2018 NBA offseason thread

cheech13

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Jan 5, 2006
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That jazz prediction seems kinda insane since they play in the West.
The wins total or their predicted finish? I think they're clearly the third best team in the west. I was more surprised how high the Nuggets and Lakers were and how low the Blazers were.
 

JCizzle

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Dec 11, 2006
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The wins total or their predicted finish? I think they're clearly the third best team in the west. I was more surprised how high the Nuggets and Lakers were and how low the Blazers were.
The win total. Finishing with a better record than the Celtics in that conference would be a great accomplishment for them. They're such a well run organization that it probably shouldn't surprise me that much.
 

bosox79

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This same conversation happened last year when the systems projected the Jazz to win just as many games as the Celtics.
 

Sam Ray Not

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That jazz prediction seems kinda insane since they play in the West.
I'd actually take the over on the Jazz. They're deep, young and hungry, looked fantastic in preseason, and will likely have better continuity than GS, HOU, BOS, TOR, or OKC, all of whom will be integrating some key new pieces.

The ones I'd jump at right now are under for the Spurs (45.5), Wolves (44.5) and Sixers (54.5) and over for the Bucks (46.5) and Nyets (29.5).
 

Sam Ray Not

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This same conversation happened last year when the systems projected the Jazz to win just as many games as the Celtics.
And they ended up slightly outperforming the Cs by Pythag (+4.3 to +3.6 point differential). I wouldn't beat up on their system too much for not being fine-grained enough to judge W-L relative to Pythag.

(Edit: though their system also could not have foreseen 82 missed games by Hayward).
 

BigSoxFan

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Myles Turner was signed to a 4-year, $80 million extension.

Good deal for both sides. Turner locks in the life-altering money and Pacers get a relative bargain if he continues to improve. And Turner will only be 27 when he goes for his next contract.
 

Sam Ray Not

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The conference thing is way overblown. The schedule difference between the conferences adds up to maybe a couple of wins at best.
Agreed — especially now that the east has four potentially legit powerhouses in BOS, TOR, PHI, MIL, plus another possible ~50-win team in Indiana. I don't think that group gives up much if anything to the Top 5 in the West this year (GS, HOU, UTA, OKC, DEN/LAL, presumably?)

Edit: and as far as LeBron-to-LA, I think that's roughly offset by Kawhi-to-Toronto.

The East is definitely softer at the bottom, but not by an outrageous margin. And as you allude to, playing one set of teams three or four times vs. another set twice is not that big of a deal. A typical Western team would probably get as much of a break from happening to play only three games vs. GS and HOU (instead of four) as it would from playing an Eastern Conference schedule with four games v. BOS and TOR.
 

cheech13

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Paul Allen has passed away.


It is with deep sadness that we announce the death of @PaulGAllen, our founder and noted technologist, philanthropist, community builder, conservationist, musician and supporter of the arts. All of us who worked with Paul feel an inexpressible loss today.
 

HomeRunBaker

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I'd actually take the over on the Jazz. They're deep, young and hungry, looked fantastic in preseason, and will likely have better continuity than GS, HOU, BOS, TOR, or OKC, all of whom will be integrating some key new pieces.

The ones I'd jump at right now are under for the Spurs (45.5), Wolves (44.5) and Sixers (54.5) and over for the Bucks (46.5) and Nyets (29.5).
Last year I entered the final two weeks of my Win Total plays with a legit shot at 7-1 and ended up 4-4. This year I've made 4 Win Total plays so far (probably add a couple more tomorrow) and one division winner wager.

Spurs Under 45
Grizzlies Under 34
Pelicans Under 45.5
Nuggets Over 47.5

Charlotte +650 to win Southeast Division