2015 NBA Draft Thread-Choke For Oak?

Kliq

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With the Celtics likely to be in the tank again this season and the college season beginning to get hyped, now is as good as ever to start the thread. Here are some brief previews of some potential top picks, feel free to add more.
 
Jahlil Okafor- Fresh. Duke University-C-6'11" 272lbs.
 
Undisputed number one overall pick right now. NBA ready body right now and a legitimate NBA Center with a 7'5" wingspan and just a ridiculous frame that can still add a good deal of muscle onto it. Brutal post player already owning a decent combination of spin-moves, drop-steps, and hook shots, widely recognized as the best offensive post-prospect in his class. Isn't afraid of contact and should spend a lot of time at the free throw line. Face-up game is still developing, but he shows promise as a jump shooter and a guy that can step out and hit a 15 footer, which is really all he is going to need. Heady player that knows his strengths and doesn't overstretch his ability. Defensively he needs some work. He has great size, but is a pretty mediocre athlete, and quicker bigs can beat him off the dribble and force him into foul trouble.
 
CBS Sports predicted Okafor would end up on the All-American Team and tabbed him as the preseason Player of the Year. Guys in the normally tight-lipped Duke camp are just gushing about him. My personal comparison would be Boogie Cousins without the headcase potential.
 
 
Emmanuel Mudiay- 18 years old- Guangdong-PG-6'5"-200lbs
 
Made waves earlier this year when he bypassed a chance to play at SMU for Larry Brown to start earning a paycheck in China. Lanky PG with excellent ball skills and a solid NBA body. An excellent athlete in the vein of Russell Westbrook and Derrick Rose, although it remains to be seen if he is indeed at that level of athleticism. Extremely aggressive when it comes to attacking the rim and draws a lot of fouls. Has shown the ability to be a talented playmaker, but doesn't seem to always be in control and is extremely turnover prone. Because of his solid frame and athleticism, has potential to be a very good defender that can guard both backcourt spots. Poor shooter with poor mechanics.
 
Mudiay strikes me as this years Dante Exum, both in his ability and in the fact that he will remain more of a mystery than the other players in the draft. I can't really fault him for trying to take care of his family and earning a paycheck, but he is someone who could really benefit from good college coaching. An 18 year old moving to China sounds like a difficult adjustment, so I wonder if there is some potential for him to slip up and he could end up falling in the draft as it inches closer.
 
Karl Towns-Fresh.-Kentucky-PF/C-7'0"-242lbs
 
Has great size and a solid frame for a kid his age, and possess solid athleticism for a big man. Has a very interesting skill set and can knock down jumpers with a lot of confidence. Has a wonderful touch around the rim and can finish with defenders closely guarding him. Size and athleticism make him a potential strong defender, but isn't necessarily always engaged on defense and is susceptible to dumb fouls. Soft touch and shooting ability is a blessing and a curse because he sometimes seems content to stand on the perimeter and launch outside shots.
 
While Towns has the size to be an NBA Center, he is most likely going to end up as a PF in the NBA. He will be paired with a legitimate center in Willie Cauley-Stein at Kentucky and will likely showcase his strengths and hide his weaknesses. If his athleticism translates into him being able to guard quicker NBA PF's, he could be a matchup nightmare. Probably has the most to lose/gain out of potential top 10 picks.
 

nighthob

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I think Cauley-Stein has a better shot at being a PF than Towns does. I love Towns, and I think he's going to be the best C in the draft. But mobility wise he needs to be defending the post.
 

Auger34

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Going to add a few more names to this just for people who like paying attention to this sort of thing..
Myles Turner, TEX
Kelly Oubre, KAN
Cliff Alexander, KAN
Stanley Johnson, ARI
Kristaps Porzingis, Latvia
Justise Winslow, Duke
 

Brickowski

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nighthob said:
I think Cauley-Stein has a better shot at being a PF than Towns does. I love Towns, and I think he's going to be the best C in the draft. But mobility wise he needs to be defending the post.
I don't think Cauley-Stein has much of a shot at being an NBA player at any position.
 

fairlee76

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Brickowski said:
I don't think Cauley-Stein has much of a shot at being an NBA player at any position.
I'm with you on this.  Unless Cauley-Stein makes a major offensive leap this season, I see him being a "project" guy who might develop into an end of rotation big.
 
