8/21 - There is still hope

caminante11

caminante11

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Saw on Twitter that the Red Sox hit 6 of the 7 hardest hit balls in the game last night. Unlucky to lose that one but a new winning streak starts today. The Phils starting pitcher has a worse ERA than ours and Porcello pitched well in his last start.
 
InsideTheParker

InsideTheParker

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caminante11 said:
Saw on Twitter that the Red Sox hit 6 of the 7 hardest hit balls in the game last night. Unlucky to lose that one but a new winning streak starts today. The Phils starting pitcher has a worse ERA than ours and Porcello pitched well in his last start.
Where are you finding a higher ERA for Smyly?
Philadelphia (65-60, 27-32 Road)
Boston (67-60, 33-33 Home)
Phi: D. Smyly (1-1, 4.71 ERA)
Bos: R. Porcello (11-9, 5.49 ERA)
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http://hosted.stats.com/mlb/scoreboard.asp?meta=true
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Click to expand...
 
jon abbey

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If you click through on that link, you will see that his PHI ERA is 4.71 but if you include his TEX stats also, it jumps to 7.09.
 
Rovin Romine

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caminante11 said:
Saw on Twitter that the Red Sox hit 6 of the 7 hardest hit balls in the game last night. Unlucky to lose that one but a new winning streak starts today. The Phils starting pitcher has a worse ERA than ours and Porcello pitched well in his last start.
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It would be interesting to know how many times that's been the case this year.
 
caminante11

caminante11

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Red Sox lineup:

1. Mookie Betts (R) RF
2. Rafael Devers (L) 3B
3. Xander Bogaerts (R) SS
4. J.D. Martinez (R) DH
5. Andrew Benintendi (L) LF
6. Sam Travis (R) 1B
7. Christian Vazquez (R) C
8. Marco Hernandez (L) 2B
9. Jackie Bradley Jr. (L) CF

SP: Rick Porcello
 
E5 Yaz

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caminante11 said:
Red Sox lineup:

1. Mookie Betts (R) RF
2. Rafael Devers (L) 3B
3. Xander Bogaerts (R) SS
4. J.D. Martinez (R) DH
5. Andrew Benintendi (L) LF
6. Sam Travis (R) 1B
7. Christian Vazquez (R) C
8. Marco Hernandez (L) 2B
9. Jackie Bradley Jr. (L) CF

SP: Rick Porcello
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This is an interesting lineup in terms of 2020: The over/under on players in this lineup who will play for the Red Sox next season is set at 4.5
 
bigq

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E5 Yaz said:
This is an interesting lineup in terms of 2020: The over/under on players in this lineup who will play for the Red Sox next season is set at 4.5
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It would be an interesting exercise to come up with 4.5 from the list that are not wanted back next year.
 
Hank Scorpio

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E5 Yaz said:
This is an interesting lineup in terms of 2020: The over/under on players in this lineup who will play for the Red Sox next season is set at 4.5
Click to expand...
bigq said:
It would be an interesting exercise to come up with 4.5 from the list that are not wanted back next year.
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Devers, Bogaerts, and I guess Vazquez are near locks to be back next season.

Hernandez and Travis are relatively minor pieces who could be moved for something of minor value.

JD could opt out.

One of Betts, Bradley, or Benny could be moved. But probably only one.

I’ll take the over, easily.

5.5 or 6.5 would be a much tougher call.
 
Rovin Romine

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Rovin Romine said:
It would be interesting to know how many times that's been the case this year.
Click to expand...
Sadly the below didn't take that long.

Turns out you can skim through the MLB probable pitcher page. It's more of a fun stat, as opposed to a serious comparison of recent performance or whatnot. But assuming the MLB page is correct (and discounting a 0 era for first starts), we get the following. (L#) designates a start that resulted in a loss (for whatever reason.)

1 April 6 - Price (L1)
2 April 15 - Velazquez (L2)
3 April 17 - Eovaldi

4 May 1 - Velazquez (2)
5 May 2 - Price (2) (L3)
6 May 4 - Erod
7 May 7 - Velzaquez (3)
8 May 10 - Erod (2)
9 May 11 - Porcello
10 May 14 - Sale (L4)
11 May 20 - Price (3)
12 May 23 - Weber
13 May 27 - Porcello (2)
14 May 31 - Sale (2) (L5)

15 June 2 - Price (4)
16 June 4 - Sale (3)
17 June 8 - Price (5)
18 June 13 - Price (6)
19 June 14 - Erod (3)
20 June 15 - Sale (4)
21 June 18 - Price (7) (L6)
22 June 25 - Price (8)
23 June 26 - Sale (5) (L7)
24 June 30 - Erod (4) (L8)

