2019 Game Goat Thread: Wk. 9 at Ravens

CFB_Rules

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Rewatching the game, looking strictly to the penalties...

On the initial neutral zone infraction on Baltimore's first FG....it's not that the center lifts his head...it's that he raises his shoulders up too. That's absolutely a false start penalty and no wonder the Pats' DL (it was like 5 guys) all moved. The Pats got hosed on that call and it cost them four points.

The Butler neutral zone infraction that wasn't. Holy crap was this an awful call. He *flinched*. He didn't move forward. He didn't go anywhere near the neutral zone. He flinched. Then the left guard false started. What Butler did was 100% legal. But the refs got it 100% wrong. That gave Baltimore a first down on a drive that would end up resulting in a touchdown.

The intentional grounding penalty. It was 2nd and 5 from the Baltimore 33, 8:07 left in the half. A couple of items. First, Jimmy Smith chucks Dorsett 8 yards downfield. Yes, he's allowed to hold his ground, but he's not allowed to chuck the receiver. The announcers initially said, "That should at least be illegal contact." But second, it was an option route by Dorsett. Brady threw the ball *before Dorsett made his break*. Brady read "outside" and Dorsett read "inside". By the time the ball landed, Dorsett was 15 yards away. But I get the rule, but how can that be intentional grounding when it's an option route and Brady and Dorsett simply have different reads on the play? It's a lunatic way of reading the rule. The only QB I've ever seen get penalized for that kind of thing is Brady and it happens regularly with him and it's infuriating.

McCourty's illegal hands to the face. 3rd and 7, Jackson is looking right the whole way, throws incomplete, not even close. A very brief contact with the receiver's face mask - no grab, no push, just a quick swipe across - is enough for the refs to throw the flag. First down, Ravens. Ugh. Letter of the law probably a correct call but that kind of contact happens ALL the time without a flag.

The illegal pick play. 4 yards downfield, reminiscent of the KC pick play that didn't get called in last year's AFCCG. Helped them convert a key 4th and 4, when it should have been 4th and 14 and Baltimore punting, giving the Pats, who had momentum at that point, the ball back. When it's that obvious, that far downfield....egregious missed call, led to a touchdown.

The Pats played terribly in many ways last night. This isn't to say they played really well. But these were all calls that ended up with a significant impact on the game. So frustrating.
You are looking at things through significantly Pats-colored glasses. The only one of those calls that I don’t 100% think was correct was the no call on OPI and even that I think is 50-50 by NFL guidelines. Some of those penalties you listed would have gotten officials suspended if they hadn’t been called.
 

DennyDoyle'sBoil

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I think there had to be something from a game-planning perspective that made them think Baltimore would be especially vulnerable to this offensive approach - maybe tiring out the pass rush, maybe keeping them from rotating new acquisition Peters and returning-from-injury Jimmy Smith. I wouldn't necessarily expect it every week. Ultimately I think the O worked about as well as it's been working all year, i.e., frustratingly inconsistent. I'm not convinced getting Izzo or Eluemunor or Meyers more snaps would have made much difference.
The frustrating part is that when Brady has had an extra half second in the pocket, he's looked really good and our receivers get open, even with the tight end deficiency. But the offensive line can't give him that extra time and the lack of a run game just makes it so much harder, especially when the field gets compressed in the red area. There were times when the Ravens were daring them to run, and they just can't open holes. Small sample size, but it really doesn't seem to have anything to do with which runner gets the ball. White was 9 for 38, with a long of 8. Burkhead was 4 for 18 with a long of 6. Michel was 4 for 18 with a long of 8. Allen, Gronk and Develin opening holes and Trent Brown creating an immovable object on the line made everything easier last year, and to lose all 4 is expensive.
 

BaseballJones

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You are looking at things through significantly Pats-colored glasses. The only one of those calls that I don’t 100% think was correct was the no call on OPI and even that I think is 50-50 by NFL guidelines. Some of those penalties you listed would have gotten officials suspended if they hadn’t been called.
LOL wait, so the "neutral zone infraction" call against Butler, when all he did was flinch and never even came close to, you know, entering the neutral zone, you think was 100% a correct call? You think the pick that happened FOUR YARDS DOWNFIELD was 100% legal and the correct call? It was the same kind of play that caused Belichick to throw his tablet in last year's AFCCG. Even Collinsworth on the telecast pointed out that it was an illegal pick play (but legal because they didn't call it).

