August 2014 Game Thread

geoduck no quahog

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As of now, Detroit is the 2nd WC team.
 
KC plays Detroit 6 more times this season.
 
Seattle is 1/2 a game behind Detroit (1 game behind KC).
 
ESPN's playoff odds have Seattle at 64%, KC at 69.8% and Detroit at 50.1%.
 
I looks like they're factoring in that KC beats up on Detroit. To me, even though one or both of KC/Detroit is bound for the playoffs, it seems that Seattle should have more favorable odds than either of them. Am I wrong?
 

Orel Miraculous

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geoduck no quahog said:
As of now, Detroit is the 2nd WC team.
 
KC plays Detroit 6 more times this season.
 
Seattle is 1/2 a game behind Detroit (1 game behind KC).
 
ESPN's playoff odds have Seattle at 64%, KC at 69.8% and Detroit at 50.1%.
 
I looks like they're factoring in that KC beats up on Detroit. To me, even though one or both of KC/Detroit is bound for the playoffs, it seems that Seattle should have more favorable odds than either of them. Am I wrong?
 
1.) KC and Detroit can still win the division (and one of them will), Seattle is essentially out of that race; and 2.) Seattle still has a number of games left against the two best teams in the league. To me it actually looks like KC and Detroit's odds should be even higher, given that they have two routes in compared to Seattle's one.
 

Gdiguy

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Seattle's odds have been high for a while, especially on ESPN (which I think uses Run Differential a lot more than some of the other playoff predictors, and Seattle is at +89 (better than the Angels, in fact), whereas KC and Det are +25 and +44 respectively). It comes down to whether you actually believe Seattle is as good as LAA but unlucky, or closer to what their record actually is - if they're actually roughly equal to Det/KC, then yeah them at 64% but KC/Det at basically 20% to get the wild card seems a bit generous.
 

TheYaz67

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Currently standing at 0.1 % - I think someone worked out we would have to go something like 33-9 the rest of the way to have a reasonable shot at the WC (or division in the case of a collapse by the O's), and while this team certainly seems improved in several aspects, it seems a bit farfetched that this is possible, especially considering they are going to probably have to shut down De la Rosa and maybe Workman in September due to # of innings pitched already....
 
On a odd quirky scheduling note, the only AL and NL teams who have not yet faced each other are HOU / CLE and KC / TX, while in the NL it is just the Braves and Pirates who have not yet faced each other.
 

Lowrielicious

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Aroldis takes the mound for the 9th inning to close out the game with a 9-5 lead.
 
4 straight walks to make it 9-6 , bases loaded and none out so far.
 
EDIT - and replaced.
 

Al Zarilla

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Anybody else see the catch Jonny Gomes just made behind Lester? Running, sliding, crashing into the wall in foul territory LF. Rolled over and came up with the snowcone no less.
 

Al Zarilla

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InsideTheParker said:
I hope Rembrat is watching ESPN. Gomes just made a really good catch in LF in Atlanta to save two bases for Lester in the first.
It was well foul. 
 
Edit, does Gomes in Oakland remain Rembrat's fave though?
 

MakMan44

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Kramerica Industries said:
 
all but one actually. He got Murphy (i think) on a fastball on the outside corner
 
But yeah...his curve ball is sick.
Thanks for clarifying. The Mets broadcasters said it, and I thought it was interesting enough to repeat here. 
 

ForceAtHome

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The Nationals just won in walk-off fashion for the second evening in a row to stretch their overall win streak to six. They are now 6.5 up on Atlanta for the division and have the top record in the NL.
 

E5 Yaz

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ForceAtHome said:
The Nationals just won in walk-off fashion for the second evening in a row to stretch their overall win streak to six. They are now 6.5 up on Atlanta for the division and have the top record in the NL.
 
Two days in a row, Pirates coughed up the lead . This is the problem with the "stay with what we have" mentality, when what you have is the cheapest money can buy; eventually, the length of the season wears out the arms, exposes the bench and one injury to the exact wrong player can be devastating
 

E5 Yaz

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strek1 said:
So does this run scoring slump for the A's coincide with missing Cespedes?   Did it start after he left?
 
Hard to say how much is that, how much is just a natural slump after being red hot and how much is facing the Royals, Rays and Braves staffs. But if you look at their August games, they've had some solid scoring outbursts
 
http://espn.go.com/mlb/team/schedule/_/name/oak/oakland-athletics
 

Sprowl

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InsideTheParker said:
I hope Rembrat is watching ESPN. Gomes just made a really good catch in LF in Atlanta to save two bases for Lester in the first.
 
Al Zarilla said:
Anybody else see the catch Jonny Gomes just made behind Lester? Running, sliding, crashing into the wall in foul territory LF. Rolled over and came up with the snowcone no less.
 
The Red Sox West can go to WAR with Jonny Gomes, Jon Lester, Coco Crisp, Josh Reddick, Jed Lowrie and Brandon Moss. All the Red Sox East can do is to pass a supporting resolution.
 

InsideTheParker

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I see what you mean, but Anaheim's schedule is pretty easy also, with the threat to each of the teams mostly each other and Seattle. The 1.5 wins fewer per game since the loss of Cespedes still might be a factor.
 

ForceAtHome

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Make it three straight victories in walk off fashion for the Nats. First time the franchise has done it since 1988 as the Expos.
 

Lowrielicious

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San Diego go into the 9th 3 runs down facing Jansen.
 
Get a run on a walk, bunt single+error.
Runner on second with 2 out and 2 runs down. Single to centrefield. Runner sent home and thrown out at the plate.
 
That is some A-grade 3b coaching ending the game while trying to score a run that wouldn't have even tied the game.
 
EDIT: actually - saw the replay, this one is on the baserunner. Rounded 3rd too far and pinged while going back to three. Nice work.
 

ForceAtHome

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In a devastating blow to the Angels, Garrett Richards may be done for the year after having his leg buckle while trying to cover first. Jered Weaver, CJ Wilson, Matt Shoemaker, Hector Santiago, and ? isn't a particularly scary rotation.
 

ForceAtHome

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ForceAtHome said:
Make it three straight victories in walk off fashion for the Nats. First time the franchise has done it since 1988 as the Expos.
 
Up to nine consecutive wins for Washington with four walk offs in five days.
 

Ed Hillel

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David Price threw 8 innings, allowed one hit, no walks, no earned runs, and lost 1-0. My only point of sadness is that the one hit wasn't a David Ortiz bomb.
 

E5 Yaz

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Ed Hillel said:
David Price threw 8 innings, allowed one hit, no walks, no earned runs, and lost 1-0. My only point of sadness is that the one hit wasn't a David Ortiz bomb.
 
Well, that and it was the Maddons who won
 

Al Zarilla

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When it was beginning to look like the Padres might beat the Dodgers again at Chavez Ravine, and Tyson Ross might beat Clayton Kershaw, Justin Turner hit a 2 run HR in the 8th to prevent all of that.
 

nattysez

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Javier Baez with his 6th HR.  His power is incredible, but his OBP remains in the .250s. 
 

MakMan44

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https://twitter.com/TBrownYahoo/status/502940411690631168
 
Machado out for the season. 
 

jon abbey

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DET down 7-1 again, they've given up 21 runs in the last 5 innings, to the Twins (!!!). It's all falling apart in Motown...