2020 Pats: QB Situation Beyond Cam

Super Nomario

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His numbers coming into shitty situations are nearly pointless to judge. Until he gets first-team reps all week in practice and starts the game the book is still out. Eye test-wise he looks pretty decent. Throws a nice ball, doesn't stand like a statue waiting decades to make decisions. I don't think he's a franchise guy, but I do think he's better than Cam- who has gotten an inordinate amount of rope because of his vet/leader status and because he kept the Pats in some close games versus good teams early in the year. I'll be shocked and disappointed if BB doesn't give him the last two weeks as a tryout.
Stidham took a boatload of sacks in the 2019 preseason when he was otherwise excellent, and in his tiny sample of regular season snaps across two seasons, he has also been sacked a lot. He may do some things better than Cam, but he is likely to take more sacks.
 

steveluck7

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Cam blaming teammates? I didn't hear his original quote but i'm curious what he meant by "we've got guys that just don't get it."

Ryan Hannable:

Cam Newton on
@TheGregHillShow
asked about his line after the game of "we've got guys that just don't get it." "I am not going to feed into it. It may have came off in a bad way, I just don't want to get into it ... It's not as negative as it sounds."
 

Mystic Merlin

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Based on some rough napkin math, I don’t see how Cam hits the ninety percent playing time incentive (he is around 86.5 now) without playing both of the next two games.

If he plays no snaps in the next two games, he will likely dip below the eighty percent incentive threshold.

I think if Bill wants to play Stidham a lot, he could just pay Cam the 90 percent PT bonus as they’ve done previously with veterans they sat late in the season.
 

EL Jeffe

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Stidham took a boatload of sacks in the 2019 preseason when he was otherwise excellent, and in his tiny sample of regular season snaps across two seasons, he has also been sacked a lot. He may do some things better than Cam, but he is likely to take more sacks.
This is 100% correct. Showed up at Auburn too; he can be slow to process and he'll hold on to the ball too long. That said, when he sees it and rips it, it's really pretty. He's got such a quick, clean, pure release.

Newton gives them a better chance to win, but at this point, play Stidham and let him get some live reps in.
 

Over Guapo Grande

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The bolded is so completely in opposition to Belichick's coaching philosophy that you'll be waiting a long time. Allen Iverson did not play in the NFL and is not at all a relevant comparison. Established veterans can get away with missing practices here and there, but I'm not aware of a single NFL player that takes off practices but plays on a regular basis. The NFL is not the NBA; not even close.
Jimmy G is a guy who comes to mind. He was apparently horrible in practice, but became a serviceable NFL starter.
 

steveluck7

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This is 100% correct. Showed up at Auburn too; he can be slow to process and he'll hold on to the ball too long. That said, when he sees it and rips it, it's really pretty. He's got such a quick, clean, pure release.

Newton gives them a better chance to win, but at this point, play Stidham and let him get some live reps in.
This is where I'd like to see more game action from Stidham. My eyes tell me that Cam is similarly slow to process. A major issue is that Cam pairs that slowness with painfully slow wind-up and release. If Stidham has the advantage in that part of the equation, I'd see it as an upgrade
 
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Over Guapo Grande

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To my highly untrained eyes, it seems to me that every throw that Cam makes, he is expecting contact. It seems that he turns his head away and leans back, trusting his arm to get the ball there. It's... like a reverse pivot on a golf swing. I was working with the little OGG on throwing snowballs, and that was her first action. Once I had her step into the throw (I was the practice dummy) her aim improved to the point I had to call off the exercise.
 

EL Jeffe

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Cam can be slow to process, yes. He's also tougher to bring down and has a lot more escapability in the pocket. There will be a tradeoff with Stidham, but at 6-8, it's time.
 

Over Guapo Grande

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Cam can be slow to process, yes. He's also tougher to bring down and has a lot more escapability in the pocket. There will be a tradeoff with Stidham, but at 6-8, it's time.
On a scale of Lamar Jackson to Drew Bledsoe, how would you rate Stidham's mobility? (I also recognize that there are Tom Bradys, who won't threaten you with their legs, but will with their pocket presence)
 

BaseballJones

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Jimmy G is a guy who comes to mind. He was apparently horrible in practice, but became a serviceable NFL starter.
More than serviceable. 24-8 career record. 67.5% career completion rate, 51 td, 26 int, 98.9 career passer rating, took a team to the Super Bowl. Would be a massive upgrade for the Pats at QB. Injuries are an issue, but in terms of him as a player...he's much more than serviceable.
 

bigq

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On a scale of Lamar Jackson to Drew Bledsoe, how would you rate Stidham's mobility? (I also recognize that there are Tom Bradys, who won't threaten you with their legs, but will with their pocket presence)
Stidham was not a running threat in college and there is little evidence to indicate he will rush much in the NFL either. I’m guessing Bledsoe would be a good comp and we can only hope he develops moves like this guy.
37249
 

DourDoerr

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I'll agree that with elimination, BB may roll Stidham out there. Because of Cam's extremely reasonable contract, BB offered some sort of guaranteed playing time in conjunction with the contract bonuses. It seems against his philosophy but a starting QB and the allure of getting Cam Newton is such an anomaly that I can see his making an exception for a potentially lost season. His opening the door seems to reflect this, but I don't know what he's said on the matter all season.

