Celtics 2019-2020 depth chart and roster

Cellar-Door

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it didn't hurt that Green completely outplayed Strus on the court
I don't think he particularly did, they did different things well, as expected, but the results were pretty similar. Strus shot 42% from 3 to Green's 27%, Green was the better rebounder, Strus the better passer. Not a major difference in how the offense or defense performed. Javonte had a lot of cool dunks, so you remember his impact more, but they were two pretty similar guys in terms of value. Of course I wouldn't be at all surprised if Green is gone well before the end of the year anyway.
 

chilidawg

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I don't think he particularly did, they did different things well, as expected, but the results were pretty similar. Strus shot 42% from 3 to Green's 27%, Green was the better rebounder, Strus the better passer. Not a major difference in how the offense or defense performed. Javonte had a lot of cool dunks, so you remember his impact more, but they were two pretty similar guys in terms of value. Of course I wouldn't be at all surprised if Green is gone well before the end of the year anyway.
Both played about 14 minutes a game. Green averaged 9.5pts/4/1rbs/1.0 assists, Strus 5.1/2.0/1.5. Green also shot 80% from the field. I'm not sure how you can argue that their value was similar. Watching some of the games gave me a similar impression.
 

benhogan

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It’s felt to me like Strus has been hanging around, but only just hanging around.

I guess practices were awesome? Still, even though Strus is younger this seemed to me where things were heading-not that that places me alone on an island with that smoldering take. :)
Someone mentioned it up thread. When it comes to the last few roster spots defense becomes more relevant. Strus couldn't really stay in front of anyone in preseason or SL.

As a project, I agree with those that say Strus makes more sense because of age, 3pt shooting off screens, shooting w/ Scal, etc. But we have several young projects (Fall, Langford, Waters and TL still) at different stages of development already. Having a guy, like Green, that won't be overwhelmed athletically on the court in the case of an emergency is the right move IMO.

I don't think he particularly did, they did different things well, as expected, but the results were pretty similar. Strus shot 42% from 3 to Green's 27%, Green was the better rebounder, Strus the better passer. Not a major difference in how the offense or defense performed. Javonte had a lot of cool dunks, so you remember his impact more, but they were too pretty similar guys in terms of value. Of course I wouldn't be at all surprised if Green is gone well before the end of the year anyway.
SSS and all but the results were not very similar. Green scored more in SL and preseason (in less minutes). In a tight game against Charlotte Green came in and was the difference in winning that game. Strus did zip in that game. Strus showed up when the Celts were ahead by 30 in a blowout against Cleveland. Green has much more professional experience (overseas), so it wasn't really a fair fight. Greens dunks were impressive but that's never going to be a difference-maker for me. My bias is towards better defensive players. Strus is not capable of guarding an NBA wing on the perimeter or down low at the moment. He's a project with no professional experience, and we have plenty of those at the moment.
 

Cellar-Door

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Both played about 14 minutes a game. Green averaged 9.5pts/4/1rbs/1.0 assists, Strus 5.1/2.0/1.5. Green also shot 80% from the field. I'm not sure how you can argue that their value was similar. Watching some of the games gave me a similar impression.
Because the team production with each on the court was similar and Strus shot 42% from 3. I doubt either is a guy who get real NBA minutes, but a floor stretching player is very important to an offense beyond just the points he scored, they improve the whole offense. Green shot 80% because he almost exclusively dunked the ball, since he doesn't have much of a jumper.

I can see the argument that his defense is more likely to translate than Strus', though I thought Strus was generally fine on that end, he can't control elite athletes, but neither can Green really, positional defending and switching both were decent. On the flip side I'd argue Strus' offense is far more likely to translate vs real competition, since easy dunks are harder to come by than 3s.

I'm fine with Green making it, but I didn't think he was a real standout in pre-season (SL is less than worthless), he was probably a bit better, but it's arguable that Strus showed more important skills.


Someone mentioned it up thread. When it comes to the last few roster spots defense becomes more relevant. Strus couldn't really stay in front of anyone in preseason or SL.

As a project, I agree with those that say Strus makes more sense because of age, 3pt shooting off screens, shooting w/ Scal, etc. But we have several young projects (Fall, Langford, Waters and TL still) at different stages of development already. Having a guy, like Green, that won't be overwhelmed athletically on the court in the case of an emergency is the right move IMO.


