- Mar 11, 2007
I hate to say I hope not... but I actually hope not. And for me, it wasn't just his entire playoff performance... it was of course that, but combined with his playoff performance in 2017, and his downtrend this past complete season and his seasonal downtrend towards the end of the year. I'd prefer just a one year offer and that's it. My feelings are that he's going to continue to trend downwards, while for '19 it'll be fine, but for '20 it'll start getting ugly. A "prove it" one year deal that would synch up with when Sale, Porcello, X and JDM and JBJ are all free agents at the end (along with Sandoval's money finally coming off the books) makes sense. If he's dominant but the Sox aren't looking to be a contender, he could be spun off for prospects along with Sale and JBJ (getting hypothetical... not advocating). Or if he's dominant the Sox can look to considering him again. But absolutely please nothing more than a 2 year deal!So I’m starting to lean towards Craig coming back being more likely than not. Here’s my thinking and I’m curious as to how others see things. It seems as though us and the Phillies are the only teams that have showed any legitimate interest in our bird-posed, bearded warrior of the 9th as his market never quite seemed to develop.
Initial asks of 6/100+ gave way to the 5/90~ range with speculation that the Red Sox would be interested in a reunion at somewhere around 4/70. My concern, as Craig’s chief cheerleader, was that the Phillies losing out on Machado, which it appears they’re going to, would lead to a re-allocation of funds towards Dirty Craig in an offer that Boston couldn’t match or beat.
Now here’s why my opinion has slipped into “I think him coming back is more likely than not.” territory for the first time this offseason:
The Phillies are being linked to Dallas Keuchel but are apparently unwilling to go 5 years. My guess is that if they’re not willing to go 5 years for the best starter left on the market then they’re not going to go that far for a closer. I think any offers made by us and the Phils are likely to be close and, at that point, I think the advantage lies with the team he’s played the last three seasons and just won a ring with.
My prediction: Craig Kimbrel returns to the Red Sox on a 4 year, 70-75 million dollar deal that has some sort of vesting option that could push it to 5/85-90.