I got a chance to view more prospects and have since changed my mind. I got to about 10 edges, 5 LBs, 10 OTs, and another 8 WRs.
There are some really good edges in this class. No Chase Young types but there are 4 ILB/OLB hybrids I think the Pats would love: Azeez Ojulari, Micah Parsons, and Zabek Collins. Phillips has first round kind of tape and traits but an injury history that could drop him to day 3. If they want to go 4-3 then they might have an eye on Paye or Rousseau. So that’s 5. All 3 or 4 QBs are probably top 15 guys. There are 3 or 4 OTs who are top 15 guys: Sewell, Slater, and Darrisaw for sure. Eichenberg, Cosmi, and Carman Jackson are others. WR wise Chase, Waddle, D Smith are probably top 15 or so guys. Tony, Rondale Moore, Elijah Moore, and Bateman are others in consideration. The only DT at 15 is Barmore but I’m not sure he is worth taking that high. No safeties are going to go top 15-20. Same with RBs. There are 3 DBs who might go top 15: Farley, Surtain, and Horn. So they might trade back a couple of spots but the more I look at it the more I think they take an edge or ILB/OLB at 15 or an OT.
If they did trade down it would probably be only a few spots down the board. I think they stay at 15 though if they don’t trade up for a QB. I don’t think they do that though sadly.