Analysis of Celtics Games (2020-2021)

nighthob

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Almost seems like a retooling is in order here. Would Golden State trade the Minnesota first round pick for Marcus Smart? Cade Cunningham or Evan Mobley would look good with this squad. What could Theis be worth at the deadline? A late first? Seems like a 2nd rounder at a minimum.
If it were Jaylen Brown they'd listen. But that would put Boston firmly in the Cade Cunningham sweepstakes themselves. I guess there's always the chance that they landed 1 and 4 and went Cade/Jalen Green to keep their Jalen ratio up. You'd also get the Warriors #1. But that would have the impact of making the team even younger. And making the proper use of the TPE bringing in someone like Al Horford to stabilize the clubhouse.
 

RetractableRoof

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But a motion offence is not a new play. It is new rules, philosophy, and many motion people say it can end up with the shot distribution evening out. As we are all aware the Celtics are not deep in offensive talent. There is a pretty good chance you are right, as difficult as the change would be, it is not like they are changing Ted Williams swing, a change is needed.
C'mon, I keep hearing the same things. We've seen them run *some* motion stuff. We've seen them go games without any. As a coach, you can't tell me that adding bits and pieces to what they already have in the sets isn't possible - even at this point in the season. That's all I'm asking for. A commitment to run what they already possess, and add a bit more as you go. If that means parking some fannies that aren't willing to make the effort to work within that framework - then do it. I'd rather watch PP, Kemba, Theis, TL, Smart, Grant, AN, and RL (when he gets released from witness protection) get lit up every flipping night than watch the hero, iso, 4 potted plants, 2 man PnR game that is currently taking place. That might be acceptable basketball to some, and it might work for some teams, but if it's not working for the current Celtics, then I want to watch actual basketball - as they progress to something better next year.

Maybe I should just shut the games off and watch some old UConn women's basketball or something.

Edit: fixed a sentence that got lost in typing...
Edit 2: I do realize that I'm responding to posts, and just repeating the same premise over and over again, which was probably to the detriment of the thread about 7 (or 12) posts of mine ago... I'll drop the topic so your eyes don't all begin to bleed :)
Edit 3: Whooosh, I misread your last sentence - my apologies to you Reggie. Thanks for the reply.
 
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DeJesus Built My Hotrod

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I tend to defer to SMEs like Reggie and riboflav when it comes to basketball Xs and Os. They have real life experience coaching the sport. YRMV.
 

DeJesus Built My Hotrod

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Like I said they need to try something.
Well, they should probably try playing with everyone freely available before going more radical. The four man combo of Smart, Brown, Walker and Tatum have played a grand total of 65+ minutes together thus far this season. So roughly a game and a half all in for the season. This lineup, which got the Cs to the ECF, represents just over 3% (!!!) of the teams total minutes thus far.

This isn't to say there aren't deeper issues though this forum seems to be taking it as a given when, aside from Smart's comments to Robb which were fairly innocuous when not filtered through the blog-boy page views spin, there is little evidence. Its entirely possible that like the rest of the planet and their fans in particular, a bunch of young players are dealing with the pandemic impacts as well as a frustrating season marred by injuries and uneven play. Maybe the off court stuff is as simple as that but unless someone here has sourced info, its hard to tell.

In any event, its difficult to truly assess the team when they simply haven't had all of their best players on the court together.
 

RetractableRoof

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Well, they should probably try playing with everyone freely available before going more radical. The four man combo of Smart, Brown, Walker and Tatum have played a grand total of 65+ minutes together thus far this season. So roughly a game and a half all in for the season. This lineup, which got the Cs to the ECF, represents just over 3% (!!!) of the teams total minutes thus far.

This isn't to say there aren't deeper issues though this forum seems to be taking it as a given when, aside from Smart's comments to Robb which were fairly innocuous when not filtered through the blog-boy page views spin, there is little evidence. Its entirely possible that like the rest of the planet and their fans in particular, a bunch of young players are dealing with the pandemic impacts as well as a frustrating season marred by injuries and uneven play. Maybe the off court stuff is as simple as that but unless someone here has sourced info, its hard to tell.

In any event, its difficult to truly assess the team when they simply haven't had all of their best players on the court together.
Stevens post game quotes were pretty telling, he absorbed (without being overly prompted) a lot of ownership of the situation/results. That's his character. But he's acknowledging that something is off. Jaylen indicated there was off court stuff, but said they were pros and should be able to produce because in the end they are being paid to play a kids game (paraphrasing). So, I'm inferring the lack of a crowd, the isolation, the rigorous covid protocols, etc. is wiping the energy from the team. Some teams are playing with a few fans, that's got to be a gut punch for those that aren't. These are humans, I accept all that, and feel for them. I've not slammed them for the lack of energy. I'd offer not a single complaint if any of the players raised their hand and opted out - short or long term. Like most everyone, I've made life changes/choices for family - sacrificing professionally and financially to be at home and coach the team. I've taken one too many calls to sooth a kid who struck out, and daddy wasn't going to be home to talk about it before bedtime. That feeling sucks. This team (like others) lasted a long time in the bubble, and have been dealing with who knows what in order to even be on the court. I wouldn't be surprised to find out later that half the league was suffering depression over the last year. If nothing else I think Eric V has a study out, their sleep patterns have probably been destroyed around all the changes, and protocols, etc.