SSS and all but the results were not very similar. Green scored more in SL and preseason (in less minutes). In a tight game against Charlotte Green came in and was the difference in winning that game. Strus did zip in that game. Strus showed up when the Celts were ahead by 30 in a blowout against Cleveland. Green has much more professional experience (overseas), so it wasn't really a fair fight. Greens dunks were impressive but that's never going to be a difference-maker for me. My bias is towards better defensive players. Strus is not capable of guarding an NBA wing on the perimeter or down low at the moment. He's a project with no professional experience, and we have plenty of those at the moment.
I generally disagree that defense becomes more important for the 15th man, I think having an elite skill is most important. I don't think either of these guys do, but Strus' shooting and Green's athleticism are the closest.

As for similar value... I mean it's a tiny sample (under 60 minutes each over 4 games) but they were only a few points apart in terms of Ortg and Drtg, both had similar on-off spreads,

I'd say Green was better, but it wasn't a huge margin, it really came down to whether they wanted to keep the explosive athlete, or the shooter.
 
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benhogan

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Because the team production with each on the court was similar and Strus shot 42% from 3. I doubt either is a guy who get real NBA minutes, but a floor stretching player is very important to an offense beyond just the points he scored, they improve the whole offense. Green shot 80% because he almost exclusively dunked the ball, since he doesn't have much of a jumper.

I can see the argument that his defense is more likely to translate than Strus', though I thought Strus was generally fine on that end, he can't control elite athletes, but neither can Green really, positional defending and switching both were decent. On the flip side I'd argue Strus' offense is far more likely to translate vs real competition, since easy dunks are harder to come by than 3s.

I'm fine with Green making it, but I didn't think he was a real standout in pre-season (SL is less than worthless), he was probably a bit better, but it's arguable that Strus showed more important skills.
Green had a better RPM in both SL/Pre-season

Why would Danny decide to pay more (it cost more to cut Strus then Green), select the older player, and take the one with less important skills? does Danny have a "dunk" bias?o_O

To each his own, I didn't think it was close but that's cool if you preferred Strus. I can see the argument for "Project Strus" .

It's doubtful the 15th roster spot player will be any kind of difference-maker, anyways.
 

Koufax

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Every year we get wrapped up in the final roster spot and it usually means nothing at all. But, IITC, Terry Rozier was once that guy, chosen over RJ Hunter.
 

Big John

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They each had strengths, but Green outplayed Strus. It's a bad message to the young players to reward the guy who came in second.
 

wade boggs chicken dinner

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Why would Danny decide to pay more (it cost more to cut Strus then Green), select the older player, and take the one with less important skills? does Danny have a "dunk" bias?o_O
I don't know how people can say Strus or Green outplayed the other. First, I would guess that 90% of how the Cs evaluate players is what they see in practice, which we can't see. Second, they asked Strus and Green to do completely different things. On defense, Green was at the top; Strus was on the wing. Strus handled and faciliated the ball more (when he wasn't shooting); Green was looking to score.

As for why DA paid Strus more? As I mentioned above, DA basically gave Strus what he would have earned if he had stayed the max number days in the NBA on a 2-way deal, so maybe the conversation between DA and Strus when DA gave him his guaranteed money was, "Go overseas; get some shots up and some minutes; and next year, remember that the Cs take care of their players."

I wouldn't be surprised to see Strus on the Cs summer league team next year too.
 

Big John

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I have no idea what happened in practice. In Summer league and in preseason games, Green outplayed Strus.

If there was no clear winner, there is no reason to take the older player, but the Celtics did.
 

wade boggs chicken dinner

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I have no idea what happened in practice. In Summer league and in preseason games, Green outplayed Strus.

If there was no clear winner, there is no reason to take the older player, but the Celtics did.
Reason take older player is that Green was probably looking to hook onto another NBA team; Strus might not.

Also Cs probably think that Green's defensive potential may have more immediate impact than Strus's shooting.
 

benhogan

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As for why DA paid Strus more? As I mentioned above, DA basically gave Strus what he would have earned if he had stayed the max number days in the NBA on a 2-way deal, so maybe the conversation between DA and Strus when DA gave him his guaranteed money was, "Go overseas; get some shots up and some minutes; and next year, remember that the Cs take care of their players."

I wouldn't be surprised to see Strus on the Cs summer league team next year too.
Hopefully, Max will fondly remember his end of Summer days in the Back Bay.:redwine:

View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MsW8rXPcnM0
 

Big John

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Reason take older player is that Green was probably looking to hook onto another NBA team; Strus might not.

Also Cs probably think that Green's defensive potential may have more immediate impact than Strus's shooting.
Well sure. If you need Green in an emergency he's much less likely to embarrass you on defense. And with Carsten Edwards the Celtics don't need Strus nearly as much as a designated shooter.

Having said that, Green outplayed Strus in games and it wasn't particularly close.
 

