winning 2-3 more seems likely, if Maye plays. Their schedule looks soft on paper. Other the two Buffalo games (and they might be resting guys at the end), the rest of the games are 60/40 at worst.
Except New England is one of the three and they’ve finished the Jets portion while losing to Miami when the Dolphins were fielding a quarterback who doesn’t belong in the league.
| Pick | Team | Record | Win% | GB | SOS | Streak |
| 1 | New England | 2-7 | .222 | -- | .471 | Lost 1 |
| 2 | New Orleans | 2-7 | .222 | -- | .500 | Lost 7 |
| 3 | Carolina | 2-7 | .222 | -- | .507 | Won 1 |
| 4 | Cleveland | 2-7 | .222 | -- | .517 | Lost 1 |
| 5 | Las Vegas | 2-7 | .222 | -- | .518 | Lost 5 |
| 6 | NY Giants | 2-7 | .222 | -- | .532 | Lost 4 |
| 7 | Miami | 2-6 | .250 | 0.5 | .438 | Lost 3 |
| 8 | Jacksonville | 2-6 | .250 | 0.5 | .489 | Lost 1 |
| 9 | Tennessee | 2-6 | .250 | 0.5 | .536 | Won 1 |
| 10 | NY Jets | 3-6 | .333 | 1.0 | .479 | Won 1 |
New Orleans, Carolina, Cleveland, Las Vegas, NY Giants and NY Jets all need QBs. If the Pats end up #1, they will get a haul for their pick, even though neither Ward nor Sanders may be a franchise QB.
I don’t think the Jets are drafting a qb early. We need one but the circus might be going for another year.
I've said it before and I'll say it again - the NFL is not good this year. So many really bad teams, and even the best teams in the league don't look anywhere near as good as the best teams not many years ago.
Yup.
No way. They’re an elite team. They’re just getting it done with excellent D and a good-enough offense (thanks to Mahomes), as opposed to outscoring everyone year after year.
It’s called good defense. We didn’t see much of it for a decade prior to last year, but it’s back. I’m enjoying it.
If anything this is the best "Team" they have had in their window, it's just been the worst offense
Not even the worst offense. Better than last year in points per drive.
This is really the dream scenario. Now, can Wolf execute not only the trade but also the picks...big question mark.
I really don't think so. My first post was hyperbole, especially given how they looked for much of last year, but I don't think this is a dominant Chiefs team at all. They have caught the toughest teams on their schedule at good times (Baltimore while they were just getting going, SF decimated by injury) and basically beaten a bunch of other bad to meh teams by one score. They are obviously very good but I think ceiling on this Chiefs team is considerably lower than most of their other teams in the run.
The Patriots probably saved his job lol. I was more talking about the coaching staff as a whole for the Pats. Lots of inexperience in their roles and little track record of success. Between Mayo and Covington, it is the first year in the seat for both of them. AVP was a coordinator, but didn't call plays save for 1 game. The play calling thing is a job in and of itself. It is one thing to have a rookie coach, but the 3 big coaching positions are all guys who have never done it at the NFL level before and that is tough to overcome.
If the Pats lose out, then I think they're likely to pick 2-4.
It's very Cleveland to get the first pick in a non-QB draft. I almost feel bad for them, then remember Watson, then feel bad for their fans anyways...maybe a good QB will emerge, but 2024 or 2026 drafts was the year to bottom out.
Once we get past the Week 14 bye, it will be interesting to see where things stand. The next two weeks are probably the only opportunities for a win (short of the Bills sitting the world in Week 18). Plus the Bye will allow the other 4 teams that are currently tied in the loss column with the Pats to even up in terms of games played.
After last week's Bears win and a frustrating loss vs the Rams, I had to check the schedule wrt to the bolded. Pats always seemed to be just below the bar vs the Rams (a pretty good team playing in a tough division). Playing at Hard Rock has been a tough ask since forever, but is there a discernable uptick in offensive capability with Maye's growth, the young WRs stabilising and learning to perform with him, and the OL maybe being just a little less putrid - that balances out the defensive flaws and coaching? I wonder whether it's really more like 1-5 from here on in, can't decide what is a realistic prediction, and just not sure whether I should be optimistic or not?
The raiders seem like the only team with any chance other the Pats. Seems like a week where the Pats could very well win and screw themselves out of a top 5 pick
Bills have one tough game against Detroit. Chiefs have Texans, Chargers, Steelers. It seems very possible the one-seed will still be in play at week 18, with Bills holding the tiebreaker.
It's the flip. If the Bills are two games off of KC in Week 18 and have their playoff position locked up, they could rest their players.
I was thinking the only way the Bills would consider resting guys is if they have the #1 seed and thus the bye locked up. If the Chiefs lose two of their next 4 and the Bills ran the table the Bills would be 14-2 and the Chiefs 13-3 which would mean the Bills are the #1 seed (although it's possible that Pittsburgh would be in the conversation too...).
good analysis but I would think if the Jags are drafting 1st or 2nd (with the Giants drafting 1st or 2nd), Jacksonville will be trading to a team that wants to either jump the Giants for the QB or who wants to secure the 2nd QB
Why is this?
Absolutely. The Steelers have a brutal remaining schedule, and the Bills are 3 up in the loss column on everyone else. If they’re 2 behind KC heading into Week 18, they could well be locked into the #2 seed.
