6/19: Who’ll Stop the Rain?

crow216

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Well, this week is certainly making June feel like a better baseball month. A Sox loss today puts them back at 7.5 behind, 9 in the loss.
 

jon abbey

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Well, this week is certainly making June feel like a better baseball month. A Sox loss today puts them back at 7.5 behind, 9 in the loss.
Their record during Hope Week is always really good, 36-13 now since it started.
 

VORP Speed

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In looking at his pitch selection between 2019 and 2018 his fastball use has gone from 51% to 41% and his curveball use has jumped from 20% to 30%. His velocity is virtually the same so what is the deal with change in approach?
I hope it’s the toe explanation rather than this one that makes it sound like he has the yips.


From St Pete Times:

But the biggest difference has been Snell’s performance with runners in scoring position. Last season, Snell stranded runners on base at an otherworldly pace.
Opponents hit just .088 (10-for-114) against him with runners on second or third. This season, hitters have a .237 average (14-for-59) with runners in scoring position against Snell.
That, alone, could account for a big chunk of his increased ERA.
Now it’s possible there are other factors that may have contributed to this. Manager Kevin Cash, and Snell himself, have talked about his pitch selection at times.
It’s true, Snell is throwing his fastball less than he once did. Last June, he threw his fastball 55.5 percent of the time. This June, it’s down to 44.1. Instead, he’s throwing his curveball and changeup more.
Normally, that might be an “A-ha!” kind of discovery. Except, Snell actually began throwing his fastball less last September (41 percent of the time) and he still looked unhittable.


The problem could be that Snell gets too enamored with his off-speed pitches, and that occasionally lessens their effectiveness.
Another possibility might be Snell’s psyche. He has seemed more frustrated on the mound at times this season. He’s taking a lot more time between pitches (going from 23.4 seconds last year to a ridiculously slow 26.6 seconds in 2019), and has worked with a wide assortment of catchers due to injuries.
 

jon abbey

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Yeah, that was fun, Astros tomorrow. Even though it's a 4 game series, NY misses Cole who pitched today, and also Springer and Correa are out.
 

jon abbey

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"Yankees 3.5 game lead in AL East is their largest since a 4-game lead on June 12, 2017."
 

terrynever

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"Yankees 3.5 game lead in AL East is their largest since a 4-game lead on June 12, 2017."
Holding first place in June means nothing, of course. Boston fans used to bathe in June optimism. The Sox swept NY in June 1978 and built their lead to 14 in July. Fans on both sides thought the race was over. No wild card in those days. The Sox sure deserved one in 1978.
When the Sox fall 14 behind in 2019, Crow can get excited. Even 14-game leads in July are not safe, as 1978 tells us.
Yanks still haven’t fixed their starting pitching. It might happen internally. But until Cashman swings a deal for Stroman or someone of his ilk, the Yanks can be exploited in October.
 

crow216

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Our team is loaded and jammed up everywhere at basically every position except C. Cashman can use whatever prospects he wants to get the best damn pitcher out there and that's what he should do. There is no reason at this point to hold back. Who the hell cares about Estevan Florial?
 

jon abbey

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Our team is loaded and jammed up everywhere at basically every position except C. Cashman can use whatever prospects he wants to get the best damn pitcher out there and that's what he should do. There is no reason at this point to hold back. Who the hell cares about Estevan Florial?
I disagree, no reason to move Florial or Deivi Garcia, depending of course on who is out there and what NY's actual perception of those guys is.

FWIW, yesterday Dan Szymborski, one of the better baseball writers around and the guy who invented ZiPS, ranked the 30 pitching staffs going forward for the rest of the season, and he had NY in 1st overall (followed by HOU, TB, LAD, CLE, BOS in 9th).

 

jon abbey

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(As for catcher depth, Kyle Higashioka is likely better defensively than Sanchez or Romine and currently has a .856 OPS in AAA with 10 HRs in 124 ABs, and they now have Erik Kratz there too, who got some starts in the NL playoffs last year and was a hero in at least one game there).
 

terrynever

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Are the Rays legit? ;)
Good timing. Let’s give them a month. Let’s see where the East is in a month.

An old adage comes to mind: You’re never as good as you look when winning, and never as bad when losing. Tampa’s hitting is a concern now that Meadows and others have cooled off. Fixing Snell and getting Glasgow healthy will be the key to whether they can hang with NY.

Boston will make up ground. Any team with Sale, Price and Porcello clicking is going to get hot and stay hot.
 

jon abbey

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"Aaron Judge has completed his rehab assignment with the RailRiders."

!!!!
 

jon abbey

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I think they maybe give him tomorrow off since he has played two days in a row in the field, then after Cortes Jr is the long guy tomorrow, they send him down to avoid making a decision for a few days at least. They still need a 40 man spot, though.
 

terrynever

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From a theatrical standpoint, the return of the stars is really dramatic stuff. Judge especially. As good as the backup team has been, the meshing of DJ with Judge and Sanchez is exciting to anticipate. How can DJ not lead off, with Judge right behind? Abbey, you have probably already revealed the ultimate lineup somewhere. I guess Hicks would be a great leadoff guy, too.
Judge returning feels like Yanks are on Broadway now.
 

jon abbey

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Man, I don't think you can go wrong, but I would maybe go with:

LeMahieu 3B
Judge RF
Sanchez C
Encarnacion DH
Stanton LF
Hicks CF
Voit 1B
Didi SS
Gleyber 2B
 

terrynever

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Man, I don't think you can go wrong, but I would maybe go with:

LeMahieu 3B
Judge RF
Sanchez C
Encarnacion DH
Stanton LF
Hicks CF
Voit 1B
Didi SS
Gleyber 2B
When Sheffield first came to the Yanks, that lineup went pretty deep, 1 thru 9, but this is ridiculous. Gleyber is on pace for 35 HRs and he’s hitting ninth.
 

jon abbey

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Really Voit should be sixth but that would put the only two potential lefties back to back.