25 July 2 - Price (9)
26 July 4 - Velazquez (4)
27 July 5 - Erod (5)
28 July 6 - Porcello (3)
29 July 7 - Price (10)
30 July 16 - Cashner (1) (L9)
31 July 17 - Erod (6)
32 July 18 - Sale (6)
33 July 20 - Porcello (4)
34 July 26 - Cashner (2)
35 July 27 - Erod (7)

36 Aug 2 - Erod (8) (L10)
37 Aug 4 - Price (11) (L11)
38 Aug 5 - Porcello (5)
39 Aug 6 - Cashner (3) (L12)
40 Aug 11 - Cashner (4) (L13)
41 Aug 16 - Porcello (6)
42 Aug 17 - Erod (9)
43 Aug 18 - Eovaldi (2)

44 Aug 21 - Porcello (7)

Interesting: 43 times this season we have started a pitcher having a better season to date than the opposition's pitcher (ERA, but whatever, see above.) We went 31-13 in those games. Although it must be said Cashner garnered 4 starts and 4 losses.

Price faced a pitcher having a worse season than he did 11 times. Erod 9, Porcello 7, Sale 6, Cashner 4.
 
S. H. Frog

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Rovin Romine said:
Sadly the below didn't take that long.

Turns out you can skim through the MLB probable pitcher page. It's more of a fun stat, as opposed to a serious comparison of recent performance or whatnot. But assuming the MLB page is correct (and discounting a 0 era for first starts), we get the following. (L#) designates a start that resulted in a loss (for whatever reason.)

1 April 6 - Price (L1)
2 April 15 - Velazquez (L2)
3 April 17 - Eovaldi

4 May 1 - Velazquez (2)
5 May 2 - Price (2) (L3)
6 May 4 - Erod
7 May 7 - Velzaquez (3)
8 May 10 - Erod (2)
9 May 11 - Porcello
10 May 14 - Sale (L4)
11 May 20 - Price (3)
12 May 23 - Weber
13 May 27 - Porcello (2)
14 May 31 - Sale (2) (L5)

15 June 2 - Price (4)
16 June 4 - Sale (3)
17 June 8 - Price (5)
18 June 13 - Price (6)
19 June 14 - Erod (3)
20 June 15 - Sale (4)
21 June 18 - Price (7) (L6)
22 June 25 - Price (8)
23 June 26 - Sale (5) (L7)
24 June 30 - Erod (4) (L8)

25 July 2 - Price (9)
26 July 4 - Velazquez (4)
27 July 5 - Erod (5)
28 July 6 - Porcello (3)
29 July 7 - Price (10)
30 July 16 - Cashner (1) (L9)
31 July 17 - Erod (6)
32 July 18 - Sale (6)
33 July 20 - Porcello (4)
34 July 26 - Cashner (2)
35 July 27 - Erod (7)

36 Aug 2 - Erod (8) (L10)
37 Aug 4 - Price (11) (L11)
38 Aug 5 - Porcello (5)
39 Aug 6 - Cashner (3) (L12)
40 Aug 11 - Cashner (4) (L13)
41 Aug 16 - Porcello (6)
42 Aug 17 - Erod (9)
43 Aug 18 - Eovaldi (2)

44 Aug 21 - Porcello (7)

Interesting: 43 times this season we have started a pitcher having a better season to date than the opposition's pitcher (ERA, but whatever, see above.) We went 31-13 in those games. Although it must be said Cashner garnered 4 starts and 4 losses.

Price faced a pitcher having a worse season than he did 11 times. Erod 9, Porcello 7, Sale 6, Cashner 4.
Click to expand...
That's a nice report. Thanks.
 
chrisfont9

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Hank Scorpio said:
Devers, Bogaerts, and I guess Vazquez are near locks to be back next season.

Hernandez and Travis are relatively minor pieces who could be moved for something of minor value.

JD could opt out.

One of Betts, Bradley, or Benny could be moved. But probably only one.

I’ll take the over, easily.

5.5 or 6.5 would be a much tougher call.
Click to expand...
Agree, I'd set it at 6. At 5.5 I'm definitely going over. With Pedroia seemingly done and Hernandez cheap and playable, I can't see why you'd move him, and Travis, and one of the OFs.
 
JCizzle

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That Billy Hamilton situation is interesting. That has to be pretty rare.
 
S. H. Frog

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That shit was jacked. Too bad about the caught stealing.
 
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