On Cam's comments on teammates not getting it - the rookie TE's? Keene's fumble in particular was infuriating. Finally gets a reception and spits it up. What are you doing, DK?
 

Harry Hooper

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His numbers coming into shitty situations are nearly pointless to judge. Until he gets first-team reps all week in practice and starts the game the book is still out. Eye test-wise he looks pretty decent. Throws a nice ball, doesn't stand like a statue waiting decades to make decisions. I don't think he's a franchise guy, but I do think he's better than Cam- who has gotten an inordinate amount of rope because of his vet/leader status and because he kept the Pats in some close games versus good teams early in the year. I'll be shocked and disappointed if BB doesn't give him the last two weeks as a tryout.
Yes, practice reps for multiple QBs are never easy to fit in, but especially tough this season.

Along with drafting issues, this is the other specter lurking in the background for BB going forward. Even before COVID-19, the current CBA changed the "rules of engagement" for practices. As head coach, he's not allowed to use the same intensity and volume of practice time as he did for decades. While I trust BB to use practices more efficiently than typical NFL head coaches, the new limits likely shave off some of that prep edge and attach more value to athleticism of talent.
 

bigq

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On Cam's comments on teammates not getting it - the rookie TE's? Keene's fumble in particular was infuriating. Finally gets a reception and spits it up. What are you doing, DK?
That would be rich. Cam’s careless fumble that was retuned for a TD was even more infuriating. Thankfully it went out of bounds and the TD call was rightfully overturned.
 

EL Jeffe

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On a scale of Lamar Jackson to Drew Bledsoe, how would you rate Stidham's mobility? (I also recognize that there are Tom Bradys, who won't threaten you with their legs, but will with their pocket presence)
He's significantly more mobile than Bledsoe. He was an effective scrambler in the 2019 preseason and made plays with his legs at Auburn. I'd consider him on par with pre-injury Jimmy G., Baker Mayfield--that sort of running ability. Good enough, but not a featured part of his game.
 

tims4wins

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Yes, practice reps for multiple QBs are never easy to fit in, but especially tough this season.

Along with drafting issues, this is the other specter lurking in the background for BB going forward. Even before COVID-19, the current CBA changed the "rules of engagement" for practices. As head coach, he's not allowed to use the same intensity and volume of practice time as he did for decades. While I trust BB to use practices more efficiently than typical NFL head coaches, the new limits likely shave off some of that prep edge and attach more value to athleticism of talent.
I had similar thoughts earlier this season. During the offseason, we speculated that the Pats would be better off than most teams at handling the pandemic due to the genius of BB. But in a way, I think the opposite proved to be true: the Pats rely so much on practice and such that, especially in 2020, athleticism wins out far more than coaching acumen.
 

Over Guapo Grande

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More than serviceable. 24-8 career record. 67.5% career completion rate, 51 td, 26 int, 98.9 career passer rating, took a team to the Super Bowl. Would be a massive upgrade for the Pats at QB. Injuries are an issue, but in terms of him as a player...he's much more than serviceable.
I didn't want to oversell him- I figured that serviceable would be a floor.
 

Cellar-Door

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Jimmy G is a guy who comes to mind. He was apparently horrible in practice, but became a serviceable NFL starter.
I don't totally buy that. When they knew Brady was going to be out they had Jimmy G as the no doubt starter. When they knew they didn't have a QB, they went and got a cooked Brian Hoyer because they didn't trust Stidham to be the no-doubt starter, then they went for a reclamation on Cam. THEN when Cam was going to be out, they went with Hoyer as the starter.

There is a big gulf between what their actions indicated they thought about Jimmy G (and Cassell before him) and what their action indicate that they think of Stidham.
 

Over Guapo Grande

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I don't totally buy that. When they knew Brady was going to be out they had Jimmy G as the no doubt starter. When they knew they didn't have a QB, they went and got a cooked Brian Hoyer because they didn't trust Stidham to be the no-doubt starter, then they went for a reclamation on Cam. THEN when Cam was going to be out, they went with Hoyer as the starter.

There is a big gulf between what their actions indicated they thought about Jimmy G (and Cassell before him) and what their action indicate that they think of Stidham.
I was just saying that Jimmy G was, by all accounts, a bad practice player. But a good game player.
 

