KenPom concurs - he has UVa winning the conference with a 14-4 mark. Adding the current records to his percent chance of winning each game you get the following predicted wins (as well as adjEM rating and National Rank):
Code:
1. UVa 14.05 27.86 3
2. Duke 13.42 26.72 5
3. Clem 12.30 20.04 18
4. ND 11.45 19.98 19
5. UNC 11.11 22.03 12
6. FSU 10.73 18.95 26
7. Miami 10.26 19.63 28
8. Louis 9.26 15.61 39
9. Syr 8.75 14.01 48
10. Wake 8.45 10.37 67
11. VTech 6.91 13.54 51
12. BC 6.81 9.69 72
13. GTech 5.16 4.18 121
14. NC St 5.14 7.40 90
15. Pitt 2.90 -0.94 180