Please tell me you're joking.

(That said, I may be looking at things through Pats-colored glasses...but come on)
 

Super Nomario

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The frustrating part is that when Brady has had an extra half second in the pocket, he's looked really good and our receivers get open, even with the tight end deficiency. But the offensive line can't give him that extra time and the lack of a run game just makes it so much harder, especially when the field gets compressed in the red area. There were times when the Ravens were daring them to run, and they just can't open holes. Small sample size, but it really doesn't seem to have anything to do with which runner gets the ball. White was 9 for 38, with a long of 8. Burkhead was 4 for 18 with a long of 6. Michel was 4 for 18 with a long of 8. Allen, Gronk and Develin opening holes and Trent Brown creating an immovable object on the line made everything easier last year, and to lose all 4 is expensive.
Let me bum you out even more: at 4.4 yards per carry, that was the second-BEST rushing performance by the Patriots all season (4.8 YPC vs Washington; every other game has been at 3.5 or worse).
 

tims4wins

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So I didn't watch much last night... long weekend... but on the pick play (which I just watched), should we not be faulting BB for not challenging the play? I 100% understand that the refs have been very unlikely to overturn PI calls of any kind, but it does seem like the best bet to get something overturned is on an uncalled pick play. Why didn't BB throw the challenge flag? That goes on the coaching staff.
 

Mystic Merlin

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So I didn't watch much last night... long weekend... but on the pick play (which I just watched), should we not be faulting BB for not challenging the play? I 100% understand that the refs have been very unlikely to overturn PI calls of any kind, but it does seem like the best bet to get something overturned is on an uncalled pick play. Why didn't BB throw the challenge flag? That goes on the coaching staff.
It would not have been overturned based on the exceedingly high review standard that’s being employed for PI, so throwing that flag is hoping for them to disregard that standard arbitrarily.

Put differently, a challenge there would be made in denial of what Riveron and co. are doing.
 

Jed Zeppelin

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Given the disaster that Newhouse has been, perhaps the Pats were too quick to put Wynn on IR with the turf toe. The NFL's arcane IR rules hamper all teams, but possibly getting Wynn back a couple of games early may have been worth the risk.
Until he is actually responsible for a loss or a catastrophic Brady injury, I would much rather give Wynn as much time as he needs to make sure that he is healthy enough to potentially finish the season.
 

tims4wins

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It would not have been overturned based on the exceedingly high review standard that’s being employed for PI, so throwing that flag is hoping for them to disregard that standard arbitrarily.

Put differently, a challenge there would be made in denial of what Riveron and co. are doing.
Do we have evidence they are neglecting pick plays though? Nearly every challenge I have seen has been downfield. Kitchens challenged an OPI last week but it was for a flag that was thrown, and the play was quite clearly beyond 1 yard past the LOS, so they upheld the call. Wondering how many pick plays that weren't called on the field have been challenged. Pick plays are far, far more objective to officiate than any other type of PI.
 

Mooch

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Baltimore was healthy, rested, and prepared coming off a bye. Playing at home, at night in front of an electric atmosphere. The Patriots were tired, banged up, and on the road. I'd like to think if they meet again in the playoffs, the Patriots will have a better plan. Personally, I would have liked to have seen more speed on the field with Chung essentially playing a LB role (he only played 27 snaps, I'm sure he's battling nagging injuries). The Patriots ILB struggle with sideline-to-sideline range (as seen in the Detroit debacle last year), so more speed closer to the LOS may have helped. (Ideally, Chung would have received a lot of Bentley and Roberts snaps).
This is where I'm at as well. When the Ravens came out up 17 points, they looked three steps faster on every play. It was fresh legs against tired legs in that first quarter. The bye comes at the perfect time for this team. I'd expect them to be flying all over the field against Philly in two weeks.
 