Cellar-Door

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I have no idea what happened in practice. In Summer league and in preseason games, Green outplayed Strus.

If there was no clear winner, there is no reason to take the older player, but the Celtics did.
They have different skillsets entirely is generally the point. They took the skillset they preferred for that slot, if they were looking for shooting... well Strus clearly outshot Green. overall, I expect whichever guy they kept is going to get cut mid-season when they either need the slot in a trade or a vet shakes loose. I just think people were putting way too much into Green's performance, he played decent D and had a bunch of dunks.... it wasn't like he was a revelation, if they'd cut both to keep a slot open would anyone have been particularly upset?
 

benhogan

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They have different skillsets entirely is generally the point. They took the skillset they preferred for that slot, if they were looking for shooting... well Strus clearly outshot Green. overall, I expect whichever guy they kept is going to get cut mid-season when they either need the slot in a trade or a vet shakes loose. I just think people were putting way too much into Green's performance, he played decent D and had a bunch of dunks.... it wasn't like he was a revelation, if they'd cut both to keep a slot open would anyone have been particularly upset?
Javonte's daughter's for 1.

https://www.masslive.com/celtics/2019/10/for-javonte-green-making-boston-celtics-roster-would-be-opportunity-to-be-nearer-to-his-daughters.html
 

Eddie Jurak

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Every year we get wrapped up in the final roster spot and it usually means nothing at all. But, IITC, Terry Rozier was once that guy, chosen over RJ Hunter.
No. They came in as first round picks and were basically assured of roster spots. It was the following year that Hunter was cut, after struggling late in the previous year while Rozier had earned some decent playoff minutes.

On Green vs Strus, I'd have kept the latter, because I don't see a wing in the 15th roster spot making any immediate impact on this team and Strus seems like a potential role player in future years.
 

benhogan

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No. They came in as first round picks and were basically assured of roster spots. It was the following year that Hunter was cut, after struggling late in the previous year while Rozier had earned some decent playoff minutes.

On Green vs Strus, I'd have kept the latter, because I don't see a wing in the 15th roster spot making any immediate impact on this team and Strus seems like a potential role player in future years.
"Project Strus" is a perfectly defensible position. Heck, I love projects, stories of guys not getting scholarship offers, using vegetable baskets for hoops in the backyard, shooting savants hitting 20 straight 3-pointers on Scal, etc. Put milk on that and I'll have it for breakfast.

BUT Green, dunks and all, earned his NBA roster spot with his play on the court in Summer League and pre-season.

I present Exhibit A. start at the 7:50 mark and watch #43




Exhibit B. Vegas Summer League




Exhibit C. Overseas tape. Admittedly, I'm developing a dunk bias

View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=L2Urbdvclo0

View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IZIhXMAyWAg

View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=f2hcommFuME
 
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pjheff

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On Green vs Strus, I'd have kept the latter, because I don't see a wing in the 15th roster spot making any immediate impact on this team and Strus seems like a potential role player in future years.
It’s possible that Ainge and Stevens don’t view the end of the bench as the optimal spot for player development. That assignment goes to the Red Claws. The deep depth — Poirier, Ojeleye, Green, and Wanamaker — is comprised of physical players with professional experience, capable of filling a role in the case of injury. But more than anything, they are bodies that will allow Brad to push rotation players during practice.
 

pjheff

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Which is likely where Strus would have spent a lot of his time anyway.
At some point, Brad is going to want part of his 15 man roster in Boston. Langford is already likely to spend significant time in Maine, with Waters and Fall. There is value in having bodies on the deep bench.
 

luckiestman

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Is the roster set and if so what are best guesses for minutes.

240 minutes
Top 5 30-34 a game? (150 - 170)
Kemba
Tatum
Brown
Hayward
Smart

Theis/Kanter 20 each (190 - 210)

After this I don’t have a feel

TL- 10
GWil -10
Carsen - 10
Is Romeo healthy?
 

PrestonBroadus Lives

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Every year we get wrapped up in the final roster spot and it usually means nothing at all. But, IITC, Terry Rozier was once that guy, chosen over RJ Hunter.
James Young was the guy that won the final roster spot over Hunter that year. It didn't mean anything that year either.
 

benhogan

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At some point, Brad is going to want part of his 15 man roster in Boston. Langford is already likely to spend significant time in Maine, with Waters and Fall. There is value in having bodies on the deep bench.
Your right the detractors are just changing the narrative. SOP for those on SoSH after their wrong.
 

chilidawg

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Is the roster set and if so what are best guesses for minutes.