That's all separate from the approach they should be taking once they do decide to step on the court.
 

HomeRunBaker

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I agree. This team should focus on getting better and forget about a deep playoff run. They need to learn to play together and not try to do it one on one.
The problem with this is that you cannot have one without the other. If you aren’t playing for a purpose you aren’t going to be focused or getting better. This is why you see coaches of bad teams lose their team and you don’t see the coaches of contenders lose their team. I’ve been sensing for a little while now that the players realize a deep playoff run isn’t in the cards......and they go out and lose B2B against Cleveland and Sacramento. This is when coaches lose their teams and a players bad habits are more visible.
 

reggiecleveland

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The problem with this is that you cannot have one without the other. If you aren’t playing for a purpose you aren’t going to be focused or getting better. This is why you see coaches of bad teams lose their team and you don’t see the coaches of contenders lose their team. I’ve been sensing for a little while now that the players realize a deep playoff run isn’t in the cards......and they go out and lose B2B against Cleveland and Sacramento. This is when coaches lose their teams and a players bad habits are more visible.
Even in college if you are doing as well as you hooped guys are thinking about transferring, trying to do what matters for them.
 

HomeRunBaker

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Even in college if you are doing as well as you hooped guys are thinking about transferring, trying to do what matters for them.
It’s even worse in college. Nearly all of the bench or especially deep bench guys who aren’t playing are unhappy and looking to get out......regardless of W/L record. I’ve seen this firsthand and both of my schools.
 

MyDaughterLovesTomGordon

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I know it's just the NBA in general now, but it's remarkable how often the games come down to the 3-point contest. Today, they shot 23-54, or 42.6% - while Orlando was 11-34, or 32%. That's a win, just about every time.

Looking back, it's win the 3-point percentage or bust:

Sac: Lose 40% to 38.7% = L
CLE: Lose 43.5% to 26.3% = L
UTA: Lose 44.5% to 34.5% = L
HOU: Win 48.6% to 32% = W
NYN: Lose 45.2% to 32.5% = L
TOR: Win 44.8% to 42% = W
LAC: Win 50% to 47.4% = W
WAS: Win 33.3% to 28.1% = W
IND: Win 40.9% to 32.6% = W
ATL: Lose 54.8% to 25.8% = L
DAL: Lose 39.4% to 30.8% = L
NOR: Lose 30.6% to 27% = L

Not sure they've won a game where they lost the 3p percentage yet, though I'm too lazy to go look up every one.

It's kind of crazy that even in some of the OT or just generally close games, it's still completely predictive going back 13 games.

And obviously it's not just a matter of who has the best 3p shooters, as moving the ball and getting open shots matters a LOT, but given the Jays basically only took 3s today, I wonder if Brad's putting more emphasis on that vs. the driving that has really not been working.
 

k-factory

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There were a few outlier games where the correlation is not there but the general point stands.
I don’t think the issue is the drives. Drives to the paint are good when they actually happen. Seems like in this slump there have been an inordinate amount of contested or difficult 2’s and that’s a terrible trade off. The bench isn’t hitting their 3’s consistently but the lack of an up-tempo game isn’t generating enough good looks either. So the miracle games where the J’s hit 3’s at a good clip are a mirage from the reality of a pretty shaky offensive squad.
However, better to see the J’s shoot more volume from 3 than those head scratcher hero ball 2’s.
 

wade boggs chicken dinner

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I know it's just the NBA in general now, but it's remarkable how often the games come down to the 3-point contest. Today, they shot 23-54, or 42.6% - while Orlando was 11-34, or 32%. That's a win, just about every time.

Looking back, it's win the 3-point percentage or bust:

Sac: Lose 40% to 38.7% = L
CLE: Lose 43.5% to 26.3% = L
UTA: Lose 44.5% to 34.5% = L
HOU: Win 48.6% to 32% = W
NYN: Lose 45.2% to 32.5% = L
TOR: Win 44.8% to 42% = W
LAC: Win 50% to 47.4% = W
WAS: Win 33.3% to 28.1% = W
IND: Win 40.9% to 32.6% = W
ATL: Lose 54.8% to 25.8% = L
DAL: Lose 39.4% to 30.8% = L
NOR: Lose 30.6% to 27% = L

Not sure they've won a game where they lost the 3p percentage yet, though I'm too lazy to go look up every one.

It's kind of crazy that even in some of the OT or just generally close games, it's still completely predictive going back 13 games.

And obviously it's not just a matter of who has the best 3p shooters, as moving the ball and getting open shots matters a LOT, but given the Jays basically only took 3s today, I wonder if Brad's putting more emphasis on that vs. the driving that has really not been working.
I imagine this holds true for most NBA games.

