAL (10) - LAC, SA, HOU, UTA, SAC, MIN, NYK, MEM, DEN, DET
UTA (9) - LAL(x2), DAL, SA, GS, LAC, DEN, PHX, MIN
HOU (9) - OKC, CLE, DAL, PHX, LAL, SAC, MIN, IND, CHI

Red is games vs. .600+ teams. Blue is games vs. .400- teams.
 

amfox1

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Updated as of 3/28am:

POR - 6th spot
UTA - 1.5 GB (7th)
HOU - 2.0 GB (8th)
DAL - 2.5 GB (9th)

Tonight's slate: DAL @ DEN, LAL @ UTA, SAC @ POR
Tuesday's slate: HOU @ CLE
 

smastroyin

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To be honest I'm almost not sure the difference between 12 and 16 is worth getting upset over. And I almost (being Cs draft luck pessimist) prefer the Mavs not get a chance for a lucky ping pong ball.
 

HomeRunBaker

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To be honest I'm almost not sure the difference between 12 and 16 is worth getting upset over. And I almost (being Cs draft luck pessimist) prefer the Mavs not get a chance for a lucky ping pong ball.
I totally get this feeling. The 2.5% chance of Dallas landing in the Top-3 on lottery night pushing our Top-7 protected pick back to next summer feels like it's actually 35%. Tim Duncan scarred all of us even though the math showed that winning Duncan was fighting against the odds.

The risk/reward here is tremendous however as we don't actually lose the pick while the cost of moving up from 16 to 12 would be another pick in the 17-19 range so there is a ton of value in moving up 4 slots into the lottery. I only hope Ainge moves away from drafting certain mediocre NBA players in that range with so many high and super high-upside guys available here.

I'm more concerned with this Dallas pick now than the Brooklyn pick as it looks to me that if the lottery plays to the percentages we are going to draft Dunn for Philly in exchange for Okafor. The Sixers adding a stud PG with either Ingram/Simmons is the type of roster balance exchange Colangelo is going to be looking for this summer and Ainge has always loved Okafor.
 

Jed Zeppelin

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In any other year Dallas would already be eliminated, but all things considered this is playing out about as well as it could have. A very realistic alternative scenario would have seen the Mavs add Jordan and probably a few wins. Another would have seen them lose most of their many early-season close games and threatening to tank. Either way Cuban must be kicking himself these days.

@Denver tonight is another big one. Both teams on b2b.
 

NavaHo

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Jed Zeppelin

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The Love and Kyrie Show drop a big one at home to Houston. Outscored 66-41 in the second half. Rockets stay ahead of the Mavs. Good stuff.
 

amfox1

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Updated as of 3/31pm:

Current standings are POR in the 6th spot, 2.0 GA ahead of DAL/HOU/UTA for 7th/8th/9th spot in West. Currently, DAL's pick would be 13th, 15th or 16th (based on a random drawing), subject to the lottery results.

Remaining schedules:
POR (7) - OKC, GS, SAC, MIN, BOS, MIA, DEN
DAL (7) - LAC, SA, HOU, UTA, MIN, MEM, DET
UTA (7) - LAC, SA, DAL, MIN, LAL, PHX, DEN
HOU (7) - OKC, DAL, SAC, MIN, LAL, PHX, CHI

Red is games vs. .600+ teams. Blue is games vs. .400- teams.

BRK has one more win than PHX. BRK has 8 games left, with 4 against probable lottery teams (NYK, NO, WASx2). PHX has 7 games left, with 3 against probable lottery teams (NO, WAS, SAC). Currently, BRK's pick would be 4th, subject to the lottery results.

BOS is tied with MIA and CHA for the 4th/5th/6th seed in the East. Currently, BOS's pick would be 21st-23rd (based on a random drawing). BOS's last three games are against ATL (3rd seed), CHA and MIA.
 

BigSoxFan

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And...Houston gives an F- 4th quarter effort to blow the game against a garbage Bulls squad.
 

Jed Zeppelin

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And...fuck Detroit. Dallas wins again. Dreams of the #12 are fading.
Still just one game up. It was always going to come down to Houston's last five games @DAL/PHO/LAL/@MIN/SAC. If Houston beats Dallas and wins at least three others I think they'd sneak in with the tiebreaker over the Mavs.

I don't know the exact numbers but the Rockets must have blown double digit 2nd half leads in at least ten games this season. They really should be safely in at this point but for a team with decent talent they go through so many stretches of not giving a shit and are poorly coached on top of it.

Despite winning a couple shockers recently the Nets have pretty much shut things down. They've sat Young and Lopez a couple times, dialed back minutes for them when they do play and expanded minutes for a bunch of guys who suck.
 
