2024-2025 MiLB Offseason

LoLsapien · Oct 5, 2024

JM3 said:
View: https://twitter.com/ryleepay21/status/1841965701667684805

If Riley could join Merloni in the booth and replace Wil Flemming, I'd be eternally thankful.

TrotNixonRing · Oct 5, 2024

JM3 said:
This guy looks like he's ready for the managing or umpiring portion of his career...

View: https://twitter.com/ChrisHenrique/status/1842210250264318329

I smell a zany movie plot!!

sittingstill · Oct 9, 2024

JM3 said:
Feels kind of like cheating to call Jojo a reliever. He came out of the pen his 1st 9 games (most recently on May 9th), & then started his last 12.

He was quite good in both roles.

Reliever: 9 games, 18 IP, 2.00 ERA, .562 OPS, 17.5 K/9, 2.5 bb/9

Starter: 12 games, 40.1 IP, 1.79 ERA, .514 OPS, 12.9 k/9, 3.3 bb/9

Not that he pitched that many innings per start (especially after returning from injury), but yeah.

Especially now that we don't have Lowell, "games started" in Salem is maybe a less useful stat than it used to be as they manage pitcher development and workloads. Those numbers average less than 3 IP per appearance; half his starts were less than 4 innings and he only pitched 5 innings twice all year. Hard to evaluate him for a year-end award and consider him a starter in context. (He did sneak in with the sketchiest photo of the lot--I will be really annoyed if I don't see him pitch in Fort Myers next spring.)

GB5 · Oct 9, 2024

Sox released Brainer Bonaci which is a big deal as he was a former system top 10 prospect.

sittingstill · Oct 10, 2024

JM3 said:
Curious what the criteria is for these teams & I'm sure they're explained somewhere... but it's neither just the toppest of prospects nor the best of seasons.

For example:
SP A - 3.99 ERA in 103.2 IP (A+/AA), 3.4 bb/9, 12 k/9

SP B - 3.17 ERA in 113.2 IP (AA), 4 bb/9, 11.7 k/9

But I assume it's mostly best seasons by guys they consider legit prospects.

I think there are at least 10-11 people with votes (I don't vote) and so different voters will have different assessments of various factors; you'll always have a situation where players were on ballots but just missed in the final tally. Everyone puts different weight on different criteria. Do you penalize a player who missed part of the year in an "all star" vote? How do you weigh stats from the lower minors (which can be really sketchy) versus those from higher levels? How old is a player in a given league? Did he earn a promotion during the season? Do park factors play a role in the numbers? What kind of defense played behind a pitcher?

I think the position player choices had more consensus. SP B was in the mix.

Fishy1 · Nov 12, 2024

JM3 said:
I completely forgot this thread existed.

View: https://twitter.com/TJStats/status/1855747445927415982

Statistical models love Jedi. People who want their pitchers to "throw the ball fast" are less excited. We shall see.

Control is always underrated, just like plate discipline. Long way to go but he's exciting.

mwonow · Nov 18, 2024

I'm a proud Meidroth-stan myself. Easy to see him getting overlooked while guys with a more flashy skill (like Hamilton) get run, but Meidroth delivers real value when he's at bat, and doesn't seem to give much away with the glove.

Diamond Don Aase · Nov 18, 2024

JM3 said:
Jhostynxon isn't like a good CF as far as I can tell - despite some reports to the contrary. & the issue isn't really Bailey Horn it's player addition X who will need a roster spot.

Also, (after somehow picking up 14 steals in 14 attempts in 109 A-Ball PAs), he had 3 steals & 7 caught stealing in 354 PAs between High-A & AA, which doesn't give me a lot of optimism that he has the athleticism for CF, especially since he's going to have to bulk to be an impact bat while also improving plate discipline.

Idk, I hope I'm very wrong on him, but I personally don't see it. Seems like someone who would strike out like 40% of the time if he tried to play MLB next year.

JM3 may be crossing the streams, but their aim is true. Protecting Garcia is not about Bailey Horn or the next four days.

Unless he is currently deployed with the Pacific Fleet, Horn very likely already watched his last sunset on the Red Sox’ 40-man roster. Protecting Garcia is about designating for assignment David Hamilton or Greg Weissert in five months when Kristian Campbell is selected to the major league roster after Vaughn Grissom sees his shadow and spends another six weeks with Worcester.

Trimming the fat to fit Garcia on the 40-man roster would be easy. Fleshing out a sustainably competitive major league team with the additional constraint would be considerably more difficult.

Diamond Don Aase · Nov 18, 2024

JM3 said:
I take my boycotts seriously.

I'm sure there will be plenty of guys ready for the 60-day IL by then, but yeah, I just don't see either the current ability or future upside to warrant the use of a 40-man spot on him.

What's your take on Yordanny? Not sure if I recall seeing you express an opinion on him.

Monegro’s combination of strikeouts and infield fly balls augmented by his strong finish to the season make him a necessary 40-man roster addition to me.

Dedicating a second option season entirely or even mostly to Monegro’s development in 2026 would be less than ideal, but I am hopeful that by then multiple members of the Fitts/Guerrero/Priester trio will have firmly established themselves in major-league roles. Or at least started a residency at Scullers Jazz Club celebrating Oscar Peterson’s entire catalog.

Chainsaw318 · Nov 19, 2024

It has become more difficult to stash a guy on the MLB roster, so I don’t know if it will be worth it to do so for Monegro. Teams stream so many relievers these days.

simplicio · Nov 19, 2024

At the very least their omission of Fulmer is weird. We really bought a broken guy on an expensive milb contract to have him chill and rehab for a year and then give him away for free? I don't see it.

Chainsaw318 said:
It has become more difficult to stash a guy on the MLB roster, so I don’t know if it will be worth it to do so for Monegro. Teams stream so many relievers these days.

The Nats did this with Thad Ward just last year. He sucked out loud and they found 35 innings for him anyway. Not every team is trying to win.

Petagine in a Bottle · Nov 19, 2024

Ward was two years ago. He had a 5.87 ERA and 7+ BB rate in AAA last year. Nationals waived him, and now he’s an Oriole.

Re: Fullmer, how healthy is he? If he’s going to start the year in the DL, will another team take him and have him clog up their 40 for a few months? He will be 32 when next year starts, so who knows. Could be a gamble.

simplicio · Nov 19, 2024

We're still in 2024 and I'm in no rush to get to 2025, baseball excepted.

simplicio · Nov 19, 2024

Uh okay, nice (not) knowing you Fulmer.

I really hope I'm wrong about Yordanny getting snapped up.

simplicio · Nov 19, 2024

My other thought was that Fulmer would presumably be owed his contract if selected, which is up to $3.5m after incentives, so maybe they think that'll be a deterrent.

simplicio · Nov 19, 2024

Do they need to make corresponding moves for Dobbins and Garcia today?

simplicio · Nov 19, 2024

View: https://twitter.com/ChrisCotillo/status/1859012666691625264?ref_src=twsrc%5Egoogle%7Ctwcamp%5Eserp%7Ctwgr%5Etweet

Petagine in a Bottle · Nov 19, 2024

Campbell’s Sox career: 6 2/3 IP, -1.2 bWAR.

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