I'm really excited to see Okafor play at the college level.
 

Kliq

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You guys couldn't be more wrong about Cauley-Stein. He is a legitimate 7 footer with really good athleticism, can set screens and catch a lob, can run the floor and block shots. There will always be a place in the league for a guy with that skill set. At the ground level, I see him turning into Brandan Wright.
 

nighthob

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Given that most NBA teams use the C spot as a defensive rather than an offensive spot, I think Cauley-Stein has very little to worry about. Especially when he has the size and length to guard the post and the mobility to flash out on the perimeter. He'll be fine.
 

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Kliq said:
You guys couldn't be more wrong about Cauley-Stein. He is a legitimate 7 footer with really good athleticism, can set screens and catch a lob, can run the floor and block shots. There will always be a place in the league for a guy with that skill set. At the ground level, I see him turning into Brandan Wright.
I could write a book refuting the two posts above yours but you have the gist of it. I will stress his ability to defend to the 3-point line as an already elite show defender and include that WCS does have a good touch around the basket and a soft face up touch. The UK system isn't predicated on low post offense as even Anthony Davis rarely had his number called. WCS is about as much of a certainty of being a long-term rotation or better big than anyone in these past two drafts.
 

fairlee76

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Kliq said:
You guys couldn't be more wrong about Cauley-Stein. He is a legitimate 7 footer with really good athleticism, can set screens and catch a lob, can run the floor and block shots. There will always be a place in the league for a guy with that skill set. At the ground level, I see him turning into Brandan Wright.
If Brandan Wright is your example, I don't think we disagree.  He played 18 minutes a game last season, 9 points, 5 boards, and a block.  If anything, I think Cauley-Stein puts up better rebounding and block numbers very quickly upon entering the league.  It is his offensive game that I would worry about.  Barring improvement on that front, I don't see him as anything other than a rotation guy.  Which is great, but he is not someone I would be overly excited about the Celtics drafting.
 

Brickowski

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Cauley-Stein has no discernible offensive skills.  His one positive attribute is his good lateral mobility for a 7 footer.  Dwayne Jones also had excellent lateral mobility for a center (and no offensive skills) so I would expect Cauley-Stein to have a similar NBA career.
 

nighthob

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fairlee76 said:
If Brandan Wright is your example, I don't think we disagree.  He played 18 minutes a game last season, 9 points, 5 boards, and a block.  If anything, I think Cauley-Stein puts up better rebounding and block numbers very quickly upon entering the league.  It is his offensive game that I would worry about.  Barring improvement on that front, I don't see him as anything other than a rotation guy.  Which is great, but he is not someone I would be overly excited about the Celtics drafting.
You do disagree, radically, as he posited Wright as WCS's floor, while you were positing it as a best case scenario.
 

fairlee76

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nighthob said:
You do disagree, radically, as he posited Wright as WCS's floor, while you were positing it as a best case scenario.
I was reading "ground level" to mean "upon entry into the league."  If Kliq is using "ground level" as a new way to express "floor" then I mis-interpreted that.
 
My stating that WCS is going to be a rotation guy who puts up better rebounding and block numbers than Wright is pretty close to what he said.  End of rotation is 7th/9th man territory.  Barring offensive improvement that is where I see WCS fitting.  Hopefully he develops on the other end and proves me wrong.
 

HomeRunBaker

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Brickowski said:
Cauley-Stein has no discernible offensive skills.  His one positive attribute is his good lateral mobility for a 7 footer.  Dwayne Jones also had excellent lateral mobility for a center (and no offensive skills) so I would expect Cauley-Stein to have a similar NBA career.
I am not being obtuse but I have to ask how much you've seen UK play last season. He can and has scored with his back to the basket with either hand. The UK offense rarely sees the ball go to the low post.....this is why Davis scored just 12 ppg in 34 minutes with at least half of those from the line and from collecting garbage.
 