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Schnerres

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Dallas (38-38): @Min, vs.Hou, vs.Mem, @LAC, @Utah, vs.SA
Houston (37-39): vs.OKC, @Dal, vs.Phoe, vs.LAL, @Min, vs.Sac

Dallas has to win vs. Minnesota and should hope that Pop rests everybody in Game 82 (back-to-back). Memphis is 2-8 in their last 10 and could also present a win, so 2-3 in the five matches excluding the Rockets match is possible.
Houston probably loses to OKC and although they should be seen as favourites against everybody else (again, Mavs match aside), i predict they kick away one match of their last four, minimum. So they finish 3-2.
Sadly, they are both tied at 40-41 and not tied after Game 82 (although the Rockets could win their match with the Mavs and then lose against Minnesota and the Kings, without a doubt) in my scenario.
 

pdaj

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http://www.rotoworld.com/player/nba/1495/brook-lopez

Brook Lopez and Thaddeus Young will be shut down for the remainder of the season.

Wow. The Nets have six games left in the season and Lopez is healthy, but they will be evaluating other options down the stretch including Thomas Robinson, Henry Sims, Chris McCullough and Willie Reed. Lopez is now safe to drop outside of dynasty leagues, while Robinson has just become a must-own player after posting three straight double-doubles. Apr 3 - 11:20 AM
Source: Brian Lewis on Twitter
 

Jed Zeppelin

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Well their first test was at home against the Pelicans reserve squad and they lost by 20, lol.
 

tims4wins

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Seems highly unlikely that Phoenix can win another game this season, but they do host Sacramento and have a road game at New Orleans, so there is a fighting chance I suppose
 

BigSoxFan

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Seems highly unlikely that Phoenix can win another game this season, but they do host Sacramento and have a road game at New Orleans, so there is a fighting chance I suppose
Clips will be resting starters last game as well.
 

HomeRunBaker

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Seems highly unlikely that Phoenix can win another game this season, but they do host Sacramento and have a road game at New Orleans, so there is a fighting chance I suppose
Huh? Why can't Phoenix beat Sacramento and/or New Orleans (without Davis)?
 

amarshal2

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Oct 25, 2005
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Rockets have a 6 point lead on OKC with under 40 seconds remaining. Looking good.
 

nighthob

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Jul 15, 2005
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Anyone still waiting for the Lakers to do this?

/baiting #imanahole
I'm waiting for LA to win the third pick in the lottery and trade it to Brooklyn for Poufy Lopez so that the Nets can pick up Dragan Bender. If Boston gets #1 and can spin it to Philly for a center, the LA pick and their 2017 pick swap with the Kings all the better.
 

Schnerres

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/jinx: Memphis has lost 6 straight with tonight´s loss against Orlando. If they keep playing like that, they will be out of the playoffs.
They play vs.Bulls, @Mavs, vs.Warriors, @Clips, @Warriors.
They could end up tied at 42 wins (getting another win from those matches) with Houston and the Mavs. How often did ties for final spots really happen??
 

amfox1

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UTA, HOU and DAL win; POR, BRK and PHX lose.

Updated as of 4/4am:

Current standings are MEM in the 5th spot, with POR 0.5 GB in the 6th spot, DAL//UTA tied for 7th/8th & 1.5 GB of POR, with HOU 1.0 GB in the 9th spot. MEM has lost 10 of their last 12 games, and they will be hard-pressed to win more than 1 or 2 more games, given their schedule. Currently, DAL's pick would be 15th or 16th (based on a random drawing).

Remaining schedules:
MEM (5) - GSx2, LAC, DAL, CHI
POR (4) - OKC, SAC, MIN, DEN
DAL (5) - LAC, SA, HOU, UTA, MEM
UTA (5) - LAC, SA, DAL, LAL, DEN
HOU (5) - DAL, SAC, MIN, LAL, PHX

Red is games vs. .600+ teams. Blue is games vs. .400- teams.

I think it will take 42 wins to get a playoff spot (ie, HOU would need to win at least 4 of its remaining 5 games, MEM/POR would need to win at least 1 game, and DAL/UTA would need to win at least 3 games). GS, SA, OKC and LAC are essentially locked into their seeds, so (other than GS's pursuit of 73 wins) there's not a lot to play for.

BRK has one more win than PHX, with 5 games left. BRK plays WASx2, CHA, IND, TOR. PHX plays ATL, HOU, NO, SAC, LAC. There's a pretty good chance that neither team wins again this year, although I would favor PHX over BRK. Currently, BRK's pick would be 4th, subject to the lottery results.

BOS is tied with ATL for the 3rd/4th seed in the East, 0.5 GA of CHA/MIA. Currently, BOS's pick would be 23rd-24th (based on a random drawing). BOS's last three games are against ATL, CHA and MIA.