Wouldn't his performance the past 3 years also be?
Total amount of the contract is pretty much consistent with the upper estimated guesses. Nola probably knows there's not likely to be a big contract after this one, so stretching it out over seven years instead of five or six probably doesn't make much difference to him.
Reminds you of Porcello? Nola has had a 10.3 K/9 over the past three years. His FIP is 3.31. he's missing bats without walking people while playing in front of a terrible defense.
Here's my question on this...If Yamamoto is the primary target, is there room to bring in Nola on this contract first? We don't know what the bidding war for YY is going to look like or how high the Sox are willing to go to bring him in. I think that's why so many here and elsewhere seem to be leaning toward bringing in YY or another of the top tier FAs and looking for a trade partner to bring in another.
1.5 HR/9 last year, which was the driver of that ERA well above 4. Finished 2nd in the NL in homers allowed. He apparently made some adjustments late in the season and his last few starts showed some improvement, but at age 31 I wouldn't want the Sox committing to him for 7 years.
Yep, thats the deep end of the pool and DD knows how to play in it. Breslow gets a chance to show he can too, but this representing the hometown deal doesn't speak well for the next set of contracts.
Is there reporting that he took less to stay with the Phillies? The only #s higher than that I saw are what his camp was asking for.
It’s Jon Heyman, so ‘reporting’, but:
Yea, keep in mind this AAV isn’t insane and Boras is for sure telling Heyman to let it be known 24mmAAV is “below” market.
Yeah, who knows? It sounds good for everyone to say that, though, I guess.
https://theathletic.com/5075230/2023/11/19/aaron-nola-phillies-172-million-contract/
He could have had an offer for 7/173 and technically he'd have been turning down more money. Unless we hear actual numbers for what he turned down, this feels more like agent smokescreen to pump up the market than an altruistic gesture by Nola.
I don’t really disagree, but acquiring one or two front line starters is going to involve spending money or giving players we aren’t comfortable moving. You can wait and see who will end up signing for what you are comfortable with, but then you end up with Corey Kluber.
If reports are correct, Eovaldi came back asking if the original offer was on the table, and was told it was gone because Kluber.
Eovaldi signed his Rangers deal a couple weeks before Kluber was officially announced by Boston (12/27/22 vs 1/12/23), so it wasn't Kluber specifically that removed the original offer from the table. In the interim between Eovaldi turning down the offer and signing with Texas, the Sox signed Yoshida, Jansen and Martin and reportedly came to terms with Turner and Kluber. Presumably the money initially allocated for Eovaldi was re-distributed amongst all those deals.
Thanks for the clarity.
I insist the President of Baseball Ops responsible for this be fired immediately!
Eovaldi came to terms with the Rangers on 12/27; the Red Sox came to terms with Kluber on 12/28, they just didn’t formally announce it until much later.
Here's some more reporting on #s. AAV definitely much better on that Braves offer. Idk how many years the Dodgers one was.
Personally, if I had an equal interest in being two places (or if the same team offered me both contracts), I would take 6/$162m over 7/$172m for several reasons. Too lazy to do a present value calculation but I'm guessing that getting $27m per year for 6 years is probably going to be worth as much or more than $24.57m for 7 years. & regardless of that, I would like to think that I could go back out there at 36 & make at least $10m.