nighthob

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Brickowski said:
Cauley-Stein has no discernible offensive skills.  His one positive attribute is his good lateral mobility for a 7 footer.  Dwayne Jones also had excellent lateral mobility for a center (and no offensive skills) so I would expect Cauley-Stein to have a similar NBA career.
I have to say, I love the fact that Cauley-Stein, who has excellent lateral mobility and speed, full stop, has "good lateral mobility for a 7 footer", while the 6'8" 245lb guy whose lateral mobility was a cunt hair's over average for a seven footer has suddenly developed into the new Ben Wallace in that regard. Here's the reality, even with his slightly above average mobility, if Dwayne Jones had actually been seven feet tall, he might have lasted. But when you're 6'8" and Marcin Gortat is blowing by you, your NBA career isn't going to be a long one. These will not be problems for WCS.
 

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HomeRunBaker said:
I am not being obtuse but I have to ask how much you've seen UK play last season. He can and has scored with his back to the basket with either hand. The UK offense rarely sees the ball go to the low post.....this is why Davis scored just 12 ppg in 34 minutes with at least half of those from the line and from collecting garbage.
Picking nits here, but Davis scored 14 points a game (leading the team) on an absolutely loaded squad (five guys in double figures).  Were he on a less-loaded team in college, no doubt that number goes way up.
 

Brickowski

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Dwayne Jones was 6-1, 250,  and always played hard, even though he lacked offensive skills.  Cauley-Stein, on the other hand, is passive and disappears half the time.  The best thing that happened to Cauley-Stein last year was getting injured before the tournament so that people couldn't see how bad he really is.
 
I watched Kentucky 4-5 times last year (how could anyone help it, they were on TV so much), and Cauley-Stein was underwhelming every time.
 
Kentucky's best player during the second half of the year was James Young, and there was no close second.
 

nighthob

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fairlee76 said:
I was reading "ground level" to mean "upon entry into the league."  If Kliq is using "ground level" as a new way to express "floor" then I mis-interpreted that.
 
My stating that WCS is going to be a rotation guy who puts up better rebounding and block numbers than Wright is pretty close to what he said.  End of rotation is 7th/9th man territory.  Barring offensive improvement that is where I see WCS fitting.  Hopefully he develops on the other end and proves me wrong.
When the slow footed Kendrick Perkins, whose offensive game is more noted for being offensive than effective, is still logging 20 minutes a night, and when a title contender is playing two guys at the C spot 34 minutes a night whose combined offensive output is less than Brandan Wright's then no, Willie Cauley-Stein isn't an "end of the bench player". And this opinion of yours is a vast revision of your first statement "I see him being a "project" guy who might develop into an end of rotation big." So, yes, you have a pretty radical disagreement when one of you sees his floor as a rotation big and the other one of you sees the most optimistic case being that he eventually develops into a 4th/5th big man.
 

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fairlee76 said:
Picking nits here, but Davis scored 14 points a game (leading the team) on an absolutely loaded squad (five guys in double figures).  Were he on a less-loaded team in college, no doubt that number goes way up.
The system is the system and UK was loaded last season too. It will be interesting to see if/how Calipari changes his offense this year.....I'd imagine he has to, no?
 

nighthob

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Brickowski said:
Dwayne Jones was 6-1, 250,  and always played hard, even though he lacked offensive skills.  Cauley-Stein, on the other hand, is passive and disappears half the time.  The best thing that happened to Cauley-Stein last year was getting injured before the tournament so that people couldn't see how bad he really is.
Dwayne Jones measured out at 6'8" in his bare feet and 6'10" in sneakers with a standing reach of 9' at the NBA pre-draft camp if memory serves. If he had anything beyond "typical undersized college C" on his resume, he might have lasted. But for an undersized C he was quite slow. Charlie Villanueva, for example, who was taller and longer, blew Jones out of the water on the lateral quickness tests. And, unlike Jones, actually could play the PF spot defensively.
 

fairlee76

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nighthob said:
When the slow footed Kendrick Perkins, whose offensive game is more noted for being offensive than effective, is still logging 20 minutes a night, and when a title contender is playing two guys at the C spot 34 minutes a night whose combined offensive output is less than Brandan Wright's then no, Willie Cauley-Stein isn't an "end of the bench player". And this opinion of yours is a vast revision of your first statement "I see him being a "project" guy who might develop into an end of rotation big." So, yes, you have a pretty radical disagreement when one of you sees his floor as a rotation big and the other one of you sees the most optimistic case being that he eventually develops into a 4th/5th big man.
Fuck me, that was my bad.  Not my intent to type that - I blame Friday afternoon.
 