DennyDoyle'sBoil

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So I didn't watch much last night... long weekend... but on the pick play (which I just watched), should we not be faulting BB for not challenging the play? I 100% understand that the refs have been very unlikely to overturn PI calls of any kind, but it does seem like the best bet to get something overturned is on an uncalled pick play. Why didn't BB throw the challenge flag? That goes on the coaching staff.
I wanted him to challenge it. Not because I thought it was winnable, but because the Patriots actually got called for a pick play by replay earlier this year (Josh Gordon got away with it live but then was called on replay). It was obvious. A bit more obvious than last night. Still, in the same ballpark.

Belichick seems to get a little bit of traction with the competition committee. He undersells it, but reading between the lines especially in recent years, when Belichick makes his views know about stuff in the off season, there seems to be a tendency to see those items at least get discussed.

The pick play was at a time in the game when time outs seemed like they might be important, so it's hard to fault him. But I sure would have liked to have had those two plays on film side by side as part of any ongoing discussion about what OPI is, and what the limits of replay are.
 

BaseballJones

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This is where I'm at as well. When the Ravens came out up 17 points, they looked three steps faster on every play. It was fresh legs against tired legs in that first quarter. The bye comes at the perfect time for this team. I'd expect them to be flying all over the field against Philly in two weeks.
Four of the last seven are at home. The three road games: at Philly, at Houston, at Cincy.

I fully expect them to abuse the Eagles. Coming off the bye, with the Ravens game eating at them. They'll pound Philly.

The Cincy game should be a walkover.

That leaves the Houston game. Which should be very challenging.

Then the four home games: vs Dal, vs KC, vs Buf, vs Mia.

They'll roll Miami. They should beat Buffalo at home. They will struggle with Dallas' run game but I think they win that one. The KC game will be tough because Mahomes will be back and healthy, and the Pats' running game doesn't look like it's capable of dominating the game, so that one should be a struggle.

I see two losses in the next seven games, putting them at 13-3. I think Baltimore loses at least one, but hopefully two more to end at 12-4. If they tie at 13-3, obviously Baltimore gets the #1 seed. We don't really want that.
 

tims4wins

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I wanted him to challenge it. Not because I thought it was winnable, but because the Patriots actually got called for a pick play by replay earlier this year (Josh Gordon got away with it live but then was called on replay). It was obvious. A bit more obvious than last night. Still, in the same ballpark.

Belichick seems to get a little bit of traction with the competition committee. He undersells it, but reading between the lines especially in recent years, when Belichick makes his views know about stuff in the off season, there seems to be a tendency to see those items at least get discussed.

The pick play was at a time in the game when time outs seemed like they might be important, so it's hard to fault him. But I sure would have liked to have had those two plays on film side by side as part of any ongoing discussion about what OPI is, and what the limits of replay are.
I remember the Gordon play, it was the Miami game. Good comparison. I'm going to to look at that now.
 

CFB_Rules

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LOL wait, so the "neutral zone infraction" call against Butler, when all he did was flinch and never even came close to, you know, entering the neutral zone, you think was 100% a correct call? You think the pick that happened FOUR YARDS DOWNFIELD was 100% legal and the correct call? It was the same kind of play that caused Belichick to throw his tablet in last year's AFCCG. Even Collinsworth on the telecast pointed out that it was an illegal pick play (but legal because they didn't call it).

Please tell me you're joking.

(That said, I may be looking at things through Pats-colored glasses...but come on)
Well, let's look at the tape...Here's the NZI: View: https://youtu.be/sA_vw3nBLl8


If you think there is no forward movement at all, I don't know what to tell you. The NFL philosophy is simple: If a lineman is lined up on the ball, ANY forward movement puts them in the neutral zone for offside purposes. This is for 2 reasons:
1) Consistency. This is easy to enforce consistently from official to official, and the coaches and players all know what the rule is.
2) Rarely is there a camera shot directly down the line of scrimmage to verify the neutral zone. Even on this play, the camera is from the offensive backfield which will make the defenders look farther away from the line than they actually are. However, regardless of angle, everyone on the planet sees the defender jump.

