2014-15 Champions League: the Quixotic Quest to Qualify

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Turrable

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How do away goals still count in extra time? It's a terrible role to begin with but damn
 

Infield Infidel

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that was about a karmic-ly satisfying a match as I've ever seen
 
Seven Costanza said:
That was an absolute gutless display from Chelsea.  They had a week to prep for that game.
 
Atrocious doesn't begin to describe that performance.
 
Did you ever decide which team to root for? I kinda blanked on that. I'd rather root for a shitty team with a shitty owner that's never in Europe than a bunch of whiny entitled simulating pricks. God, what assbags. 
 
 

Zomp said:
Just watched the Zlatan gif.  Wow.  No other team surrounds a ref like Chelsea...

 
 
 

sachmoney

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Morgan's Magic Snowplow said:
Bayern might win this match 7-3 with that lineup.  Push Alaba and Rafinha up into midfield and you've got the old 2-3-5 as discussed at some point in the Bayern thread.
You gave Shakhtar too much credit.
 
deconstruction said:
And here's the red that basically handed the match to Bayern in the first 10 minutes.
Yikes. That is a terrible call.
 
SoxFanInCali said:
 
All 10 outfield players are in this photo.
 
Great formation and shape here. Credit to Mourinho.
 
mgoblue2 said:
Guys, with City and Arsenal likely out of their respective ties, who's left flying the English flag in Europe?
Everton in the Europa?
 

Turrable

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Zomp said:
Well, its unfair that the home team in the second leg gets an extra 30 minutes at home.
 
But every team would choose being on the road in extra time if they could, it's a no-brainer.  
 

bosox4283

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SoxFanInCali said:
He was still a punk, just seemed less so because he was going against Real and Barca.
 
Exactly. Plus, there is a subtle difference between Simeone's intensity and Mourinho's. In a way, Costa embodied Simeone's take-no-prisoner attitude. Remember, Simeone is the guy who, at the end of the Champions League loss, kicked the ball back at Varane and walked on the pitch after him. So, while non-Atletico fans generally criticized Costa for being a punk, Atletico embraced Costa for the way he reflected Simeone's toughness.
 
I'm not sure what Chelsea is paying Filipe Luis, and he's surely making more at Chelsea than at Atletico. Nonetheless, I wish Luis stayed -- Atletico needed (needs) him, while he just warms the bench at Chelsea. 
 

Turrable

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Zomp said:
I disagree.  I don't think every team would choose that at all.
 
I think if you give any team the scenario of a 30 minute game, following 180 minutes of dead even play at both venues, with the choice of playing it at home or playing on the road with the caveat that any tie of more than 0-0 is a win for the road team, you'd play it on the road 100 times out of 100. 
 

Zomp

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History suggests otherwise.  In the past 10 years, 9 ties have gone into extra time.  5 penalties, 3 home wins, 1 away win on away goals (PSG)
 

Turrable

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I mean, it's not a great sample size, and the home teams in the second leg are typically the better team, but even if you take that data to suggest that you have a 1/9 shot of winning outright despite not scoring more goals then isn't that better than whatever marginal advantage you get by being at home?
 
To be fair I really just hate the away goal rule regardless.
 

teddykgb

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I really don't see it.  I'd much rather play that extra period at home than anything else.  Plus then the PKs are at home as well.  I understand why the away goals rule makes it not a slam dunk, but then isn't that a reason why the away goals rule is awesome? There's nothing about that game yesterday that makes the away goals rule seem worse.  Mourinho has worked that rule to his favor mercilessly throughout his career.  Having it backfire on him a bit this time is just perfect.  And to be honest, the away goals rule kept it a contest.  If the away goals didn't break the tie, PSG probably just rolls over.
 

coremiller

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That data also doesn't control for the effect of the rule -- the away goals rule may cause the home team to play a little more cautiously than it otherwise would, so maybe without it fewer matches would have gone to penalties.  
 

Morgan's Magic Snowplow

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The tournament is set up under the assumption that it is an advantage to play at home in the second leg, given that this is an explicit perk given to group winners in the R16.
 
You can bet your last dollar that if the directors of clubs like Real, Barca, and Bayern felt that it was a disadvantage to play at home in the second leg, the rules wouldn't be structured that way.
 

Schnerres

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You don´t get the rules and the influence on the game right, it seems. Nobody, really nobody would pick the 2nd leg as away match.
 
You have a match tied after 180 minutes, going into extra-time for 30minutes, there will be no away-goal rule that favors your already scored goals (if it´s 1-1 and then 1-1 again, like yesterday, then it is 2-2 tied and both have an away goal, so it is 3-3). Then you have another 30 minutes.
 