HomeRunBaker

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Brickowski said:
Dwayne Jones was 6-1, 250,  and always played hard, even though he lacked offensive skills.  Cauley-Stein, on the other hand, is passive and disappears half the time.  The best thing that happened to Cauley-Stein last year was getting injured before the tournament so that people couldn't see how bad he really is.
 
I watched Kentucky 4-5 times last year (how could anyone help it, they were on TV so much), and Cauley-Stein was underwhelming every time.
 
Kentucky's best player during the second half of the year was James Young, and there was no close second.
That explains a lot then......you saw like 12-14% of WCS's games last year. Do you feel like you could have missed something in the other 85%+?
 

nighthob

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fairlee76 said:
Fuck me, that was my bad.  Not my intent to type that - I blame Friday afternoon.
OK then, my point is that when underwhelming college big man Steven Adams is nigh on untouchable for his ability to guard the post, guys like WCS have an NBA future. The reality is that most college bigs are underwhelming because that's the way the game is refereed and played (EDIT: at the NCAA level). But WCS has already shown the ability to play both big man defensive roles, and that's valuable.
 

Brickowski

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HomeRunBaker said:
That explains a lot then......you saw like 12-14% of WCS's games last year. Do you feel like you could have missed something in the other 85%+?
Who knows?  It's not as if his offensive numbers were all that impressive, and presumably those reflect all the games he played.  6.8 ppg and 6.1 rebounds in 23 mpg are not the kind of numbers that shout "lottery pick!"
 
If he had done that in the Spanish ACB playing against men instead of college boys I'd be slightly more impressed. 
 

HomeRunBaker

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Brickowski said:
Who knows?  It's not as if his offensive numbers were all that impressive, and presumably those reflect all the games he played.  6.8 ppg and 6.1 rebounds in 23 mpg are not the kind of numbers that shout "lottery pick!"
 
If he had done that in the Spanish ACB playing against men instead of college boys I'd be slightly more impressed. 
Davis' 14/10 in 34 mpg in same system don't shout future HOF either unless you view the performance within the context of the games. Sadly I may have missed less than 50% of UK games the past two seasons. I've seen the skills that you claim don't exist. Obviously I'm very confident in my view of this player. We shall see.
 

nighthob

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Brickowski said:
Who knows?  It's not as if his offensive numbers were all that impressive, and presumably those reflect all the games he played.  6.8 ppg and 6.1 rebounds in 23 mpg are not the kind of numbers that shout "lottery pick!"
 
If he had done that in the Spanish ACB playing against men instead of college boys I'd be slightly more impressed.
Weirdly enough that's pretty much Steven Adam's college production, and he's nigh on untouchable in trade. Mostly because he profiles as an effective post defender.
 

Grin&MartyBarret

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nighthob said:
Weirdly enough that's pretty much Steven Adam's college production, and he's nigh on untouchable in trade. Mostly because he profiles as an effective post defender.
 
Adams is also a month younger and two years ahead of Cauley-Stein on the development curve.
 

Kliq

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You guys are undervaluing Cauley-Stein's ability to set a screen, roll to the basket, catch a lob, and finish at the hoop. For a guy with his defensive upside, that is pretty tantalizing for an NBA team. That is all Tyson Chandler can do offensively (and I think Chandler is probably around WCS's ceiling).
 

Brickowski

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But post defense isn't Cauley-Stein's forte.  It's his quickness on the perimeter (for a 7 footer) that may make him attractive to NBA teams.  Adams is stronger and heavier.
 
Also, Cauley-Stein is 22 years old and will be 23 on draft day and hasn't improved since his freshman year. He's only a month younger than Adams, who will be starting his second season in the NBA.  Adams is not a good comparison.
 

nighthob

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Grin&MartyBarret said:
Adams is also a month younger and two years ahead of Cauley-Stein on the development curve.
One, Adams is a month older, not younger, and I think you mean will be as this will be his second season. But Adams also has no offensive game to speak of. At all. Not even a little bit. But in this day and age where teams prefer defense out of the C spot he's untouchable. Because he profiles as a post defender. Cauley-Stein can still do both chores, and no matter how much people cry that's still an extremely valuable skill for a big man to have.