The no-call on OPI: View: https://youtu.be/uunx7D6MI0Q


I told you I was 50-50 on this, but the NFL wants OPI to be an overt act of blocking. Running into a defender isn't a foul (it used to be, but they seem to not want that anymore). If anything, the receiver does a great job of going upfield and making the collision look inadvertent. This is just not called anywhere in today's NFL for better or worse.
 

tims4wins

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The no-call on OPI: View: https://youtu.be/uunx7D6MI0Q


I told you I was 50-50 on this, but the NFL wants OPI to be an overt act of blocking. Running into a defender isn't a foul (it used to be, but they seem to not want that anymore). If anything, the receiver does a great job of going upfield and making the collision look inadvertent. This is just not called anywhere in today's NFL for better or worse.
It was called against Gordon in week 2 in Miami after a challenge by Miami. Can you bring up that play on video? I just watched it but I don't have game pass. The plays look nearly identical to me.

If anything the play last night seemed worse to me because watch the receiver - he redirects his route in order to run into the DB. He starts by going across the field, then when he realizes the DB is further back, he makes a move upfield in order to make contact with him. The Ravens clearly designed the play as a legal pick play but due to how the Pats DBs defended it, the Ravens WR had to go further upfield to initiate contact. That seems like blatant PI to me and one that had a fair chance to be overturned on replay.
 

Super Nomario

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On 4th-and-4, the chances of overturn could have been pretty low and it still would have been worth it. Worst-case scenario, the challenge functions as a timeout to give the D a chance to regroup. I was hoping Belichick would challenge.
 

CFB_Rules

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It was called against Gordon in week 2 in Miami after a challenge by Miami. Can you bring up that play on video? I just watched it but I don't have game pass. The plays look nearly identical to me.
Here's the play.
View: https://youtu.be/f_-xmbA_QUc



They are similar, but Gordon doesn't do as good a job of pretending to run a route (note that he stops the second after he makes contact, as if he is saying "My job here is done" compared to the Raven who keeps running a pass route) and puts a shoulder in the defender. The actual acts aren't really different, but he acting job is. I would call both as OPI if it was me, but the NFL just doesn't want OPI calls in their game. Note that this one, despite being pretty clear, also was not called. The coach put the league into a box by challenging it. Belichick may well have won his challenge too.
 

tims4wins

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Here's the play.
View: https://youtu.be/f_-xmbA_QUc



They are similar, but Gordon doesn't do as good a job of pretending to run a route (note that he stops the second after he makes contact, as if he is saying "My job here is done") and puts a shoulder in the defender. The actual acts aren't really different, but he acting job is. I would call both as OPI if it was me, but the NFL just doesn't want OPI calls in their game. Note that this one, despite being pretty clear, also was not called. The coach put the league into a box by challenging it. Belichick may well have won his challenge too.
Thanks. See I thought Gordon looked like he was trying to jump out of the way, but maybe that's Pats colored glasses on my part. Both plays were instances of the WR running into the defender. Not using their hands or "blocking" so to speak, just running into the guy to bump him off course. Both plays are PI. BB should have challenged.
 

j44thor

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I doubt BB wins that challenge as much as I hoped he did challenge it. The BAL WR is just running up field for the most part. Most OPIs that I've seen called involve the WR stopping his route to impede the DB, not running through his route.

Still worst case if he challenged would have been a breather for the D which was needed at that point.

The Brady gift to Earl Thomas was really indefensible and something he does inexplicably from time to time when he appears frustrated. It was 3rd and 10 and there was no point in punting given the field position and score at the time. Get 3-6 yards and go for it on 4th. That was a late career Peyton special.
 

BusRaker

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I thought the offense (especially Mr Sure hands Sanu) played well in the 8 minutes they had the ball. Secondary gave up only 163 years passing and bailed out the front 7 with good tackles on two of the best open field runners in the game. Special Temas played fine.

We lost because we got down early (which is fine) but then abandoned an effective running game (46 passes to 17 runs) forcing a gassed front 7 to defend 41 running plays (opposed to 23 dropbacks) after repeated 3 and outs. So I would have liked to see more balance on offense to give the front 7 a breather.

As for Mr. Jackson, I'm not expecting him to last for more than 5 or 6 seasons. It's not just the number of hits he takes, it's the fact that the skills the he relies on (and that defenses must respect) will diminish with every passing year and he'll never be a good pocket passer because he doesn't have to be (and frankly will never get the live practice a Brady/Manning gets when he's running option plays 40 times a game).