240 minutes
Top 5 30-34 a game? (150 - 170)
Kemba
Tatum
Brown
Hayward
Smart

Theis/Kanter 20 each (190 - 210)

After this I don’t have a feel

TL- 10
GWil -10
Carsen - 10
Is Romeo healthy?
That's about right on average, except you're forgetting Vincent and RWill, who will both likely get some minutes. Night to night it will vary on matchups and injuries. Langford will be getting most of his minutes in Maine would be my guess.
 

luckiestman

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That's about right on average, except you're forgetting Vincent and RWill, who will both likely get some minutes. Night to night it will vary on matchups and injuries. Langford will be getting most of his minutes in Maine would be my guess.

I left out VP but I have R Williams down as TL (time lord)
 

Eddie Jurak

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At some point, Brad is going to want part of his 15 man roster in Boston. Langford is already likely to spend significant time in Maine, with Waters and Fall. There is value in having bodies on the deep bench.
Sure, but less value in deep wings on the Celtics bench. Anyway, it is what it is. I think Strus vs Green is not going to be a high-impact decision in the long run. And Green is fine as a 15th guy.
Is the roster set and if so what are best guesses for minutes.

240 minutes
Top 5 30-34 a game? (150 - 170)
Kemba
Tatum
Brown
Hayward
Smart
That sounds about right. I think the other 2 non-bigs who will play in the regular rotation are Grant and Edwards. Wanamaker if Brad plays 8 regular non-bigs.

In terms of bigs, I think Theis and Kanter will play every game and Poirier will get regular minutes in certain matchups.

I think Time Lord and Langford are ticketed for Maine.

The deep bench, non-Maine version, will be Wanamaker (unless he has a small regular role), Ojeleye, and Green.
 

benhogan

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You are truly BaynesHogan, they are not! PS - I wish he was one of the top 9-10 this season.
Ha ha. Aron would be the perfect role player to man the middle (luckily Theis really isn't that huge of a downgrade). Regretfully I have to shove off Baynes Island this season. Mrs. Hogan isn't crawling into to bed to watch late-night Suns games.

BUT I'm excited to hop on to Carsenlandia. If Edwards doesn't get at least 20mpg to start the season, I'll be kicking over tables. Let the kid get warm and stretch the floor for the 2nd unit.
 
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Jimbodandy

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I think that you guys have it about right. Kemba, Tatum, Brown, Hayward, Smart -- they play 30ish every night. Theis and Kanter will also play every night. That's 7.

Next tier is Edwards, GWill, Poirier, and Wanamaker, in that order I think. None will play every day, but I think that most get a look most days. That's 8-11. Your rotation ends somewhere in here.

Ojeleye and Green are matchup and foul trouble dependent minutes only.

Langford and RWill spend at least half of the season in Maine IMO. And Waters/Fall won't see much of Boston at all.
 

benhogan

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Is the roster set and if so what are best guesses for minutes.

240 minutes
Top 5 30-34 a game? (150 - 170)
Kemba
Tatum
Brown
Hayward
Smart

Theis/Kanter 20 each (190 - 210)

After this I don’t have a feel

TL- 10
GWil -10
Carsen - 10
Is Romeo healthy?
Good work. Spot on with the first 5 players. And that's the right rotational groupings

Brad will be adjusting the BIGs based on match-ups. Theis and Kanter will probably see ~18-20mpg to start the season.

Carsen better get 20mpg to start the season. You let him launch with the 2nd unit and tell Kanter, Grant, Smart to relentlessly chase down the misses.

and I got Romeo Langford wrong a few weeks ago. He's ticketed for Maine. Maybe we see him in December. Nice potential but he just looks too young/physically immature for the rigors of the NBA.
 

Eddie Jurak

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I think that you guys have it about right. Kemba, Tatum, Brown, Hayward, Smart -- they play 30ish every night. Theis and Kanter will also play every night. That's 7.

Next tier is Edwards, GWill, Poirier, and Wanamaker, in that order I think. None will play every day, but I think that most get a look most days. That's 8-11. Your rotation ends somewhere in here.
I think Grant will play every day unless Theis pushes his way into minutes at the 4, which I doubt.

I think it makes most sense to look at the rottion at the 1-4 spots and the rotation at the 5 as 2 separate things. I think there could be games where Stevens has a pretty tight rotation at the 1-4, playing just 7 guys at those spots, while all 4 centers get some non-garbage minutes.
 

shoelace

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I think Grant will play every day unless Theis pushes his way into minutes at the 4, which I doubt.