Brickowski said:
But post defense isn't Cauley-Stein's forte. It's his quickness on the perimeter (for a 7 footer) that may make him attractive to NBA teams. Adams is stronger and heavier.
Not as much as you think. Cauley-Stein's value lies in his ability to play both big man spots defensively.

Brickowski said:
Also, Cauley-Stein is 22 years old and will be 23 on draft day and hasn't improved since his freshman year. He's only a month younger than Adams, who will be starting his second season in the NBA. Adams is not a good comparison.
At least GMB was only aging WCS two months, you've catapulted him a year forward in time. He will not turn 22 until next August. A month after the "superior" Steven Adams will.
 

Grin&MartyBarret

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nighthob said:
One, Adams is a month older, not younger, and I think you mean will be as this will be his second season. But Adams also has no offensive game to speak of. At all. Not even a little bit. But in this day and age where teams prefer defense out of the C spot he's untouchable. Because he profiles as a post defender. Cauley-Stein can still do both chores, and no matter how much people cry that's still an extremely valuable skill for a big man to have.


Not as much as you think. Cauley-Stein's value lies in his ability to play both big man spots defensively.


At least GMB was only aging WCS two months, you've catapulted him a year forward in time. He will not turn 22 until next August. A month after the "superior" Steven Adams will.
No, what I meant is that Steven Adams will have played two full seasons in the NBA before Cauley-Stein plays his first game. That puts him two years ahead of Cauley-Stein in terms of development. And that heavily contributes to how OKC values him.
 

Kliq

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Brickowski said:
But post defense isn't Cauley-Stein's forte.  It's his quickness on the perimeter (for a 7 footer) that may make him attractive to NBA teams.  Adams is stronger and heavier.
 
Also, Cauley-Stein is 22 years old and will be 23 on draft day and hasn't improved since his freshman year. He's only a month younger than Adams, who will be starting his second season in the NBA.  Adams is not a good comparison.
 
Cauley-Stein has the ability to be a rim protector (3 bpg last season) and his athleticism should lend himself useful as a defender in the NBA. WCS has also added 20lbs of muscle onto his frame since his freshmen year. At 7'0" and 240lbs, I don't think a lot of people are worried about his size.
 

nighthob

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Grin&MartyBarret said:
No, what I meant is that Steven Adams will have played two full seasons in the NBA before Cauley-Stein plays his first game. That puts him two years ahead of Cauley-Stein in terms of development. And that heavily contributes to how OKC values him.
The two things aren't remotely related as no one is asking Sam Presti to choose between the two. Regardless of what Brikowski thinks of Cauley-Stein Steven Adams, a slightly more athletic Kendrick Perkins, is nigh on untouchable. Why? Because while offense out of the C spot is a bonus, teams aren't looking for it per se. They want defensive anchors there. His trade value is, in all likelihood, astronomically higher than Kelly Olynyk, despite the latter's offensive game, because KO can't defend either big man spot. So when people say "Willie Cauley-Stein may one day develop into an end of the bench player" they aren't really paying attention to how NBA teams are using Cs these days.
 

ALiveH

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seems like a big dropoff after top-3.
Stanley Johnson seems like a really nice defensive-minded complementary piece further back in the lotto.
 

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nighthob said:
The two things aren't remotely related as no one is asking Sam Presti to choose between the two. Regardless of what Brikowski thinks of Cauley-Stein Steven Adams, a slightly more athletic Kendrick Perkins, is nigh on untouchable. Why? Because while offense out of the C spot is a bonus, teams aren't looking for it per se. They want defensive anchors there. His trade value is, in all likelihood, astronomically higher than Kelly Olynyk, despite the latter's offensive game, because KO can't defend either big man spot. So when people say "Willie Cauley-Stein may one day develop into an end of the bench player" they aren't really paying attention to how NBA teams are using Cs these days.
 
