There must be numbers from last season, the games the last few nights are exceptions more than the rule, I think.This 'runner on second' thing might not end up making games shorter unless it turns into sudden death.
The two in the ninth inning in this series were overthinking like Andujar when he started going badly, just make the play.Gleyber is literally costing me sleep already this year. I may be counting his wild throws while laying awake.
Yes, I was thinking this too.Feels like maybe they should change the rule to start a runner on first.
Granted, it doesn't account for the pitchers in extra innings specifically, but the run expectancy tables (from Tom Tango's site) for runner on second and no outs show that the probability of scoring a run is greater than .5, and the expected runs in the inning are slightly over 1, so that suggests that the expectation is that BOTH teams will on average, score a run under those conditions. Since that's a symmetrical condition, it doesn't seem likely that it would reduce the length of games.There must be numbers from last season, the games the last few nights are exceptions more than the rule, I think.
With all due respect, I don't think this sheds any light. Extra inning essentially sudden death is different by nature from the first eight innings, we saw multiple bunts tonight for one. I am certain that the variance in runs scored is greater with a runner on second to start than it is in a normal inning, but also I am certain that someone has measured the average length of an extra inning game in 2020 (albeit just a 60 game season) to that of the previous years so that we don't need to argue.Granted, it doesn't account for the pitchers in extra innings specifically, but the run expectancy tables (from Tom Tango's site) for runner on second and no outs show that the probability of scoring a run is greater than .5, and the expected runs in the inning are slightly over 1, so that suggests that the expectation is that BOTH teams will on average, score a run under those conditions. Since that's a symmetrical condition, it doesn't seem likely that it would reduce the length of games.