But I think the culprit is the Cs 3P defense. I know they are top 15 or so but past Cs teams have been better than that. Hopefully they start giving up fewer wide open 3Ps.
 

reggiecleveland

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What's your favorite book/link/resource for coaching (not XOs per se), the fundamentals of leading, building the personalities of teams, etc.?
LOL
I will bold what I have learned that sticks with me.
Most of what I know was taught to me by people who beat me, second guessing after, stealing things.

2nd is watching games, but looking for specific things, getting questions. For example I am looking now at how NBA teams trail through ball screens, rather than fight over. I don't like it, but I am probably wrong, since high level guys ar doing it. I just don't know exactly why. Never be scared to admit I don't understand something. As a highschool coach I shred zomes now, but that was because it used to be my worst thing. I wasted probably whole seasons whinging about jerks scared to play man ot man.

Most I learned from experience But, there are some really good young coaches who to paraphrase Cosell "never played the game" who learn from clinics, and youtube. There are alot of good things online. At one time I coached with NCAA rules so NCAA guys were my models, now in FIBA is close to NBA, but the talent of NBA guys does not transfer to high school. I like WNBA sets to be honest since they use NBA stuff sans the alley oop.

I would say pick something and learn way too much about it. If it was history reading five books about something you maybe start to get it, right? I would start at a tactical level "defending the ball screen." But watch lots, old and new. Lots of coaches will be what I now call Mandalorians "this is the way" who will say there is one tactic, or one approach, but if you watch lots you will see some common ideas, but also opposite approaches. The good stuff will explain which talents fits which tactic. Then watch games. Stuff will jump out at you, you may see "Okay Brown is trying to do ________" or "What is Kemba doing?" Then look at the offence. Always study, always teach both sides of the ball. Dean Smith said he developed his "force baseline" because all his O sets were about getting the ball into the middle. Shouldn't the D be the opposite?

If you really want to just understand your favorite team look up "Celtic Breakdowns" etc.

Personalities, wow. That is a harder one. I really like reading anything by Bill Russell about winning, Hubie Brown was the best presenter about this I ever saw, since he talked about people overrating one idea. Lots of stars Jordan, Bird, KG are visibly angry while they play, but Duncan, Kareem, Kawhi, are subdued. Just from books 1950s writers loved the relaxed, cool winner, so loved Dimaggio, Mantle, Mays, and the intense guys like Ted, Bob Gibson, were appreciated more by later generations.

Hope this helps.

EDIT
I will plug this guy I know, a Canadian guy that has a pretty good site/youtube channel
https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCBBw1Rq6lxyoTgFxcChiq8Q
 
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RetractableRoof

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LOL
I will bold what I have learned that sticks with me.
Most of what I know was taught to me by people who beat me, second guessing after, stealing things.

2nd is watching games, but looking for specific things, getting questions. For example I am looking now at how NBA teams trail through ball screens, rather than fight over. I don't like it, but I am probably wrong, since high level guys ar doing it. I just don't know exactly why. Never be scared to admit I don't understand something. As a highschool coach I shred zomes now, but that was because it used to be my worst thing. I wasted probably whole seasons whinging about jerks scared to play man ot man.

Most I learned from experience But, there are some really good young coaches who to paraphrase Cosell "never played the game" who learn from clinics, and youtube. There are alot of good things online. At one time I coached with NCAA rules so NCAA guys were my models, now in FIBA is close to NBA, but the talent of NBA guys does not transfer to high school. I like WNBA sets to be honest since they use NBA stuff sans the alley oop.

I would say pick something and learn way too much about it. If it was history reading five books about something you maybe start to get it, right? I would start at a tactical level "defending the ball screen." But watch lots, old and new. Lots of coaches will be what I now call Mandalorians "this is the way" who will say there is one tactic, or one approach, but if you watch lots you will see some common ideas, but also opposite approaches. The good stuff will explain which talents fits which tactic. Then watch games. Stuff will jump out at you, you may see "Okay Brown is trying to do ________" or "What is Kemba doing?" Then look at the offence. Always study, always teach both sides of the ball. Dean Smith said he developed his "force baseline" because all his O sets were about getting the ball into the middle. Shouldn't the D be the opposite?

If you really want to just understand your favorite team look up "Celtic Breakdowns" etc.

Personalities, wow. That is a harder one. I really like reading anything by Bill Russell about winning, Hubie Brown was the best presenter about this I ever saw, since he talked about people overrating one idea. Lots of stars Jordan, Bird, KG are visibly angry while they play, but Duncan, Kareem, Kawhi, are subdued. Just from books 1950s writers loved the relaxed, cool winner, so loved Dimaggio, Mantle, Mays, and the intense guys like Ted, Bob Gibson, were appreciated more by later generations.

Hope this helps.