Truthfully, I have no idea what you're talking about or why you're directing any of it towards me. You brought up Steven Adams 3 different times in this thread as a comparison for Willy Cauley-Stein. Every time you mentioned Adams, you used the word "untouchable" to describe him, clearly implying that Adams has a lot of value to OKC/Presti and that Cauley-Stein, with similar skills, will be similarly valuable. You then made it clear, in all three posts, that Adams has no offensive game, I guess implying that CS may even have more value in the league. My point is that Adams' is two years ahead of CS, and there's value in that. That's all I've posted in this entire, weird thread and for some reason you've chosen to read that as an attack on every other point you've made. My mistake for participating in a thread where the main players are you and Brickowski. Live and learn, I guess.
 

nighthob

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I didn't use him as a comp at all, to be brutally frank you're the only one that's compared them. Whoever drafts WCS next year isn't going to be saying to themselves "You know what, this guy sucks, I mean Steven Adams has already been in the NBA for two years." All they're going to be looking at is the defense.

People's big complaint with WCS is his complete and utter lack of an offensive game (which I don't agree with, but am not arguing as it's irrelevant in this case) so I just directed them to a player that's nigh on untouchable in trade that couldn't score on Lindsay Lohan with an eightball of coke and a quart of rum. Have a look at the list of guys around the NBA playing C that defend well but couldn't score on Miley Cyrus. So, yes, WCS is going to get drafted in the first round next year and he's going to get burn in the league.
 

Grin&MartyBarret

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nighthob said:
OK then, my point is that when underwhelming college big man Steven Adams is nigh on untouchable for his ability to guard the post, guys like WCS have an NBA future. The reality is that most college bigs are underwhelming because that's the way the game is refereed and played (EDIT: at the NCAA level). But WCS has already shown the ability to play both big man defensive roles, and that's valuable.
 
 
nighthob said:
Weirdly enough that's pretty much Steven Adam's college production, and he's nigh on untouchable in trade. Mostly because he profiles as an effective post defender.
 
 
nighthob said:
The two things aren't remotely related as no one is asking Sam Presti to choose between the two. Regardless of what Brikowski thinks of Cauley-Stein Steven Adams, a slightly more athletic Kendrick Perkins, is nigh on untouchable. Why? Because while offense out of the C spot is a bonus, teams aren't looking for it per se. They want defensive anchors there. His trade value is, in all likelihood, astronomically higher than Kelly Olynyk, despite the latter's offensive game, because KO can't defend either big man spot. So when people say "Willie Cauley-Stein may one day develop into an end of the bench player" they aren't really paying attention to how NBA teams are using Cs these days.
 
 
nighthob said:
I didn't use him as a comp at all, to be brutally frank you're the only one that's compared them. Whoever drafts WCS next year isn't going to be saying to themselves "You know what, this guy sucks, I mean Steven Adams has already been in the NBA for two years." All they're going to be looking at is the defense.

People's big complaint with WCS is his complete and utter lack of an offensive game (which I don't agree with, but am not arguing as it's irrelevant in this case) so I just directed them to a player that's nigh on untouchable in trade that couldn't score on Lindsay Lohan with an eightball of coke and a quart of rum. Have a look at the list of guys around the NBA playing C that defend well but couldn't score on Miley Cyrus. So, yes, WCS is going to get drafted in the first round next year and he's going to get burn in the league.
 
I honestly don't know what's going on right now. 
 

nighthob

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EXACTLY, when people are yelling "He'll never be an NBA player because he can't score!!!!" it's easiest to point to a lottery pick from last year who is completely unavailable in trade whose only discernible NBA skill is the ability to defend one of the NBA big man slots. Saying "But he'll have two years on Willie Cauley-Stein!!!!" has pretty much nothing to do with the conversation. Presti doesn't value Adams at all for any reasons related to any other player.

The value is solely due to Adams' ability to guard the post and be a defensive anchor at the NBA level. Period. That's it. It's not because "Adams' is two years ahead of CS". It's because OKC needs someone to replace the shambling corpse of Kendrick Perkins, a guy they traded a potential lottery pick for. Because NBA teams like big men that defend. This is how someone like Larry Sanders gets to be a mid lottery pick. NBA GMs want their Cs to play defense first, and if they can score, hoorah, you've hit the jackpot. That's why Oden went first over Durant, because he was a defensive anchor that looked like an offensive asset (and why Embiid went third despite the broken foot and back).
 