Kliq

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What accounts? I never remember reading that about Jimmy.
Yeah, I thought part of thing with Jimmy G was that we heard whispers that he was actually really good in practice and that is why he was seen as the heir apparent, as opposed to like, Ryan Mallett. It wasn't a surprise when he finally started Week 1 against Arizona and was really good; he had been pretty hyped up in a way that Stidham has never been.
 

lexrageorge

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The biggest knock against JG was that he had showed very little in both the preseason and in his periodic appearances. But I don’t recall him being considered a bad practice player. Belichick usually complimented on his role running the scout team.
 

tims4wins

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The biggest knock against JG was that he had showed very little in both the preseason and in his periodic appearances. But I don’t recall him being considered a bad practice player. Belichick usually complimented on his role running the scout team.
Wait... what? This isn't true either.

In 2014 he got into 6 games, going 19-27 for 182 and 1 TD (101.2 rating). He played well in the KC game, then was pretty meh in the season finale against the Bills (when the Pats were resting starters).

But he was also very good in the preseason in 2014:
Week 1: 9-13, 157, 1 TD
Week 2: 6-12, 72, 2 TD
Week 3: 9-12, 105, 1 TD
Week 4: 22-42, 284, 1 TD, 1 INT
Total: 46-79, 618, 5 TD, 1 INT, 99.0 rating

I remember being wowed in the very first game against Washington.

Edit: here's the 2015 preseason
Week 1: 20-30, 159, 1 INT
Week 2: 28-33, 269, 1 TD, 1 INT
Week 3: 13-17, 126, 1 TD
Total: 61-80, 554, 2 TD, 2 INT, 92.4 rating

2016:
Week 1: 11-18, 168
Week 2: 16-21, 181, 1 TD
Week 3: 9-15, 57
Total: 36-54, 406, 1 TD, 95.1 rating

Total preseason:
143-213 (67.1%), 1,578 yards (7.41 YPA), 8 TD (3.76%), 3 INT (1.41%), 95.5 rating
 
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8slim

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I recall those comments about JG/practice as well, but I can't remember the source. Since there are too many lousy sources in Boston media, it could have been bunk. But I do recall hearing it.
 

rodderick

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I recall those comments about JG/practice as well, but I can't remember the source. Since there are too many lousy sources in Boston media, it could have been bunk. But I do recall hearing it.
The Patriots Unfiltered (formerly PFW In Progress) crew were never impressed with Jimmy in practice and always said he was a game day player.
 

Super Nomario

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I don't totally buy that. When they knew Brady was going to be out they had Jimmy G as the no doubt starter. When they knew they didn't have a QB, they went and got a cooked Brian Hoyer because they didn't trust Stidham to be the no-doubt starter, then they went for a reclamation on Cam. THEN when Cam was going to be out, they went with Hoyer as the starter.

There is a big gulf between what their actions indicated they thought about Jimmy G (and Cassell before him) and what their action indicate that they think of Stidham.
Probably you're right that Stidham is a nobody, but I don't think these situations are parallel at all. They trusted Jimmy G to be the no-doubt starter when Brady was going to miss four games. That's very different than this year, when Brady wasn't coming back.
 

Captaincoop

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Probably you're right that Stidham is a nobody, but I don't think these situations are parallel at all. They trusted Jimmy G to be the no-doubt starter when Brady was going to miss four games. That's very different than this year, when Brady wasn't coming back.
Do you have any doubt that if Brady had suddenly retired going into that season, they would have named Jimmy the starter (at least if the next best option was someone being paid at 2020 Cam level)?

This year they didn't even trust Stidham to start one game when Cam was ruled out.
 

Over Guapo Grande

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Thank you @8slim and @rodderick for backing my memory. I can try to fire up the wayback machine to pull up those articles, but that was something that stuck with me. I can remember odd crap like that, but not to eat before I take my morning medication.
 

Super Nomario

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Do you have any doubt that if Brady had suddenly retired going into that season, they would have named Jimmy the starter (at least if the next best option was someone being paid at 2020 Cam level)?

This year they didn't even trust Stidham to start one game when Cam was ruled out.
I think it would have played out that way, but I think they would have brought in competition for him. You're right that Stidham being unable to beat out Hoyer was a bad sign.
 

Harry Hooper

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This year they didn't even trust Stidham to start one game when Cam was ruled out.
That's a poor argument for 2 reasons:

1) There were no practice reps that week available for Stidham. Given the lack of prep time and the bizarre game day travel to play the game, it made sense to go with the vet.
2) Hoyer was summarily dismissed from the QB2 role (and Stidham elevated) immediately after KC, which shows the braintrust revised their evaluation of Stidham vs. Hoyer after that game. https://www.cbssports.com/fantasy/football/news/patriots-brian-hoyer-unlikely-to-start-week-5/ They may have already been leaning that way, but the QB3 probably gets more practice reps in normal weeks. Once it was more likely the QB2 was going to play in actual games, they flipped the 2 backups.
 
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