And as I think Collingsworth mentioned, do you devote half a year of practice to a type of quarterback you play once a year? Do you adjust your 53 roster for it? Or do you just let Harbaugh have his lefty punter?
 

BaseballJones

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Well, let's look at the tape...Here's the NZI: View: https://youtu.be/sA_vw3nBLl8


If you think there is no forward movement at all, I don't know what to tell you. The NFL philosophy is simple: If a lineman is lined up on the ball, ANY forward movement puts them in the neutral zone for offside purposes. This is for 2 reasons:
1) Consistency. This is easy to enforce consistently from official to official, and the coaches and players all know what the rule is.
2) Rarely is there a camera shot directly down the line of scrimmage to verify the neutral zone. Even on this play, the camera is from the offensive backfield which will make the defenders look farther away from the line than they actually are. However, regardless of angle, everyone on the planet sees the defender jump.

The no-call on OPI: View: https://youtu.be/uunx7D6MI0Q


I told you I was 50-50 on this, but the NFL wants OPI to be an overt act of blocking. Running into a defender isn't a foul (it used to be, but they seem to not want that anymore). If anything, the receiver does a great job of going upfield and making the collision look inadvertent. This is just not called anywhere in today's NFL for better or worse.
He flinched, moving forward an inch. And he wasn’t “on the ball” - he was lined up in front of the left guard/tackle. Unless “on the ball” means being a down lineman no matter where on the line you actually are.
 

Super Nomario

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I doubt BB wins that challenge as much as I hoped he did challenge it. The BAL WR is just running up field for the most part. Most OPIs that I've seen called involve the WR stopping his route to impede the DB, not running through his route.

Still worst case if he challenged would have been a breather for the D which was needed at that point.

The Brady gift to Earl Thomas was really indefensible and something he does inexplicably from time to time when he appears frustrated. It was 3rd and 10 and there was no point in punting given the field position and score at the time. Get 3-6 yards and go for it on 4th. That was a late career Peyton special.
I disagree on all of this. First, there's an excellent chance they would have punted; there were still 13 minutes left and they were only down 10. Second, at the time he threw it, there was no "3-6 yards" option. Burkhead was well-covered in the flat, Watson was blocking, everyone else was downfield and covered, and there was a defender bearing right down on Brady (he was actually hit as he threw). It was either throw it away, toss up a jump ball, or take a sack. Or maybe throw a pick-six to the guy covering Burkhead. I think it was totally defensible, though I wish he'd thrown it shorter to give Sanu at least a chance to win a jump ball.

26602
 
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RedOctober3829

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I thought the offense (especially Mr Sure hands Sanu) played well in the 8 minutes they had the ball. Secondary gave up only 163 years passing and bailed out the front 7 with good tackles on two of the best open field runners in the game. Special Temas played fine.

We lost because we got down early (which is fine) but then abandoned an effective running game (46 passes to 17 runs) forcing a gassed front 7 to defend 41 running plays (opposed to 23 dropbacks) after repeated 3 and outs. So I would have liked to see more balance on offense to give the front 7 a breather.

As for Mr. Jackson, I'm not expecting him to last for more than 5 or 6 seasons. It's not just the number of hits he takes, it's the fact that the skills the he relies on (and that defenses must respect) will diminish with every passing year and he'll never be a good pocket passer because he doesn't have to be (and frankly will never get the live practice a Brady/Manning gets when he's running option plays 40 times a game).

And as I think Collingsworth mentioned, do you devote half a year of practice to a type of quarterback you play once a year? Do you adjust your 53 roster for it? Or do you just let Harbaugh have his lefty punter?
There are some oddities to what they faced last night but a lot of it came down to things that are as old as the game itself. They lost the battles on the line of scrimmage way too often and too many times 1 or 2 guys didn't do their job. Against a spread type of attack with option principles, each player in the front seven has a job to do and if one person screws up it can go for a long gain. That's true in every game but even more so against what they faced last night.