Brickowski

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ALiveH said:
seems like a big dropoff after top-3.
Stanley Johnson seems like a really nice defensive-minded complementary piece further back in the lotto.
Maybe, but it's hard to say at this point.  Kristaps Porzingis is going to be a very good NBA player if and when he decides to come over.  Then there's Coach K's other blue chip recruit, Justise Winslow, who is still growing. Montrezl Harrell is going to be a useful player in the mold of Reggie Evans, although he could turn out to be better than that.
 

bgcpark

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nighthob said:
I didn't use him as a comp at all, to be brutally frank you're the only one that's compared them. Whoever drafts WCS next year isn't going to be saying to themselves "You know what, this guy sucks, I mean Steven Adams has already been in the NBA for two years." All they're going to be looking at is the defense.
People's big complaint with WCS is his complete and utter lack of an offensive game (which I don't agree with, but am not arguing as it's irrelevant in this case) so I just directed them to a player that's nigh on untouchable in trade that couldn't score on Lindsay Lohan with an eightball of coke and a quart of rum. Have a look at the list of guys around the NBA playing C that defend well but couldn't score on Miley Cyrus. So, yes, WCS is going to get drafted in the first round next year and he's going to get burn in the league.
 

Grin&MartyBarret

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nighthob said:
EXACTLY, when people are yelling "He'll never be an NBA player because he can't score!!!!" it's easiest to point to a lottery pick from last year who is completely unavailable in trade whose only discernible NBA skill is the ability to defend one of the NBA big man slots. Saying "But he'll have two years on Willie Cauley-Stein!!!!" has pretty much nothing to do with the conversation. Presti doesn't value Adams at all for any reasons related to any other player.

The value is solely due to Adams' ability to guard the post and be a defensive anchor at the NBA level. Period. That's it. It's not because "Adams' is two years ahead of CS". It's because OKC needs someone to replace the shambling corpse of Kendrick Perkins, a guy they traded a potential lottery pick for. Because NBA teams like big men that defend. This is how someone like Larry Sanders gets to be a mid lottery pick. NBA GMs want their Cs to play defense first, and if they can score, hoorah, you've hit the jackpot. That's why Oden went first over Durant, because he was a defensive anchor that looked like an offensive asset (and why Embiid went third despite the broken foot and back).
 
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nighthob

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So you're really going with "OKC won't trade Adams because he has two years on a guy that isn't in the NBA yet"?
 

Grin&MartyBarret

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nighthob said:
So you're really going with "OKC won't trade Adams because he has two years on a guy that isn't in the NBA yet"?
Let's be clear about some things:

I haven't made a single comment in this thread about Cauley-Stein, Adams' play on the court, or how NBA teams value big men. The only thing I have said, in response to the third time you called Adams untouchable and compared him to Cauley-Stein, is that Adams is two years ahead of CS in terms of development. That's it. Everything else you think we're arguing about is you arguing with yourself. That said, now that you're insisting, your analysis of Adams' value is incomplete at best.

Adams has been playing basketball at a high level for exactly 2 seasons; the one he spent at Pitt and last season in OKC. Before that, he played at a low level in New Zealand and came over as an extremely raw prospect with a soft touch around the rim, good hands, and plus defense and athleticism. His value isn't SOLELY about his defense, as you've been insisting all weekend, but is about the fact that his FLOOR is as a defense-first big man. And he's proven that already. Beyond that, he's 21years old and extremely raw. His hands are soft, he has good touch around the rim, and the NBA is full of 7 footers who didn't have anything resembling a post game at age 21. In fact, it's extremely rare that any big man comes out of school with one. It happens, what, once every 5 years? So your take completely discounts his ability to develop and assumes he'll never grow into anything beyond what he is now. The Thunder's front office, and many other NBA front offices, would be, and will, bet that he does.