EDIT
I will plug this guy I know, a Canadian guy that has a pretty good site/youtube channel
https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCBBw1Rq6lxyoTgFxcChiq8Q
It does, as much as anything I will look at the Hubie Brown stuff, (I'm already in on anything Russell related!), I'd love to ask Stevens about this part of your answer. I know he believes in service oriented leadership. Would be a fun conversation until my eyes glassed over not being able to absorb any more! lol

As to stealing from people, Stevens talks about stealing from the Spurs while at Butler, and Popovich (sp?) talks about 'borrowing' from Stevens. Imitation is the sincerest form of flattery, right?

Thank you for the response, and the PM.
 

reggiecleveland

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Funny Hubie story. He said he was an ABA champion and being praised for his offence. He was flattered to see his kids grade 7 teams was running his offence. He noticed the coach had a backdoor play he didn't. Was that a play of was the kid just "pulling the string" in 70s jargon. He asked the coach, who apologized for changing the O, but i was an option they practiced, but a t times the kids were just doing it themselves. Hubie told the guy "that's just good coaching" and later at practice added the backdoor for ABA team. He said he won a game with the option against Larry Brown, and Larry had the usual post game, 'Shit Hubie that backdoor was a new wrinkle' and when he told Larry he got it from a Jr high coach Larry just nodded, because of course you steal stuff from wherever you can. It wasn't like he and Larry had never heard of a back cut, it was just they didn't recognize that specific time and place to use it.
 

RetractableRoof

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Funny Hubie story. He said he was an ABA champion and being praised for his offence. He was flattered to see his kids grade 7 teams was running his offence. He noticed the coach had a backdoor play he didn't. Was that a play of was the kid just "pulling the string" in 70s jargon. He asked the coach, who apologized for changing the O, but i was an option they practiced, but a t times the kids were just doing it themselves. Hubie told the guy "that's just good coaching" and later at practice added the backdoor for ABA team. He said he won a game with the option against Larry Brown, and Larry had the usual post game, 'Shit Hubie that backdoor was a new wrinkle' and when he told Larry he got it from a Jr high coach Larry just nodded, because of course you steal stuff from wherever you can. It wasn't like he and Larry had never heard of a back cut, it was just they didn't recognize that specific time and place to use it.
The best part of that story is that I can just picture the head nod in mutual acknowledgement. Good stuff.
 

Imbricus

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I know it's just the NBA in general now, but it's remarkable how often the games come down to the 3-point contest. Today, they shot 23-54, or 42.6% - while Orlando was 11-34, or 32%. That's a win, just about every time.

Looking back, it's win the 3-point percentage or bust:
Ah, you jinxed us.

Celtics vs. Memphis:

Celtics 3-point %: 48.6%, Memphis 34.3%.

(Though I agree the rule often holds true.) So maybe if your defense is terrible it doesn't matter what your 3-point percentage is?
 

MyDaughterLovesTomGordon

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Ah, you jinxed us.

Celtics vs. Memphis:

Celtics 3-point %: 48.6%, Memphis 34.3%.

(Though I agree the rule often holds true.) So maybe if your defense is terrible it doesn't matter what your 3-point percentage is?
That’s a pretty strong jinx for sure!

I guess when the other team hits 55 shots it’s bad, too.
 

RetractableRoof

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So a one game assessment. That was a lot more enjoyable for me to watch last night. I don't prefer the result, but if they are going to lose - I'd rather watch the Memphis game, than the Cleveland game. In that kind of a game, I think Kemba looks a bit more like the old Kemba then he currently does (in the same way that Teague found a way to contribute).