Man, everyone is so quick to denigrate Jackson as a passer. He threw some dimes last night(the one to Andrews on 3rd down in particular). You are saying he doesn't have to be a good pocket passer but everywhere you hear and read that he wants to be a pocket passer first and a runner second. He's made vast improvements in his progressions and reads since last year.
 

Mugsy's Jock

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Mostly covered, but as for the rays of sunshine, but by the second quarter the offense looked much more proficient. I felt the ball was coming out of Brady's hand well and he was negotiating the pocket with all the expertise we expect. Sanu did a great job getting open, and Edelman showed fantastic hands on a couple of tough catches.

Special teams were excellent, and I think Bethel is a real find. At worst, he can take some reps away from Jonathan Jones and keep him fresher as he increasingly becomes more of a defensive backfield linchpin... at best he gives a third total ST ace. Folk drilled his extra points in the middle of the goal posts and reasonably high up, and while it sounds pathetic, that's a step in the right direction. Bailey didn't really have his best game -- not sure if his short kickoffs were intentional or not.

The defensive backs didn't face nearly as great a challenge as the front seven, but they continued to be excellent. No Hollywood Brown flying by everyone, no blown coverages, and no egregious DPIs (at least none I can recall). Tackling maybe could've been a little better when Ingram hit the third level.

Baltimore's really good. I'm also embarrassed to admit I find them less contemptible than I did in the Terrell Suggs heyday, but Patrick Ricard is a good place to start to build up the hatred all over again.
 

Byrdbrain

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I appreciate your thoughts.
He's right though.
He's explained both calls to you and why they were called the way they were.
Is it odd that a "neutral zone infraction" can be called on a player who didn't go in the neutral zone, of course it is but he explained why it is that way.
I actually don't think the OPI is all that close a call, he clearly picked him on purpose but he did pretend he was gong out on a route. The non-call against the Chiefs in the championship game last year was text book for OPI and is one that should be reviewed if it wasn't called.
 

BusRaker

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Baltimore's really good. I'm also embarrassed to admit I find them less contemptible than I did in the Terrell Suggs heyday, but Patrick Ricard is a good place to start to build up the hatred all over again.
and the fan base
 

Super Nomario

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We lost because we got down early (which is fine) but then abandoned an effective running game (46 passes to 17 runs) forcing a gassed front 7 to defend 41 running plays (opposed to 23 dropbacks) after repeated 3 and outs. So I would have liked to see more balance on offense to give the front 7 a breather.
I have so many issues with this. The defense's problem wasn't that it was gassed. It gave up a TD on the first drive of the game, and it gave up a TD on the first drive of the second half when it had a ton of rest. The reason the D faced so many runs is that it could not stop them and get off the field. When you suggest this team - with Tom Brady at QB and a horrible running game - should have run more, I wonder whether we're watching the same game. "Repeated three-and-outs?" The defense had to defend Baltimore on exactly one drive after an offensive three-and-out - the Ravens' second drive of the game.
 

Captaincoop

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LOL wait, so the "neutral zone infraction" call against Butler, when all he did was flinch and never even came close to, you know, entering the neutral zone, you think was 100% a correct call? You think the pick that happened FOUR YARDS DOWNFIELD was 100% legal and the correct call? It was the same kind of play that caused Belichick to throw his tablet in last year's AFCCG. Even Collinsworth on the telecast pointed out that it was an illegal pick play (but legal because they didn't call it).

Please tell me you're joking.

(That said, I may be looking at things through Pats-colored glasses...but come on)
And the official would have been suspended for not calling that ridiculous grounding penalty on Brady? That gets called on no quarterback ever in football except him.
 

Captaincoop

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Someone noted it above, but the red zone offense is a serious problem.

The Pats with Brady have always been a top 10 red zone team, usually top 5. The only outlier years were when Brady was coming back from injury in 2009 (12th) and when Cassell was the QB in 2008 (20th).

Right now they're 21st in the league, scoring a TD half the time they reach the red zone. Worse than they were with Cassell. And that's after playing a ludicrously soft schedule for half a season.

Bad stuff.
 

tims4wins

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Someone noted it above, but the red zone offense is a serious problem.

