The win total. Finishing with a better record than the Celtics in that conference would be a great accomplishment for them. They're such a well run organization that it probably shouldn't surprise me that much.The wins total or their predicted finish? I think they're clearly the third best team in the west. I was more surprised how high the Nuggets and Lakers were and how low the Blazers were.
I'd actually take the over on the Jazz. They're deep, young and hungry, looked fantastic in preseason, and will likely have better continuity than GS, HOU, BOS, TOR, or OKC, all of whom will be integrating some key new pieces.
And they ended up slightly outperforming the Cs by Pythag (+4.3 to +3.6 point differential). I wouldn't beat up on their system too much for not being fine-grained enough to judge W-L relative to Pythag.This same conversation happened last year when the systems projected the Jazz to win just as many games as the Celtics.
Agreed — especially now that the east has four potentially legit powerhouses in BOS, TOR, PHI, MIL, plus another possible ~50-win team in Indiana. I don't think that group gives up much if anything to the Top 5 in the West this year (GS, HOU, UTA, OKC, DEN/LAL, presumably?)The conference thing is way overblown. The schedule difference between the conferences adds up to maybe a couple of wins at best.
Last year I entered the final two weeks of my Win Total plays with a legit shot at 7-1 and ended up 4-4. This year I've made 4 Win Total plays so far (probably add a couple more tomorrow) and one division winner wager.I'd actually take the over on the Jazz. They're deep, young and hungry, looked fantastic in preseason, and will likely have better continuity than GS, HOU, BOS, TOR, or OKC, all of whom will be integrating some key new pieces.
The ones I'd jump at right now are under for the Spurs (45.5), Wolves (44.5) and Sixers (54.5) and over for the Bucks (46.5) and Nyets (29.5).