As you guys were saying, some of these pieces won't/don't fit a motion offense.
  • Semi doesn't seem to have the hands/confidence to play a motion game (he needs a solid 2 count to get a reliable 3 pt shot up). We all kind of agreed on him though.
  • Green couldn't give them even a few minutes where he wasn't completely out of sync.
Some middling things:
  • Theis can do it, they're going to have to learn how to get him a bit more space/angle so he can finish better. He was getting rejected by Valanciunas more than I was in college bars.
  • PP seemed a bit off in this game. I don't know if he's not back to his previous place, or just rookie stuff, or what. He had a couple of nice dishes, but he wasn't as aggressive as I would have liked to have seen from him in this environment. He also still seems to be hesitating on his shot just a fraction. I'm still firmly of the belief he will excel in this type of offense - this game just wasn't his shining moment.
  • Smart was doing his usual Smart thing. When he was working within the flow, he had some decent passes, and nailed a couple of early 3s. When he put his cape on, he didn't get the ball to Jaylen, and took some disastrous shots late. I think the man just bleeds "win", and can't see straight when he gets to crunch time. Old dog/new tricks conundrum.
  • Jaylen looked good, didn't dominate the game which could have been expected and what the announcers were predicting. Did most everything within the offense, credit to him for that. Towards the end of the game, Marcus put his cape on - and if someone is going to wear the cape last night, obviously first dibs should have gone to Jaylen.
Some positive things:
  • TL will excel in a motion offense, he can pass. And he understands. He is still going to get lost, and he might have games where he feels like he's in a fog, but I think that is our TL.
  • Teague can pick his spots and contribute. I didn't see anything Teague did during his time on the court that felt egregiously out of the flow of the offense. This game, and this style is why Ainge signed him - he's got enough left if this is how they play.
  • Grant moving around, picked his spots, when he saw a mismatch in the paint he went to work. That is something that RARELY happens in the potted plant offense. He's not perfect, but he can function in this kind of an offense.
  • He wasn't smooth, but AN didn't embarrass himself for a rookie playing in this style.
  • [He didn't play last night, but Kemba IMO can be at least as effective in this kind of game as Teague was. He's got more left in the tank and knows how to use motion to his best advantage. I count him in the positive category in absentia.]
------
In general, this game showed me what I thought was present within the team. They have the basics of a motion offense in place. Nothing fancy, nothing other teams will fear. But it is there. The concerns about "installing" a motion offense mid-season, etc. are valid - but they do have parts and pieces they could be building on. If the players/personalities absent from last nights game aren't willing to blend back into this type of game, then IMO Stevens/Ainge needs to make it happen. As someone noted upthread, a motion offense tends to distribute the ball equally. I don't think it has to be that way - the first good opportunity won't always be the best one. It takes patience to seek out the best opportunity. I think this is the type of thing that takes plenty of time to grow into - I've got no problem with that. Growing anything takes time. They got some easy buckets against Memphis - haven't seen that in a long time.

All that said: defense, 3 pt shooting, it's all part of the winning puzzle. I'm not saying that the guys who can run a motion offense the best on this team will be able to get/stay on the floor (as starters) if they have defensive weaknesses. It may be they have to come off the bench so they aren't exposed as much defensively - who knows.

After one game, this was a success to me. If it evaporates, so be it... maybe I'll dig those UConn tapes out after all.
 
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JCizzle

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His OT performance was absolutely brutal. As you noted in the game thread, his pass to Theis was a great play. I wish we saw that more frequently than his attempts at hero ball when he's simply not that type of offensive player.
 

wade boggs chicken dinner

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  • PP seemed a bit off in this game. I don't know if he's not back to his previous place, or just rookie stuff, or what. He had a couple of nice dishes, but he wasn't as aggressive as I would have liked to have seen from him in this environment. He also still seems to be hesitating on his shot just a fraction. I'm still firmly of the belief he will excel in this type of offense - this game just wasn't his shining moment.
One quick comment. I think the scouting report is out on PP, which is if he drives, don't leave your feet before he does. If you recall early in the season, he was able to finish at the rim because he would use pump fakes or pivots to create space. Well, people aren't going for his pump fakes anymore and the pivots aren't working either.

So he'll have to adjust. That's one of the problems with trying to win with a young team - teams can take away players' first and second moves really easily so they have to figure out something else to do to score.
 

Strike4

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One quick comment. I think the scouting report is out on PP, which is if he drives, don't leave your feet before he does. If you recall early in the season, he was able to finish at the rim because he would use pump fakes or pivots to create space. Well, people aren't going for his pump fakes anymore and the pivots aren't working either.

So he'll have to adjust. That's one of the problems with trying to win with a young team - teams can take away players' first and second moves really easily so they have to figure out something else to do to score.
It's fascinating to watch PP now because you can read the uncertainty of the entire Celtics team just through his play. Is he the backup PG? Spot up 3 point shooter? Should he be deferring to the star players when they are in the game or taking his opportunities as they come? Should he be deferring to Teague since Teague was signed as a backup but he kind of sucks most of the time? You can see all of this in how he plays. You can see even when he's bringing the ball up the floor which role he'll decide to go with on a particular possession (hand off to other player and hide in corner, or try and playmake).

Except he had some nice synergy with TL for awhile.
 

Cellar-Door

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It's fascinating to watch PP now because you can read the uncertainty of the entire Celtics team just through his play. Is he the backup PG? Spot up 3 point shooter? Should he be deferring to the star players when they are in the game or taking his opportunities as they come? Should he be deferring to Teague since Teague was signed as a backup but he kind of sucks most of the time? You can see all of this in how he plays. You can see even when he's bringing the ball up the floor which role he'll decide to go with on a particular possession (hand off to other player and hide in corner, or try and playmake).

Except he had some nice synergy with TL for awhile.
Teague has been better than PP for a good month or so I think. PP is a 3rd PG, he isn't very good, and nobody should expect him to be more than a deep bench option. The problem is Teague is also really a 3rd PG, but one or both have to play a decent amount because Kemba can't play B2B, and Smart is playing more wing because our bench wings haven't been good.
Also part of his role confusion is..... he's not really a good enough distributor to play classic point, but he's not explosive enough to be a pure scorer.
 