The Pats with Brady have always been a top 10 red zone team, usually top 5. The only outlier years were when Brady was coming back from injury in 2009 (12th) and when Cassell was the QB in 2008 (20th).

Right now they're 21st in the league, scoring a TD half the time they reach the red zone. Worse than they were with Cassell. And that's after playing a ludicrously soft schedule for half a season.

Bad stuff.
This is a direct result of being down Trent Brown / Wynn, Andrews, Develin, and Gronk (and maybe Dwayne Allen too). When you look back at those playoff games the O line + Gronk/Develin were just mauling people. As McDaniels said on the DYJ special, line up, power I, run for 6 yards, line up, do it again. This team is down 4 key pieces, 3 of which aren't coming back.

The question will be whether the return of Wynn, and the integration of Sanu / Harry will allow the offense to be successful in different ways. But we're not going to see the same offensive team from last year's playoffs.

The 8-0 start was great, and the D is awesome (and I truly still believe that), but it was obvious pretty early that O-line was the biggest weakness on the entire team, and that if this team was going to ultimately come up short, it would highly likely be the fault of the line. They desperately need Wynn to come back and play well. And that seems like a lot to hope for from a guy who has suited up for 2 out of a possible 25 games so far, and has finished 1 of those games. Ugh.
 

Super Nomario

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Someone noted it above, but the red zone offense is a serious problem.

The Pats with Brady have always been a top 10 red zone team, usually top 5. The only outlier years were when Brady was coming back from injury in 2009 (12th) and when Cassell was the QB in 2008 (20th).

Right now they're 21st in the league, scoring a TD half the time they reach the red zone. Worse than they were with Cassell. And that's after playing a ludicrously soft schedule for half a season.

Bad stuff.
They were 15th in red zone O last year. That said, I agree with you; it's a problem. The total inability to run the ball is the killer here I think, but they haven't passed well in close either.
 

RetractableRoof

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The only reason it looked like the D played OK in the third quarter was because the Ravens offense didn't get the ball until halfway through. The Ravens scored TDs on their only two second-half possessions.
Thought BB missed the chance to challenge one of the big plays in the Ravens second half TD drives. There was a pretty blatant pick that led to a significant gain. If that is overturned (perhaps unlikely given the way they are ruling on them), there is a good chance the drive ends differently.

I thought it was worth the gamble given the context of the game.
 

tims4wins

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Thought BB missed the chance to challenge one of the big plays in the Ravens second half TD drives. There was a pretty blatant pick that led to a significant gain. If that is overturned (perhaps unlikely given the way they are ruling on them), there is a good chance the drive ends differently.

I thought it was worth the gamble given the context of the game.
We talked about that play a bunch upthread.
 

RedOctober3829

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They were 15th in red zone O last year. That said, I agree with you; it's a problem. The total inability to run the ball is the killer here I think, but they haven't passed well in close either.
The line is the problem in the red zone. They can't run block well enough to consistently get yardage when everyone knows they are running. They can't pass block long enough to run crossing routes or similar routes that take some time to develop. The lack of size in the receiving core hurts too. There isn't anyone big and physical enough to throw fade routes to. The Ravens doubled Edelman on most snaps inside the 5 so he couldn't get open quickly. Sanu got open on a pick play for the TD but that was really it. Hopefully if Harry is able to do anything he can just post up the defender on him and bully people into red zone catches.
 

BigSoxFan

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The line is the problem in the red zone. They can't run block well enough to consistently get yardage when everyone knows they are running. They can't pass block long enough to run crossing routes or similar routes that take some time to develop. The lack of size in the receiving core hurts too. There isn't anyone big and physical enough to throw fade routes to. The Ravens doubled Edelman on most snaps inside the 5 so he couldn't get open quickly. Sanu got open on a pick play for the TD but that was really it. Hopefully if Harry is able to do anything he can just post up the defender on him and bully people into red zone catches.
Conceptually, Wynn and Harry solve a lot of problems for this team. Wynn gives Brady more time and likely improves run blocking. Harry gives Brady a good red zone target. It’s not great to have to rely on unproven guys but it’s also reassuring that we have realistic options in house.
 