I think it makes most sense to look at the rottion at the 1-4 spots and the rotation at the 5 as 2 separate things. I think there could be games where Stevens has a pretty tight rotation at the 1-4, playing just 7 guys at those spots, while all 4 centers get some non-garbage minutes.
Agreed. Theis led the Celtics in fouls per 48 minutes last season, Williams is injury prone and raw, and Kanter's defensive limitations have been well documented. Minutes at the 5 will be entirely matchup based, to my mind. I think Poirier will play pretty regularly, pretty similar to Theis' usage in his rookie season.
 

lovegtm

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Agreed. Theis led the Celtics in fouls per 48 minutes last season, Williams is injury prone and raw, and Kanter's defensive limitations have been well documented. Minutes at the 5 will be entirely matchup based, to my mind. I think Poirier will play pretty regularly, pretty similar to Theis' usage in his rookie season.
I’m also guessing we’ll see Tatum at center a lot against guys who can’t post (think Allen on Brooklyn, etc).
 

benhogan

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I’m also guessing we’ll see Tatum at center a lot against guys who can’t post (think Allen on Brooklyn, etc).
It will be switchy, but if you're deciding between Hayward, Tatum, or Brown as your super small Center I'd lean towards Jaylen, as we saw on Team USA this summer. I know Tatum has him on height but Jaylen seems much stronger and more physical. Jaylen also effectively guarded Blake Griffin last year. Tatum's game just seems more finesse oriented, I want to save him offensively and I'd rather see him on the perimeter challenging 3s then get dragged underneath with a guy like Allen.
 

HowBoutDemSox

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Tatum's game just seems more finesse oriented, I want to save him offensively and I'd rather see him on the perimeter challenging 3s then get dragged underneath with a guy like Allen.
So what you’re saying is that playing Tatum at the 5 would wear him down to a nub?
 

benhogan

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So what you’re saying is that playing Tatum at the 5 would wear him down to a nub?
YES! as we know Nubby immediately took his talents elsewhere so he could spend more of his time at his most efficient position, the 4, instead of 93% of his time at the 5.

After being an All-Star the previous season, getting beaten up the first month of last season and heading to the injured list must have sucked for Al. Unfortunately for Celtic fans, he'll be heading back to being one of the better 4s in the game for Philly.
 
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shoelace

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I’m also guessing we’ll see Tatum at center a lot against guys who can’t post (think Allen on Brooklyn, etc).
Agree here as well, though I think benhogan is right that Jaylen is stronger than Tatum at this point, and I tend to think physical strength is crucial for smaller guys to defend bigger guys, especially in the paint. Given Brad's propensity for smallball, I feel like the Celtics are essentially looking for 38-40 minutes a night from Theis/Kanter/Poirier/Williams, I'm less worried about the position than I was a few weeks ago. If a few things break right for the Celtics (say, Theis learning to defend without fouling as much, or Williams gaining some more mastery of his defensive responsiblities, or Kanter being just not awful as a pick and roll defender), I think those 48-50 win total predictions are probably right on.
 

pjheff

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I’m also guessing we’ll see Tatum at center a lot against guys who can’t post (think Allen on Brooklyn, etc).
Do you expect a Tatum/Hayward/Brown/Smart/PG lineup? Or might we see the former four paired with a power wing like Grant/Semi?
 

lovegtm

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Do you expect a Tatum/Hayward/Brown/Smart/PG lineup? Or might we see the former four paired with a power wing like Grant/Semi?
I'm guessing they'll just want their 5 best players on the court whenever there isn't a reason not to.
 

mcpickl

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Is the roster set and if so what are best guesses for minutes.

240 minutes
Top 5 30-34 a game? (150 - 170)
Kemba
Tatum
Brown
Hayward
Smart

Theis/Kanter 20 each (190 - 210)

After this I don’t have a feel

TL- 10
GWil -10
Carsen - 10
Is Romeo healthy?
My guess is these nine play every night

Kemba 33
Tatum 33
Hayward 32
Brown 31
Smart 30
Theis 22
Kanter 20
GWill 18
Edwards 15(basically every minute Kemba isn't in, never with him)

That leaves about 6 minutes for one of Poirier/Williams to grab as the 4th big, or a smaller guy like Semi/Wanamaker if they play crazy small depending on matchups
 

luckiestman

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My guess is these nine play every night

Kemba 33
Tatum 33
Hayward 32
Brown 31
Smart 30
Theis 22
Kanter 20
GWill 18
Edwards 15(basically every minute Kemba isn't in, never with him)

That leaves about 6 minutes for one of Poirier/Williams to grab as the 4th big, or a smaller guy like Semi/Wanamaker if they play crazy small depending on matchups

That’s puts us pretty close. I hope G W is good enough to play the type of minutes you expect