RetractableRoof

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It's fascinating to watch PP now because you can read the uncertainty of the entire Celtics team just through his play. Is he the backup PG? Spot up 3 point shooter? Should he be deferring to the star players when they are in the game or taking his opportunities as they come? Should he be deferring to Teague since Teague was signed as a backup but he kind of sucks most of the time? You can see all of this in how he plays. You can see even when he's bringing the ball up the floor which role he'll decide to go with on a particular possession (hand off to other player and hide in corner, or try and playmake).

Except he had some nice synergy with TL for awhile.
Continuing this thought, we've seen a bit of "freeze out" culture on the Cs previously. Times where someone who is a rookie or a lesser light was wide open, and the ball possessor just blatantly ignored them. Jaylen experienced it a bit, I've seen it with PP a bit, others as well. Essentially, a negative reward feed back loop - if you don't get us the ball back you won't get it to begin with. I think that is a certain amount of Tatum bringing the ball up when PP is right there waiting for it (non-crunch time examples) as the best ball handler on the floor. All these things make it as you say 'fascinating' with regard to the team development.

Opinion requested: just in terms of handle... is PP the best ball handler on the Cs right now? Jaylen handles well as an individual, Smart has worked on it a bit obviously, Kemba can certainly handle the ball.
 

RetractableRoof

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Teague has been better than PP for a good month or so I think. PP is a 3rd PG, he isn't very good, and nobody should expect him to be more than a deep bench option. The problem is Teague is also really a 3rd PG, but one or both have to play a decent amount because Kemba can't play B2B, and Smart is playing more wing because our bench wings haven't been good.
Also part of his role confusion is..... he's not really a good enough distributor to play classic point, but he's not explosive enough to be a pure scorer.
I'm not saying you are wrong, but damn that is a negative view of PP. I think we've been watching different games. With his handle alone, he doesn't need to be explosive to score - he is quite adept at creating angles for himself to be successful without the need for explosiveness out of the gate. Everyone was comparing him to VanVleet, possibly because he isn't an explosive player either. *IF* he is able to adjust/adapt in the way that WBCD mentions he'll need to, he'll be fine. I see no issues with him being able to distribute/find the open man - his play early in the season demonstrated that quite adequately.

If you say he shouldn't get on the court because of his defensive liabilites, or getting lost in the offense they WANT to run, or because rookie growing pains, I've got no argument. Like I said, the bolded means we must be watching different games.
 
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Cellar-Door

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I'm not saying you are wrong, but damn that is a negative view of PP. I think we've been watching different games. With his handle alone, he doesn't need to be explosive to score - he is quite adept at creating angles for himself to be successful without the need for explosiveness out of the gate. Everyone was comparing him to Van Fleet, possibly because he isn't an explosive player either. *IF* he is able to adjust/adapt in the way that WBCD mentions he'll need to, he'll be fine. I see no issues with him being able to distribute/find the open man - his play early in the season demonstrated that quite adequately.

If you say he shouldn't get on the court because of his defensive liabilites, or getting lost in the offense they WANT to run, or because rookie growing pains, I've got no argument. Like I said, the bolded means we must be watching different games.
I think he may get better, but I think he does need to be explosive to score long term. He can't get to the rim or draw fouls so far, and he struggles to get off 3pt shots in traffic. Maybe he becomes super-crafty, but I don't know long term if it works.
 

Strike4

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All these things make it as you say 'fascinating' with regard to the team development.
I think it's fascinating from the perspective of somebody who loves the in's and out's of basketball, but kind of horrifying from the perspective of a fan. You don't want to see this in your team. You want everybody to be on the same page.

I remember going to Red Claws games and seeing the same thing from a player development perspective. Most of the players you could tell were just trying to have an awesome ISO game so they'd get noticed. But sometimes you'd see cool stuff - I remember seeing Terry Rozier and it was abundantly clear that they told him they want to see him run an offense as PG. I don't think he took more than 2-3 shots the entire game because he didn't have anything to prove.
 

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I think he may get better, but I think he does need to be explosive to score long term. He can't get to the rim or draw fouls so far, and he struggles to get off 3pt shots in traffic. Maybe he becomes super-crafty, but I don't know long term if it works.
He has no issue getting to the rim, if anything he has an issue with being able to finish (WBCD assessment) amongst the sequoias. His early play this season showed he doesn't have an issue getting penetration given his handle. Few rookies draws fouls, and very few short players draw fouls. IT4 didn't get them until the King of the 4th or whatever that marketing blitz was called. Hell, the Js barely get fouls called. Being explosive is not his game, it wasn't his game, and Ainge didn't draft him expecting it to be his game. He (like all rookies) needs to adjust to the speed/length of those contesting 3s in the NBA versus college. I'm not swaying your opinion, but all over the league players were mentioning him in a positive light. He's going to need to adapt, but he doesn't need to *become* super-crafty, that is already in his game. I don't think I've got green glasses on, but again... seeing different games I guess.
 