RedOctober3829

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Conceptually, Wynn and Harry solve a lot of problems for this team. Wynn gives Brady more time and likely improves run blocking. Harry gives Brady a good red zone target. It’s not great to have to rely on unproven guys but it’s also reassuring that we have realistic options in house.
Yes hopefully Wynn will help but Mason is having a down year and is banged up. Karras is hit or miss. Cannon is also having a down year and is probably playing hurt. It's not just Newhouse that is struggling although he's the biggest culprit.
 

j44thor

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I disagree on all of this. First, there's an excellent chance they would have punted; there were still 13 minutes left and they were only down 10. Second, at the time he threw it, there was no "3-6 yards" option. Burkhead was well-covered in the flat, Watson was blocking, everyone else was downfield and covered, and there was a defender bearing right down on Brady (he was actually hit as he threw). It was either throw it away, toss up a jump ball, or take a sack. Or maybe throw a pick-six to the guy covering Burkhead. I think it was totally defensible, though I wish he'd thrown it shorter to give Sanu at least a chance to win a jump ball.

View attachment 26602
It would appear that Burkhead was the outlet and a pass to his outside shoulder was a very safe play there. Much safer than throwing the duck to Thomas. For 36 to pick off that pass he'd have to run through Burkhead. If Burkhead can make his guy miss he probably picks up 5yards easy and gives them a very makeable 4th down.
 

Super Nomario

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It would appear that Burkhead was the outlet and a pass to his outside shoulder was a very safe play there. Much safer than throwing the duck to Thomas. For 36 to pick off that pass he'd have to run through Burkhead. If Burkhead can make his guy miss he probably picks up 5yards easy and gives them a very makeable 4th down.
The defender is all over Burkhead. Throwing late to the outside is how pick-sixes happen.
 

tims4wins

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Yes hopefully Wynn will help but Mason is having a down year and is banged up. Karras is hit or miss. Cannon is also having a down year and is probably playing hurt. It's not just Newhouse that is struggling although he's the biggest culprit.
Do you think that Mason having a down year has anything to do with Andrews not being there? I.e., is Mason covering up / helping out Karras more? I am hoping (perhaps unrealistically) that Wynn's return has a downstream effect - Thuney won't have to help out Newhouse, Thuney/Mason can help Karras more, etc. Not sure how realistic that is.

Also, we haven't heard any Gronk chatter in a while, but no one can say "the Pats are undefeated without Gronk, they're fine". Maybe a loss or two moves the needle for him. Who knows.
 

RedOctober3829

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Do you think that Mason having a down year has anything to do with Andrews not being there? I.e., is Mason covering up / helping out Karras more? I am hoping (perhaps unrealistically) that Wynn's return has a downstream effect - Thuney won't have to help out Newhouse, Thuney/Mason can help Karras more, etc. Not sure how realistic that is.

Also, we haven't heard any Gronk chatter in a while, but no one can say "the Pats are undefeated without Gronk, they're fine". Maybe a loss or two moves the needle for him. Who knows.
It seems like Andrews' absence is huge. He is in charge of making all the protection calls and was so good at it since he got here. Not having him does have a trickle down effect. Having minimal injuries to the OL last year was huge in terms of continuity. It takes time for a 5 man group to act as one. But to me Mason just isn't performing at the level he was last year when he was playing at a Pro Bowl level.
 

j44thor

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The defender is all over Burkhead. Throwing late to the outside is how pick-sixes happen.
Not if the defender isn't playing outside leverage which based on your diagram appears to be the case. This isn't a 10yard out across the field he would need to make. This would have been a pass to the LOS to a RB in space single covered. I don't think those passes are picked off at a high rate and the end result of the play was a pick that was returned to the 30 and resulted in a long TD drive effectively ending the game. A pick 6 there at least gives you some time back on the clock.
 

Bleedred

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For me, the reason why the Edelman fumble was so damaging was that the Patriots, on the very next possession, marched easily into the end zone and cut the game to 24-20. Had the Patriots finished that first drive of the 2nd half with a TD rather than a Baltimore defensive TD, it would have been 20-17 Patriots, the Patriots having scored 20 consecutive points. I would have liked to see our hungry defense assault LJ with a lead. LJ never felt that pressure b/c of the fumble.