So that was the simple point I was making, which for some reason, you've fought for 3 days now: Cauley-Stein hasn't proven shit yet, and Steven Adams is not a perfect comp because Steven Adams will have two pro seasons on Cauley-Stein and was far more raw to begin with. Their ceilings are different, and NBA teams value NBA experience and NBA coaching over battling with 6'6 post men at Auburn. It's not a particularly complicated stance, nor does it even go against 95% of what you're saying in this thread, most of which I agree with. I haven't stated that CS won't make the league, or that you have to score to play the 5 in the NBA. Those are conversations you're having with yourself. All I've said is that those two years are important to Adams' value. That's it.

Edit: and to be clear, I don't even think Adams is "nigh untouchable." That's a strawman you created. The Thunder value him, sure, but they'd move him in plenty of deals.
 

Auger34

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Brickowski said:
I don't think Cauley-Stein has much of a shot at being an NBA player at any position.
 
WCS is pretty much a lock to be a rotational player at C. I think his floor is Tyson Chandler (Hornets era version). He's going to be an ultra athletic center who can block/alter shots and rebound well. On offense he is going to be an alley-oop and P&R machine. 
If he can develop more of a jump shot he has a chance to be an All-Star. I might be wrong on this but isn't WCS a late comer to basketball as well?
 

Auger34

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This discussion kind of got derailed with Steven Adams being brought up...
The bottom line is that, no matter what, I don't think you can put forth an argument that says WCS won't be at the very least a rotational big in the NBA. Apparently he tested off the charts athletically at UK's pro day deal they had recently and he has proven himself to be an active defender in college. His size, athletic ability, and defensive prowess alone guarantee he will be in the NBA for a long time. That is discounting the fact that the coaching staff there says his game has improved significantly every year there.
I mean look at a guy like DeAndre Jordan. DAJ has no discernible offensive game other than dunks and put backs but because of his size/athletic ability/and rim protection he is a core cog on a championship level team
 

Auger34

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ALiveH said:
seems like a big dropoff after top-3.
Stanley Johnson seems like a really nice defensive-minded complementary piece further back in the lotto.
 
I don't know exactly how far back you mean when you say further back in the lotto, but as of now Johnson is thought of as a top 6-7 pick. He has a chance to break into the top 4 or 5 if he showcases more of a jumper. (Of course, the opposite of that is if his offensive game doesn't improve he could be labeled as a Kidd-Gilchrist type and fall a little bit from where he is projected now)
 

HomeRunBaker

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tbb345 said:
This discussion kind of got derailed with Steven Adams being brought up...
The bottom line is that, no matter what, I don't think you can put forth an argument that says WCS won't be at the very least a rotational big in the NBA. Apparently he tested off the charts athletically at UK's pro day deal they had recently and he has proven himself to be an active defender in college. His size, athletic ability, and defensive prowess alone guarantee he will be in the NBA for a long time. That is discounting the fact that the coaching staff there says his game has improved significantly every year there.
I mean look at a guy like DeAndre Jordan. DAJ has no discernible offensive game other than dunks and put backs but because of his size/athletic ability/and rim protection he is a core cog on a championship level team
Forget DeAndre Jordan who is an upper echelon starting 5......we are talking about a FLOOR as a rotational 5. How soon some forget guys like Mikki Moore STARTED 181 games and avg over 18 mpg over 14 NBA seasons. I mean some are actually hopeful for a stiff like Tyler Zeller to have this type of career.

Yeah I don't think WCS will have to worry about flipping burgers anytime soon.
 

HomeRunBaker

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knucklecup said:
Remember when this board was furious about the potential idea of trading for DeAndre Jordan?
I was drooling so bad I was making up trades for Bledsoe and Jordan although I will state that my primary splooge was focused on Bledsoe.
 

nighthob

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HomeRunBaker said:
Forget DeAndre Jordan who is an upper echelon starting 5......we are talking about a FLOOR as a rotational 5. How soon some forget guys like Mikki Moore STARTED 181 games and avg over 18 mpg over 14 NBA seasons. I mean some are actually hopeful for a stiff like Tyler Zeller to have this type of career.

Yeah I don't think WCS will have to worry about flipping burgers anytime soon.
No indeedy. He has elite defensive upside and actually enjoys playing D (as opposed to DAJ who had to be cajoled into it). Barring drugs or injuries he's going to have a long NBA career.