Cesar Crespo

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I'm not saying you are wrong, but damn that is a negative view of PP. I think we've been watching different games. With his handle alone, he doesn't need to be explosive to score - he is quite adept at creating angles for himself to be successful without the need for explosiveness out of the gate. Everyone was comparing him to Van Fleet, possibly because he isn't an explosive player either. *IF* he is able to adjust/adapt in the way that WBCD mentions he'll need to, he'll be fine. I see no issues with him being able to distribute/find the open man - his play early in the season demonstrated that quite adequately.

If you say he shouldn't get on the court because of his defensive liabilites, or getting lost in the offense they WANT to run, or because rookie growing pains, I've got no argument. Like I said, the bolded means we must be watching different games.
Those FVV were pretty generous. I'd guess PP develops into a decent bench player and someone you can start in a pinch. I'd love to be wrong.
 

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I think it's fascinating from the perspective of somebody who loves the in's and out's of basketball, but kind of horrifying from the perspective of a fan. You don't want to see this in your team. You want everybody to be on the same page.

I remember going to Red Claws games and seeing the same thing from a player development perspective. Most of the players you could tell were just trying to have an awesome ISO game so they'd get noticed. But sometimes you'd see cool stuff - I remember seeing Terry Rozier and it was abundantly clear that they told him they want to see him run an offense as PG. I don't think he took more than 2-3 shots the entire game because he didn't have anything to prove.
That's not always horrifying, I think people who enjoy basketball do look for, see those kinds of things. People that enjoy more of the athletic performance that basketball is often presented as, maybe don't enjoy that lack of synchronicity. One of the things that use to be a hallmark of BB football teams was that the team we saw in the first 4-5 games of the season was not the team that was saw at the end of the season, and into the playoffs. As they built familiarity with the expectations, and each other, the disguised stuff on defense was possible. Those kinds of growth patterns (which lots of folks in the football area can describe far better than I) are fun to see and watch.
 

Cesar Crespo

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Few rookies draws fouls, and very few short players draw fouls. IT4 didn't get them until the King of the 4th or whatever that marketing blitz was called. Hell, the Js barely get fouls called.
IT4's rookie year: 4.0 FTA/36. PP: 1.0 FTA/36.

Yeah, those 2 are comparable. What?

2nd Year IT averaged 4.9, 3rd, 5.9.
 

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Those FVV were pretty generous. I'd guess PP develops into a decent bench player and someone you can start in a pinch. I'd love to be wrong.
I took them as: "height challenged, high BB IQ player who survives with crafty play versus explosion" comparisons. Doesn't for a minute suggest that he will have the same success as FVV. But as far as those comparisons go, I see the same characteristics.
 

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IT4's rookie year: 4.0 FTA/36. PP: 1.0 FTA/36.

Yeah, those 2 are comparable. What?

2nd Year IT averaged 4.9, 3rd, 5.9.
OK, I never said those two were comparable players- only that I didn't think that IT4 got his share of fouls. If I'm wrong, mea culpa. Most short players have a problem getting fouls, damning PP for being in that group doesn't seem particularly enlightening.
 

Cellar-Door

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He has no issue getting to the rim, if anything he has an issue with being able to finish (WBCD assessment) amongst the sequoias. His early play this season showed he doesn't have an issue getting penetration given his handle. Few rookies draws fouls, and very few short players draw fouls. IT4 didn't get them until the King of the 4th or whatever that marketing blitz was called. Hell, the Js barely get fouls called. Being explosive is not his game, it wasn't his game, and Ainge didn't draft him expecting it to be his game. He (like all rookies) needs to adjust to the speed/length of those contesting 3s in the NBA versus college. I'm not swaying your opinion, but all over the league players were mentioning him in a positive light. He's going to need to adapt, but he doesn't need to *become* super-crafty, that is already in his game. I don't think I've got green glasses on, but again... seeing different games I guess.
He has issues getting to the rim cleanly, he has a terrible FTr for anyone of any size, and he only takes 15% of his shots at the rim. He might get a bit of separation at the point of attack but he's not getting past the next level.

He's a rookie, he may turn out pretty good, but right now he's a guy who is getting more minutes than he should because Teague started off terrible and the combined Smart/Kemba issues. Maybe some day he's a good backup PG, it's possible, but right now he's not really a plus.
 

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He has issues getting to the rim cleanly, he has a terrible FTr for anyone of any size, and he only takes 15% of his shots at the rim,
OK, you do you. I'm not the PP champion here. I think he's damn good for a late round pick (though Ainge might have done better keeping Bane et al), has rookie issues to adapt to, and will struggle to get on the floor due to defensive liabilities, but could run a motion offense if such a thing existed on the Cs. I think you've made your mind up, and that's fine. You're probably even going to be right (it doesn't take Nostradamus to predict a late round pick will likely fail) - but if you can't see some of the skills he does possess, then so be it.
 