Make a pick for yourself, you have 30 minutes to be played, after 90minutes, your players are running on their last legs, it is a nerve-wracking scene. Do you think the extra-time will be a draw with goals (like yesterday)? Then play away. But nobody would do this. Ask Mourinho and he would pick 100 times the 2nd leg at home, going into a tied extra time. It is an advantage, to play it at home.
It could also mean that the tie was at 4-0 at Paris, then 4-0 for Chelsea and tied 4-4 going into extras. Where do you want it played. 3-1 and 1-3, etc.
The chance of twice the same draw is rather low. And everyone wants to play the 2nd match (with chance for e.t.) at home.
 

Turrable

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Obviously playing the second leg at home is better, since this is such a rare scenario. I'm not arguing that this gives lower seeds a net overall advantage, just that in this rare scenario it becomes incredibly arbitrary, and in this rare scenario I'd take extra time on the road every time. Maybe I don't value home field advantage as much as I should, but I just feel like any time you have a tangible advantage (the ~10% chance of a tie with goals) you take it over the advantage of playing at home. I don't think Chelsea deserved to win because the red card was trash and they're all annoying cocks, but that doesn't mean it isn't an arbitrary-ass way to decide what ultimately was a 3-3 tie. And yeah, Chelsea got a little more time at home, just like the home team in a seven game series. You earn that shit when you're the higher seed.
 
But again, I really just hate the away goals rule.
 

sachmoney

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teddykgb said:
I really don't see it.  I'd much rather play that extra period at home than anything else.  Plus then the PKs are at home as well.  I understand why the away goals rule makes it not a slam dunk, but then isn't that a reason why the away goals rule is awesome? There's nothing about that game yesterday that makes the away goals rule seem worse.  Mourinho has worked that rule to his favor mercilessly throughout his career.  Having it backfire on him a bit this time is just perfect.  And to be honest, the away goals rule kept it a contest.  If the away goals didn't break the tie, PSG probably just rolls over.
The fact that the tie featured a David Luiz revenge goal also made it awesomer.
 

DennyDoyle'sBoil

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Sorry if this is the wrong place, but do any of you have any ideas for getting Champions League final tickets?  DDB Jr. and I will be in Europe that weekend.  I've entered the UEFA lottery, but it looks like a long shot.  If I wanted to take a shot by joining a couple of the supporters clubs of the teams that look like they have a good chance -- Bayern or Barca -- would that get me a leg up?  Not easy to get information about how tickets are allocated.
 

blueguitar322

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Arsenal same starting lineup as the first leg against Monaco (except Monreal instead of Gibbs), which means (1) no Ramsey, (2) Mertesacker and his lack of pace might still be an issue, (3) no Theo.

Probably would not have been my first choice. We'll see how the team performs.

I believe Arsenal will win but have no expectation that we will make up the goal differential and away goals.
 

Morgan's Magic Snowplow

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In the abstract, I would have liked to see Ramsey rather than Welbeck. But our chances of qualification are so low either way that I see no reason to risk Ramsey playing 90 minutes so soon after the last match when his health has been do precarious.

Gabriel would have been my choice for CB if fit. I don't see much difference between Mert and Chambers, as both are poorly suited for this game just in different ways.
 

sachmoney

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I would've liked to see Rambo, but my friend made a good point that there might be a lot of crosses in this game if Monaco sits deep. We might need that extra man in the box. Or you know, one of the two guys in the box.
 
I feel like this tie is a race against time.
 

Morgan's Magic Snowplow

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Lets have a go.

We need to score three goals no matter what so we need to take big risks. There is a pretty good chance we get murdered on the counter before our offense even gets clicking but let's see what happens. I'm glad Monreal is back there as he has much better positional sense than Gibbs and I trust him more in the final third if he gets an opportunity to go forward.
 

DLew On Roids

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Eh, he had nowhere to go. He could have backheeled it, but Monaco had it covered.

How many times are they going to replay an offside call where the ball didn't wind up in the net? Who gives a fuck?
 

Schnerres

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Is there anybody watching Atleti-Bayer?
Atletico is at the same level of dirtyness and hateability as Real, Chelsea/Mou.
 

DennyDoyle'sBoil

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I'd like to see the ref stay up if someone kicked him in the shin like that -- if that's outside the box, it's probably just a play on.
 

blueguitar322

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Oh man it could be 0-2 or 0-3 by now. After a sluggish first 20 minutes, Arsenal have been dominant.
 

fletcherpost

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DLew On Roids said:
And Scholes looks like the fucking superannuated yob he is.
 
I know - and i would still toss his salad.
 
What i love about Scholes is he never uses a three syllable word without having a really good reason.
 
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