Cesar Crespo

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OK, you do you. I'm not the PP champion here. I think he's damn good for a late round pick (though Ainge might have done better keeping Bane et al), has rookie issues to adapt to, and will struggle to get on the floor due to defensive liabilities, but could run a motion offense if such a thing existed on the Cs. I think you've made your mind up, and that's fine. You're probably even going to be right (it doesn't take Nostradamus to predict a late round pick will likely fail) - but if you can't see some of the skills he does possess, then so be it.
He can be a damn good pick and a heavily flawed player. He went in the late first round for a reason. He's already exceeded everyone's expectations. I just don't see him improving much from what he is now. He'll get more comfortable running the offense and probably score a few more points and pick up a few more assists. PP is a nice guy to have on a rookie contract.
 

Cellar-Door

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OK, you do you. I'm not the PP champion here. I think he's damn good for a late round pick (though Ainge might have done better keeping Bane et al), has rookie issues to adapt to, and will struggle to get on the floor due to defensive liabilities, but could run a motion offense if such a thing existed on the Cs. I think you've made your mind up, and that's fine. You're probably even going to be right (it doesn't take Nostradamus to predict a late round pick will likely fail) - but if you can't see some of the skills he does possess, then so be it.
I see him as having some skills. Getting to the rim isn't one of them. You can look at past years and see that the players with FTr and 0-3 shot % where he is are a certain type of player. Some of them are good (Seth Curry, Tony Snell, Ducan Robinson) one of them is great (Klay Thompson)

He can shoot, and he's a capable enough handler. That can be an NBA player, but he's not much there yet. If things go well he can be a Seth Curry type. Not a PG, but capable of being a secondary ball-handler off the bench, and occasionally closing as a small shooter at the 2. If he can play D.

The issue is, he needs to become that guy, because he isn't a slasher, and he almost certainly never will be. He has to work on being a killer 3pt shooter who can get off his shot quicker and with less space. If he can do that and defend he'll have a long career.

The issue is right now he's a promising for a late 1st prospect, not a backup PG on a good team.
 

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He has issues getting to the rim cleanly, he has a terrible FTr for anyone of any size, and he only takes 15% of his shots at the rim. He might get a bit of separation at the point of attack but he's not getting past the next level.

He's a rookie, he may turn out pretty good, but right now he's a guy who is getting more minutes than he should because Teague started off terrible and the combined Smart/Kemba issues. Maybe some day he's a good backup PG, it's possible, but right now he's not really a plus.
And while he may not have turned the earth on its axis, he didn't spit the bit like other more highly touted/drafted rookies who couldn't get on the floor, or who when they did get on the floor resembled the deer on the highway. He's already provided more value to the Cs than a lot of folks thought possible. So far, it's a win. Being fair in an assessment and saying he might not get much better given his limitations is reasonable. Saying he's not very good and is just deep bench material simply seems overly negative given he's a rookie that has already surpassed any reasonable expectations. YMMV.
 

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--snip--
The issue is right now he's a promising for a late 1st prospect, not a backup PG on a good team.
Then we don't have any worries, because the way this team is performing, they aren't a showing as a good team to begin with. In that context, maybe they should give him more run, eh? I'd rather have him learning to overcome those multitude of deficits you are listing now, while they are working on a viable offensive approach for next year. lol

I'll end with this: I'm not making him out to be more than he is. In a game I was happy with last night, I listed him as not being in the positive group. I do think it's amusing that for some, that anything positive said about him has to be hammered out of existence. lol
 

Imbricus

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Hmm, definitely more negativity on Pritch than I would have expected. I've been watching him closely most of the season. I'm still seeing the glass half full, and then some. (1) He's shooting 41% from three. (2) He gets the ball, and he's immediately in motion, looking for a pass, a drive, a shot. (3) His turnover rate seems fairly low, partly because he's got that tight dribble. (4) I'm not buying that's he at his ceiling/near his ceiling. Guy's a rookie. I don't care if he's 23. He's never played against NBA caliber competition. I think he'll make some adjustments.

I think one thing that may be overlooked here: he usually isn't looking for his shot. He's looking to get somebody else a good shot. The Celtics need someone like that. He can make other players better. If I were Jayson/Jaylen, he's exactly the kind of guy I'd want to keep around for a while.
 

HomeRunBaker

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Teague has been better than PP for a good month or so I think. PP is a 3rd PG, he isn't very good, and nobody should expect him to be more than a deep bench option. The problem is Teague is also really a 3rd PG, but one or both have to play a decent amount because Kemba can't play B2B, and Smart is playing more wing because our bench wings haven't been good.
Also part of his role confusion is..... he's not really a good enough distributor to play classic point, but he's not explosive enough to be a pure scorer.
Yeah, the luster has certainly worn off PP from where I’m sitting. Defenses now recognize how to close out on him without allowing themselves to be best off the dribble. Early in the year he was able to get off wide open shots then the defenders would overcompensate by closing out hard. Now, they know they don’t need to close out hard to prevent him from getting a shot off. Much of the problem comes when PP is in the game with Grant and/or Semi who also struggle getting off shots against close outs.

I thought we had something really nice early on but he’s another bench JAG who needs the right surroundings to create the space he requires to be effective offensively.